Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs 2 | 14 | 14 | 64 | 261 | 55 | 23 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 14.3% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.99 | 3.58 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs 2 | 14 | 14 | 64 | 261 | 55 | 23 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 0.4% | 0.99 | 2.66 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | AZL Cubs 1 | 12 | 8 | 52 | 222 | 43 | 25 | 2 | 67% | 4.4 | 13.2% | 14.1% | -0.9% | 1.3% | 3.27 | 4.46 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | AZL Cubs 1 | 12 | 8 | 52 | 222 | 43 | 25 | 2 | 67% | 4.4 | 19.4% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 0.9% | 3.27 | 3.39 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 10 | 61 | 283 | 60 | 22 | 7 | 53% | 3.2 | 15.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 6.34 | 4.52 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 10 | 61 | 283 | 60 | 22 | 7 | 53% | 3.2 | 21.2% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 2.5% | 6.34 | 3.71 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 10 | 85 | 357 | 91 | 30 | 7 | 37% | 3.2 | 18.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 3.69 | 4.36 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 10 | 85 | 357 | 91 | 30 | 7 | 37% | 3.2 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 2.0% | 3.69 | 3.09 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 27 | 115 | 30 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.4% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 0.8% | 4.67 | 3.55 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 27 | 115 | 30 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 26.1% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 0.9% | 4.67 | 2.80 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.03 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.03 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 90 | 42 | 289 | 1238 | 200 | 135 | 24 | 47% | 3.2 | 16.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 3.67 | 4.17 | +4.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 29 | 200 | 856 | 138 | 93 | 16 | 47% | 3.2 | 16.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 3.67 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Didier Vargas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.41 | 23.1% | 13.7% | 20 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Hector Hernandez L 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 77 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 1.1% | .292 | 3.80 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 127 | +0.50 | 2.68 | 175 | 74 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2025 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 70 |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.53 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% | .311 | 4.31 | 17.2% | 9.9% | 300 | -0.22 | 3.88 | 523 | 68 |
| Andy Otero L 2028 · 4.08 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.08 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.38 | 14.5% | 5.6% | 68 | +0.30 | 2.85 | 200 | 67 |
| Nico Tellache L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 67 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 65 |
| Rito Lugo L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.97 | 18.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 176 | 65 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 64 |
| Hunter Barco L 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 20.3% | 11.7% | 2.6% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 212 | 63 |
| Stu Flesland III L 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 18.7% | 10.5% | 2.7% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 211 | 63 |
| Ryan Magdic L 2025 · 3.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.18 | 21.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 150 | 62 |
| Adam Laskey L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.39 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 310 | 62 |
| Austin Hamilton L 2024 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 17.3% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .374 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 135 | 62 |
| Nate Peterson L 2025 · 3.67 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.67 | 17.2% | 11.2% | 1.1% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 288 | 62 |
| Chris Reed L 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 137 | 62 |
| Steven Moyers L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.67 | 18.7% | 7.4% | 2.2% | .273 | 4.94 | 14.7% | 6.6% | 72 | +1.27 | 3.67 | 464 | 62 |
| Jacques Pucheu L 2024 · 3.21 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.21 | 21.4% | 8.2% | 1.6% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 134 | 61 |
| Onelki Garcia L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.07 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 164 | 61 |
| Edgar Olmos L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.56 | 18.9% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 203 | 61 |