Frederi Montero

1B Wilson Warbirds
Age 20 L/R 6'2" / 188 lbs A HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Brewers 2216.245/.356/.30401233—.173/.269/.215
202518ROKMIL232.265/.374/.3160536—.183/.261/.212
202619AMIL457.204/.327/.3068849—.175/.268/.252
2027PROJMLE20MLBMIL567.186/.272/.2566753-0.4
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBMIL142.191/.278/.2772261-0.6
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBMIL223.197/.284/.2964468-0.8
Next 3 projected WAR -1.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
BB%71
Chase%44
K%40
Z-Con%35
ISO34
Speed33
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 2.2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 89%
CompsMichael De La Cruz (age 20) · Sergio Burruel (age 21) · Darrien Miller (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .269 / .254
PA210
HR2
K%31
BB%10
ISO71
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -11.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Arb-1$0.2M———
2036Arb-2$0.4M———
2037Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $0.0M $-13M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Brewers 2 — 216184 45910 25327 122 245356304661 60296 1512 312 33 — — — — — —
202518 ROKACL Brewers — 232196 521000 32472 53 265374316690 51344 2014 322 36 — — — — — —
202619 AWilson Warbirds — 457382 781318 671183 86 204327306634 102268 2615 294 49 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 216191 33610 18407 122 173269215483 42211 198 217 33 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 232208 38600 20702 53 183261212472 29269 309 222 36 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEWilson Warbirds — 457401 701116 481603 86 175268252520 77262 3511 240 49 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 216191 33610 18407 122 173269215483 42219 198 217 33 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Brewers 2 — 216184 45910 25327 122 245356304661 60296 1512 312 33 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 232208 38600 20702 53 183261212472 29271 309 222 36 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWACL Brewers — 232196 521000 32472 53 265374316690 51344 2014 322 36 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEWilson Warbirds — 457401 701116 481603 86 175268252520 77267 3511 240 49 — — — — — —
202619 A RAWWilson Warbirds — 457382 781318 671183 86 204327306634 102268 2615 294 49 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 216189 33610 18407 122 175269217485 42211 198 217 33 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 232208 38600 20702 53 183261212472 29269 309 222 36 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEWilson Warbirds — 457403 701116 481603 86 174268251518 77262 3511 240 49 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Brewers 2 — 216189 33610 18407 122 175269217485 42211 198 217 33 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 232208 38600 20702 53 183261212472 29269 309 222 36 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEWilson Warbirds — 457403 701116 481603 86 174268251518 77262 3511 240 49 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEMIL 0% 567502 931616 561784 74 186272256528 71271 3110 246 53 -32 -0 +0 -10 +12 -0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEMIL 34% 413366 711216 411263 63 193280280559 86274 3110 259 61 -19 +0 +0 -7 +9 -1.8
202922 MLB MLEMIL 48% 460408 811418 461373 74 199286297583 98275 3010 268 68 -18 -0 +0 -8 +10 -1.7
203023 MLB MLEMIL 54% 511451 9216110 511494 84 204290310600 106277 2910 275 72 -17 +0 +0 -9 +11 -1.5
203124 MLB MLEMIL 55% 569503 10518212 571634 94 208293319612 111279 2910 279 75 -17 +0 +0 -10 +12 -1.5
203225 MLB MLEMIL 56% 590521 10919212 591675 95 210295325620 115279 2810 282 77 -16 -0 +0 -11 +13 -1.4
203326 MLB MLEMIL 56% 599529 11119213 601695 95 210295324620 115279 2810 282 77 -16 -0 +0 -11 +13 -1.5
203427 MLB MLEMIL 55% 596527 11019212 601694 95 209294322616 113279 2810 281 76 -17 -0 +0 -11 +13 -1.5
203528 MLB MLEMIL 59% 585518 10819212 581684 85 207292317610 110278 2910 278 74 -18 -0 -1 -10 +13 -1.7
203629 MLB MLEMIL 56% 568503 10318111 561644 65 205290311601 107277 2910 275 72 -19 -1 -1 -10 +12 -1.9
203730 MLB MLEMIL 59% 552489 9817110 541614 55 202286304590 102275 2910 270 69 -20 -1 -2 -10 +12 -2.2
202821 MLB CTXMIL 34% 142126 24402 14431 21 191278277555 86269 3010 257 61 -7 +0 +0 -3 +3 -0.6
202922 MLB CTXMIL 48% 223197 39614 22662 42 197284296580 99271 3010 267 68 -9 +0 +0 -4 +5 -0.8
203023 MLB CTXMIL 54% 277245 50816 28812 52 202288309597 107273 2910 273 72 -9 +0 +0 -5 +6 -0.8
203124 MLB CTXMIL 55% 315279 57917 31902 52 206291318609 112274 2910 278 75 -9 +0 +0 -6 +7 -0.8
203225 MLB CTXMIL 56% 330291 601017 33933 53 208293324617 116275 2810 281 77 -9 -0 +0 -6 +7 -0.8
203326 MLB CTXMIL 56% 337297 611017 34953 53 208293324617 116275 2810 281 77 -9 -0 +0 -6 +7 -0.8
203427 MLB CTXMIL 55% 330292 601017 33942 53 207292321613 114274 2810 280 76 -9 -0 +0 -6 +7 -0.8
203528 MLB CTXMIL 59% 345306 621017 34992 53 205291316607 111274 2910 277 74 -10 -0 -0 -6 +7 -1.0
203629 MLB CTXMIL 56% 317281 56916 31922 43 203288310598 108272 2910 274 72 -11 -0 -1 -6 +7 -1.1
203730 MLB CTXMIL 59% 324287 57916 32952 33 200285303587 103271 2910 269 69 -12 -1 -1 -6 +7 -1.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 29402601 52685959 29284821 4325 202288310598 108273 2910 275 68 -94 -1 -2 -52 +64 -8.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650575 11619213 651875 106 202289310598 108272 2910 275 68 -21 -0 -1 -12 +14 -2.0
Career— MLE — 65585801 116420018114 649190953 10457 201287300587 100275 2910 268 68 -188 -3 -4 -101 +122 -17.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650575 11520211 641895 106 200286299585 99274 2910 268 68 -22 -0 -0 -12 +14 -2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AWilson Warbirds · 457 PAwOBA .291 → .240 (−51)K% 25.8% → 35.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.82%÷1.000×1.360——35.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.66%÷1.000×0.690—×1.04510.57%
HBP% /PA0.66%—×0.780—×1.0450.54%
Singles /BIP21.21%÷1.000×0.920×1.042×1.04521.25%
Doubles /BIP4.92%÷1.000×0.830×1.042×1.0454.45%
Triples /BIP0.38%÷1.000×0.910×1.042×1.0450.38%
Home runs /BIP3.03%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0452.53%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.

Result: wOBA .291 → .240; ISO .102 → .082; BABIP .268 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Brewers · 232 PAwOBA .317 → .222 (−95)K% 20.3% → 30.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.26%÷0.973×1.440——29.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.79%÷1.011×0.620—×1.0228.65%
HBP% /PA0.86%—×0.720—×1.0220.63%
Singles /BIP28.19%÷1.031×0.820×0.997×1.02222.86%
Doubles /BIP6.71%÷1.109×0.720×0.997×1.0224.44%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.001×0.720×0.997×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.971×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 106, 2B 122, 3B 100, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .317 → .222; ISO .051 → .032; BABIP .344 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Brewers 2 · 216 PAwOBA .305 → .217 (−88)K% 14.8% → 18.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.81%÷0.989×1.220——18.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.57%÷1.012×0.700—×1.0228.19%
HBP% /PA3.24%—×0.700—×1.0222.32%
Singles /BIP23.03%÷0.989×0.680×1.038×1.02216.80%
Doubles /BIP5.92%÷0.968×0.600×1.038×1.0223.89%
Triples /BIP0.66%÷1.150×0.600×1.038×1.0220.36%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.808×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .305 → .217; ISO .060 → .039; BABIP .296 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).