Sebastian Casanova

SS DSL Blue Jays Blue

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Blue Jays…	144	.390/.472/.439	0	19	78	—	.273/.345/.312
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBTOR	254	.220/.284/.279	1	8	61	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBTOR	72	.225/.291/.295	1	2	67	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBTOR	167	.228/.296/.307	2	5	72	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%90

wOBA88

wRC+88

Z-Con%87

Speed78

K%69

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 97%

CompsDixon Machado (age 18) · Jose Paez (age 18) · Dashyll Tejeda (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 120 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .282 / .277

PA120

HR1

K%24

BB%7

ISO59

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$20M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	144	123	48	4	1	0	18	25	1	19	3	390	472	439	911	49	485	17	12	409	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	144	128	35	3	1	0	13	31	1	19	3	273	345	312	658	39	336	22	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	144	128	35	3	1	0	13	31	1	19	3	273	345	312	658	39	357	22	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	144	123	48	4	1	0	18	25	1	19	3	390	472	439	911	49	485	17	12	409	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	144	129	35	3	1	0	13	31	1	19	3	271	345	310	655	39	336	22	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	144	129	35	3	1	0	13	31	1	19	3	271	345	310	655	39	336	22	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	254	231	51	6	2	1	19	62	2	8	1	220	284	279	563	59	290	24	7	259	61	-12	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	210	190	42	5	1	2	16	51	2	7	1	224	290	293	583	69	292	24	8	267	67	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2029	20	MLB MLE	TOR	48%	345	312	71	9	2	4	26	82	4	11	2	227	295	306	601	78	294	24	8	274	72	-12	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2030	21	MLB MLE	TOR	54%	447	404	93	12	3	6	35	106	5	15	3	230	299	317	616	87	295	24	8	280	76	-13	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2031	22	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	519	467	109	14	3	8	41	122	6	17	3	233	302	327	629	94	295	24	8	285	79	-13	+2	+0	+6	+11	0.6
2032	23	MLB MLE	TOR	58%	568	512	119	16	3	9	45	133	6	18	4	235	304	335	640	100	296	23	8	290	82	-12	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.9
2033	24	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	600	541	128	17	4	10	47	140	7	19	4	236	306	339	645	103	297	23	8	292	84	-12	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.0
2034	25	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	618	557	133	18	4	11	49	144	7	20	4	237	306	342	648	105	297	23	8	293	84	-12	+2	+0	+7	+13	1.1
2035	26	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	627	565	134	18	4	11	50	146	7	20	4	237	306	343	650	106	297	23	8	294	85	-11	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.2
2036	27	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	628	566	134	18	4	11	50	147	7	20	4	236	305	341	646	105	297	23	8	292	84	-12	+2	+0	+7	+14	1.1
2037	28	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	624	563	133	18	4	11	49	148	7	19	4	234	304	336	640	102	296	24	8	290	82	-13	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.9
2038	29	MLB MLE	TOR	58%	615	556	128	17	3	10	48	147	6	19	4	232	301	330	631	98	295	24	8	286	80	-15	+2	-1	+7	+13	0.6
2039	30	MLB MLE	TOR	60%	604	546	124	16	3	9	47	147	6	18	4	229	297	323	620	94	293	24	8	282	77	-17	+2	-2	+6	+13	0.3
2040	31	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	590	534	120	15	3	9	45	145	6	17	4	225	293	314	606	88	291	25	8	276	73	-19	+2	-3	+6	+13	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	72	66	15	2	0	1	5	17	1	2	0	225	291	295	586	70	294	24	7	268	67	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	20	MLB CTX	TOR	48%	167	150	34	4	1	2	13	40	2	5	1	228	296	307	604	79	295	24	8	275	72	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2030	21	MLB CTX	TOR	54%	242	218	50	6	2	3	19	57	3	8	2	231	300	319	619	87	296	24	8	281	76	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2031	22	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	294	266	62	8	2	4	23	69	3	10	2	234	303	328	631	94	297	23	8	286	79	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2032	23	MLB CTX	TOR	58%	327	294	69	9	2	5	26	76	4	11	2	236	305	337	642	101	298	23	8	291	82	-7	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2033	24	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	342	308	73	10	2	6	27	80	4	11	2	237	307	340	647	103	298	23	8	293	84	-7	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2034	25	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	351	316	75	10	2	6	28	82	4	11	2	238	307	343	650	105	299	23	8	294	84	-7	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2035	26	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	355	320	76	10	2	7	28	83	4	11	2	238	307	345	652	107	298	23	8	295	85	-6	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2036	27	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	348	313	74	10	2	6	28	82	4	11	2	237	306	342	649	105	298	24	8	293	84	-7	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2037	28	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	343	309	73	10	2	6	27	81	4	11	2	235	305	338	642	102	297	24	8	291	82	-7	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.5
2038	29	MLB CTX	TOR	58%	357	322	75	10	2	6	28	85	4	11	2	233	302	332	634	99	296	24	8	287	80	-9	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.4
2039	30	MLB CTX	TOR	60%	364	329	76	10	2	6	28	88	4	11	2	230	298	324	623	94	295	24	8	283	77	-10	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.2
2040	31	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	334	302	69	9	2	5	26	82	3	9	3	226	294	315	609	89	292	25	8	277	73	-11	+1	-2	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3896	3513	821	108	23	63	306	922	44	122	24	234	303	331	634	98	297	24	8	287	79	-93	+15	-4	+42	+84	4.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	138	18	4	11	51	154	7	20	4	235	304	336	641	101	299	24	8	287	79	-15	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	7259	6550	1528	199	43	112	570	1718	78	243	48	233	302	328	630	95	298	24	8	286	79	-174	+27	-7	+76	+154	7.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	137	18	4	10	51	154	7	22	4	233	302	329	631	95	298	24	8	286	79	-16	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.0	4,016	63	126	234	299	330	+43	+24	7.1	6.3
/162	664	10	21	+7.1	+4.0	1.2	pk7: 5
#3Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Pokey Reese'97-'04 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,138 PA	4.7	3,138	44	144	238*	292*	339*	+19	+41	4.0	4.7
/162	664	9	30	+4.0	+8.7	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Bill Cissell'28-'38 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,998 PA	6.0	3,998	29	113	240*	284*	363*	+27	+22	2.2	3.8
/162	664	5	19	+4.5	+3.7	0.4	pk7: 5
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sebastian Casanova (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	218/282/277	59	290	1	4	24%	7%	61	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dixon Machado 2010 · A	18	38→48	36→45	53→55	52	174/248/232	58	203	4	19	16%	8%	39	-3.1	199/255/242	43	252	2	17	20%	7%	42	-2.9	254/310/331	78	304	5	12	17%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Jose Paez 2012 · A	18	35	35→45	50	45	168/242/229	61	241	3	16	30%	8%	36	-3.4	205/255/285	80	282	4	12	27%	5%	53	-2.1	205/252/286	81	285	3	12	28%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Dashyll Tejeda 2024 · A	18	38	35→40	52→60	45	178/263/238	59	271	3	17	32%	9%	47	-2.6	195/280/265	70	269	4	38	26%	9%	59	-1.7	186/279/257	71	263	5	49	28%	10%	55	-0.7
✕Neyfy Castillo 2019 · A	18	35→33	35→45	54→55	42	170/240/227	57	247	3	16	31%	7%	35	-3.4	181/247/272	91	291	7	13	38%	7%	47	-2.5	173/246/300	127	303	15	16	45%	7%	52	-1.2
✕Brando Mayea 2024 · A	18	43	37→40	53→50	48	201/270/270	69	256	4	22	22%	8%	55	-1.9	205/267/275	70	313	5	19	34%	7%	55	-1.9	209/270/277	68	333	8	19	37%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Heiker Meneses 2010 · A	19	35→45	34→40	56→55	47	166/264/218	52	252	2	18	31%	9%	43	-2.8	207/263/280	73	304	4	18	31%	5%	55	-2.0	236/284/314	78	342	3	18	30%	4%	66	-0.8
✕Diego Infante 2018 · A	18	40→50	35→45	53→50	43	189/237/252	63	250	2	12	24%	6%	38	-3.2	194/238/262	68	291	3	10	32%	5%	40	-3.0	233/284/360	127	349	14	14	35%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	39	37→40	54→50	46	185/258/260	75	249	3	18	26%	8%	49	-2.4	204/270/286	82	298	5	9	31%	7%	59	-1.7	199/271/269	69	303	4	7	33%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	40→50	37→55	51→55	42	190/239/259	69	241	4	16	23%	5%	40	-3.0	201/251/309	108	253	10	14	24%	5%	57	-1.8	250/287/402	152	300	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	35→45	40→45	52→30	43	176/241/269	92	235	7	10	27%	7%	45	-2.7	192/242/291	99	291	9	7	36%	5%	49	-2.4	228/278/346	118	323	12	2	32%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Manuel Pena 2022 · A	18	38→48	38→50	50	45	187/249/259	72	249	5	15	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/254/287	83	304	5	9	32%	6%	53	-2.1	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Adrián Sanchez 2009 · A	18	40→48	36→45	52→50	45	189/242/255	66	228	3	14	19%	5%	41	-3.0	220/252/292	72	265	4	11	18%	3%	53	-2.1	245/278/342	97	288	7	15	17%	4%	72	-0.3
✕Alejandro Selen 2007 · A	18	38	35→50	51→30	44	178/255/240	62	263	2	11	30%	8%	44	-2.8	195/253/267	72	248	4	7	22%	6%	49	-2.4	220/256/360	140	315	15	1	34%	3%	68	-0.4
✕Joseph Tailor 2024 · A	18	40	36→45	53→50	39	191/248/254	63	287	4	14	33%	6%	43	-2.8	179/264/266	87	264	6	13	33%	6%	54	-2.0	141/246/232	90	206	6	17	32%	6%	38	-0.9
✕Esteban Mejia 2024 · A	19	39	36→40	55→50	41	188/242/257	68	263	3	15	28%	6%	41	-3.0	199/263/280	81	297	6	14	32%	7%	55	-1.9	196/265/273	77	287	7	15	32%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	38→48	37→50	51→50	46	184/251/255	71	245	5	16	26%	8%	45	-2.7	213/271/308	95	288	7	14	27%	7%	64	-1.3	228/292/360	132	326	11	7	31%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	36→43	37→45	52→60	51	173/263/245	72	222	4	13	23%	9%	49	-2.4	197/285/299	102	255	9	17	24%	9%	69	-0.9	197/288/299	102	260	10	24	26%	9%	68	-0.6
✕Chris Garia 2011 · A	18	37→47	35→40	52→60	46	175/242/227	53	228	2	19	24%	7%	35	-3.4	194/260/245	51	258	2	20	23%	7%	46	-2.6	233/273/343	109	307	8	32	26%	4%	68	-0.6
✕Wilfredo Tovar 2010 · A	18	40→50	35→40	49→60	44	188/234/253	65	225	2	15	17%	5%	37	-3.3	224/267/286	62	263	2	11	15%	5%	57	-1.8	264/316/335	71	296	3	13	11%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Angel Aponte 2018 · A	18	41	38→40	53→55	45	194/268/276	82	256	4	13	24%	7%	57	-1.8	195/257/280	85	262	6	19	26%	6%	53	-2.1	204/262/297	93	286	8	25	30%	6%	57	-0.7

Sebastian Casanova

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps