Paul Hoff

P DSL Brewers Gold

Age 20 RHP 6'5" / 180 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	17	ROKDSL Brewers 2	8	5	30	3.64	4.38	16.8%	14.4%	—	K 11.4% · BB 18.0% · FIP 5.94
2026	19	ROKDSL Brewers G…	10	4	45	2.01	2.79	23.9%	11.2%	—	K 16.3% · BB 14.0% · FIP 3.90
2027PROJ	20	MLB—	24	0	25	5.08	5.08	19.9%	13.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLB—	20	0	21	4.88	4.80	20.8%	12.0%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJoshua Quezada (age 20) · Felix Arronde (age 20) · Bryan Polanco (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 113

ERA5.08

FIP5.08

K%19.9%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%6.5%

Proj IP25

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	8	5	30	125	21	18	2	62%	3.7	11.4%	18.0%	-6.6%	2.8%	3.64	5.94	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	8	5	30	125	21	18	2	62%	3.7	11.4%	18.0%	-6.6%	2.8%	3.64	5.94	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 2	8	5	30	125	21	18	2	62%	3.7	16.8%	14.4%	2.4%	1.6%	3.64	4.38	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	10	4	45	188	45	21	1	40%	4.5	16.3%	14.0%	2.3%	0.7%	2.01	3.90	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	10	4	45	188	45	21	1	40%	4.5	16.3%	14.0%	2.3%	0.7%	2.01	3.90	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	10	4	45	188	45	21	1	40%	4.5	23.9%	11.2%	12.8%	0.5%	2.01	2.79	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	—	24	0	25	106	21	14	3	0%	1.0	19.9%	13.4%	6.5%	2.9%	5.08	5.08	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	40	0	42	178	37	21	5	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.0%	8.8%	2.8%	4.88	4.80	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	20	0	21	89	18	11	3	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.0%	8.8%	2.8%	4.88	4.80	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		20	0	21	88	18	10	2	0%	1.0	20.8%	12.0%	8.8%	2.8%	4.88	4.42	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	174	96	19	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.0%	8.8%	2.8%	4.88	4.42	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		18	9	74	313	45	49	5	50%	4.1	14.3%	15.6%	-1.2%	1.6%	2.66	4.72	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	24	200	842	121	131	13	50%	4.1	14.3%	15.6%	-1.2%	1.6%	2.66	4.72	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Paul Hoff (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.08	19.9%	13.4%	2.9%	—	4.80	20.8%	8.8%	42	-0.28	—	—	—
Joshua Quezada R 2024 · 4.46 FIP	20	SP-	4.46	18.3%	11.7%	2.6%	.293	4.03	19.6%	10.8%	80	-0.43	3.61	161	85
Felix Arronde R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	20	SW	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.98	15.8%	5.8%	344	+0.56	4.16	442	84
Bryan Polanco R 2022 · 5.18 FIP	20	SP-	5.18	18.2%	14.3%	3.3%	.248	5.58	13.0%	1.2%	243	+0.40	5.18	374	83
Nolberto Henriquez R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	21	SP-	4.99	16.0%	13.4%	2.8%	.305	5.60	11.3%	-3.1%	52	+0.61	4.99	108	83
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	83
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	83
Yeury Tatiz R 2021 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	17.4%	15.6%	3.5%	.295	5.10	13.0%	-1.0%	100	-0.44	3.73	221	81
Jeisson Cabrera R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	20	SP-	4.42	21.3%	15.5%	2.1%	.227	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	244	81
Luis Garcia R 2018 · 4.30 FIP	21	SP-	4.30	17.9%	13.4%	1.8%	.295	3.65	27.4%	17.5%	264	-0.65	3.40	535	80
Kristian Cardozo R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	20	SW	4.89	16.3%	13.5%	2.7%	.358	6.76	13.6%	-4.3%	15	+1.87	3.49	138	80
Henry Valencio R 2019 · 4.15 FIP	20	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.293	5.11	11.9%	-11.9%	14	+0.96	3.48	136	80
Maiker Manuel R 2018 · 4.56 FIP	20	SP-	4.56	15.0%	13.2%	1.9%	.278	4.62	15.3%	11.5%	51	+0.06	4.56	148	80
Julio Goff R 2019 · 4.80 FIP	19	SW	4.80	16.1%	11.9%	2.8%	.364	4.70	16.4%	5.9%	207	-0.10	4.46	251	80
Sal Biasi R 2017 · 4.68 FIP	21	SP-	4.68	16.0%	12.6%	2.5%	.230	5.59	18.5%	5.0%	109	+0.91	4.68	188	79
Moises Gomez R 2017 · 5.58 FIP	20	SP-	5.58	15.3%	13.8%	3.7%	.297	4.26	22.7%	12.1%	102	-1.32	3.23	258	79
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	79
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	79
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	79
Eduardo Soriano R 2023 · 5.06 FIP	20	SP-	5.06	16.5%	12.5%	3.2%	.306	4.32	15.1%	-4.5%	29	-0.74	4.32	109	78
Michael Cederoth R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	22	SP-	4.10	16.8%	13.0%	1.4%	.292	4.95	21.6%	2.4%	83	+0.85	4.10	118	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	20.5%	12.5%	1.10	4.95
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12