Franco Zabaleta
P
ACL Athletics
Age 19
LHP
6'2" / 165 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 0.9 · 2032
2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 32 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116126vR 135
ERA5.14
FIP5.14
K%15.5%
BB%11.4%
K-BB%4.1%
ROS IP32
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 11 | 5 | 33 | 161 | 39 | 20 | 0 | 45% | 3.0 | 16.5% | 15.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 5.18 | 3.68 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 11 | 5 | 33 | 161 | 39 | 20 | 0 | 45% | 3.0 | 24.2% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 0.0% | 5.18 | 2.55 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 11 | 8 | 53 | 198 | 44 | 14 | 0 | 73% | 4.8 | 15.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 0.0% | 0.51 | 2.94 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 11 | 8 | 53 | 198 | 44 | 14 | 0 | 73% | 4.8 | 22.2% | 7.1% | 15.2% | 0.0% | 0.51 | 2.23 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | ACL Athletics | 11 | 7 | 42 | 212 | 42 | 24 | 6 | 64% | 3.8 | 13.5% | 14.2% | -0.7% | 4.0% | 8.36 | 5.93 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | OAK | 5 | 5 | 32 | 136 | 21 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 6.5 | 15.5% | 11.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.14 | 5.14 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.5% | 11.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 5.11 | 5.11 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 74 | 348 | 63 | 40 | 10 | — | — | 18.1% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 6.96 | 5.59 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | OAK | 5 | 5 | 34 | 143 | 24 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 6.8 | 17.0% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 4.97 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 36 | 150 | 27 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 4.82 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 37 | 158 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 4.66 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 39 | 164 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 6.5 | 20.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 2.6% | 4.52 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 40 | 168 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 6.6 | 20.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 2.6% | 4.42 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 40 | 170 | 36 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 6.7 | 20.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 2.6% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 40 | 170 | 36 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 6.7 | 21.1% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 2.6% | 4.30 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 40 | 168 | 35 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 6.6 | 21.1% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 2.6% | 4.30 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 38 | 163 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 6.4 | 20.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 4.35 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | OAK | 3 | 3 | 17 | 72 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.7 | 17.0% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 4.94 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB | OAK | 4 | 4 | 26 | 110 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 6.5 | 18.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 4.79 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB | OAK | 5 | 5 | 32 | 135 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 6.4 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 4.63 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 35 | 148 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 2.6% | 4.49 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 37 | 156 | 32 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 2.5% | 4.39 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 38 | 160 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 6.3 | 20.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 2.5% | 4.31 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 38 | 160 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 6.3 | 21.1% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 2.5% | 4.27 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 38 | 160 | 34 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 6.3 | 21.1% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 2.6% | 4.27 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 37 | 156 | 33 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 4.32 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 47 | 47 | 296 | 1249 | 252 | 119 | 32 | 100% | 6.3 | 20.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 2.6% | 4.44 | 4.02 | +4.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 32 | 32 | 200 | 844 | 170 | 80 | 22 | 100% | 6.3 | 20.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 2.6% | 4.44 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 33 | 20 | 128 | 571 | 85 | 72 | 8 | 61% | 3.9 | 14.9% | 12.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 4.30 | 4.26 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 31 | 200 | 895 | 133 | 114 | 13 | 61% | 3.9 | 14.9% | 12.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 4.30 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Franco Zabaleta (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.14 | 15.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | — | 4.74 | 18.1% | 7.8% | 107 | -0.40 | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Agostini L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.14 | 13.5% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .246 | 5.63 | 9.5% | -16.8% | 12 | +0.49 | 1.97 | 122 | 87 |
| Colin Schmid L 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.81 | 11.8% | 9.7% | 2.7% | .298 | 4.01 | 15.2% | 5.7% | 125 | -0.80 | 3.24 | 191 | 86 |
| Wilker Reyes L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.25 | 13.4% | 11.3% | 1.5% | .341 | 4.31 | 18.0% | 4.2% | 120 | +0.06 | 3.55 | 237 | 84 |
| Juan Sanchez L 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.49 | 14.2% | 13.3% | 1.7% | .333 | 3.31 | 24.3% | 13.2% | 103 | -1.18 | 3.07 | 345 | 83 |
| Wilgenis Alvarado L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.88 | 10.5% | 11.0% | 2.3% | .289 | 5.49 | 14.8% | -3.3% | 80 | +0.61 | 4.81 | 122 | 82 |
| Zuher Yousuf L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.98 | 19.2% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .256 | 4.24 | 15.6% | 3.4% | 50 | +0.26 | 3.02 | 137 | 82 |
| Wilkin Paredes L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.23 | 16.2% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .353 | 4.88 | 11.8% | 3.1% | 248 | +0.65 | 4.23 | 294 | 81 |
| Sam Hentges L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.5% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .333 | 3.91 | 18.9% | 7.4% | 192 | -0.43 | 2.22 | 594 | 81 |
| Luis Guzman L 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.81 | 11.7% | 14.0% | 1.7% | .307 | 4.41 | 14.7% | 8.8% | 59 | -0.40 | 4.41 | 116 | 80 |
| Thomas Ireland L 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.50 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .286 | 3.55 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 177 | -0.95 | 2.94 | 221 | 80 |
| Jacob Heatherly L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.14 | 11.6% | 13.8% | 2.3% | .315 | 6.27 | 18.1% | -9.1% | 39 | +1.13 | 4.49 | 192 | 79 |
| Gabriel Reyes L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.04 | 14.0% | 8.0% | 2.0% | .347 | 4.02 | 19.3% | 9.7% | 144 | -0.02 | 1.74 | 233 | 79 |
| Didier Vargas L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.46 | 13.2% | 14.1% | 1.3% | .316 | 4.52 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 60 | +0.06 | 3.55 | 286 | 79 |
| Bodi Rascon L 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.55 | 15.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .271 | 5.56 | 15.7% | 3.9% | 143 | +1.01 | 4.55 | 218 | 78 |
| Deyer Zapata L 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.37 | 18.8% | 14.3% | 1.9% | .309 | 5.40 | 17.5% | 4.0% | 50 | +1.03 | 3.61 | 130 | 78 |
| Kyle Twomey L 2029 · 4.08 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.08 | 17.6% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .298 | 3.89 | 14.8% | 6.9% | 68 | -0.19 | 3.89 | 141 | 78 |
| Daritzon Feliz L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.57 | 15.5% | 9.3% | 2.9% | .356 | 6.46 | 16.5% | 2.6% | 53 | +1.89 | 4.42 | 186 | 78 |
| Rafael Monsion L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.13 | 16.1% | 7.2% | 2.7% | .252 | 5.17 | 16.2% | 6.4% | 22 | +1.04 | 4.01 | 159 | 78 |
| Alejandro Mejia L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.09 | 13.0% | 13.3% | 0.7% | .267 | 6.73 | 7.1% | -9.4% | 56 | +2.64 | 4.09 | 101 | 78 |
| José Lopez L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.19 | 12.3% | 10.7% | 1.4% | .292 | 4.37 | 19.7% | 5.8% | 66 | +0.18 | 2.77 | 233 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 10 | 38 | 19.5% | 9.8% | 1.03 | 4.56 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Joe Kelly ('24) | 9 | 56 | 24.6% | 10.3% | 0.81 | 4.40 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |