Josue Toledo
P
ACL Brewers
Age 20
RHP
5'11" / 182 lbs
ROK
2026 ROS PROJECTION12 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 152142vR 133
ERA5.92
FIP5.92
K%14.9%
BB%16.1%
K-BB%-1.1%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers 2 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 158 | 25 | 17 | 5 | 50% | 3.4 | 10.8% | 13.4% | -2.7% | 7.2% | 6.88 | 7.84 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers 2 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 158 | 25 | 17 | 5 | 50% | 3.4 | 15.8% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 6.88 | 5.04 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Brewers Blue | 12 | 4 | 44 | 205 | 49 | 27 | 3 | 33% | 3.7 | 16.3% | 16.5% | -0.2% | 1.9% | 4.47 | 4.85 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Brewers Blue | 12 | 4 | 44 | 205 | 49 | 27 | 3 | 33% | 3.7 | 23.9% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 1.5% | 4.47 | 3.60 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 14 | 0 | 12 | 64 | 15 | 17 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 15.9% | 33.2% | -17.3% | 2.2% | 8.76 | 7.16 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIL | 26 | 0 | 27 | 113 | 17 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.9% | 16.1% | -1.1% | 3.0% | 5.92 | 5.92 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.9% | 16.1% | -1.1% | 3.0% | 5.92 | 5.92 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 39 | 177 | 32 | 35 | 4 | — | — | 18.0% | 19.9% | -1.9% | 2.5% | 6.81 | 6.31 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIL | 27 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 20 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 14.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.63 | 5.54 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIL | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 14.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.63 | 5.54 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 14.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.63 | 5.16 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 145 | 116 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 14.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.63 | 5.16 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 36 | 9 | 91 | 427 | 61 | 76 | 17 | 25% | 2.5 | 14.2% | 17.9% | -3.7% | 3.9% | 5.96 | 6.30 | -1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 79 | 20 | 200 | 942 | 134 | 168 | 37 | 25% | 2.5 | 14.2% | 17.9% | -3.7% | 3.9% | 5.96 | 6.30 | -2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josue Toledo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.92 | 14.9% | 16.1% | 3.0% | — | 5.54 | 16.6% | 2.1% | 28 | -0.38 | — | — | — |
| Over Galue R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.08 | 17.5% | 17.0% | 2.4% | .346 | 4.20 | 18.2% | 3.6% | 94 | -0.88 | 4.20 | 122 | 88 |
| Jose Pena Jr. R 2026 · 6.63 FIP | 20 | SU | 6.63 | 13.6% | 25.8% | 2.6% | .292 | 3.75 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 116 | -2.88 | 3.45 | 176 | 88 |
| David Landeta R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.11 | 14.5% | 15.3% | 2.4% | .353 | 3.86 | 16.8% | -0.4% | 64 | -1.25 | 3.64 | 111 | 88 |
| Eury Ramos R 2025 · 5.40 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.40 | 13.0% | 14.8% | 2.8% | .343 | 7.57 | 14.1% | 0.6% | 29 | +2.17 | 3.25 | 176 | 86 |
| Will Kobos R 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.58 | 19.3% | 16.0% | 3.8% | .313 | 3.34 | 26.6% | 11.6% | 76 | -2.24 | 2.44 | 139 | 86 |
| Ismael Maldonado R 2026 · 5.87 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.87 | 9.8% | 16.4% | 2.8% | .280 | 6.60 | 13.5% | -3.6% | 89 | +0.73 | 5.87 | 119 | 85 |
| Tanner Cooper R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.75 | 17.1% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .338 | 5.44 | 14.4% | 6.7% | 121 | +0.69 | 4.49 | 148 | 85 |
| Joe Barlow R 2026 · 6.15 FIP | 20 | SW | 6.15 | 13.6% | 16.4% | 3.9% | .269 | 3.64 | 29.5% | 10.7% | 116 | -2.51 | 3.04 | 354 | 85 |
| Tyler Driver R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.29 | 15.0% | 13.8% | 3.1% | .312 | 5.91 | 14.5% | 1.4% | 88 | +0.62 | 5.29 | 180 | 84 |
| Austin Amaral R 2028 · 5.80 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.80 | 12.1% | 14.4% | 3.4% | .254 | 3.65 | 17.6% | 5.7% | 99 | -2.15 | 3.55 | 122 | 84 |
| Juan Burgos R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.75 | 15.4% | 13.5% | 2.3% | .292 | 4.43 | 17.7% | 0.8% | 58 | -0.32 | 3.60 | 268 | 84 |
| Geison Urbaez R 2027 · 5.03 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.03 | 14.1% | 18.2% | 1.5% | .322 | 4.83 | 15.5% | 4.7% | 112 | -0.20 | 4.02 | 241 | 84 |
| Alejandro Méndez R 2026 · 5.81 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.81 | 14.6% | 14.5% | 3.9% | .321 | 5.56 | 15.8% | -7.5% | 91 | -0.25 | 4.70 | 136 | 84 |
| Eli Saul R 2027 · 5.49 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.49 | 12.6% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .305 | 5.48 | 13.8% | -2.9% | 98 | -0.01 | 5.40 | 157 | 83 |
| Alexis Liebano R 2026 · 6.12 FIP | 20 | SU | 6.12 | 11.8% | 24.2% | 1.7% | .312 | 5.87 | 17.7% | 3.8% | 112 | -0.25 | 4.80 | 142 | 83 |
| Darlin Pinales R 2026 · 6.67 FIP | 20 | SW | 6.67 | 17.0% | 27.6% | 2.8% | .350 | 4.37 | 22.6% | 1.2% | 101 | -2.30 | 3.49 | 198 | 83 |
| Justin Kelly R 2028 · 5.91 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.91 | 15.5% | 14.3% | 4.2% | .259 | 4.97 | 15.4% | 6.8% | 149 | -0.94 | 3.14 | 196 | 83 |
| Yunior Montero R 2028 · 4.82 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.82 | 16.9% | 14.1% | 2.5% | .276 | 4.59 | 21.5% | 6.2% | 91 | -0.23 | 3.60 | 127 | 82 |
| Yohanse Morel R 2026 · 6.09 FIP | 20 | SU | 6.09 | 14.9% | 15.4% | 4.2% | .311 | 4.74 | 19.1% | 5.2% | 114 | -1.35 | 3.33 | 263 | 82 |
| Juan Martinez R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.12 | 17.4% | 20.8% | 1.6% | .314 | 5.64 | 15.4% | -0.3% | 31 | +0.52 | 4.05 | 122 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 15.8% | 15.3% | 1.16 | 5.77 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |