Hector Castillo — OGILVIE

Hector Castillo P ACL Guardians

Age 19 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.30

FIP5.30

K%21.0%

BB%15.7%

K-BB%5.3%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	11	0	18	83	14	11	4	0%	1.6	11.5%	16.6%	-5.1%	6.7%	5.50	7.93	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	11	0	18	83	14	11	4	0%	1.6	11.5%	16.6%	-5.1%	6.7%	5.50	7.93	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	11	0	18	83	14	11	4	0%	1.6	16.9%	13.3%	3.6%	4.8%	5.50	6.27	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	18	0	31	142	41	20	0	0%	1.7	19.6%	17.6%	2.0%	0.0%	4.11	3.67	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	18	0	31	142	41	20	0	0%	1.7	19.6%	17.6%	2.0%	0.0%	4.11	3.67	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	18	0	31	142	41	20	0	0%	1.7	28.9%	14.1%	14.8%	0.0%	4.11	2.38	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	16	0	21	112	17	16	3	0%	1.3	10.3%	17.9%	-7.5%	3.8%	10.97	6.55	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	16	0	21	112	17	16	3	0%	1.3	10.3%	17.9%	-7.5%	3.8%	10.97	6.55	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	CLE	16	0	21	112	17	16	3	0%	1.3	15.2%	14.3%	0.9%	2.7%	10.97	5.10	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CLE	28	0	29	122	27	17	4	0%	1.0	21.7%	13.7%	8.0%	2.9%	5.06	4.96	-0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	CLE	13	0	14	59	13	8	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	13.7%	8.0%	2.9%	5.06	4.96	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	60	13	8	2	0%	1.0	21.7%	13.7%	8.0%	2.9%	5.06	4.58	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	112	28	0%	1.1	21.7%	13.7%	8.0%	2.9%	5.06	4.58	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		45	0	70	337	49	59	10	0%	1.6	14.5%	17.4%	-2.9%	2.9%	6.56	5.68	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		129	0	200	963	140	168	28	0%	1.6	14.5%	17.4%	-2.9%	2.9%	6.56	5.68	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hector Castillo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.30	21.0%	15.7%	2.9%	—	4.96	21.7%	8.0%	29	-0.34	—	—	—
Alejandro Lugo R 2021 · 4.91 FIP	18	SU	4.91	20.4%	16.7%	2.6%	.265	4.96	16.7%	3.1%	98	+0.05	3.77	159	90
Michael Brewer R 2021 · 4.30 FIP	20	SU	4.30	23.7%	16.2%	2.1%	.303	4.69	19.7%	6.3%	114	+0.39	3.14	144	88
Kyle Hinton R 2018 · 4.17 FIP	21	SU	4.17	23.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.275	5.69	17.7%	-0.7%	75	+1.52	4.17	106	86
Carlos De Los Santos R 2019 · 5.68 FIP	18	SU	5.68	16.9%	16.0%	3.6%	.286	3.95	20.9%	3.2%	86	-1.73	3.67	173	86
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	85
Chase Ingram R 2015 · 4.11 FIP	20	SU	4.11	23.2%	15.8%	1.8%	.244	4.14	15.8%	3.0%	154	+0.03	4.04	174	85
Joel Ibarra R 2021 · 4.13 FIP	19	SU	4.13	21.1%	16.3%	1.4%	.345	4.50	20.7%	1.6%	98	+0.37	4.08	155	85
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	85
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	85
Seth Mayberry R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	19	SU	4.12	18.3%	14.4%	1.4%	.270	3.41	23.6%	10.3%	53	-0.71	2.88	120	85
Aneudy Duarte R 2017 · 4.26 FIP	19	SU	4.26	20.4%	13.5%	2.1%	.320	4.79	17.1%	5.4%	34	+0.53	4.26	102	84
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.79	29.0%	15.6%	152	-1.12	3.38	209	84
Francisco Frias R 2023 · 5.74 FIP	18	SU	5.74	20.8%	14.1%	4.8%	.294	4.83	19.2%	2.2%	134	-0.91	4.00	148	84
Gerson Moreno R 2016 · 4.48 FIP	20	SU	4.48	18.6%	14.8%	2.0%	.278	4.13	23.0%	9.1%	67	-0.35	3.44	349	83
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	83
Daniel Procopio R 2017 · 4.33 FIP	21	SU	4.33	23.4%	18.8%	1.5%	.283	4.43	20.5%	6.5%	81	+0.10	4.16	103	83
Tim Naughton R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	21	SU	4.53	17.9%	15.6%	1.8%	.312	3.58	20.7%	6.4%	83	-0.95	2.93	305	82
Kevin Rodriguez R 2019 · 4.37 FIP	18	SU	4.37	17.4%	12.8%	2.0%	.279	4.14	16.7%	7.6%	41	-0.23	2.34	188	82
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	82
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	82