Wilker Reyes — OGILVIE

Wilker Reyes P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 24 LHP 6'1" / 205 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121129vR 137

ERA5.49

FIP5.49

K%17.2%

BB%14.8%

K-BB%2.3%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	16	5	33	165	33	21	2	31%	2.1	13.6%	15.9%	-2.3%	1.7%	5.67	4.90	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	16	5	33	165	33	21	2	31%	2.1	20.0%	12.7%	7.3%	1.2%	5.67	3.79	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	11	6	42	188	37	17	2	55%	3.8	13.4%	11.3%	2.1%	1.5%	5.14	4.23	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	11	6	42	188	37	17	2	55%	3.8	19.7%	9.0%	10.6%	1.1%	5.14	3.17	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	11	1	21	104	31	8	2	9%	1.9	20.3%	9.6%	10.7%	2.1%	6.43	3.76	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	11	1	21	104	31	8	2	9%	1.9	29.8%	7.7%	22.1%	1.9%	6.43	2.53	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	28	3	57	275	58	38	4	11%	2.0	15.6%	16.3%	-0.7%	1.9%	5.49	4.91	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	28	3	57	275	58	38	4	11%	2.0	15.6%	16.3%	-0.7%	1.9%	5.49	4.91	—
2023	21	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	28	3	57	275	58	38	4	11%	2.0	21.1%	13.8%	7.3%	1.5%	5.49	3.97	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	49	211	61	20	2	0%	1.5	20.0%	12.4%	7.6%	1.5%	3.10	3.80	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	49	211	61	20	2	0%	1.5	20.0%	12.4%	7.6%	1.5%	3.10	3.80	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	49	211	61	20	2	0%	1.5	28.9%	9.5%	19.4%	0.9%	3.10	2.37	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	25	0	41	193	44	23	4	0%	1.7	17.6%	13.7%	3.8%	2.7%	5.66	4.83	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	25	0	41	193	44	23	4	0%	1.7	17.6%	13.7%	3.8%	2.7%	5.66	4.83	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	25	0	41	193	44	23	4	0%	1.7	22.8%	11.9%	10.9%	2.1%	5.66	3.90	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	MIN	5	0	5	21	4	3	1	0%	1.0	17.2%	14.8%	2.3%	2.9%	5.49	5.49	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIN	55	0	58	244	44	33	7	0%	1.1	18.2%	13.4%	4.8%	2.9%	5.28	5.21	-0.4
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIN	55	0	58	244	46	32	7	0%	1.1	18.8%	13.0%	5.8%	2.9%	5.16	5.12	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIN	24	0	25	106	19	14	3	0%	1.0	18.2%	13.4%	4.8%	2.9%	5.28	5.21	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIN	36	0	38	160	30	21	5	0%	1.1	18.8%	13.0%	5.8%	2.9%	5.16	5.12	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		60	0	63	267	50	35	8	0%	1.1	18.6%	13.2%	5.4%	2.9%	5.21	4.78	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	158	111	25	0%	1.1	18.6%	13.2%	5.4%	2.9%	5.21	4.78	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		123	15	244	1136	188	155	22	12%	2.0	16.5%	13.6%	2.9%	1.9%	5.08	4.47	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		101	12	200	930	154	127	18	12%	2.0	16.5%	13.6%	2.9%	1.9%	5.08	4.47	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wilker Reyes (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.49	17.2%	14.8%	2.9%	—	5.17	18.5%	5.3%	116	-0.33	—	—	—
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	88
Kelly Secrest L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	18.6%	13.7%	2.1%	.267	3.47	20.8%	10.4%	38	-0.95	3.11	151	87
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	87
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	84
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	84
Estevan Gonzalez L 2016 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	16.9%	15.7%	1.7%	.240	5.21	12.1%	-1.2%	58	+0.63	4.58	195	84
Andre Wheeler L 2016 · 5.25 FIP	24	SU	5.25	17.5%	12.1%	3.8%	.347	5.01	14.4%	2.4%	29	-0.24	3.82	150	83
Matt Walker L 2022 · 4.54 FIP	24	SW	4.54	17.7%	12.8%	2.4%	.338	4.73	12.7%	2.7%	41	+0.19	4.21	156	83
Felix Carvallo L 2016 · 4.60 FIP	22	SU	4.60	17.7%	13.0%	2.4%	.332	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	132	82
Kumar Nambiar L 2022 · 4.75 FIP	24	SU	4.75	18.5%	14.3%	2.6%	.277	4.94	14.0%	1.0%	60	+0.19	3.10	221	82
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	82
Evan Shawver L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	15.9%	16.5%	3.5%	.327	4.11	18.1%	7.1%	162	-1.67	3.92	278	82
Caden Monke L 2022 · 5.48 FIP	22	SU	5.48	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.38	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	4.40	163	81
Joe Kemlage L 2023 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.6%	11.7%	4.1%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	128	81
Gabriel Sequeira L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	19.3%	13.1%	2.7%	.294	3.57	21.4%	10.0%	63	-1.03	2.62	160	81
Winston Lavendier L 2017 · 5.06 FIP	24	SU	5.06	17.8%	12.9%	3.4%	.344	4.94	14.2%	4.7%	21	-0.12	2.98	179	81
Matt Mikulski L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	24	SW	6.17	16.4%	18.6%	3.8%	.303	5.90	16.3%	-3.3%	78	-0.27	4.92	223	81
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.86	24.0%	14.5%	77	-2.34	2.45	239	80
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	80
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	18.1%	13.7%	1.11	5.31
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41