Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 15 | 0 | 25 | 107 | 33 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 21.0% | 17.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 5.13 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 15 | 0 | 25 | 107 | 33 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 30.8% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 1.9% | 4.26 | 3.30 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Blue | 12 | 2 | 39 | 173 | 44 | 15 | 3 | 17% | 3.2 | 17.3% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 2.54 | 4.60 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Blue | 12 | 2 | 39 | 173 | 44 | 15 | 3 | 17% | 3.2 | 25.4% | 8.7% | 16.8% | 1.7% | 2.54 | 3.00 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 14 | 0 | 15 | 76 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 16.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.11 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | BOS | 20 | 0 | 20 | 87 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.7% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.43 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 36 | 163 | 40 | 18 | 4 | — | — | 24.4% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 2.2% | 4.29 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | BOS | 20 | 0 | 22 | 91 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | BOS | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 3.92 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 189 | 76 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 41 | 2 | 80 | 356 | 66 | 50 | 9 | 5% | 1.9 | 18.5% | 14.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.39 | 4.78 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 103 | 5 | 200 | 894 | 166 | 126 | 24 | 5% | 1.9 | 18.5% | 14.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.39 | 4.78 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yander Bonaci (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 22.7% | 9.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.30 | 23.2% | 14.0% | 22 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Denny Bentley L 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.85 | 19.6% | 10.3% | 3.8% | .318 | 2.88 | 25.4% | 10.3% | 58 | -1.97 | 2.88 | 175 | 84 |
| Fabian Blanco L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.28 | 18.8% | 9.9% | 2.8% | .368 | 4.04 | 16.9% | 1.3% | 74 | -0.24 | 3.57 | 215 | 82 |
| Nick Dombkowski L 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.09 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .208 | 4.77 | 16.8% | 7.4% | 223 | +0.68 | 3.58 | 371 | 81 |
| Harry Gustin L 2029 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .331 | 4.42 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 89 | +0.45 | 3.77 | 132 | 81 |
| Ronnie Glenn L 2029 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.47 | 20.9% | 9.9% | 1.6% | .330 | 4.85 | 11.1% | -2.6% | 171 | +1.38 | 3.47 | 212 | 80 |
| Yokelvin Reyes L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.13 | 20.1% | 12.8% | 2.0% | .293 | 4.11 | 15.6% | 3.6% | 140 | -0.02 | 3.50 | 194 | 80 |
| Connor Curlis L 2028 · 3.49 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.49 | 19.3% | 10.8% | 1.2% | .306 | 6.24 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 172 | +2.75 | 3.49 | 309 | 79 |
| Vance Tatum L 2028 · 5.04 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.04 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 3.9% | .319 | 5.18 | 15.6% | 2.3% | 85 | +0.14 | 4.80 | 116 | 79 |
| Garvin Alston L 2029 · 4.29 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.29 | 19.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | .333 | 4.76 | 16.4% | 2.9% | 84 | +0.47 | 4.01 | 232 | 78 |
| Kenny Rosenberg L 2028 · 3.65 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.65 | 20.8% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .313 | 4.79 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 361 | +1.14 | 3.34 | 755 | 78 |
| Dominic LoBrutto L 2029 · 3.31 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.31 | 21.4% | 6.9% | 2.1% | .333 | 3.51 | 17.8% | 10.6% | 84 | +0.20 | 2.99 | 135 | 78 |
| Marlon Perez L 2029 · 3.25 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.25 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 1.3% | .250 | 4.25 | 22.9% | 12.2% | 103 | +1.00 | 3.25 | 145 | 77 |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.99 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .250 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.93 | 319 | 77 |
| Zach Morris L 2029 · 3.59 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.59 | 18.5% | 10.1% | 1.4% | .286 | 4.59 | 13.9% | 2.4% | 84 | +1.00 | 3.40 | 109 | 77 |
| Jeff Singer L 2029 · 3.23 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.23 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 1.0% | .263 | 3.54 | 22.6% | 10.4% | 174 | +0.31 | 2.83 | 292 | 77 |
| Anfernny Reyes L 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 19 | SU | 5.24 | 21.6% | 13.6% | 4.1% | .282 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 1.8% | 99 | -0.95 | 2.89 | 175 | 77 |
| Gregori Louis L 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 19 | SU | 5.16 | 25.4% | 13.1% | 4.6% | .364 | 4.99 | 19.1% | 2.9% | 89 | -0.17 | 3.58 | 131 | 77 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2029 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 76 |
| Daniel Juarez L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 18 | SU | 4.45 | 24.9% | 14.7% | 2.9% | .389 | 4.29 | 26.5% | 9.0% | 68 | -0.16 | 3.79 | 221 | 76 |
| Jonathan Hennigan L 2029 · 4.31 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.31 | 22.0% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .341 | 3.53 | 17.5% | 5.8% | 119 | -0.78 | 3.41 | 265 | 76 |