Endy Rios

SS DSL Padres Gold

Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 155 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL Padres Br…	116	.260/.357/.340	0	5	32	—	.173/.252/.221
2026	19	ROKDSL Padres Go…	163	.328/.421/.416	0	9	57	—	.217/.296/.266
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBSD	273	.214/.276/.293	2	5	61	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBSD	75	.215/.278/.302	1	2	67	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBSD	164	.219/.283/.314	2	4	71	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA73

K%68

wRC+66

Speed61

Z-Con%59

Whiff%53

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJose Escobar (age 19) · Raynel Delgado (age 21) · Jorge Ruiz (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .274 / .290

PA136

HR1

K%26

BB%7

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 56 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT56

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	100	93	18	4	1	0	6	26	0	3	3	194	242	258	500	65	265	26	6	227	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	116	100	26	4	2	0	12	21	3	5	3	260	357	340	697	80	329	18	10	319	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	163	137	45	8	2	0	21	29	1	9	3	328	421	416	837	88	417	18	13	372	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	100	95	12	2	1	0	4	33	0	3	3	126	162	168	330	42	180	33	4	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	116	104	18	3	1	0	8	25	3	5	3	173	252	221	473	48	222	22	7	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	163	143	31	5	1	0	15	35	1	9	3	217	296	266	561	49	282	21	9	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	100	95	12	2	1	0	4	33	0	3	3	126	162	168	330	42	190	33	4	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	100	93	18	4	1	0	6	26	0	3	3	194	242	258	500	65	265	26	6	227	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	116	104	18	3	1	0	8	25	3	5	3	173	252	221	473	48	228	22	7	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	116	100	26	4	2	0	12	21	3	5	3	260	357	340	697	80	329	18	10	319	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	163	143	31	5	1	0	15	35	1	9	3	217	296	266	561	49	287	21	9	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	163	137	45	8	2	0	21	29	1	9	3	328	421	416	837	88	417	18	13	372	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	100	96	12	2	1	0	4	33	0	3	3	125	162	167	328	42	180	33	4	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	116	104	18	3	1	0	8	25	3	5	3	173	252	221	473	48	222	22	7	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	163	146	31	5	1	0	15	35	1	9	3	212	296	260	556	48	282	21	9	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	100	96	12	2	1	0	4	33	0	3	3	125	162	167	328	42	180	33	4	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	116	104	18	3	1	0	8	25	3	5	3	173	252	221	473	48	222	22	7	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	163	146	31	5	1	0	15	35	1	9	3	212	296	260	556	48	282	21	9	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SD	0%	273	250	53	9	2	2	19	72	2	5	1	214	276	293	569	78	290	26	7	259	61	-13	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	SD	34%	217	198	43	7	2	2	15	56	2	4	1	219	282	307	589	89	291	26	7	267	67	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	SD	48%	339	309	69	12	3	4	24	87	3	7	2	222	286	319	605	97	292	26	7	274	71	-12	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	SD	54%	421	383	87	15	4	6	31	107	4	9	3	225	289	329	618	104	293	25	7	279	75	-13	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	SD	55%	477	434	99	17	4	8	35	120	5	11	3	228	292	337	629	109	294	25	7	283	78	-13	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	SD	56%	508	460	106	18	4	9	38	127	5	11	3	229	294	343	637	114	294	25	7	286	80	-12	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	SD	56%	525	476	109	19	4	9	39	131	5	11	3	229	294	344	638	115	294	25	7	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	SD	55%	532	482	110	19	4	9	40	134	5	11	3	228	293	341	634	113	293	25	8	285	79	-13	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2035	28	MLB MLE	SD	55%	532	482	110	19	4	9	40	135	5	11	3	226	291	337	628	110	293	25	8	283	78	-14	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.3
2036	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	524	475	107	18	4	8	39	134	5	10	3	224	289	331	620	107	292	26	7	279	75	-15	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	SD	53%	516	469	104	17	4	8	38	134	4	9	4	222	285	324	609	102	290	26	7	275	72	-17	+0	-2	+6	+11	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	SD	34%	75	69	15	2	1	1	5	19	1	2	0	215	278	302	580	87	286	25	7	264	67	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	SD	48%	164	149	32	5	1	2	12	42	2	4	1	219	283	314	597	95	287	26	7	270	71	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	SD	54%	228	207	45	7	2	3	17	58	2	5	1	222	286	324	610	102	288	25	7	276	75	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	SD	55%	264	240	54	9	2	4	19	66	3	6	2	224	289	332	621	108	289	25	7	280	78	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	SD	56%	284	258	58	9	2	5	21	71	3	6	2	225	291	338	628	112	289	25	7	283	80	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	SD	56%	295	268	60	10	2	5	22	74	3	6	2	226	291	339	630	113	288	25	7	283	80	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	SD	55%	294	267	60	10	2	5	22	74	3	6	2	225	290	336	626	112	288	25	7	282	79	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	SD	55%	292	265	59	10	2	5	22	74	3	6	2	223	288	332	620	109	287	25	8	280	78	-8	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.2
2036	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	280	255	57	9	2	5	21	72	2	5	2	221	286	326	612	105	286	26	8	276	75	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.0
2037	30	MLB CTX	SD	53%	271	247	54	9	2	4	20	70	2	5	2	218	282	319	601	101	285	26	7	272	72	-9	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2447	2225	494	80	18	39	181	620	24	51	16	222	288	327	614	105	289	25	7	278	73	-68	+4	-2	+26	+53	1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	131	21	5	10	48	165	6	14	4	222	286	325	611	103	289	25	7	278	73	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5106	4635	1031	175	41	73	375	1294	48	114	38	222	287	325	613	103	291	25	7	275	73	-135	+8	-4	+51	+102	2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	130	22	5	9	48	165	6	15	5	220	286	320	606	100	289	25	7	275	73	-19	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.9	2,585	40	53	226	287	333	+28	+18	2.9	2.9
/162	664	10	14	+7.1	+4.6	0.8	pk7: 3
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Endy Rios (OGILVIE)	20	51→56	28→33	51→56	55	213/274/290	77	290	1	3	26%	7%	61	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Raynel Delgado 2021 · A	21	47→56	37→40	50→60	42	220/272/295	75	312	4	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	203/267/292	89	295	7	14	31%	7%	59	-1.6	246/311/338	92	338	7	32	27%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Jorge Ruiz 2024 · A	20	54→52	38→40	51→50	45	252/308/336	85	308	4	12	19%	6%	84	+0.2	226/274/301	75	294	4	13	23%	5%	63	-1.3	220/267/292	72	284	3	13	23%	5%	56	-1.5
✕Magneuris Sierra 2016 · A	20	48→58	36→40	50→60	39	227/265/293	66	305	4	13	26%	5%	57	-1.8	245/275/313	68	324	3	16	24%	4%	65	-1.2	231/275/306	76	302	5	32	24%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Tayden Hall 2023 · A	20	48→49	38→40	50	45	222/290/308	86	313	4	6	28%	8%	71	-0.8	212/308/278	66	294	3	7	25%	11%	72	-0.7	187/301/283	96	257	7	9	27%	13%	70	-0.5
✕Tzu-Wei Lin 2014 · A	20	45→51	36→45	48→50	43	209/269/278	70	308	3	8	31%	7%	56	-1.9	216/267/279	63	273	2	11	20%	7%	55	-1.9	241/294/348	107	314	8	10	24%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Logan Watkins 2010 · A	20	50→54	36→45	50→55	48	230/308/299	69	324	3	7	28%	9%	76	-0.4	236/298/320	84	319	3	14	25%	8%	76	-0.4	243/309/335	93	320	4	17	24%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Marcus Lemon 2008 · A	20	50→55	38→40	46→45	47	233/301/319	86	310	3	10	24%	8%	78	-0.3	248/302/338	90	307	5	8	20%	6%	82	-0.0	254/303/338	84	308	4	7	18%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42	36→45	47→45	43	198/274/269	70	273	3	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	204/306/321	117	276	13	6	29%	9%	82	+0.0	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Matt Cerda 2010 · A	20	43→53	38→40	50→40	46	207/264/285	78	263	6	6	23%	7%	56	-1.9	239/314/318	79	300	3	4	19%	10%	82	+0.0	241/325/315	74	303	3	4	19%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2011 · A	20	54→59	36→40	54→55	45	251/301/319	68	321	2	17	22%	6%	77	-0.3	254/308/346	92	329	4	24	22%	7%	86	+0.3	240/297/328	88	314	4	25	23%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Tyler Wade 2015 · A	20	53→58	35→45	49→60	43	241/298/306	65	344	2	12	29%	7%	73	-0.6	246/301/323	77	327	4	20	24%	7%	78	-0.3	238/306/337	99	319	7	34	26%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Petey Halpin 2022 · A	20	49	39→45	49→50	42	231/284/328	97	320	4	13	28%	6%	73	-0.6	226/285/333	107	314	8	13	29%	7%	75	-0.5	219/281/331	112	301	10	13	29%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→56	37→40	56→55	45	224/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	70	-0.9	206/266/261	55	280	1	18	25%	7%	51	-2.3	246/312/318	73	319	3	11	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Thomas Milone 2015 · A	20	41→46	36→45	51→55	38	195/248/268	73	295	3	10	33%	6%	46	-2.6	200/255/265	65	287	3	13	29%	6%	48	-2.5	237/293/355	117	331	8	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Jean Carlos Sio 2024 · A	20	41→51	36→45	51→50	51	192/268/258	66	238	4	13	20%	9%	52	-2.2	221/300/315	94	287	8	11	24%	8%	78	-0.3	224/303/331	107	289	11	12	25%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Edgar Rondon 2016 · A	21	46	37→40	52→50	48	213/291/294	80	278	3	12	23%	8%	69	-0.9	206/275/275	69	326	3	10	34%	7%	59	-1.7	169/246/196	27	334	0	12	45%	7%	28	-0.7
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	42→52	38→50	52→50	44	203/259/282	79	268	5	14	25%	7%	53	-2.1	228/290/353	125	327	10	8	31%	7%	82	-0.0	228/292/360	132	326	11	7	31%	7%	81	-0.1
✕José Tena 2021 · A	20	45→55	36→45	50→55	38	213/250/285	72	290	3	9	27%	4%	50	-2.3	233/274/354	121	341	11	9	33%	5%	76	-0.4	252/310/371	119	358	10	21	31%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2023 · A	20	46	37→45	47→55	56	216/300/287	72	267	3	12	19%	11%	71	-0.8	208/277/303	95	322	9	15	35%	8%	65	-1.2	191/260/285	94	305	11	18	38%	8%	53	-0.8

Endy Rios

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps