Evan Estevez

OF ACL Giants
Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 213 lbs ROK HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202416ROKDSL Giants Bl…179.290/.375/.3872637—.188/.261/.238
202517ROKDSL Giants Bl…215.263/.383/.43641240—.161/.248/.255
202618ROKSF221.239/.347/.4107324—.141/.219/.236
2027PROJMLE19MLBSF331.189/.259/.2814653-0.4
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLBSF57.191/.263/.2901160-0.2
Next 2 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO74
Chase%59
Speed51
wRC+37
BB%34
wOBA30
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsJean Selmo (age 18) · George Feliz (age 19) · Roni Cabrera (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 118 proj PA
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .257 / .279
PA118
HR2
K%33
BB%8
ISO93
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.4-0.22728
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202416 ROKDSL Giants Black — 179155 45522 19552 63 290375387762 97426 3111 341 37 — — — — — —
202517 ROKDSL Giants Black — 215179 471334 31604 124 263383436819 173371 2814 367 40 — — — — — —
202618 ROKACL Giants — 221188 45537 29842 32 239347410757 170388 3813 338 24 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202416 ROK MLEDSL Giants Black — 179160 30311 14692 63 188261237499 50294 398 223 37 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Giants Black — 215192 31822 18734 124 161248255503 94238 348 227 40 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEACL Giants — 221199 28324 181212 32 141219236455 95300 558 203 24 — — — — — —
202416 ROK MLEDSL Giants Black — 179160 30311 14692 63 188261237499 50312 398 223 37 — — — — — —
202416 ROK RAWDSL Giants Black — 179155 45522 19552 63 290375387762 97426 3111 341 37 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Giants Black — 215192 31822 18734 124 161248255503 94246 348 227 40 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Giants Black — 215179 471334 31604 124 263383436819 173371 2814 367 40 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEACL Giants — 221199 28324 181212 32 141219236455 95320 558 203 24 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAWACL Giants — 221188 45537 29842 32 239347410757 170388 3813 338 24 — — — — — —
202416 ROK MLEDSL Giants Black — 179161 30311 14692 63 186261236497 50294 398 223 37 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Giants Black — 215191 31822 18734 124 162248257504 94238 348 227 40 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEACL Giants — 221199 28324 181212 32 141219236455 95300 558 203 24 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202416 ROK MLEDSL Giants Black — 179161 30311 14692 63 186261236497 50294 398 223 37 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Giants Black — 215191 31822 18734 124 162248257504 94238 348 227 40 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEACL Giants — 221199 28324 181212 32 141219236455 95300 558 203 24 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLESF 0% 331300 561024 251083 62 189259281540 93274 338 247 53 -18 +0 +0 -2 +7 -0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLESF 34% 166150 29513 13532 31 195266298564 103276 328 257 60 -8 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.5
202820 MLB CTXSF 34% 5752 10201 4181 10 191263290553 99273 327 253 60 -3 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5752 10201 4181 10 192263288552 96273 327 253 41 -3 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650593 11423011 4620511 110 192263287550 94273 327 253 41 -31 +2 +0 -4 +14 -1.9
Career— MLE — 899808 13923712 7235411 2611 172249262512 90283 398 228 41 -14 +0 +0 -2 +6 -1.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 1011759 522568 198 173250265515 92284 398 228 41 -33 +0 +0 -4 +14 -2.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Giants · 221 PAwOBA .331 → .203 (−128)K% 38.0% → 54.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA38.01%÷1.000×1.440——54.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.12%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0088.20%
HBP% /PA0.90%—×0.720—×1.0080.66%
Singles /BIP28.85%÷1.000×0.820×0.980×1.00823.34%
Doubles /BIP4.81%÷1.000×0.720×0.980×1.0083.42%
Triples /BIP2.88%÷1.000×0.720×0.980×1.0082.05%
Home runs /BIP6.73%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0085.29%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .331 → .203; ISO .170 → .100; BABIP .388 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Giants Black · 215 PAwOBA .355 → .227 (−128)K% 27.9% → 33.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.91%÷1.007×1.220——33.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.02%÷1.075×0.700—×1.0088.54%
HBP% /PA1.86%—×0.700—×1.0081.31%
Singles /BIP22.69%÷1.014×0.680×1.011×1.00815.50%
Doubles /BIP10.92%÷1.014×0.600×1.011×1.0086.59%
Triples /BIP2.52%÷0.974×0.600×1.011×1.0081.58%
Home runs /BIP3.36%÷1.022×0.470—×1.0081.56%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 95, K 101, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .355 → .227; ISO .173 → .098; BABIP .371 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Giants Black · 179 PAwOBA .339 → .223 (−116)K% 30.7% → 38.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.73%÷0.977×1.220——38.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.61%÷0.971×0.700—×1.0227.82%
HBP% /PA1.12%—×0.700—×1.0220.80%
Singles /BIP36.00%÷0.982×0.680×1.021×1.02226.01%
Doubles /BIP5.00%÷1.057×0.600×1.021×1.0222.96%
Triples /BIP2.00%÷1.127×0.600×1.021×1.0221.11%
Home runs /BIP2.00%÷1.092×0.470—×1.0220.88%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 96, 2B 111, 3B 125, K 95, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .339 → .223; ISO .097 → .048; BABIP .426 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).