Maikel Rodriguez

Maikel Rodriguez P DSL Miami

Age 20 RHP 6'1" / 180 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 21 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.35

FIP4.35

K%21.4%

BB%8.3%

K-BB%13.1%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	11	8	40	168	31	17	3	73%	3.6	12.5%	12.6%	-0.1%	1.4%	4.08	4.39	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	11	8	40	168	31	17	3	73%	3.6	12.5%	12.6%	-0.1%	1.4%	4.08	4.39	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	11	8	40	168	31	17	3	73%	3.6	18.5%	10.1%	8.3%	1.8%	4.08	3.81	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	11	0	35	145	38	7	2	0%	3.2	17.8%	6.0%	11.8%	1.4%	2.86	3.10	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	11	0	35	145	38	7	2	0%	3.2	17.8%	6.0%	11.8%	1.4%	2.86	3.10	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	11	0	35	145	38	7	2	0%	3.2	26.2%	4.8%	21.4%	1.4%	2.86	2.26	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	MIA	20	0	21	89	19	7	3	0%	1.1	21.4%	8.3%	13.1%	3.0%	4.35	4.35	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIA	31	0	33	138	30	11	4	0%	1.1	22.0%	8.2%	13.8%	2.9%	4.29	4.25	+0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIA	15	0	16	68	15	6	2	0%	1.1	22.0%	8.2%	13.8%	2.9%	4.29	4.25	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	68	15	6	2	0%	1.1	22.0%	8.2%	13.8%	2.9%	4.29	3.87	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	74	25	0%	1.1	22.0%	8.2%	13.8%	2.9%	4.29	3.87	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		22	8	74	313	47	30	4	36%	3.4	15.0%	9.6%	5.4%	1.4%	3.51	3.79	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	22	200	842	126	81	11	36%	3.4	15.0%	9.6%	5.4%	1.4%	3.51	3.79	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Maikel Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.35	21.4%	8.3%	3.0%	—	4.25	22.0%	13.8%	33	-0.10	—	—	—
Simon Mathews R 2017 · 4.09 FIP	21	SW	4.09	17.7%	7.5%	2.8%	.326	4.42	16.0%	5.9%	167	+0.33	4.09	215	84
Dawil Almonte R 2022 · 3.59 FIP	20	SW	3.59	17.4%	7.8%	1.8%	.271	4.54	14.7%	3.3%	97	+0.95	3.59	138	83
Geno Encina R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	21	SW	4.22	16.5%	6.8%	3.0%	.325	7.09	12.0%	2.3%	76	+2.87	4.22	200	82
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	82
Nick Gallagher R 2018 · 4.26 FIP	22	SW	4.26	17.2%	7.1%	3.1%	.310	4.55	22.4%	7.1%	90	+0.29	4.10	196	81
Jeury Espinal R 2024 · 3.45 FIP	17	SW	3.45	24.3%	6.2%	3.0%	.293	5.73	12.6%	-1.0%	76	+2.28	3.45	116	81
Cole Stapler R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	22	SW	3.83	19.2%	6.0%	2.9%	.266	3.31	18.1%	13.2%	220	-0.52	3.26	255	80
Clark Beeker R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	23	SW	4.04	20.0%	7.1%	3.2%	.270	4.35	11.6%	6.4%	244	+0.31	4.04	287	80
Felix Arronde R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	20	SW	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.98	15.8%	5.8%	344	+0.56	4.16	442	80
Jose Martinez R 2024 · 4.37 FIP	19	SW	4.37	18.8%	6.9%	3.6%	.305	4.31	20.2%	9.9%	72	-0.06	3.17	138	80
Joelvis Del Rosario R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	20	SP-	3.76	22.5%	8.0%	2.8%	.315	4.97	14.6%	6.0%	197	+1.21	3.13	286	80
Adolfo Oviedo R 2024 · 3.74 FIP	19	SP-	3.74	17.2%	8.1%	1.9%	.272	4.90	12.6%	5.2%	124	+1.16	3.74	235	79
Ricardo Brizuela R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	20	SW	4.09	17.0%	9.1%	2.3%	.305	4.49	15.6%	6.9%	157	+0.40	3.20	246	79
Rico Garcia R 2017 · 3.37 FIP	23	SP-	3.37	18.8%	7.0%	1.8%	.316	4.07	19.8%	11.5%	296	+0.70	3.37	592	79
Connor Cooke R 2022 · 3.35 FIP	22	SP-	3.35	23.7%	8.4%	2.2%	.350	4.10	24.4%	11.8%	56	+0.75	2.93	103	78
Jesus Carrera R 2024 · 3.17 FIP	19	SW	3.17	19.2%	8.3%	1.2%	.294	4.55	18.5%	8.1%	126	+1.38	2.24	171	78
Jose Montero R 2023 · 4.32 FIP	20	SW	4.32	16.8%	6.3%	3.4%	.393	4.45	15.5%	3.4%	300	+0.13	3.72	375	78
Yoanys Quiala R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	21	SW	3.28	17.1%	8.3%	1.0%	.275	4.14	13.5%	6.6%	263	+0.86	3.28	395	78
Marc Brakeman R 2016 · 3.85 FIP	22	SW	3.85	17.9%	7.1%	2.5%	.319	4.92	18.6%	5.0%	83	+1.07	3.85	156	78
David Lorduy R 2024 · 3.38 FIP	20	SW	3.38	18.1%	6.6%	1.8%	.233	5.44	17.1%	5.1%	126	+2.06	3.38	269	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	21.7%	8.2%	1.13	4.31
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
David Carpenter ('19)	1.1	43	23.5%	8.4%	0.92	3.69
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04