José Castro

OF DSL Miami

Age 20 R/R 6'3" / 180 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

Scout OFP40ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKDSL Miami	219	.148/.336/.254	5	8	5	—	.071/.221/.093
2025	18	ROKDSL Miami	238	.264/.401/.585	16	8	43	—	.133/.257/.246
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBMIA	348	.195/.275/.291	5	5	62	-0.3
2028PROJ25% MLB	21	MLBMIA	32	.195/.277/.302	1	1	70	-0.1
2029PROJ38% MLB	22	MLBMIA	106	.201/.282/.320	2	2	77	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

ISO99

wOBA94

wRC+90

Chase%83

BB%54

Z-Con%54

CompsAlexander Canario (age 19) · Jhostynxon Garcia (age 20) · Jhonkensy Noel (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 97 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .273 / .289

PA97

HR1

K%30

BB%9

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT37

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	219	169	25	3	0	5	44	73	4	8	6	148	336	254	591	107	215	33	20	289	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	238	193	51	14	0	16	34	62	10	8	7	264	401	585	986	321	302	26	14	426	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	219	182	13	1	0	1	31	88	4	8	6	71	221	93	315	22	131	40	14	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	238	203	27	8	0	5	24	73	10	8	7	133	257	246	504	113	171	31	10	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	219	182	13	1	0	1	31	88	4	8	6	71	221	93	315	22	126	40	14	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	219	169	25	3	0	5	44	73	4	8	6	148	336	254	591	107	215	33	20	289	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	238	203	27	8	0	5	24	73	10	8	7	133	257	246	504	113	175	31	10	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	238	193	51	14	0	16	34	62	10	8	7	264	401	585	986	321	302	26	14	426	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	219	182	13	1	0	1	31	88	4	8	6	71	221	93	315	22	131	40	14	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	238	202	27	8	0	5	24	73	10	8	7	134	257	248	505	114	171	31	10	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	219	182	13	1	0	1	31	88	4	8	6	71	221	93	315	22	131	40	14	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	238	202	27	8	0	5	24	73	10	8	7	134	257	248	505	114	171	31	10	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	348	310	60	11	2	5	30	103	5	5	2	195	275	291	567	97	270	30	9	260	62	-16	+0	-2	-2	+8	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIA	25%	130	116	24	4	1	3	11	38	2	2	1	202	283	315	598	113	273	29	8	272	70	-5	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.3
2029	22	MLB MLE	MIA	38%	278	248	51	9	2	6	24	80	4	5	1	208	289	335	624	127	275	29	9	282	77	-8	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.3
2030	23	MLB MLE	MIA	45%	383	342	73	13	2	10	33	108	5	6	2	213	293	351	644	138	277	28	9	290	82	-8	+0	-0	-2	+8	-0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	454	405	87	15	2	13	40	127	6	7	2	217	297	364	661	146	279	28	9	296	87	-7	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	MIA	50%	498	444	98	17	3	15	44	137	7	8	3	221	300	373	673	153	280	28	9	301	90	-6	+0	+0	-3	+11	0.3
2033	26	MLB MLE	MIA	50%	523	465	104	18	3	17	46	144	7	8	3	222	301	378	679	157	280	28	9	303	91	-5	+0	+0	-3	+11	0.4
2034	27	MLB MLE	MIA	50%	535	476	105	18	3	17	47	148	7	8	3	220	300	376	675	155	279	28	9	302	90	-6	+0	+0	-3	+12	0.3
2035	28	MLB MLE	MIA	50%	538	479	106	18	3	17	47	150	7	7	3	219	298	371	668	152	278	28	9	299	89	-7	+0	-0	-3	+12	0.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	MIA	49%	533	475	104	18	3	16	46	150	7	7	3	216	295	364	659	148	277	28	9	295	86	-9	+0	-1	-3	+12	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIA	25%	32	29	6	1	0	1	3	9	0	1	0	195	277	302	578	106	264	28	9	265	70	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	MIA	38%	106	95	19	3	1	2	9	30	1	2	1	201	282	320	603	119	266	28	8	274	77	-3	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	MIA	45%	174	155	31	5	1	4	15	49	2	3	1	206	287	335	622	129	268	28	9	281	82	-4	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	218	194	41	7	1	6	19	61	3	4	1	210	290	347	638	137	270	28	9	287	87	-3	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.0
2032	25	MLB CTX	MIA	50%	247	220	47	8	1	7	22	68	3	4	1	213	293	356	649	143	271	28	9	292	90	-3	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2033	26	MLB CTX	MIA	50%	264	236	50	8	1	8	23	73	3	4	1	214	294	361	655	147	271	28	9	294	91	-3	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	MIA	50%	268	239	50	8	1	8	24	74	3	4	1	213	293	359	652	146	270	28	9	293	90	-3	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.2
2035	28	MLB CTX	MIA	50%	267	239	50	8	1	8	23	75	3	4	1	211	291	354	645	143	269	28	9	290	89	-4	+0	-0	-2	+6	0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	MIA	49%	259	231	48	8	1	7	23	73	3	3	1	209	288	348	636	140	268	28	9	287	86	-4	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1835	1638	342	56	8	51	161	512	21	29	8	209	288	346	634	137	269	28	9	288	80	-28	+3	-1	-11	+40	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	121	20	3	18	57	181	7	10	3	209	287	347	633	138	268	28	9	288	80	-10	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4426	3923	809	142	23	121	401	1272	67	75	34	206	291	347	637	140	269	29	9	286	80	-65	+3	-3	-24	+86	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	119	21	3	18	59	187	10	11	5	207	291	347	639	141	270	29	9	286	80	-11	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ricky Ledee'98-'07 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,307 PA	3.5	2,307	63	29	233*	311*	398*	-19	-6	2.4	3.1
/162	664	18	8	-5.5	-1.8	0.7	pk7: 4
#4Dave Nicholson'60-'67 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,661 PA	2.5	1,661	61	6	213*	321*	402*	-16	-6	2.5	2.5
/162	664	24	2	-6.6	-2.4	1.0	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.9	1,932	55	29	217	293	364	-12	+0	1.3	1.4
/162	664	19	10	-4.0	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 2
#5Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
José Castro (OGILVIE)	20	20→37	35→57	45	45	193/273/289	96	270	1	1	30%	9%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	39→36	41→60	47→50	46	193/265/292	98	258	9	12	28%	8%	59	-1.7	209/266/356	147	291	17	11	33%	7%	74	-0.5	210/280/412	202	285	27	13	35%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	36→44	40→50	47→50	46	175/264/271	96	263	7	8	34%	10%	55	-2.0	204/267/339	135	290	14	10	33%	7%	70	-0.8	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2021 · A	20	40→42	43→55	47→45	42	202/266/309	107	265	11	7	28%	6%	63	-1.3	222/273/394	172	288	23	5	31%	5%	86	+0.3	200/264/382	182	250	25	1	31%	6%	78	-0.3
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2024 · A	20	41→44	42→60	45→30	40	201/268/308	107	300	10	5	34%	7%	63	-1.3	207/289/374	167	303	21	3	37%	9%	88	+0.4	207/300/402	195	286	26	2	35%	10%	96	+0.8
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	39→50	45→50	45	198/273/287	89	286	6	8	31%	8%	61	-1.5	229/297/377	148	305	16	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Rainel Rosario 2009 · A	20	36→46	40→50	45→50	39	175/249/270	95	283	8	9	38%	8%	49	-2.4	208/275/324	116	312	9	9	34%	7%	70	-0.8	246/301/378	133	280	16	6	18%	7%	88	+0.4
●Christopher Morel 2019 · A	20	37→46	39→60	45→50	46	181/249/261	80	230	7	12	24%	7%	46	-2.6	208/254/327	119	292	11	11	31%	5%	62	-1.4	225/302/430	205	283	27	10	30%	9%	105	+1.6
✕Randy Guzman 2024 · A	19	35	37→55	47→45	43	163/256/235	72	285	5	4	40%	10%	44	-2.8	199/268/320	121	298	12	4	35%	7%	67	-1.1	226/292/392	166	312	19	4	32%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Nahum Hernandez 2010 · A	20	37	37→40	44→50	44	182/249/251	69	238	5	5	25%	6%	44	-2.8	218/293/305	87	277	6	10	22%	8%	72	-0.7	244/336/340	97	290	6	15	16%	10%	92	+0.2
✕Michael Hermosillo 2015 · A	20	42→49	39→55	51→55	43	201/272/293	93	294	6	11	32%	8%	61	-1.5	221/297/300	79	293	5	17	24%	8%	73	-0.6	234/309/359	124	316	12	20	28%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Rodolfo Castro 2019 · A	20	39→42	44→55	47→50	37	198/240/315	117	272	11	5	31%	5%	54	-2.0	203/245/352	149	282	17	6	33%	5%	65	-1.2	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Chris Jacobs 2009 · A	20	43→39	40→55	44→40	42	204/269/291	87	310	7	4	35%	8%	59	-1.6	204/263/323	119	319	12	3	37%	7%	65	-1.2	208/285/381	173	295	24	2	36%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Agustín Ramírez 2022 · A	20	36→46	43→55	43→55	40	184/244/295	111	273	10	4	35%	7%	51	-2.2	225/286/365	140	284	15	12	25%	7%	84	+0.1	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Jon Waltenbury 2008 · A	20	42→41	40→55	45→40	43	201/267/293	92	287	8	5	31%	8%	60	-1.6	219/269/326	107	289	9	3	26%	6%	68	-1.0	217/266/323	105	283	9	1	26%	6%	62	-0.9
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	37	39→45	47→45	49	178/272/261	83	262	6	6	32%	10%	55	-1.9	190/264/264	74	295	5	6	34%	9%	52	-2.2	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
●Austin Dean 2014 · A	20	41→51	40→55	45	46	197/272/291	94	271	7	6	28%	8%	61	-1.5	236/283/332	96	298	7	6	22%	6%	74	-0.6	262/308/421	159	310	17	4	21%	5%	101	+1.0
✕Garrett Whitley 2017 · A	20	41→38	42→50	47→55	44	198/268/304	106	282	9	9	31%	8%	63	-1.4	194/275/315	121	338	12	13	42%	9%	68	-1.0	169/262/306	137	296	13	18	43%	10%	60	-1.0
✕Stone Garrett 2016 · A	20	42→39	35→55	49→50	38	198/237/257	59	280	3	7	29%	5%	38	-3.2	172/211/256	84	307	7	8	44%	4%	30	-3.8	223/282/387	164	300	20	11	31%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	41→42	45→50	49→50	42	206/277/332	126	281	12	8	30%	7%	73	-0.6	219/279/362	143	273	18	5	26%	6%	80	-0.1	214/275/354	140	261	19	5	25%	6%	74	-0.4

José Castro

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps