Vladi Guerrero — OGILVIE

Vladi GuerreroOF DSL Mets Blue

Age 20 L/L 6'2" / 220 lbs ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .260 / .261

PA59

HR0

K%33

BB%8

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	153	128	25	5	1	0	22	54	3	3	0	195	327	250	577	55	338	35	14	280	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	99	86	20	2	2	1	13	30	0	3	0	233	333	337	671	105	345	30	13	308	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	153	135	15	3	1	0	15	68	3	3	0	111	216	148	364	37	217	44	10	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	99	90	12	1	1	0	9	37	0	3	0	133	212	167	379	33	230	37	9	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	153	135	15	3	1	0	15	68	3	3	0	111	216	148	364	37	224	44	10	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	153	128	25	5	1	0	22	54	3	3	0	195	327	250	577	55	338	35	14	280	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	99	90	12	1	1	0	9	37	0	3	0	133	212	167	379	33	226	37	9	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	99	86	20	2	2	1	13	30	0	3	0	233	333	337	671	105	345	30	13	308	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	153	134	15	3	1	0	15	68	3	3	0	112	216	149	365	37	217	44	10	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	99	90	12	1	1	0	9	37	0	3	0	133	212	167	379	33	230	37	9	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	153	134	15	3	1	0	15	68	3	3	0	112	216	149	365	37	217	44	10	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	99	90	12	1	1	0	9	37	0	3	0	133	212	167	379	33	230	37	9	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	209	189	36	6	2	1	16	68	2	6	2	191	262	263	526	72	287	33	8	242	50	-12	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	118	107	20	3	1	1	9	38	1	4	1	197	268	280	549	84	288	32	8	252	56	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	21	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	41	38	6	1	0	0	3	13	0	1	0	191	263	272	535	81	279	32	7	246	56	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	41	38	6	1	0	0	3	13	0	1	0	158	220	184	404	26	240	32	7	246	26	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	602	95	16	0	0	48	206	0	16	0	158	220	184	404	27	240	32	7	246	26	-34	+3	+0	-4	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	429	385	58	9	4	1	38	162	5	12	1	151	236	203	439	52	256	38	9	207	26	-10	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	89	14	6	2	58	245	8	18	2	153	239	208	447	55	257	38	9	207	26	-35	+3	+0	-4	+14	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Vladi Guerrero (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	190/260/261	72	287	0	2	33%	8%	50	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	53→50	46	189/269/285	96	280	8	13	33%	9%	59	-1.6	194/280/279	85	302	5	15	34%	10%	62	-1.4	185/278/271	86	290	5	16	34%	10%	58	-1.1
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	37	38→40	49→50	44	181/259/263	83	253	5	11	29%	8%	51	-2.3	186/256/284	98	256	7	9	28%	7%	54	-2.0	123/201/242	119	154	9	9	26%	8%	23	-1.1
✕Danyer Sanabria 2022 · A	20	33	39→45	48→45	35	170/215/251	81	265	7	7	38%	5%	30	-3.8	202/249/292	90	329	5	5	38%	6%	52	-2.2	202/246/298	97	321	5	3	37%	5%	48	-0.8
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	40→41	40→45	57→50	41	193/255/292	99	294	7	15	35%	7%	55	-2.0	188/260/303	115	277	12	13	34%	8%	60	-1.6	187/246/292	106	241	12	16	27%	7%	49	-1.2
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	34	39→45	54→45	38	169/229/251	81	271	6	13	38%	7%	36	-3.4	173/235/269	96	305	10	11	44%	6%	42	-2.9	160/223/268	108	267	13	9	43%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Jaden Rudd 2024 · A	21	39→36	37→30	52→50	48	179/290/250	70	276	4	14	32%	10%	61	-1.5	193/286/269	76	307	5	13	35%	9%	63	-1.4	155/260/202	47	253	3	16	35%	10%	36	-0.9
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Herman Armas 2007 · A	20	37	38→40	47→50	44	181/254/261	80	248	5	11	28%	7%	48	-2.5	197/270/285	88	250	7	9	23%	7%	59	-1.6	179/264/261	82	212	9	9	19%	8%	51	-1.2
✕Eduardo Sosa 2011 · A	20	40→42	38→40	52→50	42	191/253/269	78	273	5	15	30%	7%	49	-2.4	208/250/277	69	309	3	11	32%	5%	49	-2.4	204/247/267	63	301	2	11	31%	5%	42	-1.5
✕Shane Mardirosian 2016 · A	20	42→40	37→40	50→45	39	199/247/277	78	276	4	13	28%	5%	48	-2.5	199/250/269	70	280	4	8	29%	5%	47	-2.5	192/246/257	65	268	4	7	28%	5%	41	-1.6
✕Jhon Diaz 2023 · A	20	34→26	37→45	49→50	37	164/224/238	74	283	4	10	41%	7%	30	-3.8	176/232/284	108	264	10	14	36%	6%	44	-2.8	162/217/276	114	228	13	17	34%	6%	35	-2.2
✕Shalin Polanco 2023 · A	19	36→24	39→45	47→50	39	177/234/257	80	265	6	10	34%	6%	38	-3.2	185/244/305	120	287	13	12	38%	7%	54	-2.0	169/229/296	127	253	15	12	38%	7%	45	-1.6
✕Hans Montero 2024 · A	20	36→37	37→45	55	49	172/276/241	69	264	5	18	33%	11%	53	-2.1	182/260/285	103	297	10	17	39%	8%	56	-1.9	173/254/287	113	278	12	22	39%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Roberto Reyes 2010 · A	21	35	37→40	55	44	168/249/240	72	256	4	15	33%	8%	42	-2.9	189/249/265	76	287	4	8	33%	6%	46	-2.6	179/233/246	67	261	5	2	32%	5%	34	-1.2
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	41	176/252/260	84	283	6	10	37%	8%	47	-2.5	192/274/286	94	292	6	14	33%	9%	61	-1.5	139/214/211	72	250	5	19	43%	8%	20	-1.4
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Evan Alexander 2018 · A	20	41	40→45	51→50	40	193/262/282	88	309	7	11	38%	8%	55	-1.9	197/272/300	103	332	8	11	40%	8%	63	-1.3	163/262/272	109	288	9	18	42%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Elis Cuevas 2024 · A	19	41	37→40	51→65	45	195/270/275	80	270	3	14	27%	8%	57	-1.8	199/275/294	95	266	9	32	27%	7%	63	-1.3	188/268/283	95	252	12	43	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Jonathan Sierra 2019 · A	20	42→41	36→40	49→45	41	195/257/265	70	297	3	9	34%	7%	49	-2.4	204/247/275	71	269	4	4	25%	5%	47	-2.5	205/253/272	67	265	5	1	23%	5%	46	-1.3