Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 180 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 91% | 4.2 | 13.2% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 1.6% | 2.70 | 3.46 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 180 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 91% | 4.2 | 19.4% | 3.9% | 15.6% | 1.1% | 2.70 | 2.61 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 179 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 3.8 | 12.5% | 11.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 5.40 | 5.02 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 179 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 3.8 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 2.2% | 5.40 | 3.99 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 76 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 38% | 1.9 | 11.6% | 11.5% | 0.1% | 1.8% | 9.60 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | DET | 23 | 0 | 24 | 103 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.8% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.43 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | DET | — | — | 40 | 179 | 36 | 16 | 4 | — | — | 19.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 2.3% | 6.39 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 26 | 109 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 4.3 | 22.3% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | DET | 3 | 3 | 13 | 55 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 4.3 | 22.3% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.31 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 13 | 53 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 4.2 | 22.3% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 3.93 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 43 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 79 | 32 | 100% | 4.6 | 22.3% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 29 | 23 | 100 | 435 | 55 | 38 | 9 | 79% | 3.4 | 12.7% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 4.77 | 4.30 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 46 | 200 | 870 | 110 | 75 | 19 | 79% | 3.4 | 12.7% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 4.77 | 4.30 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Franyerson Reyes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 21.8% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.31 | 22.3% | 13.5% | 26 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Edwin Jimenez R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.12 | 19.3% | 8.9% | 2.8% | .330 | 4.67 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 277 | +0.55 | 4.12 | 386 | 89 |
| Luis Arejula R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.46 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.0% | .318 | 4.42 | 15.7% | 3.5% | 71 | +0.96 | 3.46 | 115 | 86 |
| Sheng-En Lin R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.58 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .223 | 4.19 | 17.8% | 3.4% | 61 | +0.61 | 3.58 | 108 | 85 |
| Kyle Glogoski R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.46 | 19.9% | 8.5% | 1.7% | .277 | 3.92 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 93 | +0.46 | 3.43 | 206 | 84 |
| Ramon Marquez R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.98 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .331 | 3.00 | 30.4% | 19.8% | 49 | -0.98 | 3.00 | 104 | 82 |
| Alejandro Rivera R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.30 | 24.1% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 116 | 82 |
| Porter Hodge R 2027 · 4.18 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.18 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .336 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 249 | -0.78 | 2.98 | 349 | 82 |
| Juan Bello R 2025 · 3.83 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.83 | 18.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .256 | 3.93 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 155 | +0.10 | 3.83 | 187 | 82 |
| Miguel Díaz R 2027 · 3.40 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.3% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .365 | 4.50 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 233 | +1.10 | 2.22 | 573 | 82 |
| Moises Castillo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 65 | -0.50 | 3.77 | 101 | 81 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2028 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 81 |
| Carlos Jimenez R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.11 | 20.6% | 12.9% | 2.0% | .274 | 5.12 | 20.4% | -0.0% | 141 | +1.01 | 4.07 | 257 | 81 |
| Jordany Ventura R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.08 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 219 | 81 |
| Chad Donato R 2029 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 80 |
| Jose Montero R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.77 | 20.8% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .377 | 3.97 | 15.8% | 4.6% | 234 | +0.20 | 3.77 | 342 | 80 |
| David Lorduy R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.19 | 20.4% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .267 | 4.41 | 16.6% | 6.9% | 155 | +0.22 | 3.33 | 241 | 80 |
| Dario Gardea R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.46 | 18.6% | 8.7% | 1.5% | .250 | 3.51 | 19.5% | 12.4% | 50 | +0.05 | 3.12 | 205 | 80 |
| Andry Rondon R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.46 | 19.8% | 8.2% | 1.8% | .283 | 3.98 | 15.6% | 1.1% | 49 | +0.52 | 3.26 | 105 | 80 |
| Marco Raya R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.77 | 21.4% | 10.3% | 4.0% | .250 | 4.47 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 254 | -0.30 | 3.83 | 358 | 80 |
| Miguel Rondon R 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.47 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .361 | 8.04 | 18.1% | 2.1% | 88 | +3.57 | 2.62 | 179 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 25 | 22.1% | 9.0% | 1.13 | 4.39 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |