Victor Leal

C FCL Twins

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 174 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKMIN	84	.161/.358/.161	0	1	22	—	.132/.272/.132
2026	19	ROKMIN	110	.235/.398/.318	0	2	48	—	.172/.287/.226
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBMIN	220	.216/.290/.299	2	2	69	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBMIN	62	.221/.296/.318	1	1	75	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBMIN	151	.226/.300/.333	2	1	80	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%84

K%75

BB%69

Z-Con%64

wRC+55

wOBA43

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsLuis Torrens (age 20) · Eddys Leonard (age 20) · Andres Melendez (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 94 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .288 / .297

PA94

HR1

K%24

BB%8

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$35M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	154	126	29	4	0	3	21	15	6	4	4	230	366	333	699	103	239	10	14	327	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	84	62	10	0	0	0	17	12	2	1	2	161	358	161	519		189	14	20	266	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	110	85	20	7	0	0	20	18	3	2	1	235	398	318	716	82	294	16	18	336	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	154	133	20	3	0	2	14	18	6	4	4	150	261	218	479	68	153	12	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	84	68	9	0	0	0	11	17	2	1	2	132	272	132	404		152	20	13	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	110	93	16	5	0	0	12	26	3	2	1	172	287	226	513	54	227	24	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	154	133	20	3	0	2	14	18	6	4	4	150	261	218	479	68	158	12	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	154	126	29	4	0	3	21	15	6	4	4	230	366	333	699	103	239	10	14	327	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	84	68	9	0	0	0	11	17	2	1	2	132	272	132	404		167	20	13	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	84	62	10	0	0	0	17	12	2	1	2	161	358	161	519		189	14	20	266	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	110	93	16	5	0	0	12	26	3	2	1	172	287	226	513	54	235	24	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	110	85	20	7	0	0	20	18	3	2	1	235	398	318	716	82	294	16	18	336	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	154	133	20	3	0	2	14	18	6	4	4	150	261	218	479	68	153	12	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	84	71	9	0	0	0	11	17	2	1	2	127	272	127	398		152	20	13	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	110	94	16	5	0	0	12	26	3	2	1	170	287	223	510	53	227	24	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	154	133	20	3	0	2	14	18	6	4	4	150	261	218	479	68	153	12	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	84	71	9	0	0	0	11	17	2	1	2	127	272	127	398		152	20	13	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	110	94	16	5	0	0	12	26	3	2	1	170	287	223	510	53	227	24	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	220	197	43	8	1	2	18	54	3	2	1	216	290	299	590	83	283	25	8	270	69	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	180	160	35	6	1	2	15	43	3	2	1	221	296	317	613	96	285	24	8	279	75	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	311	279	63	11	2	5	25	74	4	3	1	225	300	332	633	107	286	24	8	287	80	-7	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	400	359	81	14	2	7	33	95	5	3	1	229	304	344	648	115	287	24	8	293	84	-7	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.9
2031	24	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	461	414	96	17	3	9	38	109	6	4	1	232	306	354	660	122	289	24	8	297	87	-7	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	496	445	104	18	3	11	41	116	7	4	1	233	308	361	669	127	289	23	8	301	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2033	26	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	515	460	109	19	3	12	43	121	7	4	2	234	308	364	672	130	289	23	8	302	91	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	520	465	109	19	3	12	43	123	7	4	2	233	307	361	668	128	288	24	8	301	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2035	28	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	520	465	108	19	3	11	43	124	7	4	2	231	305	356	661	125	287	24	8	298	88	-8	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	517	463	106	18	3	11	43	125	6	3	3	228	302	350	652	121	286	24	8	294	85	-9	-1	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2037	30	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	509	456	103	18	2	10	42	124	6	3	5	225	299	342	640	117	284	24	8	289	82	-11	-1	-2	+9	+11	0.6
2038	31	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	481	433	95	16	2	9	39	119	6	3	19	221	294	332	625	111	281	25	8	283	78	-13	-7	-3	+9	+10	-0.4
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	62	56	12	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	221	296	318	614	96	285	24	8	280	75	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	151	136	30	5	1	2	12	36	2	1	0	226	300	333	633	107	286	24	8	287	80	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	217	194	44	8	1	4	18	51	3	2	1	229	304	345	648	116	287	24	8	293	84	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2031	24	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	256	230	52	9	1	5	21	60	3	2	1	232	306	354	661	122	289	23	8	298	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2032	25	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	278	249	58	10	2	6	23	65	4	2	1	234	308	361	669	128	289	23	8	301	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2033	26	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	290	260	62	11	2	7	24	68	4	2	1	234	309	364	673	130	289	23	8	302	91	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2034	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	288	258	61	10	2	7	24	68	4	2	1	233	308	361	669	129	288	24	8	301	90	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2035	28	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	285	255	59	10	2	6	24	68	4	2	1	231	305	357	662	126	287	24	8	298	88	-4	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.7
2036	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	276	248	57	10	1	6	23	67	3	2	2	228	303	350	653	122	286	24	8	294	85	-5	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2037	30	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	268	241	53	9	1	5	22	65	3	2	2	225	299	342	641	117	284	24	8	290	82	-6	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2038	31	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	251	226	50	8	1	5	20	62	3	1	10	221	294	332	626	111	281	25	8	283	78	-7	-4	-1	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2622	2353	538	92	14	54	216	625	34	19	20	229	303	348	651	120	287	24	8	295	82	-45	-4	-4	+47	+57	5.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	133	23	3	13	54	155	8	5	5	228	302	345	647	117	288	24	8	295	82	-11	-1	-1	+12	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5352	4778	1073	186	28	102	450	1257	76	45	45	225	301	339	641	115	281	23	8	289	82	-89	-8	-7	+89	+108	9.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	130	23	3	12	55	153	9	5	5	224	301	336	637	112	282	24	8	289	82	-12	-1	-1	+12	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.1	2,714	55	20	230	301	350	+48	+28	7.1	6.6
/162	664	13	5	+11.9	+6.9	1.7	pk7: 6
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#6Frank House'50-'61 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,187 PA	3.3	2,187	47	6	243*	292*	382*	+39	+0	5.1	5.3
/162	664	14	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Victor Leal (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	214/288/297	82	283	1	1	24%	8%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→49	39→50	49→40	45	207/279/288	81	285	6	6	28%	8%	63	-1.3	212/273/295	83	270	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	39→50	45→50	45	198/273/287	89	286	6	8	31%	8%	61	-1.5	229/297/377	148	305	16	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Andres Melendez 2021 · A	20	43	37→50	46→40	46	206/267/283	78	262	4	5	22%	7%	57	-1.8	213/291/333	120	335	11	5	36%	9%	78	-0.3	196/288/335	139	309	13	2	37%	11%	76	-0.2
✕Blake Ochoa 2007 · A	21	45	40→45	46→40	44	215/280/307	92	280	6	5	24%	6%	68	-1.0	215/267/309	94	279	7	4	24%	6%	63	-1.4	229/292/365	137	275	15	2	22%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Kyle Higashioka 2010 · A	20	45→43	40→60	49→45	41	216/268/305	89	291	7	7	28%	6%	62	-1.4	197/249/302	105	243	11	3	23%	6%	55	-2.0	230/276/419	189	272	26	4	26%	6%	93	+0.4
✕Chris Suero 2024 · A	20	41→38	41→45	50→55	50	196/295/291	95	281	8	8	31%	10%	71	-0.8	193/290/309	116	280	12	20	33%	10%	74	-0.6	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Michael Arroyo 2024 · A	19	44→51	40→50	46→50	49	208/316/308	101	279	6	7	25%	9%	84	+0.1	228/322/372	144	297	15	11	27%	8%	99	+1.3	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Carlos Cauro 2024 · A	19	40	40	46→45	49	193/286/282	89	274	7	4	30%	10%	65	-1.2	204/280/311	107	300	11	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	198/280/293	95	285	12	5	32%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Leo Jiménez 2021 · A	20	44→52	37→45	50→45	46	210/269/289	79	269	4	6	23%	7%	59	-1.7	240/354/332	92	308	6	8	22%	10%	103	+1.5	236/342/334	98	302	8	8	22%	9%	97	+0.6
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	37	39→45	47→45	49	178/272/261	83	262	6	6	32%	10%	55	-1.9	190/264/264	74	295	5	6	34%	9%	52	-2.2	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Jacob Reimer 2024 · A	20	46→49	40→45	44→50	50	217/316/303	86	302	8	5	28%	10%	82	-0.0	226/307/346	120	303	11	9	27%	9%	87	+0.4	226/302/377	150	302	15	14	28%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40	39→45	50→40	53	189/279/278	88	244	6	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	198/297/302	104	263	10	4	26%	12%	74	-0.5	187/288/292	105	240	12	2	26%	12%	67	-0.7
✕Wilfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	20	48	39→40	47→50	44	231/276/323	91	287	5	5	21%	6%	69	-0.9	235/273/310	75	276	5	6	16%	4%	64	-1.3	240/274/305	65	276	5	5	15%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/262/292	91	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/270/308	113	293	13	8	36%	7%	65	-1.2	180/256/294	114	253	15	7	34%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43	44→50	48→40	45	215/283/328	113	270	12	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/296/343	127	275	13	4	25%	8%	83	+0.1	216/325/362	146	296	16	3	30%	10%	98	+0.3
✕Carlos Pérez 2011 · A	20	46→49	37→55	43→45	52	215/292/293	78	267	3	6	19%	9%	69	-0.9	224/274/313	89	287	5	4	22%	6%	65	-1.2	249/297/366	117	288	10	4	17%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Leo Bernal 2024 · A	20	45→50	42→45	47→50	49	220/293/323	103	283	9	5	25%	9%	76	-0.4	231/296/349	118	296	13	8	25%	8%	83	+0.1	235/299/362	127	292	15	9	24%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Johanfran Garcia 2024 · A	19	41	40→50	49→45	42	199/270/291	93	282	8	6	31%	7%	61	-1.5	219/276/349	130	326	16	5	36%	6%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	318	23	4	38%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Clayton Campbell 2024 · A	20	38→44	41→45	49→45	44	182/275/289	108	287	8	6	36%	9%	63	-1.3	183/257/268	85	265	7	6	32%	8%	51	-2.3	180/250/259	79	256	8	5	31%	7%	45	-1.4

Victor Leal

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps