José Castro — OGILVIE

José CastroOF DSL Miami

Age 19 R/R 6'3" / 180 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 208 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .286 / .313

PA208

HR4

K%29

BB%9

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$7M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.2	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.2M
Totals		$14M		$32M	+$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	219	185	14	1	0	1	28	102	4	8	6	76	212	97	309	22	155	47	13	166	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	219	169	25	3	0	5	44	73	4	8	6	148	336	254	591	107	215	33	20	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	238	205	33	9	0	7	22	83	10	8	7	161	274	307	582	146	224	35	9	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	238	193	51	14	0	16	34	62	10	8	7	264	401	585	986	321	302	26	14	426	184	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	MIA	—	208	184	37	7	1	4	19	60	3	3	1	201	286	315	602	114	275	29	9	276	69	-7	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	MIA	25%	283	251	53	10	1	7	26	79	4	4	2	211	295	343	638	131	279	28	9	290	80	-6	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.0
2028	21	MLB	MIA	38%	396	350	77	14	2	11	37	108	6	6	2	220	305	366	671	146	281	27	9	299	87	-6	+0	+0	-2	+11	0.4
2029	22	MLB	MIA	45%	477	422	94	17	2	14	45	128	7	8	3	223	308	372	680	149	283	27	9	306	92	-4	+0	+0	-3	+14	0.7
2030	23	MLB	MIA	49%	530	467	106	19	3	16	50	141	8	9	3	227	312	383	696	156	284	27	9	310	96	-3	+1	+0	-3	+15	1.0
2031	24	MLB	MIA	50%	564	497	113	20	3	18	53	150	9	9	3	227	313	388	701	161	285	27	9	314	98	-1	+1	+0	-3	+16	1.3
2032	25	MLB	MIA	51%	584	515	118	21	3	19	55	155	9	9	3	229	314	392	707	163	286	27	9	316	100	-0	+1	+0	-4	+17	1.4
2033	26	MLB	MIA	51%	594	524	120	21	3	20	56	157	9	10	4	229	314	395	709	166	285	26	9	317	101	+0	+0	+0	-4	+17	1.5
2034	27	MLB	MIA	50%	596	525	120	21	3	20	57	158	9	10	4	229	315	394	709	166	285	27	10	317	101	+0	+0	+0	-4	+17	1.5
2035	28	MLB	MIA	50%	592	521	119	21	3	20	57	158	9	9	3	228	315	395	711	167	285	27	10	316	100	-0	+1	-0	-4	+17	1.4
2036	29	MLB	MIA	53%	583	512	117	21	3	19	57	157	9	9	3	229	317	393	709	164	284	27	10	314	98	-1	+1	-1	-3	+17	1.2
2037	30	MLB	MIA	56%	573	503	113	20	3	18	56	156	9	8	3	225	313	384	697	159	282	27	10	311	96	-2	+0	-2	-3	+16	0.9
2027	20	MLB	MIA	25%	70	62	13	2	0	2	7	20	1	1	0	210	300	339	639	129	274	29	10	275	68	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	MIA	38%	151	134	29	5	1	4	14	41	2	2	1	216	300	358	658	142	277	27	9	284	75	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2029	22	MLB	MIA	45%	217	192	42	8	1	6	20	58	3	3	1	219	302	365	667	146	278	27	9	290	80	-5	+0	+0	-1	+6	0.0
2030	23	MLB	MIA	49%	261	231	51	9	1	8	24	70	4	4	2	221	305	372	677	152	279	27	9	295	84	-5	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2031	24	MLB	MIA	50%	284	251	56	10	1	9	27	75	4	5	2	223	309	378	687	155	280	26	10	298	86	-5	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2032	25	MLB	MIA	51%	297	262	58	10	2	9	28	79	5	5	2	221	308	378	686	156	281	27	9	300	87	-4	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.3
2033	26	MLB	MIA	51%	304	267	61	11	2	10	29	81	5	5	2	228	316	397	713	169	280	27	10	301	88	-4	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.3
2034	27	MLB	MIA	50%	301	264	60	11	1	10	29	80	5	5	2	227	315	390	706	163	280	27	10	301	88	-4	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.3
2035	28	MLB	MIA	50%	296	260	57	10	1	9	29	79	5	5	2	219	310	369	679	150	280	27	10	300	88	-4	+0	-0	-2	+8	0.3
2036	29	MLB	MIA	53%	311	273	61	11	1	10	30	84	5	5	2	223	312	381	693	158	279	27	10	298	86	-5	+0	-1	-2	+9	0.2
2037	30	MLB	MIA	56%	321	282	62	11	1	10	31	87	5	5	2	220	308	372	681	152	277	27	10	295	84	-6	+0	-1	-2	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2813	2478	550	98	12	87	268	754	44	45	18	222	309	377	685	155	280	27	10	296	85	-48	+2	-0	-17	+80	1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	128	23	3	20	62	174	10	10	4	223	310	379	689	155	283	27	10	296	85	-11	+0	-0	-4	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	6437	5661	1234	222	30	194	618	1792	105	110	47	218	307	371	677	153	280	28	10	303	90	-72	+3	+0	-39	+182	7.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	125	22	3	20	62	181	11	11	5	219	307	372	679	154	281	28	10	303	90	-7	+0	+0	-4	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	219	169	25	3	0	5	44	73	4	8	6	148	336	254	591	107	215	33	20	289	79	-5	-1	—	—	+6	0.0
2025	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	238	193	51	14	0	16	34	62	10	8	7	264	401	585	986	321	302	26	14	426	184	+23	-1	—	—	+7	2.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2José Hernándezlast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,901 PA	7	2,901	95	17	254	316	413	-11	+5	8.5	8.5
	/162	664	22	4	254	316	413	-2.4	+1.0	1.9	pk7: 8
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,021	93	48	225	308	382	-18	+0	5.4	5.0
	/162	664	20	10	225	308	382	-4.0	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 5
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
José Castro (OGILVIE)	19	40	55	45	64	201/286/313	112	275	4	3	29%	9%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Davis Schneider 2018 · A	19	40→43	41→60	48→50	50	195/275/298	102	255	8	6	26%	9%	59	-1.1	195/268/291	96	304	8	7	35%	8%	55	-1.4	212/321/414	202	270	25	9	30%	13%	108	+1.7
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2023 · A	19	41→43	45→55	44→40	43	204/283/326	122	290	12	5	32%	8%	71	-0.3	195/273/328	133	307	15	4	39%	8%	67	-0.5	202/290/390	188	286	26	2	37%	9%	87	+0.6
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	41	42→45	47→50	43	203/277/306	103	268	9	7	27%	6%	63	-0.9	224/283/326	102	290	5	11	24%	5%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	41→34	42→60	47→50	44	201/268/307	106	272	10	12	29%	7%	59	-1.1	209/264/358	149	293	18	11	34%	6%	70	-0.3	205/276/414	209	281	28	13	37%	8%	87	+0.5
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→49	46→60	43→30	45	215/275/340	125	273	14	3	26%	7%	70	-0.3	206/250/349	143	284	18	2	33%	5%	62	-0.9	245/305/447	202	325	28	0	32%	7%	109	+2.0
✕Jesus Vasquez 2011 · A	19	40	43→55	47→55	38	200/249/313	113	263	10	11	28%	4%	52	-1.6	215/279/346	131	293	14	14	30%	6%	74	-0.1	221/297/387	166	294	19	20	30%	8%	97	+0.7
●Joe Benson 2007 · A	19	41→48	42→60	46→50	41	204/254/311	107	275	9	10	28%	6%	53	-1.5	211/280/305	94	316	6	13	33%	7%	63	-0.8	230/308/424	194	312	22	15	32%	8%	104	+1.5
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Armando Sierra 2023 · A	19	46	41→45	43→40	47	225/288/323	98	278	9	4	22%	7%	71	-0.3	214/269/315	101	304	9	4	31%	6%	60	-1.0	191/241/289	98	292	10	0	37%	6%	39	-0.5
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	42→41	39→55	47→50	50	201/285/293	92	282	6	8	29%	10%	63	-0.9	187/257/303	116	284	10	9	35%	7%	53	-1.5	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
●Christopher Morel 2019 · A	20	38→46	41→60	45→50	45	191/254/284	93	244	9	12	26%	7%	46	-2.0	204/249/323	119	290	12	11	33%	5%	54	-1.4	224/302/430	206	282	27	10	30%	9%	102	+1.8
✕Edwin Sanchez 2023 · A	18	41	44→45	43→50	46	200/288/314	114	285	12	6	32%	9%	70	-0.3	198/309/305	107	277	9	9	29%	11%	78	+0.2	174/315/284	109	237	10	11	27%	13%	75	+0.0
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	218/268/339	121	285	11	12	27%	6%	66	-0.6	230/295/375	145	298	17	16	27%	8%	88	+0.9	233/300/377	144	296	17	19	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A	20	39	43→45	42→50	48	193/294/300	106	278	11	10	32%	10%	69	-0.4	183/263/286	103	286	10	6	37%	8%	52	-1.6	153/236/254	101	237	11	2	38%	9%	32	-0.9
✕Jesus Morelli 2009 · A	19	49	42→45	48→50	49	234/311/346	112	300	9	12	24%	8%	87	+0.8	220/282/289	69	304	4	10	27%	6%	59	-1.1	219/279/260	41	287	0	14	22%	6%	47	-0.5
●Austin Dean 2013 · A	19	40→50	39→55	44→45	45	192/263/277	85	266	5	5	28%	8%	49	-1.8	227/283/320	93	296	7	6	24%	6%	68	-0.5	250/302/412	163	300	18	6	23%	6%	97	+1.2
✕Ryan Vilade 2018 · A	19	47→51	44→50	45→50	48	226/304/342	117	319	12	8	31%	10%	83	+0.6	221/283/308	87	294	6	12	25%	7%	64	-0.8	227/289/416	189	269	24	16	25%	7%	94	+0.8
✕Anthony García 2011 · A	19	45→47	43→55	50→45	48	220/295/332	113	264	11	6	21%	8%	77	+0.1	220/281/378	158	284	17	5	28%	5%	83	+0.6	221/293/362	141	269	17	4	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	41	43→50	47→40	43	202/274/320	118	277	9	6	29%	7%	65	-0.7	227/287/334	107	295	8	5	24%	7%	73	-0.1	248/308/368	120	321	11	2	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→35	45→55	44→45	44	197/265/314	117	266	13	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	203/264/335	132	259	15	9	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/269/389	177	241	26	8	24%	6%	78	+0.1