José Castro — OGILVIE

José CastroOF DSL Miami

Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 180 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 208 proj PA

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .287 / .323

PA17

HR0

K%29

BB%9

ISO122

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	219	169	25	3	0	5	44	73	4	8	6	148	336	254	591	107	215	33	20	289	82	-5	-1	—	—	+5	-0.1
2025	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	238	193	51	14	0	16	34	62	10	8	7	264	401	585	986	321	302	26	14	426	174	+21	-1	—	—	+5	2.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	219	186	15	1	0	2	27	103	4	8	6	81	212	118	330	38	158	47	12	171	2	-26	-1	—	—	+5	-2.2
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	238	205	33	9	0	8	22	86	10	8	7	161	274	322	596	161	212	36	9	260	62	-11	-1	—	—	+5	-0.7
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	219	186	15	1	0	2	27	103	4	8	6	81	212	118	330	38	157	47	12	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	219	169	25	3	0	5	44	73	4	8	6	148	336	254	591	107	215	33	20	289	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	238	205	33	9	0	8	22	86	10	8	7	161	274	322	596	161	223	36	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	238	193	51	14	0	16	34	62	10	8	7	264	401	585	986	321	302	26	14	426	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	219	186	15	1	0	2	27	103	4	8	6	81	212	118	330	38	158	47	12	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	238	204	33	9	0	8	22	86	10	8	7	162	274	324	598	162	212	36	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	219	186	15	1	0	2	27	103	4	8	6	81	212	118	330	38	158	47	12	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	238	204	33	9	0	8	22	86	10	8	7	162	274	324	598	162	212	36	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	17	15	3	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	200	294	267	561	67	275	29	12	280	76	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	MIA	25%	283	251	53	10	1	7	26	80	4	4	2	211	295	343	638	131	279	28	9	293	84	-5	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIA	38%	396	350	77	14	2	11	37	109	6	6	2	220	305	366	671	146	281	28	9	301	90	-5	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	MIA	45%	477	423	93	17	2	14	44	129	7	8	3	220	304	369	673	149	283	27	9	308	94	-3	+0	+0	-3	+10	0.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	MIA	49%	530	468	106	19	3	17	49	142	8	9	3	226	310	389	699	162	284	27	9	312	97	-2	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.8
2031	24	MLB MLE	MIA	50%	564	497	114	21	3	18	53	150	9	9	3	229	315	392	707	163	285	27	9	315	99	-1	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.9
2032	25	MLB MLE	MIA	51%	584	515	118	21	3	20	55	155	9	9	3	229	314	398	712	169	285	27	9	316	100	+0	+1	+0	-4	+13	1.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	MIA	51%	594	524	120	22	3	20	56	158	9	10	4	229	314	397	711	168	285	27	9	317	101	+1	+0	+0	-4	+13	1.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	MIA	50%	596	525	120	22	3	20	57	159	9	10	4	229	315	396	711	168	285	27	10	317	101	+1	+0	+0	-4	+13	1.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	MIA	50%	592	521	119	21	3	20	57	159	9	9	3	228	315	395	711	167	284	27	10	316	100	+0	+1	-0	-4	+13	1.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	583	513	116	21	3	19	56	157	9	9	3	226	313	390	703	164	283	27	10	315	99	-1	+1	-1	-3	+13	0.8
2037	30	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	573	504	114	20	3	19	55	156	9	8	3	226	313	391	704	165	282	27	10	312	97	-2	+0	-2	-3	+12	0.6
2038	31	MLB MLE	MIA	58%	559	491	108	19	2	18	54	154	9	8	3	220	309	377	685	157	279	28	10	308	94	-4	+0	-2	-3	+12	0.3
2039	32	MLB MLE	MIA	60%	541	476	103	18	2	17	52	151	8	7	3	216	304	370	674	153	276	28	10	302	91	-6	+0	-3	-3	+12	-0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	MIA	25%	70	63	13	2	0	2	6	20	1	1	0	206	286	333	619	127	271	29	9	274	84	-1	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIA	38%	151	134	29	5	1	4	14	42	2	2	1	216	300	358	658	142	273	28	9	282	90	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	MIA	45%	217	192	41	7	1	6	20	59	3	3	1	214	298	354	652	141	275	27	9	288	94	-1	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	MIA	49%	261	231	51	9	1	8	24	70	4	4	2	221	305	372	677	152	276	27	9	292	97	-1	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	MIA	50%	284	251	56	10	1	9	27	76	4	5	2	223	309	378	687	155	277	27	10	295	99	-0	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	MIA	51%	297	262	58	10	2	9	28	79	5	5	2	221	308	378	686	156	277	27	9	297	100	+0	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	MIA	51%	304	267	60	10	2	10	29	81	5	5	2	225	312	390	702	165	277	27	10	297	101	+0	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	MIA	50%	301	264	59	10	1	10	29	80	5	5	2	223	312	383	695	159	276	27	10	297	101	+0	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.6
2035	28	MLB CTX	MIA	50%	296	261	57	10	1	9	28	79	5	5	2	218	306	368	674	149	276	27	9	297	100	+0	+0	-0	-2	+6	0.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	311	273	59	10	1	10	30	84	5	5	2	216	305	370	675	154	275	27	10	295	99	-0	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.4
2037	30	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	321	282	60	10	1	10	31	87	5	5	2	213	302	362	664	149	274	27	10	292	97	-1	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.3
2038	31	MLB CTX	MIA	58%	324	285	60	10	1	10	31	89	5	5	2	211	299	358	657	147	271	27	10	288	94	-2	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.2
2039	32	MLB CTX	MIA	60%	322	283	59	10	1	9	31	90	5	4	2	208	298	346	644	138	268	28	10	283	91	-4	+0	-2	-2	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3459	3048	662	113	14	106	328	936	54	54	22	217	304	368	672	151	275	27	9	292	93	-12	+2	-4	-21	+75	4.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	125	21	3	20	62	176	10	10	4	218	305	370	675	152	276	27	10	292	93	-2	+0	-1	-4	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	7346	6464	1412	256	33	230	702	2053	119	122	52	218	307	375	682	157	280	28	10	305	93	-27	+6	-6	-41	+149	8.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	125	23	3	20	62	182	11	11	5	219	307	374	681	156	282	28	10	305	93	-3	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.5	3,668	116	57	225	307	384	-22	+0	6.5	5.6
/162	664	21	10	-4.0	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 5
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
José Castro (OGILVIE)	19	40	55	45	63	203/287/323	121	275	4	3	29%	9%	76	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Davis Schneider 2018 · A	19	40→43	41→55	48→50	50	195/275/298	102	255	8	6	26%	9%	64	-1.3	195/268/291	96	304	8	7	35%	8%	60	-1.6	209/318/396	187	271	23	9	30%	12%	102	+1.1
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2023 · A	19	41→43	44→55	44→30	42	200/278/315	116	290	12	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	197/274/331	134	305	16	4	38%	8%	72	-0.7	202/297/392	190	283	25	2	36%	10%	92	+0.6
✕Ryan Vilade 2018 · A	19	47→51	44→55	45→50	48	226/304/342	117	319	12	8	31%	10%	85	+0.2	228/286/320	92	299	7	12	24%	7%	72	-0.7	225/289/385	159	278	18	15	25%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	41	42→45	47→50	43	203/277/306	103	268	9	7	27%	6%	67	-1.1	224/283/326	102	290	5	11	24%	5%	73	-0.6	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	73	-0.3
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→50	46→60	43→30	45	215/275/340	125	273	14	3	26%	7%	74	-0.6	209/254/346	137	287	16	2	32%	5%	68	-1.0	243/303/441	198	304	26	1	28%	7%	106	+1.5
✕Ravel Santana 2011 · A	19	43	46→50	51→55	47	216/296/344	128	273	15	16	26%	8%	83	+0.1	220/281/361	141	294	15	13	29%	7%	80	-0.1	205/253/387	182	264	22	15	31%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Edwin Sanchez 2023 · A	18	41	44→45	43→50	47	201/290/315	114	282	12	6	31%	9%	74	-0.5	200/313/311	111	277	10	9	29%	11%	83	+0.1	178/321/293	116	239	11	11	27%	14%	82	+0.0
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	41→34	42→60	47→50	44	201/268/307	106	272	10	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	210/265/358	148	294	18	11	33%	6%	74	-0.5	201/270/393	193	274	26	13	36%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Jesus Vasquez 2011 · A	19	40	43→55	47→55	38	200/249/313	113	263	10	11	28%	4%	57	-1.8	215/279/346	131	293	14	14	30%	6%	77	-0.3	221/297/387	166	294	19	20	30%	8%	97	+0.5
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	43→41	41→50	47→50	51	206/290/306	101	284	7	8	28%	10%	72	-0.7	190/261/308	118	286	11	9	35%	8%	61	-1.5	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Jesus Morelli 2009 · A	19	49	42→45	48→50	49	234/311/346	112	300	9	12	24%	8%	88	+0.5	220/282/290	70	304	4	10	27%	6%	64	-1.3	219/279/260	41	287	0	14	22%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	73	-0.6	183/264/287	104	286	10	6	37%	8%	58	-1.7	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	40	-0.9
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→40	44→55	44→45	43	197/263/310	113	267	13	9	30%	8%	63	-1.4	199/261/321	122	254	13	9	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/271/392	175	242	26	8	23%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Joe Benson 2007 · A	19	41→50	42→55	46→50	41	204/254/311	107	275	9	10	28%	6%	59	-1.7	211/280/305	94	316	6	13	33%	7%	68	-1.0	229/306/401	172	313	18	15	31%	8%	97	+0.8
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→55	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	84	+0.1	213/299/399	186	281	23	6	32%	9%	97	+1.1	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	232/305/356	123	310	12	12	28%	8%	88	+0.5	236/300/363	127	303	12	16	25%	7%	88	+0.4	241/304/389	148	298	14	15	23%	7%	93	+0.6
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	218/268/339	121	285	11	12	27%	6%	70	-0.8	228/293/365	137	300	15	16	28%	8%	86	+0.3	232/299/370	138	298	16	19	26%	8%	87	+0.3
●Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	37→47	43→55	45→50	46	184/266/293	108	267	10	7	33%	10%	60	-1.6	197/285/328	131	277	13	9	31%	11%	75	-0.5	225/304/406	181	290	21	8	29%	10%	98	+1.1
✕Miguel Amaya 2019 · A	20	43→41	43→50	48→40	44	212/277/322	110	267	11	4	25%	6%	70	-0.8	210/288/334	124	267	13	4	25%	8%	78	-0.3	212/319/354	142	290	16	3	30%	10%	93	+0.3
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2011 · A	19	44→48	49→55	45→30	40	227/269/372	145	280	17	4	26%	5%	78	-0.3	207/243/347	140	252	18	3	26%	4%	63	-1.4	238/283/415	178	287	23	1	26%	4%	92	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps