Josue Toledo

P ACL Brewers

Age 21 RHP 5'11" / 182 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKDSL Brewers B…	12	4	44	4.47	3.60	23.9%	13.2%	—	K 16.3% · BB 16.5% · FIP 4.89
2026	20	ROKMIL	16	0	14	7.90	5.51	24.3%	25.7%	—	K 16.5% · BB 32.1% · FIP 6.87
2027PROJ	21	MLBMIL	34	0	36	6.29	6.29	16.0%	20.0%	-0.7
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBMIL	20	0	21	5.88	5.75	17.9%	17.2%	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control25Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsGarrett Apker (age 23) · Jaydenn Estanista (age 21) · Johan Moreno (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 153144vR 136

ERA6.29

FIP6.29

K%16.0%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-4.0%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2525

CMD3030

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	10	5	34	158	25	17	5	50%	3.4	10.8%	13.4%	-2.7%	5.5%	6.88	6.90	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	10	5	34	158	25	17	5	50%	3.4	10.8%	13.4%	-2.7%	5.5%	6.88	6.90	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 2	10	5	34	158	25	17	5	50%	3.4	15.8%	10.8%	5.1%	3.2%	6.88	5.04	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	12	4	44	205	49	27	3	33%	3.7	16.3%	16.5%	-0.2%	2.0%	4.47	4.89	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	12	4	44	205	49	27	3	33%	3.7	16.3%	16.5%	-0.2%	2.0%	4.47	4.89	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Blue	12	4	44	205	49	27	3	33%	3.7	23.9%	13.2%	10.7%	1.5%	4.47	3.60	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	16	0	14	70	17	18	1	0%	0.9	16.5%	32.1%	-15.6%	2.0%	7.90	6.87	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	16	0	14	70	17	18	1	0%	0.9	16.5%	32.1%	-15.6%	2.0%	7.90	6.87	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	16	0	14	70	17	18	1	0%	0.9	24.3%	25.7%	-1.4%	1.4%	7.90	5.51	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	MIL	34	0	36	152	24	30	5	0%	1.1	16.0%	20.0%	-4.0%	3.0%	6.29	6.29	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIL	40	0	42	177	32	30	5	0%	1.0	17.9%	17.2%	0.7%	2.9%	5.88	5.75	-0.5
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIL	20	0	21	89	16	15	3	0%	1.1	17.9%	17.2%	0.7%	2.9%	5.88	5.75	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		20	0	21	87	16	15	3	0%	1.0	17.9%	17.2%	0.7%	2.9%	5.88	5.36	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	155	146	29	0%	1.1	17.9%	17.2%	0.7%	2.9%	5.88	5.36	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		38	9	92	433	62	78	14	24%	2.4	14.3%	17.9%	-3.6%	3.3%	5.87	5.95	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		83	20	200	941	135	168	31	24%	2.4	14.3%	17.9%	-3.6%	3.3%	5.87	5.95	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josue Toledo (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.29	16.0%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.75	17.9%	0.7%	42	-0.54	—	—	—
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	86
Jaydenn Estanista R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	21	SU	6.67	16.7%	25.7%	3.1%	.348	4.95	21.5%	5.6%	143	-1.72	4.59	230	85
Johan Moreno R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	21	SW	6.25	13.2%	16.7%	3.9%	.325	4.36	20.7%	8.0%	115	-1.89	3.09	216	85
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	84
Derrick Turnbow R 2000 · 6.58 FIP	22	SU	6.58	13.8%	19.9%	3.9%	.257	1.43	28.3%	22.6%	15	-5.15	1.43	245	84
Bernard Jose R 2024 · 6.14 FIP	21	SU	6.14	14.4%	19.0%	3.4%	.309	4.95	18.5%	6.4%	134	-1.19	4.44	222	84
Yovanny Cabrera R 2022 · 6.15 FIP	21	SU	6.15	17.5%	19.5%	3.8%	.274	4.91	18.2%	1.9%	128	-1.24	4.39	243	83
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	82
Joe Barlow R 2016 · 6.15 FIP	20	SW	6.15	13.6%	16.4%	3.9%	.269	3.72	29.5%	10.7%	116	-2.43	2.99	354	82
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	82
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	82
Andrew Moore R 2021 · 6.58 FIP	21	SU	6.58	12.9%	21.8%	3.3%	.263	3.75	26.5%	8.4%	103	-2.83	3.44	207	82
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	81
Noah Takacs R 2024 · 5.77 FIP	22	SU	5.77	12.5%	16.4%	3.0%	.301	5.68	13.4%	-2.3%	91	-0.09	5.25	130	81
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	81
Omar Ventura R 2018 · 5.82 FIP	21	SU	5.82	15.8%	21.6%	2.4%	.254	3.53	19.5%	3.1%	30	-2.29	3.53	125	81
Sandy Gaston R 2023 · 6.60 FIP	21	SW	6.60	17.7%	24.0%	3.6%	.295	4.96	22.7%	4.4%	131	-1.64	4.17	310	81
Bryant Salgado R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	21	SW	5.65	14.2%	20.4%	2.1%	.219	4.83	15.9%	3.5%	89	-0.82	4.83	110	81
Jonny Cuevas R 2022 · 5.83 FIP	21	SU	5.83	12.3%	18.2%	2.7%	.281	4.58	13.6%	2.6%	225	-1.25	4.37	334	80
Willians Vasquez R 2018 · 5.45 FIP	21	SU	5.45	12.2%	13.9%	3.0%	.292	3.20	13.9%	3.9%	30	-2.25	3.20	154	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	39	17.0%	18.5%	1.14	6.07
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*