Blake Penso — OGILVIE

Blake PensoC Spokane Indians

Age 25 R/R A+ HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .300 / .340

PA62

HR1

K%27

BB%7

ISO121

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	24	A+	Spokane Indians	—	22	18	6	1	0	1	2	4	2	0	0	333	455	556	1.010	222	385	18	9	448	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	22	19	5	1	0	1	1	5	2	0	0	263	364	474	837	211	331	23	5	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	22	19	5	1	0	1	1	5	2	0	0	263	364	474	837	211	308	23	5	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	22	18	6	1	0	1	2	4	2	0	0	333	455	556	1.010	222	385	18	9	448	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	22	19	5	1	0	1	1	5	2	0	0	263	364	474	837	211	331	23	5	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	22	19	5	1	0	1	1	5	2	0	0	263	364	474	837	211	331	23	5	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	200	177	39	7	1	4	14	55	7	2	1	222	302	343	645	121	291	28	7	293	84	-4	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	30%	105	94	20	4	0	2	7	29	3	1	1	223	303	346	649	123	291	28	7	294	85	-2	-0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	42%	203	181	41	7	1	5	14	55	6	2	1	223	303	346	649	124	290	27	7	294	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.5
2030	28	MLB MLE	COL	48%	272	242	53	9	1	6	20	74	8	2	1	222	301	345	646	123	289	27	7	293	84	-5	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2031	29	MLB MLE	COL	49%	311	277	62	11	1	7	22	84	9	1	1	221	299	342	641	121	288	27	7	291	83	-6	-0	-1	+6	+7	0.4
2032	30	MLB MLE	COL	50%	337	301	66	12	1	7	24	92	9	0	1	219	297	337	634	118	286	27	7	288	81	-8	-0	-2	+6	+7	0.3
2033	31	MLB MLE	COL	51%	329	294	64	11	1	7	23	91	9	0	1	215	292	327	619	112	283	28	7	282	77	-9	-0	-3	+6	+7	0.1
2034	32	MLB MLE	COL	51%	312	279	59	10	1	6	22	87	8	0	0	209	286	314	600	105	279	28	7	274	72	-11	+0	-4	+6	+7	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	30%	32	29	7	1	0	1	2	9	1	0	0	234	313	372	685	138	304	28	6	308	85	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	42%	85	76	17	3	0	2	6	23	3	1	0	234	313	373	685	138	304	27	7	308	85	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	COL	48%	130	116	27	5	1	3	9	35	4	1	1	233	312	371	682	137	303	27	7	307	84	-2	-0	-0	+2	+3	0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	COL	49%	153	137	32	5	1	4	11	41	4	1	1	232	310	367	676	135	301	27	7	304	83	-3	-0	-1	+3	+3	0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	COL	50%	169	150	35	6	1	4	12	46	5	0	1	230	307	362	668	132	299	27	7	301	81	-4	-0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2033	31	MLB CTX	COL	51%	167	149	34	6	1	4	12	46	4	0	0	225	301	350	652	125	295	28	7	294	77	-5	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2034	32	MLB CTX	COL	51%	159	143	31	5	1	3	11	45	4	0	0	219	295	336	631	117	291	28	7	286	72	-5	+0	-2	+3	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	895	800	183	31	5	21	63	245	25	3	3	229	305	359	664	130	301	27	7	300	81	-22	-1	-5	+16	+19	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	134	23	4	15	46	178	18	2	2	231	307	361	668	131	304	27	7	300	81	-16	-0	-4	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	1953	1743	382	67	6	42	137	534	56	7	6	219	297	337	634	118	289	27	7	287	81	-45	-1	-10	+34	+42	2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	127	22	2	14	46	178	19	2	2	219	298	336	634	117	288	27	7	287	81	-15	-0	-4	+12	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.3	895	19	3	219	293	336	+16	+12	1.7	1.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.9	+8.9	1.3	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blake Penso (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	220/300/340	120	291	1	1	27%	7%	84	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Braxton Fulford 2024 · AA	25	43→41	46→50	49→50	43	213/294/344	130	292	14	9	30%	8%	82	+0.0	212/286/353	141	292	15	11	31%	7%	81	-0.1	202/279/347	145	279	15	13	31%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Jakson Reetz 2021 · A	25	42→33	46→55	44→45	42	208/286/332	125	292	14	5	32%	7%	77	-0.3	196/273/349	153	268	18	5	33%	6%	76	-0.4	198/277/386	187	246	23	4	29%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Tyler Marlette 2018 · AA	25	43	46→50	43→45	40	218/264/350	131	282	14	4	28%	6%	72	-0.7	219/272/339	120	289	13	6	28%	6%	72	-0.7	213/268/325	111	278	13	5	27%	6%	63	-1.1
✕Renae Martinez 2019 · A	25	48→31	45	42→40	42	234/288/356	122	299	12	4	25%	6%	82	-0.0	196/260/299	103	272	10	4	30%	7%	59	-1.7	158/230/250	92	221	10	2	32%	7%	34	-1.7
✕Robert Emery 2022 · A	25	49	46→45	45→30	46	242/310/368	127	301	14	7	24%	7%	93	+0.8	216/296/318	102	316	8	4	32%	8%	77	-0.3	197/288/289	92	301	7	0	33%	8%	66	-0.4
✕Jaxx Groshans 2022 · A	24	46	47→50	47→30	46	228/292/362	134	300	15	4	28%	8%	84	+0.2	198/263/320	122	284	13	5	33%	8%	65	-1.2	121/197/239	117	168	13	0	36%	8%	20	-1.5
✕Luis Santana 2024 · AA	25	44	47→45	47→50	40	223/275/357	134	284	15	8	27%	5%	78	-0.3	205/264/312	107	256	11	8	24%	6%	63	-1.3	166/234/244	78	199	10	5	22%	6%	36	-1.8
✕Pedro Pagés 2024 · AAA	25	43→44	45→50	48→40	45	214/282/338	124	283	14	4	28%	8%	76	-0.4	226/281/359	133	290	16	5	27%	6%	80	-0.2	224/274/353	130	283	17	3	27%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Brian O'Keefe 2018 · A	25	41→42	47→50	45→40	45	212/273/345	133	269	15	5	27%	7%	74	-0.5	208/277/340	132	263	14	4	26%	8%	74	-0.5	205/273/347	142	263	18	2	29%	8%	71	-0.5
✕Matt Lauderdale 2006 · A	25	45	48→55	47→40	47	227/287/376	149	276	14	5	23%	7%	86	+0.3	221/283/352	131	281	12	6	25%	7%	79	-0.2	197/269/322	125	244	11	0	23%	8%	66	-0.3
✕Ian Rice 2019 · AA	25	41→40	48→50	44→30	49	209/298/350	141	280	16	3	30%	10%	85	+0.2	200/274/302	102	285	10	5	31%	8%	65	-1.2	158/229/219	60	230	5	0	31%	7%	30	-1.7
✕Riley Adams 2021 · AA	25	46→44	45→50	49→40	43	216/297/342	126	328	12	6	35%	8%	83	+0.1	216/303/367	151	316	15	4	34%	8%	91	+0.7	210/299/372	162	303	16	0	33%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Jeferson Morales 2024 · A	25	40→47	45	51→50	45	202/283/328	127	268	13	10	28%	8%	75	-0.5	225/294/348	123	279	11	8	22%	7%	82	+0.0	227/297/352	126	275	11	7	21%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Devin Mann 2022 · AA	25	41→45	50	43→45	44	212/287/367	154	275	17	7	29%	7%	85	+0.2	220/300/368	148	290	16	5	28%	9%	90	+0.6	215/299/360	144	285	15	3	28%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Chris Wallace 2013 · AAA	25	45→41	48→55	46→45	39	223/278/363	140	302	15	5	30%	5%	80	-0.1	221/269/329	108	324	10	5	33%	6%	68	-1.0	239/275/329	90	369	8	0	36%	5%	70	-0.3
✕Lucas May 2010 · AA	25	43	47→55	46→45	41	220/273/361	141	284	15	6	28%	6%	78	-0.3	210/261/340	130	282	13	6	29%	6%	68	-1.0	193/240/319	126	259	13	4	30%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Nick Cimillo 2024 · A	24	42→37	49→55	47→40	45	211/291/359	149	291	16	5	32%	9%	84	+0.2	206/277/378	172	264	21	5	29%	8%	84	+0.1	191/263/365	174	240	22	3	30%	8%	73	-0.4
✕Andrew Navigato 2023 · AA	25	42→41	48→55	49→50	43	216/280/356	141	266	16	14	26%	6%	80	-0.2	218/276/377	159	279	17	15	28%	6%	83	+0.1	207/267/370	164	270	18	17	30%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Scott Manea 2021 · A	25	40→42	46→45	39→30	41	204/281/329	125	266	14	4	28%	6%	75	-0.5	214/297/320	106	302	10	3	30%	9%	78	-0.3	204/295/299	95	291	10	0	30%	10%	69	-0.5
✕Alex Isola 2023 · AA	25	42→44	50	43→40	48	218/288/364	146	269	19	3	26%	9%	84	+0.2	213/278/336	123	269	14	6	25%	8%	74	-0.5	202/268/317	115	252	13	5	25%	7%	64	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps