Didier Vargas — OGILVIE

Didier Vargas P South Bend Cubs

Age 27 LHP 6'0" / 175 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 102110vR 118

ERA4.49

FIP4.49

K%22.7%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%12.5%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	14	14	64	261	55	23	1	100%	4.5	14.3%	11.0%	3.3%	0.5%	0.99	3.58	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs 2	14	14	64	261	55	23	1	100%	4.5	21.1%	8.8%	12.3%	0.4%	0.99	2.66	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 1	12	8	52	222	43	25	2	67%	4.4	13.2%	14.1%	-0.9%	1.3%	3.27	4.46	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 1	12	8	52	222	43	25	2	67%	4.4	19.4%	11.3%	8.1%	0.9%	3.27	3.39	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	10	61	283	60	22	7	53%	3.2	15.8%	8.7%	7.1%	2.9%	6.34	4.48	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	10	61	283	60	22	7	53%	3.2	21.2%	7.8%	13.4%	2.5%	6.34	3.71	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	10	85	357	91	30	7	37%	3.2	18.7%	10.0%	8.7%	2.7%	3.69	4.26	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	10	85	357	91	30	7	37%	3.2	25.5%	8.4%	17.1%	2.0%	3.69	3.09	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	27	115	30	13	1	0%	1.5	19.4%	12.9%	6.5%	1.0%	4.67	3.63	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	27	115	30	13	1	0%	1.5	19.4%	12.9%	6.5%	1.0%	4.67	3.63	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	0	27	115	30	13	1	0%	1.5	26.1%	11.3%	14.8%	0.9%	4.67	2.80	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	CHC	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	22.7%	10.2%	12.5%	3.0%	4.49	4.49	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CHC	19	0	20	84	19	9	3	0%	1.1	22.7%	10.3%	12.4%	3.1%	4.52	4.55	0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	CHC	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	10.3%	12.4%	3.1%	4.52	4.55	0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	3	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	10.3%	12.4%	3.1%	4.52	4.17	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	82	27	0%	1.1	22.7%	10.3%	12.4%	3.1%	4.52	4.17	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		90	42	289	1238	200	135	23	47%	3.2	16.2%	10.9%	5.3%	1.9%	3.67	4.14	0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	29	200	856	138	93	16	47%	3.2	16.2%	10.9%	5.3%	1.9%	3.67	4.14	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Didier Vargas (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.49	22.7%	10.2%	3.0%	—	4.55	22.7%	12.4%	20	+0.06	—	—	—
Hector Hernandez L 2019 · 3.39 FIP	28	SW	3.39	20.2%	9.0%	1.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	121	77
Jordan Carr L 2023 · 3.49 FIP	26	SW	3.49	17.2%	8.5%	1.4%	.270	5.16	12.7%	2.3%	137	+1.67	3.49	269	69
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	69
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	67
Andy Otero L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	29	SP-	3.89	24.7%	6.2%	3.8%	.298	4.36	14.5%	5.6%	68	+0.47	2.86	200	65
Rito Lugo L 2022 · 4.04 FIP	26	SW	4.04	18.3%	7.3%	2.8%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	176	65
Lael Lockhart L 2023 · 4.29 FIP	25	SW	4.29	22.6%	12.9%	2.7%	.302	4.94	19.6%	8.8%	307	+0.65	3.59	520	64
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	64
Matt Tracy L 2016 · 3.89 FIP	27	SW	3.89	13.8%	8.3%	1.7%	.328	4.22	15.3%	5.5%	129	+0.33	3.24	298	63
Austin Hamilton L 2019 · 4.02 FIP	25	SW	4.02	17.3%	7.9%	2.5%	.374	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	135	63
Onelki Garcia L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	27	SP-	4.02	16.5%	9.3%	2.1%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	164	62
Edgar Olmos L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	27	SW	3.64	18.9%	9.7%	1.7%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	203	62
Tyler Alexander L 2019 · 5.56 FIP	27	SP-	5.56	21.7%	9.8%	5.6%	.289	5.27	15.7%	5.0%	26	-0.29	5.27	128	62
Avery Weems L 2022 · 4.87 FIP	25	SP-	4.87	21.3%	8.6%	4.5%	.323	5.13	20.5%	12.3%	38	+0.26	2.46	227	62
Jake Drehoff L 2017 · 5.21 FIP	25	SW	5.21	16.8%	9.0%	4.4%	.418	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	153	62
Garrett Williams L 2022 · 4.71 FIP	27	SP-	4.71	24.9%	14.2%	3.5%	.323	4.06	22.9%	1.9%	53	-0.65	3.37	470	62
Brent Headrick L 2023 · 4.54 FIP	25	SW	4.54	22.6%	7.6%	4.3%	.299	2.87	28.1%	21.0%	138	-1.67	2.21	409	62
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	61
Steven Moyers L 2021 · 3.52 FIP	27	SW	3.52	18.7%	7.4%	1.9%	.273	5.24	14.7%	6.6%	72	+1.72	3.52	464	61
Mitch Stallings L 2021 · 5.48 FIP	26	SW	5.48	16.8%	11.5%	4.3%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.18	108	61