Giancarlos Mendoza

SS DSL Cubs Red

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Cubs Red	61	.234/.410/.426	2	5	49	—	.157/.295/.275
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	171	.208/.294/.301	2	4	71	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	53	.212/.299/.311	1	1	75	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	146	.215/.303/.320	2	3	79	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed91

BB%90

ISO81

wOBA70

wRC+67

Chase%55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsEddys Leonard (age 18) · Gilberto Celestino (age 18) · Carlos Jimenez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA

wRC+71

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .292 / .298

PA62

HR1

K%29

BB%10

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$23M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	61	47	11	1	1	2	14	16	0	5	1	234	410	426	835	191	310	26	23	380	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	61	51	8	1	1	1	10	20	0	5	1	157	295	275	570	118	198	33	16	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	61	51	8	1	1	1	10	20	0	5	1	157	295	275	570	118	233	33	16	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	61	47	11	1	1	2	14	16	0	5	1	234	410	426	835	191	310	26	23	380	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	61	51	8	1	1	1	10	20	0	5	1	157	295	275	570	118	198	33	16	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	61	51	8	1	1	1	10	20	0	5	1	157	295	275	570	118	198	33	16	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	171	150	31	4	2	2	18	49	1	4	1	208	294	301	595	93	290	29	11	273	71	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	154	136	29	4	2	2	16	44	1	4	1	212	299	311	610	100	292	29	10	279	75	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	301	264	56	8	3	4	31	84	3	7	2	215	303	320	623	105	293	28	10	284	79	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	415	366	80	12	4	7	42	114	4	10	3	218	305	329	634	111	294	27	10	289	82	-9	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.5
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	496	438	96	14	5	9	50	135	5	12	3	221	308	336	644	115	295	27	10	292	84	-9	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.8
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	550	485	107	16	5	10	55	148	5	13	3	223	309	342	652	119	296	27	10	295	86	-9	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.0
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	586	516	116	18	6	11	59	157	6	14	4	224	310	345	655	120	297	27	10	297	87	-9	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.1
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	607	535	120	18	6	12	61	163	6	14	4	224	310	346	656	121	297	27	10	297	87	-9	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.2
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	618	545	122	18	6	12	62	166	6	14	4	224	310	346	656	122	296	27	10	297	87	-9	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.2
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	620	547	122	18	6	12	62	167	6	14	4	223	309	344	653	120	296	27	10	296	86	-10	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.1
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	617	544	120	18	6	11	62	168	6	12	3	222	308	339	647	117	295	27	10	293	85	-11	+1	-1	+7	+13	0.9
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	608	537	119	18	6	11	61	167	5	9	3	219	305	333	638	114	294	27	10	290	82	-13	+1	-1	+7	+13	0.6
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	598	529	114	17	5	10	59	166	5	6	2	216	301	326	627	109	292	28	10	285	79	-15	+0	-2	+6	+13	0.3
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	52%	584	517	109	16	5	9	57	165	5	2	2	212	297	316	613	104	289	28	10	280	75	-17	-0	-3	+6	+13	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	53	48	10	1	1	1	5	15	0	1	0	212	299	311	610	100	292	28	9	279	75	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	146	129	28	4	2	2	15	41	1	3	1	215	303	320	623	105	293	28	10	284	79	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	225	198	43	6	2	4	23	62	2	5	1	218	305	329	634	111	294	28	10	289	82	-5	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	281	248	55	8	3	5	28	76	3	7	2	221	308	336	644	115	295	27	10	292	84	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	317	279	62	9	3	6	32	85	3	8	2	223	309	342	652	119	296	27	10	295	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	334	294	65	10	3	6	34	90	3	8	2	224	310	345	655	120	297	27	10	297	87	-5	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	344	303	68	10	3	7	35	92	3	8	2	224	310	346	656	121	297	27	10	297	87	-5	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	350	309	69	10	3	7	35	94	3	8	2	224	310	346	656	122	296	27	10	297	87	-5	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	344	303	68	10	3	7	35	93	3	8	2	223	309	344	653	120	296	27	10	296	86	-6	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	339	299	66	10	3	6	34	92	3	6	2	222	308	339	647	117	295	27	10	293	85	-6	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.5
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	325	286	63	9	3	6	33	89	3	5	2	219	305	333	638	114	294	27	10	290	82	-7	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.3
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	315	278	60	9	3	5	31	88	3	3	1	216	301	326	627	109	292	28	10	285	79	-8	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.2
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	52%	305	270	58	8	3	5	30	86	2	1	1	212	297	316	613	104	289	28	10	280	75	-9	-0	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3678	3244	715	104	35	67	370	1003	32	71	20	220	306	336	642	116	295	27	10	292	83	-72	+6	-4	+39	+80	5.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	126	18	6	12	65	177	6	13	4	220	306	335	641	115	294	27	10	292	83	-13	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	6877	6066	1330	198	67	122	693	1882	63	137	39	219	306	334	640	115	295	27	10	291	83	-136	+11	-7	+73	+148	9.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	126	19	6	12	66	178	6	13	4	220	307	337	644	117	295	27	10	291	83	-13	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.6	3,739	66	73	221	304	337	+40	+24	7.6	6.6
/162	664	12	13	+7.1	+4.3	1.3	pk7: 6
#6George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Giancarlos Mendoza (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	206/292/298	93	290	1	1	29%	10%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	35→45	40→45	52→30	43	176/241/269	92	235	7	10	27%	7%	45	-2.7	192/242/291	99	291	9	7	36%	5%	49	-2.4	228/278/346	118	323	12	2	32%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/270/292	91	260	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	205/256/277	72	300	3	25	30%	6%	51	-2.3	240/291/409	169	325	21	27	32%	5%	95	+0.4
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	42→51	37→50	51→55	58	197/311/267	70	262	5	9	24%	13%	72	-0.7	215/290/330	115	309	10	14	31%	9%	77	-0.3	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	43→50	38→50	51→65	51	204/279/286	82	265	5	10	24%	9%	62	-1.4	201/264/285	84	268	5	34	25%	7%	56	-1.9	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Robert Calaz 2024 · A	18	44→42	42→50	53→50	46	210/288/317	107	285	8	8	28%	8%	74	-0.6	218/284/351	133	327	13	10	35%	7%	80	-0.2	207/271/338	131	322	14	10	38%	7%	69	-0.6
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	41→51	40→45	50→65	42	201/260/289	88	279	8	16	30%	6%	56	-1.9	234/302/339	105	318	8	38	27%	8%	83	+0.1	239/313/347	108	322	9	47	26%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Leo Balcazar 2022 · A	18	39→49	43→40	51→45	43	196/262/309	114	263	9	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	218/276/313	95	325	8	12	33%	6%	68	-1.0	230/279/312	82	298	8	9	25%	5%	65	-0.8
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	42	41→45	52→50	43	206/268/305	99	267	8	9	25%	6%	63	-1.4	203/274/291	88	258	5	11	22%	6%	62	-1.4	210/267/312	102	264	5	11	22%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Aldo Gaxiola 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	49→40	46	200/275/274	74	279	5	9	28%	8%	59	-1.7	199/263/295	96	263	9	5	27%	6%	59	-1.7	193/251/309	115	259	14	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Arnaldo Lantigua 2024 · A	18	37→43	42→50	47→40	47	184/259/284	100	247	10	8	28%	9%	55	-1.9	194/272/317	123	257	13	6	28%	9%	68	-1.0	193/275/323	131	258	14	4	29%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	38→48	41→45	50	43	191/254/292	102	253	8	11	27%	7%	55	-2.0	176/229/262	86	311	8	13	43%	6%	38	-3.2	204/248/323	118	308	13	17	37%	5%	57	-1.1

Giancarlos Mendoza

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps