Rafael Lasorsa — OGILVIE

Rafael Lasorsa P DSL Braves

Age 20 LHP 6'1" / 163 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 10 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 131

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%21.0%

BB%14.2%

K-BB%6.9%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	13	0	26	111	18	12	2	0%	2.0	11.0%	13.5%	-2.5%	2.9%	3.12	5.47	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	13	0	26	111	18	12	2	0%	2.0	11.0%	13.5%	-2.5%	2.9%	3.12	5.47	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	13	0	26	111	18	12	2	0%	2.0	16.2%	10.8%	5.4%	1.8%	3.12	4.10	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	6	0	14	62	7	11	0	0%	2.4	7.7%	22.2%	-14.5%	0.0%	3.77	5.26	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	6	0	14	62	7	11	0	0%	2.4	7.7%	22.2%	-14.5%	0.0%	3.77	5.26	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	6	0	14	62	7	11	0	0%	2.4	11.3%	17.7%	-6.5%	0.0%	3.77	4.43	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	ATL	10	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.0	21.0%	14.2%	6.9%	3.0%	5.13	5.13	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ATL	19	0	20	84	18	11	2	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.5%	9.1%	2.9%	4.92	4.84	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	ATL	10	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	12.5%	9.1%	2.9%	4.92	4.84	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.5%	9.1%	2.9%	4.92	4.46	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	102	20	0%	1.1	21.6%	12.5%	9.1%	2.9%	4.92	4.46	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		19	0	40	173	17	29	3	0%	2.1	9.8%	16.6%	-6.8%	1.9%	3.35	5.40	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		94	0	200	858	84	143	16	0%	2.1	9.8%	16.6%	-6.8%	1.9%	3.35	5.40	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rafael Lasorsa (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	21.0%	14.2%	3.0%	—	4.84	21.6%	9.1%	20	-0.29	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	82
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	81
Deyer Zapata L 2024 · 5.79 FIP	20	SU	5.79	18.0%	15.3%	4.1%	.319	3.77	16.2%	7.0%	15	-2.02	3.77	130	81
Denny Bentley L 2018 · 4.85 FIP	20	SU	4.85	19.6%	10.3%	3.8%	.318	2.88	25.4%	10.3%	58	-1.97	2.88	175	80
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	80
Enrique Perez L 2018 · 4.81 FIP	20	SU	4.81	16.2%	14.3%	2.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	133	80
Daniel Gonzalez L 2022 · 5.66 FIP	20	SU	5.66	16.3%	14.0%	3.9%	.310	4.44	23.2%	1.7%	55	-1.22	4.34	136	80
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	80
Vance Tatum L 2016 · 5.04 FIP	21	SU	5.04	17.2%	9.7%	3.9%	.319	5.06	15.6%	2.3%	85	+0.02	4.90	116	79
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	79
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	79
Jake Higginbotham L 2018 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	17.2%	10.6%	3.9%	.256	4.77	18.8%	6.4%	59	-0.38	3.28	335	78
Inmer Lobo L 2024 · 4.94 FIP	20	SU	4.94	17.9%	13.8%	2.9%	.177	4.13	18.6%	7.1%	80	-0.81	2.57	151	77
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	77
Yenfri Sosa L 2024 · 6.08 FIP	20	SU	6.08	19.0%	21.3%	3.4%	.309	4.41	21.7%	7.4%	38	-1.67	2.49	128	77
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	77
Rio Britton L 2024 · 4.28 FIP	21	SU	4.28	19.2%	13.5%	2.0%	.354	5.03	22.4%	7.1%	98	+0.75	4.28	166	77
Zach Matson L 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	14.4%	10.9%	2.0%	.319	4.72	25.2%	10.0%	68	+0.33	4.39	187	77
Peter Bonilla L 2024 · 4.63 FIP	19	SU	4.63	20.9%	18.3%	1.8%	.250	6.24	19.5%	-5.4%	51	+1.61	4.27	134	77
Izaak Martinez L 2024 · 6.26 FIP	22	SU	6.26	21.5%	15.0%	5.6%	.300	4.03	20.0%	10.6%	125	-2.23	3.77	138	77