Danny Cancro — OGILVIE

Danny Cancro2B DSL Rockies

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 148 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION188 act + 19 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†93

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .316 / .294

PA19

HR0

K%21

BB%11

BABIP332

ISO59

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$58M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 63 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT63

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+1.2	$5M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$8M	+1.0	$4M	+$1M
2037	Arb-3	$10M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$16M		$28M	+$20M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	204	167	40	11	4	0	26	30	6	19	3	240	362	353	715	114	286	15	13	322	104	+1	+3	—	—	+4	0.8
2025	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	61	48	11	2	0	0	9	8	2	7	1	229	373	271	644	42	262	13	15	303	91	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	204	177	32	7	3	0	16	41	6	19	3	181	271	254	526	73	224	20	8	238	47	-13	+3	—	—	+4	-0.6
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	61	52	10	2	0	0	5	11	2	7	1	192	288	231	519	38	217	18	8	236	46	-4	+1	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	204	177	32	7	3	0	16	41	6	19	3	181	271	254	526	73	230	20	8	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	204	167	40	11	4	0	26	30	6	19	3	240	362	353	715	114	286	15	13	322	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	61	52	10	2	0	0	5	11	2	7	1	192	288	231	519	38	233	18	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	61	48	11	2	0	0	9	8	2	7	1	229	373	271	644	42	262	13	15	303	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	204	180	32	7	3	0	16	41	6	19	3	178	271	250	521	72	224	20	8	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	61	54	10	2	0	0	5	11	2	7	1	185	288	222	510	37	217	18	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	204	180	32	7	3	0	16	41	6	19	3	178	271	250	521	72	224	20	8	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	61	54	10	2	0	0	5	11	2	7	1	185	288	222	510	37	217	18	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	COL	—	188	157	46	6	2	0	18	30	9	16	4	293	397	357	753	64	354	16	10	328	108	+2	+2	+0	+1	+4	0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	COL	—	188	146	51	8	2	0	29	21	9	16	4	349	484	432	915	82	398	11	15	412	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	COL	0%	19	17	4	1	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	235	316	294	610	59	315	21	11	305	93	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
TOT	19	ROK MLE	COL	—	207	174	50	7	2	0	20	34	9	17	4	287	389	351	740	63	350	16	10	326	107	+2	+2	+0	+1	+4	0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	COL	34%	233	206	53	9	2	3	20	47	5	7	1	257	338	364	702	107	312	20	9	311	96	-1	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.6
2028	21	MLB MLE	COL	48%	358	316	81	14	3	5	31	72	8	10	2	256	338	367	705	111	312	20	9	317	101	+0	+1	+0	+1	+8	1.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	COL	54%	446	395	100	17	3	7	39	89	9	12	3	253	334	365	699	111	312	20	9	322	104	+2	+1	+0	+2	+10	1.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	COL	57%	503	444	115	20	4	9	44	100	10	14	3	259	339	383	722	124	312	20	9	325	106	+4	+2	+0	+2	+11	1.8
2031	24	MLB MLE	COL	57%	540	476	124	21	4	10	48	106	11	15	3	261	342	384	727	124	313	20	9	327	107	+5	+2	+0	+2	+12	2.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	COL	57%	561	494	129	22	4	11	50	110	12	15	3	261	344	389	732	128	313	20	9	328	108	+6	+2	+0	+2	+12	2.2
2033	26	MLB MLE	COL	56%	572	504	131	22	4	11	51	112	12	15	4	260	342	385	727	125	313	20	9	329	109	+6	+1	+0	+2	+12	2.2
2034	27	MLB MLE	COL	55%	574	505	131	22	4	11	52	113	12	16	4	259	343	384	727	125	313	20	9	329	109	+6	+2	+0	+2	+12	2.2
2035	28	MLB MLE	COL	55%	571	502	130	22	4	11	52	113	12	15	3	259	343	384	727	125	312	20	9	328	108	+5	+2	-1	+2	+12	2.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	562	493	126	21	4	10	52	113	12	14	3	256	341	375	716	120	312	20	9	326	107	+5	+2	-1	+2	+12	1.9
2037	30	MLB MLE	COL	53%	552	485	125	21	4	10	51	112	11	13	3	258	342	379	721	122	311	20	9	323	105	+3	+1	-2	+2	+12	1.7
2038	31	MLB MLE	COL	52%	538	473	120	20	4	9	49	111	11	13	3	254	338	370	708	116	309	21	9	319	102	+1	+1	-3	+2	+12	1.4
2039	32	MLB MLE	COL	52%	520	457	112	18	3	8	48	109	10	12	3	245	330	350	680	105	306	21	9	314	98	-1	+1	-4	+2	+11	1.0
2040	33	MLB MLE	COL	56%	490	432	105	17	3	7	45	106	10	10	2	243	329	345	673	102	302	22	9	307	94	-4	+1	-4	+2	+11	0.6
2041	34	MLB MLE	COL	52%	444	392	92	14	3	6	40	98	9	9	2	235	320	332	651	97	297	22	9	298	88	-6	+1	-5	+2	+10	0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	COL	34%	80	71	19	3	1	1	7	16	2	2	1	268	350	380	730	113	329	20	9	311	96	-0	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	COL	48%	173	152	41	7	2	3	15	35	4	5	1	270	351	401	752	132	329	20	9	318	101	+0	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.5
2029	22	MLB CTX	COL	54%	242	214	58	10	2	5	21	48	5	7	2	271	350	407	757	136	329	20	9	323	104	+1	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.8
2030	23	MLB CTX	COL	57%	285	252	69	12	3	6	25	56	6	8	2	274	353	417	770	143	329	20	9	327	106	+2	+1	+0	+1	+6	1.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	COL	57%	305	269	74	13	3	6	27	60	6	8	2	275	354	413	767	138	330	20	9	329	107	+3	+1	+0	+1	+7	1.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	COL	57%	317	279	78	14	3	7	28	62	7	9	2	280	360	427	786	147	330	20	9	331	108	+3	+1	+0	+1	+7	1.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	COL	56%	323	284	79	14	3	7	29	63	7	9	2	278	359	423	782	144	330	20	9	331	109	+3	+1	+0	+1	+7	1.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	COL	55%	318	279	78	14	3	7	29	63	7	9	2	280	362	427	788	147	330	20	9	331	109	+3	+1	+0	+1	+7	1.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	COL	55%	313	275	76	13	3	7	29	62	6	8	2	276	358	422	780	145	330	20	9	330	108	+3	+1	-0	+1	+7	1.2
2036	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	300	263	72	13	3	6	28	60	6	8	2	274	357	414	771	141	329	20	9	328	107	+2	+1	-1	+1	+6	1.0
2037	30	MLB CTX	COL	53%	291	256	70	12	3	6	27	59	6	7	2	273	356	414	770	141	328	20	9	325	105	+2	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.9
2038	31	MLB CTX	COL	52%	281	247	65	11	2	5	26	58	6	7	1	263	348	385	732	121	325	21	9	321	102	+1	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.7
2039	32	MLB CTX	COL	52%	270	238	62	10	2	5	25	57	5	6	1	261	343	382	726	122	322	21	9	315	98	-1	+1	-2	+1	+6	0.5
2040	33	MLB CTX	COL	56%	274	242	62	10	2	5	25	59	5	6	1	256	338	376	714	120	318	22	9	308	94	-2	+1	-2	+1	+6	0.3
2041	34	MLB CTX	COL	52%	229	202	51	8	2	4	21	51	4	5	1	252	335	371	706	119	312	22	9	299	88	-3	+1	-3	+1	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4001	3523	954	164	37	80	362	809	82	104	24	271	352	406	759	136	329	20	9	323	102	+17	+11	-10	+14	+87	12.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	155	27	6	13	59	131	13	17	4	271	352	407	759	136	329	20	9	323	102	+3	+2	-2	+2	+14	2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	7748	6820	1720	290	56	128	695	1567	162	217	46	252	336	367	703	115	308	20	9	318	102	+31	+21	-20	+27	+162	22.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	145	24	5	11	58	131	14	18	4	253	337	371	708	117	309	20	9	318	102	+3	+2	-2	+2	+14	2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Austin Jacksonlast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,653 PA	7.0	4,653	65	114	273	333	396	+17	+13	19.5	19.5
/162	664	9	16	+2.4	+1.9	2.8	pk7: 19
#2Felipe Lopezlast yr '11 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,864 PA	7.3	4,864	90	124	264	333	391	+31	-19	17.7	18.1
/162	664	12	17	+4.2	-2.6	2.4	pk7: 19
#3César Hernándezlast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,797 PA	7.2	4,797	71	91	267	341	375	+17	+1	17.8	18.1
/162	664	10	13	+2.4	+0.2	2.5	pk7: 18
#4Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	6.5	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
/162	664	13	19	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
#5Alberto Callaspolast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,909 PA	5.9	3,909	52	22	265	329	365	+14	+17	12.4	12.9
/162	664	9	4	+2.4	+2.9	2.1	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.2	4,097	70	104	256	335	374	+15	+9	15.2	12.4
/162	664	11	17	+2.4	+1.5	2.5	pk7: 10
#6Kazuo Matsuilast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,555 PA	3.8	2,555	32	102	267	321	380	+13	+5	9.3	9.3
/162	664	8	27	+3.3	+1.2	2.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Danny Cancro (OGILVIE)	19	58→63	28→33	59→64	57	248/331/330	83	315	1	4	20%	9%	93	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	250/296/311	61	297	1	19	15%	6%	73	-0.6	302/361/382	79	347	4	36	13%	8%	110	+1.8
✕L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	52	233/301/304	71	285	4	11	19%	9%	74	-0.6	238/285/305	67	306	4	12	22%	6%	68	-1.0	274/333/360	86	328	5	15	17%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	87	+0.4	246/316/336	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	88	+0.4	234/303/348	114	293	12	10	23%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Osleivis Basabe 2022 · A	21	51→61	38→45	56→50	44	244/287/329	85	299	5	15	20%	6%	74	-0.5	259/304/360	101	314	5	15	18%	5%	88	+0.4	261/307/362	101	315	5	15	18%	5%	86	+0.2
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	54	218/314/294	76	289	3	19	23%	10%	78	-0.3	190/273/272	82	291	5	10	33%	10%	57	-1.8	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
●Ben Revere 2008 · A	20	51→61	37→40	58→65	45	235/286/320	85	278	2	18	16%	5%	72	-0.7	287/332/363	76	327	2	30	12%	5%	98	+1.2	301/347/367	66	339	2	36	11%	5%	101	+1.0
✕Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	59→50	55	210/300/285	75	272	4	16	22%	11%	70	-0.8	230/288/322	92	306	6	11	25%	7%	74	-0.6	262/318/385	123	318	10	13	20%	7%	97	+0.9
●Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	213/301/277	64	275	3	17	22%	11%	69	-0.9	218/303/296	78	282	4	15	22%	9%	74	-0.5	257/357/385	127	281	12	19	12%	12%	112	+2.1
✕Lorenzo Cedrola 2016 · A	18	52→59	36→40	56→50	44	240/309/311	72	288	2	18	17%	5%	80	-0.2	232/275/306	74	280	3	15	18%	3%	65	-1.2	248/292/343	96	290	7	16	17%	3%	76	-0.3
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	50→52	39→40	54→50	56	234/323/325	91	290	6	14	20%	11%	88	+0.4	239/315/327	88	307	7	14	23%	8%	86	+0.3	239/316/323	84	307	7	14	23%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→55	37→40	56→55	45	223/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	70	-0.9	203/262/257	54	276	1	18	25%	7%	49	-2.4	246/309/315	68	310	3	11	20%	7%	76	-0.3
●Edward Olivares 2015 · A	19	50→54	37→55	53→55	47	234/314/313	79	297	4	13	21%	7%	82	+0.0	207/279/317	110	270	9	14	26%	5%	70	-0.8	262/319/433	171	298	19	16	19%	6%	108	+1.2
✕Ryan Brett 2012 · A	20	48→57	40→45	57→60	47	227/276/330	103	266	5	18	16%	6%	70	-0.8	249/292/350	101	305	7	26	20%	5%	81	-0.1	262/302/367	105	319	8	30	20%	5%	86	+0.2
●Jean Segura 2009 · A	19	49→59	36→50	52→60	47	232/287/293	61	280	4	15	18%	6%	66	-1.1	256/293/361	105	299	7	20	16%	5%	84	+0.1	304/351/443	139	337	13	24	13%	6%	121	+3.0
●César Hernández 2009 · A	19	48→58	38→50	54→55	48	225/281/312	87	270	4	14	18%	7%	68	-1.0	222/273/286	64	278	3	16	20%	6%	59	-1.7	274/364/380	106	339	9	16	20%	12%	111	+2.3
●Starlin Castro 2008 · A	18	49→59	37→50	53→50	48	229/281/296	67	267	4	11	16%	6%	65	-1.2	252/294/342	90	301	4	13	17%	5%	80	-0.2	293/335/419	126	332	8	18	14%	5%	108	+2.1
●Vaughn Grissom 2022 · A	21	53→62	42→45	54→55	49	253/325/364	110	312	9	12	21%	8%	97	+1.1	271/334/394	123	324	11	17	19%	7%	107	+1.9	270/336/389	118	323	11	18	19%	7%	104	+1.3
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A	19	47→57	43→50	57→70	38	227/269/358	131	311	8	19	29%	5%	74	-0.5	199/248/301	102	310	8	27	37%	5%	54	-2.0	264/338/395	131	327	12	74	22%	6%	107	+1.2
✕Jesus Fabela 2015 · AAA	20	56→61	38→40	55→50	47	259/330/350	91	335	4	16	22%	7%	96	+1.0	252/313/336	84	323	5	14	22%	6%	86	+0.3	263/327/347	84	320	7	11	19%	6%	92	+0.4
●Brice Turang 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→50	53→60	49	216/286/282	66	296	3	14	26%	9%	64	-1.3	213/285/281	68	287	4	16	25%	9%	63	-1.3	266/344/401	135	328	13	29	21%	10%	110	+2.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps