Wilker Reyes
P
Cedar Rapids Kernels
Age 24
LHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123132vR 141
ERA5.43
FIP5.43
K%17.2%
BB%14.3%
K-BB%2.9%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Twins | 16 | 5 | 33 | 165 | 33 | 21 | 2 | 31% | 2.1 | 13.6% | 15.9% | -2.3% | 1.7% | 5.67 | 4.90 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Twins | 16 | 5 | 33 | 165 | 33 | 21 | 2 | 31% | 2.1 | 20.0% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 1.2% | 5.67 | 3.79 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Twins | 11 | 6 | 42 | 188 | 37 | 17 | 2 | 55% | 3.8 | 13.4% | 11.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 5.14 | 4.25 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Twins | 11 | 6 | 42 | 188 | 37 | 17 | 2 | 55% | 3.8 | 19.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 1.1% | 5.14 | 3.17 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Twins | 11 | 1 | 21 | 104 | 31 | 8 | 2 | 9% | 1.9 | 20.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 1.7% | 6.43 | 3.55 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Twins | 11 | 1 | 21 | 104 | 31 | 8 | 2 | 9% | 1.9 | 29.8% | 7.7% | 22.1% | 1.9% | 6.43 | 2.53 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 28 | 3 | 57 | 275 | 58 | 38 | 4 | 11% | 2.0 | 15.6% | 16.3% | -0.7% | 2.0% | 5.49 | 4.94 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 28 | 3 | 57 | 275 | 58 | 38 | 4 | 11% | 2.0 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 5.49 | 3.97 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 49 | 211 | 61 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.0% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 1.6% | 3.10 | 3.83 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 49 | 211 | 61 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 28.9% | 9.5% | 19.4% | 0.9% | 3.10 | 2.37 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 25 | 0 | 41 | 193 | 44 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 17.6% | 13.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.66 | 4.89 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 25 | 0 | 41 | 193 | 44 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 22.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 2.1% | 5.66 | 3.90 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | MIN | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 41 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.43 | 5.43 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 44 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 5.23 | 5.17 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 46 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.8% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 5.09 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 19 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 5.23 | 5.17 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 30 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.8% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 5.09 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 60 | 0 | 63 | 267 | 50 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 12.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 5.16 | 4.74 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 158 | 108 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 12.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 5.16 | 4.74 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 123 | 15 | 244 | 1136 | 188 | 155 | 22 | 12% | 2.0 | 16.5% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 5.08 | 4.48 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 101 | 12 | 200 | 930 | 154 | 127 | 18 | 12% | 2.0 | 16.5% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 5.08 | 4.48 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wilker Reyes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.43 | 17.2% | 14.3% | 2.9% | — | 5.13 | 18.5% | 5.7% | 116 | -0.30 | — | — | — |
| Kelly Secrest L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.46 | 18.6% | 13.7% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.30 | 20.8% | 10.4% | 38 | -1.16 | 3.11 | 151 | 88 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.64 | 19.3% | 15.7% | 2.2% | .329 | 5.86 | 17.6% | 2.4% | 49 | +1.22 | 4.64 | 107 | 88 |
| Chris Reed L 2027 · 4.92 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.92 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .284 | 4.84 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 81 | -0.08 | 4.84 | 137 | 87 |
| Matt Minnick L 2025 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.65 | 23.5% | 12.1% | 105 | -0.94 | 3.77 | 147 | 84 |
| Andre Wheeler L 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.32 | 17.5% | 12.1% | 4.0% | .347 | 4.73 | 14.4% | 2.4% | 29 | -0.59 | 3.77 | 150 | 84 |
| John Kilichowski L 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.26 | 17.6% | 16.2% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 115 | 84 |
| Matt Walker L 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.74 | 17.7% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .338 | 4.62 | 12.7% | 2.7% | 41 | -0.12 | 4.27 | 156 | 84 |
| Graham Osman L 2026 · 5.68 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.68 | 15.1% | 17.4% | 3.0% | .303 | 6.97 | 14.1% | -1.9% | 29 | +1.29 | 4.29 | 151 | 83 |
| Estevan Gonzalez L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.62 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 1.7% | .240 | 5.01 | 12.1% | -1.2% | 58 | +0.39 | 4.62 | 195 | 83 |
| Seth Clark L 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.52 | 18.9% | 16.2% | 3.6% | .267 | 4.51 | 17.7% | -2.7% | 32 | -1.01 | 4.30 | 128 | 83 |
| Kumar Nambiar L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.84 | 18.5% | 14.3% | 2.7% | .277 | 4.73 | 14.0% | 1.0% | 60 | -0.11 | 3.10 | 221 | 82 |
| Felix Carvallo L 2024 · 4.41 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.41 | 17.7% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .332 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 132 | 82 |
| Winston Lavendier L 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 17.8% | 12.9% | 3.3% | .344 | 4.95 | 14.2% | 4.7% | 21 | -0.10 | 2.98 | 179 | 82 |
| Gabriel Sequeira L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.92 | 19.3% | 13.1% | 3.3% | .294 | 3.70 | 21.4% | 10.0% | 63 | -1.22 | 2.65 | 160 | 82 |
| Braeden Fausnaught L 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.77 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.67 | 17.9% | 9.7% | 179 | -0.10 | 4.57 | 242 | 81 |
| Joe Kemlage L 2026 · 5.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.53 | 17.6% | 11.7% | 4.4% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.35 | 128 | 81 |
| Brian Moran L 2028 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 81 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 81 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.54 | 20.8% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .268 | 3.58 | 22.5% | 15.3% | 123 | -0.96 | 1.84 | 238 | 80 |
| Jake Drehoff L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 18.4% | 12.2% | 2.6% | .325 | 5.16 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 28 | +0.65 | 3.98 | 153 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 18.1% | 13.3% | 1.12 | 5.26 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |