Gabriel Cesa

OF FCL Braves

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 166 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKATL	118	.299/.414/.423	1	4	56	—	.198/.302/.287
2026	19	ROKATL	161	.185/.333/.223	0	8	11	—	.129/.239/.151
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBATL	271	.185/.260/.255	2	5	48	-0.5
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBATL	74	.191/.267/.273	1	2	55	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed86

BB%46

Z-Con%25

K%20

Whiff%20

wRC+14

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsIsmael Alcantara (age 20) · Misael Urbina (age 20) · Neyfy Castillo (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 134 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .258 / .253

PA134

HR1

K%31

BB%8

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT31

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	152	128	21	3	0	0	20	45	3	12	5	164	291	188	479	23	250	30	13	239	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	118	97	29	3	3	1	16	23	3	4	4	299	414	423	836	124	378	19	14	373	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	161	130	24	1	2	0	24	47	5	8	1	185	333	223	556	38	282	29	15	273	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	152	134	14	2	0	0	14	53	3	12	5	104	205	119	325	15	165	35	9	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	118	101	20	2	2	1	12	28	3	4	4	198	302	287	589	89	247	24	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	161	139	18	1	1	0	15	68	5	8	1	129	239	151	390	22	228	42	9	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	152	134	14	2	0	0	14	53	3	12	5	104	205	119	325	15	171	35	9	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	152	128	21	3	0	0	20	45	3	12	5	164	291	188	479	23	250	30	13	239	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	118	101	20	2	2	1	12	28	3	4	4	198	302	287	589	89	260	24	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	118	97	29	3	3	1	16	23	3	4	4	299	414	423	836	124	378	19	14	373	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	161	139	18	1	1	0	15	68	5	8	1	129	239	151	390	22	247	42	9	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	161	130	24	1	2	0	24	47	5	8	1	185	333	223	556	38	282	29	15	273	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	152	134	14	2	0	0	14	53	3	12	5	104	205	119	325	15	165	35	9	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	118	102	20	2	2	1	12	28	3	4	4	196	302	284	586	88	247	24	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	161	140	18	1	1	0	15	68	5	8	1	129	239	150	389	21	228	42	9	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	152	134	14	2	0	0	14	53	3	12	5	104	205	119	325	15	165	35	9	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	118	102	20	2	2	1	12	28	3	4	4	196	302	284	586	88	247	24	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	161	140	18	1	1	0	15	68	5	8	1	129	239	150	389	21	228	42	9	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	271	244	45	7	2	2	22	83	3	5	1	185	260	255	516	71	267	31	8	239	48	-17	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	216	194	37	6	2	2	17	65	3	4	1	191	267	273	540	82	270	30	8	249	55	-12	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.8
2028	21	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	74	67	13	2	1	1	6	22	1	2	0	191	267	273	540	82	270	30	8	249	55	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	74	67	13	2	1	1	6	22	1	2	0	194	270	299	569	104	273	30	8	249	33	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	115	18	9	9	53	193	9	18	0	195	272	302	575	107	274	30	8	249	33	-35	+4	+0	-4	+14	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	781	688	111	14	6	4	69	255	16	31	12	161	254	217	470	55	246	33	9	217	33	-20	+1	+0	-2	+8	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	92	12	5	3	57	212	13	26	10	161	252	215	467	54	245	33	9	217	33	-37	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
#5Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	208	2	4	188	261	263	-1	+0	-0.7	-0.4
/162	664	6	13	-4.0	+0.0	-2.4	pk7: 0
#6Howie Schultz'43-'48 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	24	15	233*	271*	383*	-30	-2	-3.6	-3.6
/162	664	9	6	-11.8	-0.7	-1.4	pk7: -4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Cesa (OGILVIE)	20	26→31	29→34	50→55	59	183/258/253	70	267	1	3	31%	8%	48	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	37→32	39→40	51→50	49	180/260/269	89	230	6	13	24%	8%	53	-2.1	179/254/271	92	260	6	10	31%	8%	50	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Hans Montero 2024 · A	20	36→37	37→45	55	49	172/276/241	69	264	5	18	33%	11%	53	-2.1	182/260/285	103	297	10	17	39%	8%	56	-1.9	173/254/287	113	278	12	22	39%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	34	39→45	54→45	38	169/229/251	81	271	6	13	38%	7%	36	-3.4	173/235/269	96	305	10	11	44%	6%	42	-2.9	160/223/268	108	267	13	9	43%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Ameilis Carvajal 2009 · A	20	38	37→40	50	53	178/278/250	72	254	4	12	29%	11%	55	-1.9	187/261/255	68	287	3	9	33%	8%	49	-2.4	130/199/162	32	218	0	8	37%	8%	5	-1.2
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	39	36→40	50→55	44	186/249/258	71	249	3	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/271/288	84	283	7	19	28%	7%	60	-1.6	202/282/289	86	263	10	29	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Stanley Martinez 2017 · A	20	37	36→40	48→50	49	177/259/243	66	236	3	10	25%	9%	46	-2.6	201/272/288	87	266	7	7	25%	7%	61	-1.5	191/264/271	80	248	7	5	24%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Anyelo Encarnación 2024 · A	20	41→36	38→40	54→50	49	188/284/272	84	293	5	14	34%	11%	62	-1.4	183/267/272	89	313	8	14	40%	9%	56	-1.9	171/261/262	92	293	9	17	41%	10%	49	-1.4
✕Kenny Hart 2010 · A	20	39	36→40	48→50	45	186/264/252	67	256	3	6	27%	7%	50	-2.3	191/282/272	81	245	5	11	23%	8%	61	-1.5	167/274/245	79	204	6	15	20%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Roni Cabrera 2024 · A	19	39	38→45	54→55	47	186/265/271	85	255	5	11	27%	8%	55	-2.0	182/254/288	106	286	10	14	37%	7%	54	-2.0	162/238/271	109	264	12	18	41%	8%	43	-1.2
✕Junior Boni 2011 · A	20	39	35→40	49→55	42	185/260/246	61	264	2	13	28%	6%	47	-2.5	183/263/252	69	231	2	14	20%	9%	49	-2.4	160/251/225	66	194	1	19	16%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	41	176/252/260	84	283	6	10	37%	8%	47	-2.5	192/274/286	94	292	6	14	33%	9%	61	-1.5	139/214/211	72	250	5	19	43%	8%	20	-1.4
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Dennys Riera 2024 · A	19	31	36→40	48→50	42	157/222/222	65	212	4	6	27%	6%	27	-4.0	171/249/237	66	229	3	7	25%	6%	41	-3.0	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9
✕Arturo Guerrero 2021 · A	20	37	38→30	52→50	40	178/273/258	80	272	6	9	34%	7%	56	-1.9	177/253/265	88	320	6	11	44%	6%	49	-2.4	137/218/227	89	269	7	13	48%	6%	27	-0.9
✕Esteban Mejia 2024 · A	19	39	36→40	55→50	41	188/242/257	68	263	3	15	28%	6%	41	-3.0	199/263/280	81	297	6	14	32%	7%	55	-1.9	196/265/273	77	287	7	15	32%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Sandy Brito 2013 · A	20	35	38→40	52→45	55	165/282/252	87	263	4	8	34%	14%	58	-1.7	174/253/256	82	319	5	8	42%	9%	47	-2.6	92/159/154	62	206	5	8	54%	7%	-14	-1.7
✕Alexander Benua 2024 · A	20	39	36→40	51→55	40	184/255/252	68	275	4	16	32%	6%	47	-2.6	198/262/288	90	311	7	11	36%	7%	57	-1.8	183/250/274	91	292	7	12	37%	7%	49	-0.9

Gabriel Cesa

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps