Gilberto Lopez
P
ACL Rangers
Age 22
RHP
6'1" / 175 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 45 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130121vR 112
ERA4.92
FIP4.92
K%18.2%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%7.2%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rangers Blue | 10 | 0 | 32 | 150 | 39 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 3.2 | 17.7% | 16.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 4.73 | 4.63 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rangers Blue | 10 | 0 | 32 | 150 | 39 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 3.2 | 26.0% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 1.3% | 4.73 | 3.35 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 11 | 8 | 49 | 206 | 56 | 15 | 3 | 73% | 4.5 | 18.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 1.3% | 3.12 | 3.43 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 11 | 8 | 49 | 206 | 56 | 15 | 3 | 73% | 4.5 | 27.2% | 7.3% | 19.9% | 1.5% | 3.12 | 2.53 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 13 | 0 | 24 | 115 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 14.2% | 13.0% | 1.1% | 6.1% | 8.25 | 6.89 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | TEX | 42 | 0 | 45 | 188 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 4.92 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.2% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 4.92 | 4.92 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 69 | 303 | 58 | 33 | 10 | — | — | 19.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 6.09 | 5.61 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TEX | 44 | 0 | 46 | 195 | 38 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.76 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 45 | 0 | 48 | 201 | 41 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 4.63 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 42 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 43 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.48 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TEX | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.76 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 4.63 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 34 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 37 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.48 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 130 | 0 | 137 | 578 | 119 | 56 | 16 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.58 | 4.14 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 174 | 82 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.58 | 4.14 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 34 | 8 | 105 | 471 | 81 | 59 | 12 | 24% | 3.1 | 17.2% | 12.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 4.78 | 4.66 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 15 | 200 | 894 | 154 | 112 | 23 | 24% | 3.1 | 17.2% | 12.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 4.78 | 4.66 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gilberto Lopez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.92 | 18.2% | 11.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.58 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 142 | -0.34 | — | — | — |
| A.J. Bogucki R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.95 | 15.5% | 8.4% | 2.0% | .308 | 4.30 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 87 | +0.35 | 3.95 | 142 | 87 |
| Yunior Montero R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.82 | 16.9% | 14.1% | 2.5% | .276 | 4.59 | 21.5% | 6.2% | 91 | -0.23 | 3.60 | 127 | 86 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 86 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2028 · 4.29 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.29 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 5.23 | 16.8% | 4.6% | 91 | +0.94 | 4.03 | 161 | 85 |
| Hunter Hayes R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.52 | 13.3% | 9.7% | 2.4% | .307 | 4.64 | 16.7% | 4.2% | 149 | +0.12 | 3.33 | 210 | 84 |
| Ben Anderson R 2027 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 84 |
| Jake Christianson R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.92 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 1.9% | .309 | 4.78 | 16.4% | 6.1% | 105 | +0.86 | 3.92 | 188 | 84 |
| Nick Gallagher R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.14 | 17.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .310 | 4.49 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 90 | +0.35 | 4.09 | 196 | 83 |
| Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2028 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.34 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 2.4% | .341 | 4.64 | 15.7% | 4.0% | 343 | +0.30 | 3.76 | 467 | 83 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2029 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 83 |
| Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.91 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 3.5% | .354 | 3.46 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 89 | -1.45 | 3.06 | 165 | 83 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.78 | 15.4% | 8.7% | 3.4% | .310 | 5.84 | 16.6% | 1.7% | 52 | +1.06 | 4.59 | 120 | 82 |
| Joan Gregorio R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.56 | 18.0% | 10.2% | 3.1% | .269 | 4.23 | 21.1% | 11.1% | 208 | -0.33 | 3.60 | 301 | 82 |
| Kyle Smith R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.75 | 14.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .326 | 3.33 | 15.2% | 9.5% | 76 | -1.42 | 3.33 | 159 | 82 |
| Nick Lockhart R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.67 | 16.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 140 | 82 |
| Tai Tiedemann R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 1.6% | .305 | 5.99 | 9.8% | -0.2% | 118 | +2.25 | 3.74 | 190 | 82 |
| David Perez R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.1% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .292 | 5.13 | 15.6% | 1.9% | 67 | +1.20 | 3.93 | 151 | 82 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 81 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 19.5% | 14.2% | 1.7% | .287 | 4.49 | 19.3% | 10.3% | 169 | +0.28 | 3.81 | 233 | 81 |
| Jack Carey R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.47 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .333 | 4.39 | 19.5% | 8.2% | 156 | -0.08 | 3.71 | 250 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 47 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 1.10 | 4.66 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |