Jonathan Sierra

PosRF
B/TL/L
Born1998-10-17
Age (2027)28
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
A+LAST SEASON 2022
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
201920ACHC408.242/.285/.3243233—.197/.231/.259
202122ACHC313.249/.341/.3373155—.208/.277/.275
202223A+CHC203.255/.322/.3483057—.216/.262/.279
Contract
No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201617 ROKDSL Cubs 1 — 264220 581130 37486 125 264383341723 77337 1814 337 40 — — — — — —
201718 ROKAZL Cubs — 205185 481022 18592 62 259332368699 108371 299 317 28 — — — — — —
201920 ASouth Bend Cubs — 408380 921823 21622 23 242285324609 82279 155 272 33 — — — — — —
202122 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 313273 681313 34614 11 249341337678 88310 1911 311 55 — — — — — —
202223 A+South Bend Cubs — 203184 47803 18330 01 255322348670 92295 169 304 57 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201617 ROK MLEDSL Cubs 1 — 264232 40720 26596 125 172273220493 47229 2210 228 40 — — — — — —
201718 ROK MLEAZL Cubs — 205192 33611 11852 62 172224229454 57305 415 210 28 — — — — — —
201920 A MLESouth Bend Cubs — 408386 761313 15872 23 197231259490 62243 214 217 33 — — — — — —
202122 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 313284 591112 23864 11 208277275551 67287 277 250 55 — — — — — —
202223 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 203190 41602 12420 01 216262279541 63269 216 252 57 — — — — — —
201617 ROK MLEDSL Cubs 1 — 264232 40720 26596 125 172273220493 47231 2210 228 40 — — — — — —
201617 ROK RAWDSL Cubs 1 — 264220 581130 37486 125 264383341723 77337 1814 337 40 — — — — — —
201718 ROK MLEAZL Cubs — 205192 33611 11852 62 172224229454 57302 415 210 28 — — — — — —
201718 ROK RAWAZL Cubs — 205185 481022 18592 62 259332368699 108371 299 317 28 — — — — — —
201920 A MLESouth Bend Cubs — 408386 761313 15872 23 197231259490 62243 214 217 33 — — — — — —
201920 A RAWSouth Bend Cubs — 408380 921823 21622 23 242285324609 82279 155 272 33 — — — — — —
202122 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 313284 591112 23864 11 208277275551 67289 277 250 55 — — — — — —
202122 A RAWMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 313273 681313 34614 11 249341337678 88310 1911 311 55 — — — — — —
202223 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 203190 41602 12420 01 216262279541 63265 216 252 57 — — — — — —
202223 A+ RAWSouth Bend Cubs — 203184 47803 18330 01 255322348670 92295 169 304 57 — — — — — —
201617 ROK MLEDSL Cubs 1 — 264230 40720 26596 125 174273222494 48229 2210 228 40 — — — — — —
201718 ROK MLEAZL Cubs — 205190 33611 11852 62 174224232456 58305 415 210 28 — — — — — —
201920 A MLESouth Bend Cubs — 408388 761313 15872 23 196231258489 62243 214 217 33 — — — — — —
202122 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 313283 591112 23864 11 208277276552 67287 277 250 55 — — — — — —
202223 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 203189 41602 12420 01 217262280543 63269 216 252 57 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
Career— MLE — 13931284 2494358 8735914 2112 194253254507 60261 266 231 42 -96 -1 +0 -15 +30 -8.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650599 1162024 411687 106 194254254508 60260 266 231 42 -45 -0 +0 -7 +14 -3.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2022 A+South Bend Cubs · 203 PAwOBA .295 → .252 (−44)K% 16.3% → 20.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.26%÷1.003×1.270——20.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.37%÷0.986×0.710—×0.9885.96%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×0.9880.00%
Singles /BIP23.84%÷1.010×0.920×1.038×0.98822.28%
Doubles /BIP5.30%÷1.020×0.810×1.038×0.9884.32%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.097×0.850×1.038×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP1.99%÷0.938×0.800—×0.9881.67%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 119, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .295 → .252; ISO .092 → .076; BABIP .295 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 313 PAwOBA .303 → .250 (−53)K% 19.5% → 27.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.49%÷0.961×1.360——27.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.54%÷0.963×0.690—×0.9907.48%
HBP% /PA1.28%—×0.780—×0.9900.99%
Singles /BIP24.06%÷1.002×0.920×1.026×0.99022.43%
Doubles /BIP6.13%÷0.923×0.830×1.026×0.9905.60%
Triples /BIP0.47%÷0.977×0.910×1.026×0.9900.45%
Home runs /BIP1.42%÷0.977×0.800—×0.9901.15%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 95, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .303 → .250; ISO .088 → .073; BABIP .310 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ASouth Bend Cubs · 408 PAwOBA .268 → .217 (−51)K% 15.2% → 21.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.20%÷0.968×1.360——21.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.15%÷0.994×0.690—×1.0153.63%
HBP% /PA0.49%—×0.780—×1.0150.39%
Singles /BIP21.70%÷0.987×0.920×0.950×1.01519.50%
Doubles /BIP5.66%÷1.026×0.830×0.950×1.0154.42%
Triples /BIP0.63%÷1.150×0.910×0.950×1.0150.48%
Home runs /BIP0.94%÷0.914×0.800—×1.0150.84%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 97, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .268 → .217; ISO .082 → .063; BABIP .279 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 ROKAZL Cubs · 205 PAwOBA .307 → .210 (−97)K% 28.8% → 41.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.78%÷1.000×1.440——41.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.29%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0085.18%
HBP% /PA0.98%—×0.720—×1.0080.71%
Singles /BIP26.98%÷1.000×0.820×1.030×1.00822.96%
Doubles /BIP7.94%÷1.000×0.720×1.030×1.0085.93%
Triples /BIP1.59%÷1.000×0.720×1.030×1.0081.19%
Home runs /BIP1.59%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0081.25%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .307 → .210; ISO .108 → .070; BABIP .371 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 DSLDSL Cubs 1 · 264 PAwOBA .329 → .228 (−101)K% 18.2% → 22.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.18%÷1.000×1.220——22.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.02%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0089.88%
HBP% /PA2.27%—×0.700—×1.0081.60%
Singles /BIP25.58%÷1.000×0.680×1.021×1.00817.90%
Doubles /BIP6.40%÷1.000×0.600×1.021×1.0083.95%
Triples /BIP1.74%÷1.000×0.600×1.021×1.0081.08%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .329 → .228; ISO .077 → .049; BABIP .337 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).