Enmanuel Carela — OGILVIE

Enmanuel Carela P DSL Nationals

Age 20 RHP 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 19 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140131vR 123

ERA5.60

FIP5.60

K%17.1%

BB%15.0%

K-BB%2.1%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	12	0	21	91	17	9	1	0%	1.7	12.7%	12.4%	0.3%	1.3%	3.92	4.29	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	12	0	21	91	17	9	1	0%	1.7	12.7%	12.4%	0.3%	1.3%	3.92	4.29	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	12	0	21	91	17	9	1	0%	1.7	18.7%	9.9%	8.8%	1.1%	3.92	3.39	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	12	4	30	128	25	14	2	33%	2.5	13.3%	13.7%	-0.4%	1.7%	2.08	4.63	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	12	4	30	128	25	14	2	33%	2.5	13.3%	13.7%	-0.4%	1.7%	2.08	4.63	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	12	4	30	128	25	14	2	33%	2.5	19.5%	10.9%	8.6%	1.6%	2.08	3.69	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	13	8	35	157	21	22	5	62%	2.7	9.1%	17.5%	-8.4%	4.5%	5.86	7.00	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	13	8	35	157	21	22	5	62%	2.7	9.1%	17.5%	-8.4%	4.5%	5.86	7.00	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	13	8	35	157	21	22	5	62%	2.7	13.4%	14.0%	-0.6%	3.2%	5.86	5.62	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	WSH	18	0	19	80	14	12	2	0%	1.1	17.1%	15.0%	2.1%	3.0%	5.60	5.60	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	WSH	32	0	33	141	26	19	4	0%	1.0	18.7%	13.1%	5.6%	3.0%	5.30	5.19	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	WSH	15	0	16	68	13	9	2	0%	1.1	18.7%	13.1%	5.6%	3.0%	5.30	5.19	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	16	69	13	9	2	0%	1.0	18.7%	13.1%	5.6%	3.0%	5.30	4.81	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	158	110	24	0%	1.1	18.7%	13.1%	5.6%	3.0%	5.30	4.81	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		37	12	86	376	43	56	10	32%	2.3	11.4%	15.0%	-3.6%	2.7%	4.07	5.54	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	28	200	871	99	130	24	32%	2.3	11.4%	15.0%	-3.6%	2.7%	4.07	5.54	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Enmanuel Carela (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.60	17.1%	15.0%	3.0%	—	5.19	18.7%	5.6%	33	-0.41	—	—	—
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	88
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	85
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	84
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	84
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	84
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SW	5.28	17.7%	15.0%	3.2%	.300	5.89	16.6%	1.2%	33	+0.61	3.34	129	83
Juan Burgos R 2019 · 4.75 FIP	19	SW	4.75	15.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.292	4.38	17.7%	0.8%	58	-0.37	3.50	284	83
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	83
Tyler Driver R 2021 · 5.26 FIP	20	SW	5.26	15.0%	13.8%	3.1%	.312	5.68	14.5%	1.4%	88	+0.42	5.17	180	83
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	83
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	83
Lisander Brito R 2022 · 5.62 FIP	20	SP-	5.62	14.1%	15.0%	3.3%	.309	3.23	18.9%	5.3%	21	-2.39	3.23	101	83
Victor Espiritu R 2024 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	14.6%	12.7%	1.8%	.294	4.04	13.5%	1.8%	60	-0.41	3.49	101	82
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.71	17.6%	1.2%	150	+0.03	4.54	203	82
Michael Martinez R 2019 · 4.50 FIP	20	SW	4.50	15.7%	16.5%	1.2%	.303	5.67	20.7%	7.0%	18	+1.17	3.69	146	82
Jaydenn Estanista R 2022 · 5.61 FIP	20	SW	5.61	20.2%	16.9%	3.8%	.172	5.14	20.6%	2.4%	123	-0.47	4.59	230	81
Seth McClung R 2003 · 5.63 FIP	22	SW	5.63	15.0%	14.4%	3.6%	.241	5.29	15.3%	2.8%	212	-0.34	2.52	430	81
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	81
Eury Ramos R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	19	SW	5.40	13.0%	14.8%	2.8%	.343	7.19	14.1%	0.6%	29	+1.79	3.33	176	80
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	18.1%	13.8%	1.16	5.41
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
David Purcey ('13)	1.0	41	18.8%	12.8%	0.96	4.98
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68