Jonathan Moya — OGILVIE

Jonathan MoyaOF DSL Tigers 2

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 203 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 145 proj PA

wRC+56

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .267 / .275

PA145

HR1

K%29

BB%7

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	126	112	30	6	1	3	8	42	6	2	0	268	349	420	769	152	403	33	6	346	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	110	94	30	9	0	0	9	26	6	2	2	319	413	415	828	96	435	24	8	375	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	173	141	36	6	0	3	21	40	10	4	1	255	390	362	751	106	333	23	12	349	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	126	114	16	3	0	1	6	52	6	2	0	140	222	193	415	53	253	41	5	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	110	97	20	6	0	0	6	32	6	2	2	206	294	268	562	62	287	29	5	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	173	147	23	4	0	1	15	49	10	4	1	156	279	204	483	48	212	28	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	126	114	16	3	0	1	6	52	6	2	0	140	222	193	415	53	246	41	5	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	—	126	112	30	6	1	3	8	42	6	2	0	268	349	420	769	152	403	33	6	346	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	110	97	20	6	0	0	6	32	6	2	2	206	294	268	562	62	303	29	5	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	—	110	94	30	9	0	0	9	26	6	2	2	319	413	415	828	96	435	24	8	375	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	173	147	23	4	0	1	15	49	10	4	1	156	279	204	483	48	224	28	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	—	173	141	36	6	0	3	21	40	10	4	1	255	390	362	751	106	333	23	12	349	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	126	113	16	3	0	1	6	52	6	2	0	142	222	195	417	53	253	41	5	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	110	97	20	6	0	0	6	32	6	2	2	206	294	268	562	62	287	29	5	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	173	146	23	4	0	1	15	49	10	4	1	158	279	205	485	48	212	28	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	126	113	16	3	0	1	6	52	6	2	0	142	222	195	417	53	253	41	5	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	110	97	20	6	0	0	6	32	6	2	2	206	294	268	562	62	287	29	5	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	173	146	23	4	0	1	15	49	10	4	1	158	279	205	485	48	212	28	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	—	0%	283	257	52	9	2	3	19	82	5	4	1	199	269	278	547	79	278	29	7	251	56	-15	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	34%	225	204	41	7	1	3	15	64	4	4	1	204	274	293	567	89	280	28	7	260	62	-10	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	34%	77	71	14	3	0	1	5	22	1	1	0	204	274	293	567	89	280	29	6	260	62	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	77	71	14	3	0	1	5	22	1	1	0	197	260	282	541	85	271	29	6	260	47	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	117	25	0	8	42	186	8	8	0	195	257	277	534	82	269	29	6	260	47	-30	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	779	693	126	25	2	6	52	239	29	14	5	182	267	250	517	68	265	31	7	238	47	-18	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	106	21	2	5	43	199	24	12	4	183	268	253	520	69	268	31	7	238	47	-31	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	222	2	4	201	269	284	-1	+0	-0.6	-0.3
/162	664	7	10	-4.0	+0.0	-1.7	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jonathan Moya (OGILVIE)	20	37→42	31→36	46→51	52	197/267/275	78	278	1	2	29%	7%	56	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	39	36→40	50→55	44	186/249/258	71	249	3	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/271/288	84	283	7	19	28%	7%	60	-1.6	202/282/289	86	263	10	29	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	37→42	39→40	48→50	44	183/255/263	80	245	6	10	27%	7%	49	-2.4	199/291/294	95	292	8	8	32%	10%	70	-0.8	186/290/280	94	280	9	10	33%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	41	38→40	53→55	45	197/253/283	86	255	5	6	24%	7%	51	-2.2	212/290/283	71	299	4	17	27%	9%	66	-1.1	209/299/294	85	336	7	27	36%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Adanson Cruz 2021 · A	20	45	37→40	52→50	45	211/283/292	81	298	4	9	28%	8%	65	-1.2	178/244/250	72	372	5	6	49%	7%	41	-3.0	148/219/207	58	306	4	6	49%	7%	21	-1.3
✕Cutter Coffey 2024 · A	20	38→45	39→45	49→50	44	185/262/271	86	271	7	13	32%	8%	53	-2.1	201/271/317	116	296	12	10	34%	8%	67	-1.1	199/268/315	116	299	12	9	35%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Manuel Beltre 2024 · A	20	40→43	38→40	49→50	47	194/274/271	78	257	5	10	25%	8%	58	-1.7	202/270/282	80	269	6	15	26%	7%	59	-1.7	196/263/273	77	259	6	17	26%	7%	52	-1.3
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→39	40	52→50	42	194/257/287	92	271	7	14	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/277/282	78	309	4	8	32%	9%	61	-1.5	194/278/266	72	301	3	7	33%	10%	55	-1.3
✕Pablo Olivares 2018 · A	20	44	36→40	49→50	43	207/279/278	72	283	3	10	26%	6%	61	-1.5	227/298/305	78	294	6	13	23%	6%	74	-0.5	220/297/294	73	283	5	14	22%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	42	38→30	48→50	45	202/263/281	80	273	4	9	27%	7%	55	-2.0	195/253/273	78	287	4	8	31%	7%	49	-2.4	143/203/205	62	209	0	9	29%	6%	14	-1.2
✕Leonel Espinoza 2023 · A	20	37→45	39→40	50→55	44	182/256/262	80	244	7	11	27%	7%	49	-2.4	209/274/296	87	297	6	14	30%	6%	63	-1.4	209/269/290	80	296	6	18	30%	6%	56	-1.0
✕Kenny Hart 2010 · A	20	39	36→40	48→50	45	186/264/252	67	256	3	6	27%	7%	50	-2.3	191/282/272	81	245	5	11	23%	8%	61	-1.5	167/274/245	79	204	6	15	20%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Luis Tejada 2013 · A	20	41→44	37→45	49→50	43	196/259/265	69	275	4	12	29%	7%	50	-2.3	200/240/268	68	277	4	10	28%	4%	42	-2.9	216/264/322	106	271	10	7	23%	5%	62	-0.8
✕James Harris 2014 · A	20	36→46	36→40	46→50	42	176/239/245	69	249	3	10	29%	7%	38	-3.2	210/270/299	89	304	8	12	31%	7%	62	-1.4	221/284/309	88	314	7	14	30%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Jodd Carter 2016 · A	20	46→41	38→45	49→45	43	216/281/297	81	304	5	8	29%	7%	66	-1.1	214/276/311	97	313	9	7	32%	7%	68	-1.0	206/267/312	106	296	12	8	33%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Angel Solarte 2021 · A	20	40	39→40	49→45	40	194/242/280	86	262	6	7	28%	5%	47	-2.6	218/271/285	67	323	3	9	31%	6%	59	-1.7	217/273/273	55	326	2	10	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Luis Sanchez 2007 · A	20	41	36→30	50→40	41	195/253/261	66	275	4	7	29%	6%	47	-2.6	196/263/250	54	280	2	4	28%	8%	48	-2.5	198/256/242	45	274	1	2	26%	7%	41	-1.4
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	44→55	40	185/250/278	93	262	9	9	32%	6%	50	-2.3	205/259/296	91	278	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Jesus Hernandez 2024 · A	20	42	37→40	51→55	53	199/281/271	72	257	5	13	23%	10%	60	-1.6	199/278/287	88	284	6	18	29%	9%	63	-1.4	199/280/289	90	282	6	24	29%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Armando Sierra 2024 · A	20	42	39→40	42→40	47	204/271/287	83	267	6	4	25%	8%	60	-1.6	209/260/307	98	311	8	5	33%	6%	59	-1.6	193/225/303	110	284	12	0	36%	3%	44	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps