Jesus Lugo — OGILVIE

Jesus LugoOF FCL Red Sox

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj PA

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .258 / .275

PA42

HR0

K%33

BB%7

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	135	120	14	3	0	1	9	64	3	2	3	117	197	167	364	50	224	47	7	170	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	135	115	21	5	0	2	14	45	3	2	3	183	288	278	566	96	268	33	10	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	24	21	3	0	1	0	3	8	0	2	0	143	250	238	488	95	231	33	12	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	24	20	4	0	1	0	4	5	0	2	0	200	333	300	633	100	267	21	17	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	BOS	—	42	39	6	1	0	0	3	14	0	1	0	154	214	179	394	26	288	33	7	246	46	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	BOS	34%	131	118	24	4	1	2	10	42	2	2	0	203	277	305	582	102	290	32	8	259	56	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2027	20	MLB	BOS	34%	45	41	8	1	0	1	3	14	1	1	0	195	267	293	559	98	296	31	7	253	52	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	45	41	8	1	0	1	3	14	1	1	0	195	267	293	559	98	269	31	7	253	52	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	115	14	0	14	43	202	14	14	0	194	265	289	553	95	269	31	7	253	52	-35	+3	+0	-4	+18	-1.8
Career	—			—	332	298	47	8	2	3	25	128	5	7	3	158	235	228	463	70	257	39	8	217	24	-28	+0	+0	-2	+9	-2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	93	16	4	6	49	251	10	14	6	160	237	232	468	72	260	39	8	217	24	-56	+0	+0	-4	+18	-4.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	135	115	21	5	0	2	14	45	3	2	3	183	288	278	566	96	268	33	10	261	58	-6	-1	—	—	+4	-0.3
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	24	20	4	0	1	0	4	5	0	2	0	200	333	300	633	100	267	21	17	297	85	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Lugo (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	192/258/275	83	288	0	1	33%	7%	46	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Enger Jimenez 2014 · A	19	34	41→40	47→50	35	176/222/272	96	262	8	9	35%	5%	29	-3.2	206/257/299	93	278	6	10	26%	5%	51	-1.7	216/268/312	96	280	5	12	23%	5%	56	-0.5
✕Roberto Perez 2008 · A	19	35	38→45	48→30	39	173/243/251	77	275	6	4	37%	7%	33	-2.9	184/250/278	94	251	10	3	29%	7%	43	-2.2	168/237/264	96	214	12	1	27%	7%	35	-1.0
✕Romer Cuadrado 2017 · A	19	38→37	39→40	45	41	185/253/265	81	284	6	8	35%	8%	41	-2.3	205/262/298	93	323	8	7	36%	6%	53	-1.5	201/257/294	93	313	8	5	36%	6%	47	-1.3
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Adonis Paula 2013 · A	19	37	37→40	48→40	35	180/236/252	72	281	4	8	36%	5%	30	-3.1	196/258/274	78	286	4	5	31%	6%	46	-2.0	177/237/252	75	275	4	2	35%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Yordyn Calderon 2013 · A	19	36	42→45	46→50	39	181/247/284	102	272	10	10	36%	7%	44	-2.1	194/268/302	108	283	9	11	33%	7%	58	-1.2	184/266/297	113	261	10	13	31%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	42→34	38→45	46→50	39	192/268/272	80	307	5	9	36%	7%	50	-1.7	206/287/306	100	302	9	7	32%	9%	67	-0.5	197/289/306	108	288	11	5	33%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Rafael Mejia 2017 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	38	184/237/267	83	263	7	6	32%	5%	34	-2.8	198/237/320	122	278	14	7	33%	4%	49	-1.8	206/233/374	168	276	24	10	35%	2%	56	-0.3
✕Ronny Brito 2018 · A	19	37	38→45	50	37	178/235/261	83	285	5	10	37%	6%	32	-3.0	200/249/307	107	347	11	5	43%	6%	50	-1.7	161/215/285	124	297	17	1	50%	6%	30	-1.1
✕Xavier Batista 2011 · A	19	35	39→50	46→45	33	170/221/254	84	300	7	4	44%	6%	24	-3.5	190/257/302	112	293	11	6	36%	7%	53	-1.5	171/252/309	138	236	17	7	34%	9%	53	-0.7
✕Alexander Mojica 2022 · A	19	39	41→45	47→40	41	194/262/289	96	287	9	4	34%	7%	52	-1.6	185/266/295	110	307	11	4	40%	9%	56	-1.3	155/253/274	119	262	13	2	42%	10%	42	-0.8
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	41→34	38→45	50	40	197/258/282	85	286	5	8	31%	6%	48	-1.9	226/275/318	92	287	6	14	22%	5%	63	-0.8	239/283/340	101	289	8	18	19%	4%	70	-0.1
✕Cristopher Cespedes 2017 · A	19	35→36	39→45	48→40	34	177/227/258	81	267	6	6	35%	4%	28	-3.2	205/253/310	105	285	8	6	30%	5%	53	-1.5	204/253/325	121	283	10	4	30%	5%	54	-0.4
✕Ranfy Adon 2017 · A	19	36	39→45	49→50	41	180/246/264	84	259	7	12	32%	7%	39	-2.5	198/245/300	102	329	8	12	40%	5%	46	-2.0	173/231/277	105	327	9	25	47%	5%	33	-0.6
✕Roni Cabrera 2023 · A	18	39	38→45	51→55	38	186/249/260	74	297	5	10	37%	6%	39	-2.5	189/259/297	108	290	10	12	36%	7%	53	-1.5	159/234/278	120	248	12	17	39%	7%	35	-0.8
✕Trenton Kemp 2015 · A	19	40	41→50	46→45	36	193/250/288	95	303	8	7	37%	6%	46	-2.0	197/260/308	111	319	9	9	38%	7%	55	-1.4	193/254/322	129	318	11	10	40%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Wilfredo Lara 2023 · A	19	36→39	38→40	49→55	39	176/241/254	78	265	5	10	34%	6%	33	-2.9	183/258/278	95	267	8	13	32%	8%	47	-1.9	169/247/259	90	238	8	18	31%	8%	36	-1.4
✕Raylin Heredia 2023 · A	19	40	40→50	53→50	33	190/237/289	98	310	6	9	39%	5%	40	-2.4	198/253/306	108	335	9	11	41%	6%	52	-1.6	208/247/353	144	311	17	12	38%	4%	58	-0.6
✕Yair Lopez 2011 · A	19	40	39→45	48→55	36	191/250/276	85	306	7	11	38%	6%	43	-2.2	184/224/272	88	297	7	10	39%	4%	30	-3.1	156/185/243	87	245	8	12	39%	3%	2	-1.3