Frederi MonteroSS Wilson Warbirds
Age 19 L/R 6'2" / 188 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION321 act + 214 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†28
AVG/OBP/SLG.171 / .245 / .238
PA214
HR2
K%37
BB%8
BABIP274
ISO67
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -46.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-47BATRUN: -0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +5.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +15.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+15REPTotal WAR: -2.70-2.7WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.1-$1M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.5M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Brewers 2 216194 38710 15477 122 196278242520 46259 227 231 35
202417 ROKDSL Brewers 2 216184 45910 25327 122 245356304661 60296 1512 312 97
202518 ROKACL Brewers 232209 36600 19722 53 172248201449 29259 318 209 18
202518 ROKACL Brewers 232196 521000 32472 53 265374316690 51344 2014 322 104
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 AMIL 321286 44614 291351 54 154234224458 70263 429 210 19 -29 -1 +0 +3 +9 -1.8
YTD19 AMIL 321269 51815 46951 54 190310283593 93264 3014 276 69 -11 -1 +0 +3 +9 0.1
ROS19 AMIL 0% 214193 33512 18791 32 171245238484 67271 378 221 28 -18 -0 +0 +2 +6 -1.0
ROS19 MLBMIL 0% 01 0000 000 00 269 215 23 +0 +0
FULL19 AMIL 321287 44614 291351 54 153234223457 70261 429 210 19 -29 -1 +0 +3 +9 -1.8
TOT19 AMIL 535479 771126 472142 86 161239230468 69268 409 215 22 -47 -1 +0 +6 +15 -2.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBMIL 34% 414372 681116 361453 63 183260266526 83276 359 242 44 -26 +0 +0 +4 +12 -1.0
202821 MLBMIL 48% 493441 831418 441665 74 188269279548 91279 349 256 54 -26 -0 +0 +5 +14 -0.7
202922 MLBMIL 54% 544485 9616211 491785 84 198278307586 109280 339 264 60 -24 +0 +0 +6 +15 -0.3
203023 MLBMIL 57% 574512 10217212 521855 94 199279311590 111282 329 269 64 -23 +0 +0 +6 +16 -0.1
203124 MLBMIL 57% 593528 10718213 541906 95 203284318602 116282 329 271 66 -23 -0 +0 +6 +17 0.0
203225 MLBMIL 57% 602536 10818213 551926 95 201283315598 114282 329 273 67 -22 -0 +0 +6 +17 0.1
203326 MLBMIL 56% 605538 10818213 561936 105 201283314597 113282 329 273 67 -22 +0 +0 +6 +17 0.1
202720 MLBMIL 34% 142128 23402 12501 21 180255258513 78274 358 234 38 -10 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.5
202821 MLBMIL 48% 239214 41714 21802 32 192270290560 98277 339 247 47 -14 -0 +0 +3 +7 -0.5
202922 MLBMIL 54% 295264 52916 26963 42 197276307583 110278 339 255 54 -15 +0 +0 +3 +8 -0.4
203023 MLBMIL 57% 325290 581017 291043 53 200280314593 114279 329 260 57 -16 -0 +0 +3 +9 -0.3
203124 MLBMIL 57% 335299 591017 301073 53 197277308585 110280 329 262 59 -16 -0 +0 +4 +9 -0.3
203225 MLBMIL 57% 340303 601017 311083 53 198279307586 109280 329 263 60 -15 -0 +0 +4 +10 -0.2
203326 MLBMIL 56% 342305 601017 311093 53 197277305582 108280 329 264 60 -15 -0 +0 +4 +10 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 20181804 35360640 18065418 2917 196275302577 106279 329 258 55 -102 -1 +0 +22 +57 -2.5
/ 162G 650581 11419213 582116 95 196276303579 107280 329 258 55 -33 -0 +0 +7 +18 -0.8
Career 44874008 7791301478 398144746 7837 194275292567 98280 329 259 56 -222 +1 +0 +48 +127 -4.7
/ 162G 650581 11319211 582107 115 194276291567 96281 329 259 56 -32 +0 +0 +7 +18 -0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Brewers 2 216184 45910 25327 122 245356304661 60296 1512 312 97 -1 +2 +6 0.7
202518 ROKACL Brewers 232196 521000 32472 53 265374316690 51344 2014 322 104 +1 -0 +7 0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
52,3194235196273297+25+15-1.9-0.9
/1626641210+7.1+4.3-0.5pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Frederi Montero (OGILVIE) 19 40 20 45 50 161/239/230 69268 68 40% 9% 22 -2.7
Michael De La Cruz
2015 · A
19 43 35→40 46→50 50 199/283/256 57281 210 28% 10% 52 -1.6 188/254/253 65290 39 33% 8% 38 -2.6 169/235/2275826521034%7%21-1.3
Nicoll Parra
2012 · A
18 39 36→30 44→55 45 183/264/252 70275 48 32% 8% 43 -2.2 197/307/251 54268 118 24% 12% 63 -0.9 186/321/2243825402722%14%60-0.3
Miguel Arrendell
2007 · A
19 40 37→30 45→50 39 186/256/255 70294 46 36% 7% 40 -2.4 198/289/259 61253 39 21% 10% 56 -1.3 193/300/2465424531220%12%56-0.4
Yohairo Cuevas
2023 · A
19 41→40 37→40 49→50 44 189/267/264 76304 49 36% 9% 47 -1.9 195/281/283 88315 514 36% 10% 59 -1.1 194/297/2889531051635%11%65-0.4
Terry Serrano
2006 · A
19 41 35→30 42→55 43 189/254/246 57294 29 34% 8% 37 -2.7 190/261/247 57266 315 27% 8% 40 -2.4 193/272/2515827421728%9%44-0.9
Sergio Burruel
2010 · A
19 45 37→30 45→30 43 213/264/286 73284 36 25% 6% 50 -1.7 203/270/264 61295 34 29% 8% 48 -1.9 241/305/316752938120%8%73-0.1
Alberto Mineo
2013 · A
19 42→49 36→40 47→30 44 195/264/259 64292 37 32% 8% 44 -2.1 193/261/260 67300 34 34% 8% 43 -2.2 224/287/296713083126%7%61-0.4
Kleiber Rodriguez
2018 · A
19 37 35→30 46→40 46 175/250/234 59244 25 27% 8% 33 -2.9 219/280/288 69282 35 21% 7% 58 -1.2 240/298/301612842415%8%67-0.2
Ismael Dionicio
2010 · A
19 41 36→30 48→55 41 189/254/254 65292 212 34% 7% 39 -2.5 212/265/261 49292 116 26% 6% 44 -2.1 243/295/2884632102323%6%60-0.3
Ronier Lascarro
2019 · A
18 43 35→40 47→50 47 199/274/261 62291 27 30% 9% 50 -1.8 201/287/276 75283 49 27% 10% 59 -1.1 200/308/2808024941019%12%66-0.3
Deivi Estrada
2019 · A
18 40 36→30 45→50 43 190/259/260 71280 210 31% 7% 43 -2.2 210/287/274 64290 39 26% 9% 58 -1.2 195/270/241462892830%8%41-0.7
Andres Martinez
2014 · A
19 43 37→30 47→45 42 200/267/273 74300 48 33% 7% 49 -1.8 211/277/277 66288 39 25% 7% 54 -1.4 206/276/2605427711024%7%45-0.6
Omar Alfonzo
2023 · A
19 36→40 37→45 48→40 48 171/261/237 65254 53 32% 10% 39 -2.5 205/290/309 104318 114 35% 10% 69 -0.4 200/285/30710731713238%10%64-0.5
Ayendy Perez
2013 · A
19 46 35→30 49→60 48 211/290/270 59283 112 24% 8% 58 -1.2 228/291/287 59290 124 20% 8% 62 -0.9 236/296/2895429503319%7%61-0.4
Jose Sanabria
2022 · A
19 39 35→30 44→50 41 183/258/245 61277 310 32% 7% 39 -2.5 200/274/259 59305 310 32% 8% 49 -1.8 190/266/2364629021132%9%37-1.2
Oswal Leones
2021 · A
20 41 36→30 46→50 46 196/259/262 66262 412 25% 7% 43 -2.2 196/259/262 66296 38 32% 7% 43 -2.2 176/243/231552712933%7%25-1.1
Ricardo Andujar
2013 · A
20 42→45 35→30 48→50 46 195/275/255 60279 29 29% 8% 48 -1.9 209/276/266 57275 111 22% 8% 50 -1.7 224/268/2866129721224%5%48-1.0
Shane Mardirosian
2015 · A
19 37→39 35→40 47→45 42 176/238/240 64244 29 27% 6% 28 -3.2 197/245/269 72275 410 28% 5% 38 -2.6 194/243/263682724928%5%33-1.3
Sauris Mejia
2015 · A
18 42 35→40 48→50 45 193/273/252 59282 213 30% 8% 47 -1.9 205/290/285 80293 612 29% 9% 63 -0.9 189/292/2647526571528%11%56-0.5
Yeniel Laboy
2023 · A
19 43 37→30 51→45 39 200/258/272 72317 49 36% 7% 44 -2.1 194/274/252 58279 36 29% 9% 47 -1.9 177/266/216392522528%9%34-1.1