Junior Cerda
P Hillsboro Hops| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | ROKACL D-backs R… | 13 | 1 | 40 | 2.92 | 4.03 | 24.8% | 10.9% | — | K 16.9% · BB 13.6% · FIP 5.48 | |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX2 levels | 20 | 3 | 45 | 6.25 | 3.01 | 25.0% | 12.0% | — | K 17.8% · BB 14.8% · FIP 4.13 | |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX2 levels | 20 | 0 | 25 | 5.04 | 3.66 | 30.7% | 17.3% | — | K 22.3% · BB 22.2% · FIP 5.40 | |
| 2025 | 25 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2027PROJ | 27 | MLBARI | — | — | 0 | 4.80 | 4.80 | 23.2% | 12.9% | — | ||
| 2028PROJ37% MLB | 28 | MLBARI | 6 | 0 | 6 | 4.80 | 4.84 | 23.1% | 12.7% | -0.0 | ||
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | DSL D-backs 2 | 18 | 0 | 27 | 110 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.0% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 1.67 | 2.76 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK RAW | DSL D-backs 2 | 18 | 0 | 27 | 110 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 30.9% | 9.1% | 21.8% | 0.0% | 1.67 | 1.69 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Red | 13 | 1 | 40 | 165 | 41 | 18 | 5 | 8% | 3.1 | 16.9% | 13.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.92 | 5.48 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK RAW | ACL D-backs Red | 13 | 1 | 40 | 165 | 41 | 18 | 5 | 8% | 3.1 | 24.8% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 2.92 | 4.03 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 20 | 3 | 45 | 216 | 54 | 26 | 2 | 15% | 2.2 | 17.8% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 6.25 | 4.13 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 20 | 3 | 45 | 216 | 54 | 26 | 2 | 15% | 2.2 | 25.0% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 0.9% | 6.25 | 3.01 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 25 | 127 | 39 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.3% | 22.2% | 0.1% | 2.5% | 5.04 | 5.40 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 25 | 127 | 39 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.3% | 22.2% | 0.1% | 2.5% | 5.04 | 5.40 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 25 | 127 | 39 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.7% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 1.6% | 5.04 | 3.66 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.80 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | ARI | 16 | 0 | 17 | 71 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.80 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | ARI | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.80 | 4.84 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.80 | 4.46 | +0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 97 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.80 | 4.46 | +0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 71 | 4 | 137 | 618 | 118 | 95 | 12 | 6% | 1.9 | 19.1% | 15.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 4.15 | 4.51 | -0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 104 | 6 | 200 | 904 | 172 | 139 | 18 | 6% | 1.9 | 19.1% | 15.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 4.15 | 4.51 | -0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 A+Hillsboro Hops · 23 IPFIP 4.06 → 5.40 (+1.34)K% 28.9% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 28.95% | — | ×0.770 | 22.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 19.30% | — | ×1.150 | 22.19% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.75% | ÷0.875 | ×1.250 | 2.51% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 75).
Result: FIP 4.06 → 5.40, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AVisalia Rawhide · 23 IPFIP 2.71 → 3.78 (+1.07)K% 27.5% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 27.52% | — | ×0.740 | 20.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 7.34% | — | ×1.180 | 8.66% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.83% | ÷1.003 | ×1.300 | 2.38% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 101).
Result: FIP 2.71 → 3.78, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL D-backs Black · 22 IPFIP 3.34 → 4.48 (+1.14)K% 22.4% → 15.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 22.43% | — | ×0.680 | 15.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 16.82% | — | ×1.250 | 21.03% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.038 | ×1.400 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 108).
Result: FIP 3.34 → 4.48, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL D-backs Red · 40 IPFIP 4.05 → 5.48 (+1.43)K% 24.8% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 24.85% | — | ×0.680 | 16.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 10.91% | — | ×1.250 | 13.64% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.03% | ÷1.119 | ×1.400 | 3.79% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 124).
Result: FIP 4.05 → 5.48, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKDSL D-backs 2 · 27 IPFIP 1.64 → 2.76 (+1.12)K% 30.9% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 30.91% | — | ×0.680 | 21.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 9.09% | — | ×1.250 | 11.36% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.400 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 1.64 → 2.76, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).