Santiago Rojas

P FCL Twins

Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKMIN	2	0	2	0.00	3.60	14.3%	14.3%	—	K 14.3% · BB 14.3% · FIP 3.70
2026	19	ROKMIN	12	2	30	5.16	6.00	28.4%	17.7%	—	K 19.3% · BB 22.2% · FIP 8.09
2027PROJ	20	MLBMIN	65	0	68	5.86	5.86	22.3%	20.0%	-1.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBMIN	33	0	35	5.49	5.35	23.5%	17.1%	-0.3
2029PROJ73% MLB	22	MLBMIN	52	0	55	5.12	4.92	24.9%	14.9%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -1.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff60Command40FB velo50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsRyan Cardona (age 22) · Moisés Chace (age 20) · Hunter Parks (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144136vR 128

ERA5.86

FIP5.86

K%22.3%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%2.3%

Proj IP68

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5060

CMD2040

K†5565

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	11	10	40	179	41	27	3	91%	3.7	15.6%	18.9%	-3.3%	2.5%	4.02	5.54	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	11	10	40	179	41	27	3	91%	3.7	15.6%	18.9%	-3.3%	2.5%	4.02	5.54	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	11	10	40	179	41	27	3	91%	3.7	22.9%	15.1%	7.8%	1.7%	4.02	4.04	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	2	0	2	7	1	1	0	0%	1.0	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.70	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	2	0	2	7	1	1	0	0%	1.0	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.70	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	2	0	2	7	1	1	0	0%	1.0	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.60	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	12	2	30	141	40	25	7	17%	2.5	19.3%	22.2%	-2.9%	7.0%	5.16	8.09	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	12	2	30	141	40	25	7	17%	2.5	19.3%	22.2%	-2.9%	7.0%	5.16	8.09	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	12	2	30	141	40	25	7	17%	2.5	28.4%	17.7%	10.6%	5.0%	5.16	6.00	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	MIN	65	0	68	287	64	57	9	0%	1.0	22.3%	20.0%	2.3%	3.1%	5.86	5.86	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIN	68	0	72	302	71	52	9	0%	1.1	23.5%	17.1%	6.3%	3.1%	5.49	5.35	-0.6
2029	22	MLB MLE	MIN	72	0	75	318	79	47	10	0%	1.0	24.9%	14.9%	9.9%	3.0%	5.12	4.92	-0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	MIN	74	0	78	329	85	44	10	0%	1.1	25.7%	13.5%	12.2%	3.0%	4.83	4.65	-0.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	MIN	76	0	80	337	88	42	10	0%	1.1	26.2%	12.6%	13.6%	2.9%	4.61	4.47	+0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	MIN	77	0	81	342	91	41	10	0%	1.1	26.6%	12.0%	14.6%	2.9%	4.46	4.35	+0.2
2033	26	MLB MLE	MIN	77	0	81	342	92	41	10	0%	1.1	26.8%	11.9%	14.9%	2.9%	4.38	4.33	+0.2
2034	27	MLB MLE	MIN	76	0	80	337	97	38	10	0%	1.0	28.8%	11.2%	17.6%	3.0%	4.21	4.10	+0.4
2035	28	MLB MLE	MIN	74	0	77	326	94	37	10	0%	1.0	28.7%	11.4%	17.3%	3.1%	4.19	4.18	+0.3
2036	29	MLB MLE	MIN	70	0	74	312	89	36	10	0%	1.1	28.4%	11.6%	16.9%	3.2%	4.26	4.31	+0.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	MIN	66	0	69	293	82	35	10	0%	1.1	28.1%	11.9%	16.2%	3.4%	4.40	4.49	+0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIN	33	0	35	148	35	25	5	0%	1.1	23.5%	17.1%	6.3%	3.1%	5.49	5.35	-0.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	MIN	52	0	55	232	58	35	7	0%	1.1	24.9%	14.9%	9.9%	3.0%	5.12	4.92	-0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	MIN	63	0	66	279	72	38	8	0%	1.0	25.7%	13.5%	12.2%	3.0%	4.83	4.65	-0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	MIN	68	0	71	300	79	38	9	0%	1.0	26.2%	12.6%	13.6%	2.9%	4.61	4.47	+0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	MIN	70	0	74	312	83	37	9	0%	1.1	26.6%	12.0%	14.6%	2.9%	4.46	4.35	+0.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	MIN	71	0	75	317	85	38	9	0%	1.1	26.8%	11.9%	14.9%	2.9%	4.38	4.33	+0.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	MIN	72	0	76	321	92	36	10	0%	1.1	28.8%	11.2%	17.6%	3.0%	4.21	4.10	+0.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	MIN	70	0	73	308	88	35	9	0%	1.0	28.7%	11.4%	17.3%	3.1%	4.19	4.18	+0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	MIN	67	0	70	296	84	34	10	0%	1.0	28.4%	11.6%	16.9%	3.2%	4.26	4.31	+0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	MIN	63	0	66	279	78	33	10	0%	1.0	28.1%	11.9%	16.2%	3.4%	4.40	4.49	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		630	0	662	2794	755	349	85	0%	1.1	27.0%	12.5%	14.5%	3.0%	4.53	4.07	+3.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	228	105	26	0%	1.1	27.0%	12.5%	14.5%	3.0%	4.53	4.07	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		25	12	72	327	56	66	14	48%	2.9	17.1%	20.2%	-3.0%	4.4%	4.38	6.60	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		69	33	200	908	156	183	40	48%	2.9	17.1%	20.2%	-3.0%	4.4%	4.38	6.60	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Santiago Rojas (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.86	22.3%	20.0%	3.1%	—	4.96	24.7%	9.6%	225	-0.90	—	—	—
Ryan Cardona R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	22	SW	5.07	20.9%	17.7%	2.7%	.274	4.27	18.5%	4.3%	292	-0.80	3.62	367	87
Moisés Chace R 2023 · 5.51 FIP	20	SW	5.51	24.5%	20.7%	3.4%	.277	4.38	27.5%	13.2%	97	-1.13	3.77	247	86
Hunter Parks R 2022 · 5.17 FIP	21	SP-	5.17	18.7%	16.8%	2.8%	.312	5.23	17.7%	-0.3%	163	+0.06	4.42	301	82
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.71	17.6%	1.2%	150	+0.03	4.54	203	81
Ignacio Feliz R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SW	4.80	18.8%	16.4%	2.2%	.256	4.37	25.1%	10.0%	166	-0.43	2.62	328	80
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	80
Jaydenn Estanista R 2022 · 5.61 FIP	20	SW	5.61	20.2%	16.9%	3.8%	.172	5.14	20.6%	2.4%	123	-0.47	4.59	230	79
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	79
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	79
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SW	5.28	17.7%	15.0%	3.2%	.300	5.89	16.6%	1.2%	33	+0.61	3.34	129	79
James McArthur R 2019 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	18.8%	15.5%	2.9%	.304	4.41	20.0%	10.7%	131	-0.63	3.48	352	79
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	79
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	78
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	77
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	77
Rodolfo Sanchez R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	23.0%	13.6%	3.3%	.264	4.83	19.9%	6.3%	104	+0.12	3.59	255	77
Jhonatan Munoz R 2021 · 5.85 FIP	21	SW	5.85	20.2%	16.7%	4.2%	.296	5.54	16.7%	4.5%	55	-0.31	3.56	254	76
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	76
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	76
Yeury Tatiz R 2021 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	17.4%	15.6%	3.5%	.295	5.10	13.0%	-1.0%	100	-0.44	3.73	221	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.2	76	26.4%	13.4%	1.18	4.69
Tim Stoddard ('75-'89, 4 WAR*)	3.6	66	26.2%*	11.2%*	1.14*	4.24*
Eric Plunk ('86-'99, 11 WAR*)	5.8	82	27.6%*	12.1%*	1.06*	3.83*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Juan Cruz ('12)	3.3	60	23.1%	12.1%	0.92	4.05
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Amir Garrett ('24)	1.7	55	26.7%	13.3%	1.52	4.95