Roldy Brito
3B Fresno Grizzlies| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKDSL Colorado | 222 | .254/.367/.314 | 0 | 24 | 32 | — | .171/.266/.207 |
| 2025 | 18 | A/ROKCOL | 365 | .371/.446/.516 | 4 | 35 | 107 | — | .296/.355/.399 |
| 2026 | 19 | A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 578 | .307/.364/.452 | 10 | 41 | 95 | — | .272/.318/.398 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBCOL | 8 | .240/.291/.358 | 0 | 0 | 71 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ36% MLB | 21 | MLBCOL | 181 | .247/.300/.381 | 4 | 7 | 79 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ49% MLB | 22 | MLBCOL | 264 | .252/.307/.400 | 6 | 9 | 86 | 0.3 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Colorado | — | 222 | 185 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 41 | 6 | 24 | 3 | 254 | 367 | 314 | 680 | 59 | 318 | 18 | 12 | 315 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 156 | 136 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 27 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 375 | 444 | 463 | 908 | 88 | 459 | 17 | 9 | 402 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 209 | 182 | 67 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 42 | 4 | 22 | 7 | 368 | 447 | 555 | 1.002 | 187 | 464 | 20 | 11 | 438 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 175 | 165 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 261 | 299 | 352 | 650 | 91 | 345 | 25 | 5 | 291 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 378 | 336 | 110 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 64 | 6 | 18 | 8 | 327 | 394 | 506 | 900 | 179 | 381 | 17 | 8 | 392 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 25 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 348 | 375 | 391 | 766 | 43 | 421 | 16 | 4 | 333 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Colorado | — | 222 | 193 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 48 | 6 | 24 | 3 | 171 | 266 | 207 | 473 | 36 | 208 | 22 | 9 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 156 | 141 | 48 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 39 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 340 | 392 | 418 | 811 | 78 | 447 | 25 | 6 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 209 | 190 | 50 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 61 | 4 | 22 | 7 | 263 | 327 | 384 | 711 | 121 | 367 | 29 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 175 | 167 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 59 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 222 | 253 | 299 | 552 | 78 | 332 | 34 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 378 | 345 | 102 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 87 | 6 | 18 | 8 | 296 | 349 | 443 | 792 | 148 | 365 | 23 | 6 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Colorado | — | 222 | 193 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 48 | 6 | 24 | 3 | 171 | 266 | 207 | 473 | 36 | 221 | 22 | 9 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Colorado | — | 222 | 185 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 41 | 6 | 24 | 3 | 254 | 367 | 314 | 680 | 59 | 318 | 18 | 12 | 315 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 365 | 331 | 98 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 99 | 7 | 35 | 14 | 296 | 355 | 399 | 753 | 103 | 411 | 27 | 6 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 365 | 318 | 118 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 36 | 69 | 7 | 35 | 14 | 371 | 446 | 516 | 962 | 145 | 462 | 19 | 10 | 423 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 578 | 535 | 145 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 153 | 6 | 41 | 10 | 271 | 317 | 394 | 711 | 123 | 362 | 26 | 5 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 578 | 524 | 161 | 30 | 8 | 10 | 41 | 112 | 6 | 41 | 10 | 307 | 364 | 452 | 817 | 145 | 372 | 19 | 7 | 359 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Colorado | — | 222 | 195 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 48 | 6 | 24 | 3 | 169 | 266 | 205 | 471 | 36 | 208 | 22 | 9 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 365 | 332 | 98 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 99 | 7 | 35 | 14 | 295 | 355 | 398 | 752 | 102 | 401 | 27 | 6 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 578 | 537 | 145 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 153 | 6 | 41 | 10 | 270 | 317 | 393 | 710 | 123 | 355 | 26 | 5 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Colorado | — | 222 | 195 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 48 | 6 | 24 | 3 | 169 | 266 | 205 | 471 | 36 | 208 | 22 | 9 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 365 | 332 | 98 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 99 | 7 | 35 | 14 | 295 | 355 | 398 | 752 | 102 | 401 | 27 | 6 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 578 | 537 | 145 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 153 | 6 | 41 | 10 | 270 | 317 | 393 | 710 | 123 | 355 | 26 | 5 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | COL | 4% | 641 | 594 | 134 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 174 | 7 | 24 | 7 | 227 | 279 | 329 | 608 | 102 | 304 | 27 | 5 | 273 | 71 | -22 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB CTX | COL | 4% | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 291 | 358 | 648 | 118 | 320 | 25 | 0 | 289 | 71 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | COL | 36% | 504 | 463 | 109 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 133 | 6 | 19 | 5 | 233 | 287 | 350 | 637 | 117 | 304 | 26 | 6 | 285 | 79 | -13 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | COL | 49% | 537 | 493 | 117 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 33 | 138 | 6 | 19 | 5 | 238 | 294 | 367 | 661 | 129 | 304 | 26 | 6 | 295 | 86 | -9 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | COL | 55% | 571 | 524 | 126 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 143 | 6 | 19 | 5 | 241 | 299 | 378 | 677 | 137 | 304 | 25 | 6 | 301 | 90 | -7 | +2 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | COL | 56% | 578 | 529 | 129 | 22 | 5 | 14 | 38 | 143 | 6 | 19 | 5 | 243 | 302 | 385 | 686 | 141 | 304 | 25 | 7 | 305 | 93 | -5 | +2 | +1 | +2 | +13 | 1.3 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | COL | 56% | 590 | 538 | 132 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 40 | 145 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 244 | 304 | 388 | 691 | 144 | 304 | 25 | 7 | 307 | 94 | -4 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +13 | 1.4 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | COL | 56% | 599 | 547 | 133 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 40 | 147 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 244 | 304 | 387 | 691 | 143 | 304 | 25 | 7 | 307 | 94 | -4 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +13 | 1.4 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | COL | 55% | 596 | 545 | 133 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 40 | 147 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 243 | 302 | 384 | 687 | 142 | 303 | 25 | 7 | 305 | 93 | -5 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +13 | 1.3 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | COL | 55% | 585 | 535 | 129 | 22 | 5 | 14 | 39 | 146 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 241 | 300 | 380 | 680 | 139 | 302 | 25 | 7 | 303 | 91 | -6 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +13 | 1.1 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | COL | 53% | 568 | 519 | 123 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 38 | 143 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 238 | 297 | 373 | 670 | 135 | 300 | 25 | 7 | 299 | 88 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | COL | 53% | 552 | 505 | 119 | 20 | 4 | 13 | 37 | 141 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 235 | 294 | 365 | 659 | 130 | 298 | 26 | 7 | 294 | 85 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB MLE | COL | 52% | 534 | 489 | 113 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 35 | 139 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 231 | 288 | 355 | 643 | 124 | 295 | 26 | 7 | 288 | 81 | -12 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +12 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | COL | 36% | 181 | 166 | 41 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 48 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 247 | 300 | 381 | 681 | 134 | 321 | 27 | 6 | 302 | 79 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | COL | 49% | 264 | 243 | 60 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 68 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 252 | 307 | 400 | 707 | 148 | 321 | 26 | 6 | 313 | 86 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | COL | 55% | 311 | 284 | 73 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 78 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 256 | 312 | 412 | 723 | 156 | 321 | 25 | 6 | 319 | 90 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | COL | 56% | 321 | 293 | 76 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 80 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 258 | 315 | 419 | 734 | 161 | 321 | 25 | 7 | 324 | 93 | -3 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | COL | 56% | 331 | 302 | 78 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 81 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 258 | 317 | 422 | 739 | 164 | 321 | 24 | 7 | 326 | 94 | -2 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +7 | 0.8 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | COL | 56% | 337 | 307 | 79 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 83 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 258 | 317 | 422 | 738 | 163 | 320 | 25 | 7 | 326 | 94 | -2 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +7 | 0.8 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | COL | 55% | 330 | 301 | 77 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 82 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 257 | 316 | 418 | 734 | 161 | 320 | 25 | 7 | 324 | 93 | -3 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | COL | 55% | 321 | 293 | 76 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 80 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 255 | 313 | 413 | 726 | 158 | 318 | 25 | 7 | 321 | 91 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | COL | 53% | 303 | 277 | 70 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 76 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 252 | 310 | 405 | 715 | 154 | 316 | 25 | 7 | 316 | 88 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | COL | 53% | 290 | 266 | 66 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 74 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 248 | 306 | 396 | 702 | 148 | 314 | 26 | 7 | 311 | 85 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB CTX | COL | 52% | 278 | 255 | 62 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 72 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 243 | 300 | 385 | 685 | 141 | 310 | 26 | 6 | 304 | 81 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3267 | 2987 | 758 | 127 | 38 | 86 | 214 | 822 | 37 | 90 | 28 | 254 | 312 | 408 | 720 | 154 | 320 | 25 | 7 | 318 | 88 | -43 | +7 | +3 | +12 | +71 | 5.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 594 | 151 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 43 | 164 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 254 | 312 | 409 | 721 | 155 | 321 | 25 | 7 | 318 | 88 | -8 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +14 | 1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 7589 | 6940 | 1684 | 288 | 68 | 157 | 490 | 1922 | 87 | 281 | 80 | 243 | 301 | 372 | 672 | 129 | 311 | 25 | 6 | 298 | 88 | -91 | +15 | +6 | +23 | +139 | 9.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 144 | 25 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 165 | 7 | 24 | 7 | 242 | 300 | 370 | 670 | 128 | 312 | 25 | 6 | 298 | 88 | -9 | +2 | +1 | +2 | +14 | 0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AFresno Grizzlies · 378 PAwOBA .386 → .340 (−46)K% 16.9% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.93% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 23.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 5.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×1.045 | 26.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | ×1.045 | 6.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.023 | ×1.045 | 2.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.46% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .386 → .340; ISO .179 → .154; BABIP .381 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Spokane Indians · 175 PAwOBA .283 → .239 (−45)K% 25.1% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.14% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 33.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 3.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.029 | ×1.050 | 26.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | ×1.050 | 6.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.029 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 1.44% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .283 → .239; ISO .091 → .073; BABIP .345 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Rockies · 209 PAwOBA .429 → .309 (−121)K% 20.1% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.10% | ÷0.993 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷0.987 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 6.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.91% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.14% | ÷1.021 | ×0.820 | ×1.008 | ×1.022 | 26.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.29% | ÷0.991 | ×0.720 | ×1.008 | ×1.022 | 6.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.29% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×1.008 | ×1.022 | 2.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.14% | ÷0.970 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 1.76% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .429 → .309; ISO .187 → .128; BABIP .464 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AFresno Grizzlies · 156 PAwOBA .394 → .351 (−43)K% 17.3% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.31% | ÷0.951 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.97% | ÷1.096 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 1.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 38.53% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 38.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.42% | ÷1.055 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 5.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷1.017 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.92% | ÷0.870 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.89% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 111, 3B 103, K 90, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .394 → .351; ISO .088 → .078; BABIP .459 → .447. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Colorado · 222 PAwOBA .313 → .216 (−97)K% 18.5% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.47% | ÷1.054 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.16% | ÷0.998 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 8.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.69% | ÷1.014 | ×0.680 | ×1.001 | ×1.022 | 17.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.186 | ×0.600 | ×1.001 | ×1.022 | 3.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.69% | ÷0.916 | ×0.600 | ×1.001 | ×1.022 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 103, 2B 137, 3B 83, K 111, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .313 → .216; ISO .059 → .034; BABIP .318 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .