Gabriel Guanchez

C DSL Mariners

Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 196 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKSEA	172	.227/.322/.460	8	0	28	—	.135/.216/.258
2026	19	ROKSEA	121	.299/.419/.464	3	0	56	—	.176/.282/.245
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBSEA	231	.192/.256/.284	3	2	53	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBSEA	65	.197/.262/.302	1	1	61	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBSEA	154	.203/.269/.319	3	2	67	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA71

ISO71

wRC+70

BB%45

K%41

Chase%34

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJoe DeCarlo (age 20) · Cam Gallagher (age 20) · Jose Cordoba (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 102 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .254 / .281

PA102

HR1

K%30

BB%7

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	145	131	28	7	0	1	10	51	3	0	0	214	285	290	575	76	338	35	7	264	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	172	150	34	11	0	8	18	46	3	0	0	227	322	460	782	233	268	27	10	344	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	121	97	29	7	0	3	18	28	2	0	0	299	419	464	883	165	371	23	15	384	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	145	133	18	4	0	0	8	62	3	0	0	135	201	165	367	30	245	43	6	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	172	155	21	7	0	4	13	56	3	0	0	135	216	258	474	123	174	33	8	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	121	102	18	4	0	1	13	34	2	0	0	176	282	245	527	69	229	28	11	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	145	133	18	4	0	0	8	62	3	0	0	135	201	165	367	30	250	43	6	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	145	131	28	7	0	1	10	51	3	0	0	214	285	290	575	76	338	35	7	264	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	172	155	21	7	0	4	13	56	3	0	0	135	216	258	474	123	177	33	8	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	172	150	34	11	0	8	18	46	3	0	0	227	322	460	782	233	268	27	10	344	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	121	102	18	4	0	1	13	34	2	0	0	176	282	245	527	69	239	28	11	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	121	97	29	7	0	3	18	28	2	0	0	299	419	464	883	165	371	23	15	384	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	145	133	18	4	0	0	8	62	3	0	0	135	201	165	367	30	245	43	6	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	172	154	21	7	0	4	13	56	3	0	0	136	216	260	476	123	174	33	8	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	121	105	18	4	0	1	13	34	2	0	0	171	282	238	520	67	229	28	11	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	145	133	18	4	0	0	8	62	3	0	0	135	201	165	367	30	245	43	6	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	172	154	21	7	0	4	13	56	3	0	0	136	216	260	476	123	174	33	8	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	121	105	18	4	0	1	13	34	2	0	0	171	282	238	520	67	229	28	11	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	231	211	40	8	1	3	16	69	2	2	1	192	256	284	540	92	266	30	7	246	53	-13	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	188	171	34	7	1	3	13	55	2	2	1	199	264	306	570	107	268	29	7	258	61	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	317	287	60	11	2	7	23	91	4	3	2	205	271	324	594	119	271	29	7	268	67	-12	-0	+0	+6	+7	0.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	405	368	77	14	2	10	29	115	5	4	2	209	276	338	614	129	273	28	7	276	73	-13	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	464	422	90	17	2	12	34	130	5	5	2	214	280	350	630	137	275	28	7	282	77	-13	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2032	25	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	498	452	98	18	3	14	37	138	6	5	2	217	284	359	643	143	277	28	7	287	81	-12	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2033	26	MLB MLE	SEA	56%	517	468	103	19	3	15	38	143	6	5	3	217	284	364	648	146	276	28	7	289	82	-11	-0	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2034	27	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	520	471	103	19	3	15	38	145	6	5	3	216	283	361	644	145	276	28	7	288	81	-12	-0	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2035	28	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	520	472	101	19	2	14	38	146	5	4	3	214	281	356	637	142	275	28	7	285	79	-13	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.7
2036	29	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	519	471	99	18	2	14	38	147	5	4	4	212	278	350	628	138	273	28	7	281	76	-15	-1	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2037	30	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	510	463	97	18	2	13	37	146	5	3	5	209	275	342	617	133	271	29	7	277	73	-16	-1	-2	+9	+11	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	65	59	11	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	197	262	302	564	105	266	29	8	256	61	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	154	140	28	5	1	3	11	44	2	2	1	203	269	319	588	117	269	29	7	265	67	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	220	200	42	8	1	5	16	62	2	2	1	207	274	333	607	126	271	28	7	273	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	257	233	48	9	1	6	19	72	3	3	1	211	278	345	623	134	273	28	7	279	77	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	279	253	54	10	1	8	21	77	3	3	1	214	281	354	635	139	274	28	8	284	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	SEA	56%	291	265	56	10	1	8	21	81	3	3	1	215	282	358	640	143	274	28	7	286	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	288	262	55	10	1	8	21	80	3	3	2	214	281	355	636	141	273	28	7	285	81	-7	-0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	285	259	55	10	1	8	21	80	3	2	2	212	279	351	630	139	272	28	7	282	79	-7	-0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	277	252	53	10	1	7	20	78	3	2	2	210	276	345	621	135	271	28	7	278	76	-8	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	268	244	50	9	1	7	19	77	3	2	3	207	273	337	610	130	269	29	7	274	73	-9	-1	-1	+5	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2384	2167	452	83	9	61	174	670	26	23	14	209	275	340	615	131	271	28	7	279	72	-66	-1	-2	+43	+52	2.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	124	23	2	17	47	183	7	6	4	210	276	342	617	132	272	28	7	279	72	-18	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4998	4528	938	179	23	123	366	1438	58	41	27	207	275	338	613	131	272	29	7	274	72	-131	-3	-4	+81	+99	4.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	122	23	3	16	48	187	8	5	4	207	276	338	614	131	272	29	7	274	72	-19	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bateman'63-'72 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,585 PA	5.4	3,585	81	10	229*	274*	381*	+64	+0	8.2	8.5
/162	664	15	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 9
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.7	2,485	64	23	213	276	349	+44	+24	4.1	4.0
/162	664	17	6	+11.9	+6.4	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Guanchez (OGILVIE)	20	30	55	35	40	190/254/281	91	266	1	1	30%	7%	53	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joe DeCarlo 2014 · A	20	39→38	42→50	41→30	41	185/265/289	103	303	9	3	39%	8%	59	-1.7	188/272/295	107	292	10	2	36%	8%	63	-1.3	191/272/338	147	261	18	1	32%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Cam Gallagher 2013 · A	20	40	40→45	40→30	44	196/241/286	90	235	8	4	20%	5%	48	-2.5	201/254/291	90	231	7	2	16%	6%	54	-2.0	215/276/319	104	267	9	0	22%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	44→55	40	185/250/278	93	262	9	9	32%	6%	50	-2.3	205/259/296	91	278	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Payton Henry 2017 · A	20	44→32	36→45	45→30	39	207/265/280	74	298	3	5	30%	5%	56	-1.9	186/252/288	102	315	10	3	41%	6%	53	-2.1	244/299/348	104	334	12	0	29%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Alex Jackson 2016 · A	20	38	38→60	45→30	34	182/240/264	82	297	5	5	38%	5%	43	-2.8	196/255/328	132	297	14	3	37%	5%	63	-1.3	173/252/371	198	240	29	2	40%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Alejandro Flores 2016 · A	20	36	39→50	45→40	43	179/246/260	81	255	6	5	31%	8%	45	-2.7	204/264/306	102	299	8	6	32%	7%	61	-1.5	206/261/337	132	279	11	4	29%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Castro 2019 · A	20	39→42	44→55	47→50	37	198/240/315	117	272	11	5	31%	5%	54	-2.0	203/245/352	149	282	17	6	33%	5%	65	-1.2	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Agustín Ramírez 2022 · A	20	36→46	43→55	43→55	40	184/244/295	111	273	10	4	35%	7%	51	-2.2	225/286/365	140	284	15	12	25%	7%	84	+0.1	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Anderson De Los Santos 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	43→50	40	192/247/282	89	269	7	8	30%	6%	49	-2.4	183/261/280	97	274	9	12	34%	9%	55	-1.9	173/266/275	101	253	10	13	33%	10%	53	-1.5
✕Freuddy Batista 2019 · A	19	36	40→50	45→40	43	179/248/267	88	250	7	4	30%	7%	47	-2.5	187/244/294	107	279	10	5	35%	6%	51	-2.2	195/262/337	142	285	14	5	35%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Deivy Grullón 2017 · A	21	44→45	42→55	38→30	37	215/257/318	103	300	10	2	31%	5%	61	-1.5	233/271/374	141	313	17	2	30%	5%	80	-0.2	236/277/397	161	310	22	0	31%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Rodolfo Durán 2018 · A	20	43	41→50	46→45	39	212/254/309	97	284	9	6	28%	5%	57	-1.8	212/248/354	142	283	18	3	31%	4%	66	-1.1	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Gabriel Lino 2013 · A	20	39	42→40	42→30	40	192/251/295	103	271	9	4	32%	6%	55	-2.0	197/247/290	93	302	8	3	35%	5%	51	-2.3	206/255/293	86	293	6	0	30%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Cristian Santana 2024 · A	20	30→20	43→45	43→45	51	156/285/259	103	241	11	8	36%	12%	63	-1.4	160/286/290	130	238	16	6	37%	13%	70	-0.9	140/273/279	139	188	20	5	36%	13%	62	-0.8
✕Julian Leon 2016 · A	20	40	43→45	41→30	36	197/254/304	107	296	11	2	36%	6%	58	-1.7	194/259/311	117	313	13	2	40%	7%	61	-1.5	181/262/310	129	285	17	0	40%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Enderson Delgado 2024 · A	19	32	38→45	44→30	42	160/240/231	71	233	6	5	32%	7%	36	-3.3	187/268/277	90	268	8	4	31%	7%	57	-1.8	177/262/262	85	246	8	2	29%	7%	51	-0.7
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	36→44	40→50	47→50	46	175/264/271	96	263	7	8	34%	10%	55	-2.0	204/267/339	135	290	14	10	33%	7%	70	-0.8	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Marco Guzman 2015 · A	20	38	37→50	44→50	51	181/256/254	72	222	4	7	20%	8%	47	-2.6	202/251/280	78	244	4	7	18%	6%	50	-2.3	218/259/314	97	279	5	8	23%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	174/218/258	84	255	7	7	34%	5%	32	-3.6	190/226/284	94	268	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4

Gabriel Guanchez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps