Danny Cancro — OGILVIE

Danny Cancro2B DSL Rockies

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 148 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION144 act + 96 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.256 / .333 / .360

PA96

HR1

K%20

BB%8

BABIP318

ISO105

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 64 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT64

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.4	$12M	+$12M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.5	$12M	+$11M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.5	$11M	+$10M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+2.3	$9M	+$7M
2036	Arb-2	$7M	+2.1	$8M	+$5M
2037	Arb-3	$9M	+1.9	$7M	+$4M
Totals		$24M		$59M	+$50M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	204	177	32	6	4	0	16	39	6	19	3	181	271	260	531	79	227	19	8	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	204	167	40	11	4	0	26	30	6	19	3	240	362	353	715	114	286	15	13	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	61	52	10	2	0	0	5	11	2	7	1	192	288	231	519	38	233	18	8	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	61	48	11	2	0	0	9	8	2	7	1	229	373	271	644	42	262	13	15	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	COL	—	144	117	33	5	1	0	15	20	7	9	2	282	396	342	738	60	324	14	10	327	108	+1	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.7
YTD	19	ROK	COL	—	144	107	37	6	1	0	25	14	7	9	2	346	496	421	917	75	378	10	17	410	172	+12	+1	+0	+1	+4	1.8
ROS	19	ROK	COL	0%	96	86	22	4	1	1	8	19	2	3	1	256	333	360	694	105	305	20	8	299	87	-1	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.2
ROS	19	MLB	COL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		326	—	—	299	87	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	COL	—	144	118	33	5	1	0	15	20	7	9	2	280	396	339	735	59	320	14	10	327	108	+1	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.7
TOT	19	ROK	COL	—	240	203	55	9	2	1	23	39	9	12	3	271	370	350	720	79	321	16	10	316	100	-0	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	COL	34%	253	224	55	9	2	3	22	51	5	6	1	246	327	344	670	98	304	20	9	307	93	-2	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.7
2028	21	MLB	COL	48%	374	330	82	14	3	5	33	75	8	10	2	248	332	355	686	106	305	20	9	313	98	-1	+1	+0	+1	+11	1.2
2029	22	MLB	COL	54%	457	404	102	18	3	8	41	91	9	12	3	252	335	371	706	119	305	20	9	318	101	+1	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.7
2030	23	MLB	COL	57%	511	450	115	20	4	9	46	102	10	14	3	256	338	378	716	122	305	20	9	321	103	+2	+2	+0	+2	+14	2.0
2031	24	MLB	COL	57%	545	480	122	21	4	10	49	108	11	15	3	254	337	377	714	123	306	20	9	323	105	+3	+2	+0	+2	+15	2.3
2032	25	MLB	COL	57%	565	498	127	22	4	11	51	111	11	15	3	255	338	382	719	127	306	20	9	324	106	+4	+2	+0	+2	+16	2.4
2033	26	MLB	COL	56%	574	506	129	22	4	11	52	113	11	15	3	255	337	379	717	125	306	20	9	324	106	+4	+2	+0	+2	+16	2.5
2034	27	MLB	COL	55%	575	506	129	22	4	11	53	114	11	15	3	255	339	379	718	125	306	20	9	324	106	+4	+2	+0	+2	+16	2.5
2035	28	MLB	COL	55%	572	503	128	22	4	11	53	114	11	15	3	254	339	380	718	125	306	20	9	323	106	+4	+2	-1	+2	+16	2.3
2036	29	MLB	COL	53%	562	494	124	21	4	10	52	113	11	14	3	251	336	370	706	119	305	20	9	321	104	+3	+2	-1	+2	+16	2.1
2037	30	MLB	COL	53%	552	485	122	21	4	10	51	112	11	14	3	252	336	373	710	122	304	20	9	319	102	+1	+2	-2	+2	+16	1.9
2038	31	MLB	COL	52%	538	473	118	20	4	9	50	111	10	13	3	249	334	366	700	116	302	21	9	315	99	-1	+1	-3	+2	+15	1.5
2039	32	MLB	COL	52%	520	457	110	18	3	8	48	110	10	12	2	241	326	346	672	105	299	21	9	309	95	-3	+2	-4	+2	+15	1.2
2040	33	MLB	COL	56%	490	433	102	16	3	7	45	106	9	10	2	236	320	335	655	99	295	22	9	303	90	-6	+1	-4	+2	+14	0.7
2041	34	MLB	COL	52%	444	392	91	14	3	6	41	99	8	9	2	232	317	329	647	97	290	22	9	294	83	-8	+1	-5	+2	+13	0.2
2042	35	MLB	COL	47%	389	344	76	11	2	5	35	89	7	8	2	221	306	308	614	87	285	23	9	285	76	-10	+1	-6	+1	+11	-0.3
2027	20	MLB	COL	34%	87	77	21	4	1	1	8	18	2	2	0	273	356	390	746	117	326	21	9	311	96	-0	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.3
2028	21	MLB	COL	48%	181	159	44	8	2	3	16	36	4	5	1	277	358	409	766	132	327	20	9	318	102	+0	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.7
2029	22	MLB	COL	54%	248	219	60	11	2	5	22	50	5	7	1	274	354	411	765	137	327	20	9	323	106	+2	+1	+0	+1	+7	1.1
2030	23	MLB	COL	57%	289	255	69	12	2	6	26	57	6	8	2	271	352	404	756	133	328	20	9	327	108	+3	+1	+0	+1	+8	1.3
2031	24	MLB	COL	57%	308	271	75	13	3	7	28	61	6	8	2	277	357	424	782	148	329	20	9	329	110	+4	+1	+0	+1	+9	1.4
2032	25	MLB	COL	57%	319	281	78	14	3	7	29	63	6	9	2	278	358	423	781	146	329	20	9	330	111	+4	+1	+0	+1	+9	1.5
2033	26	MLB	COL	56%	324	286	79	14	3	7	29	64	6	9	2	276	355	420	775	143	329	20	9	331	111	+4	+1	+0	+1	+9	1.6
2034	27	MLB	COL	55%	319	281	78	14	3	7	29	63	6	9	2	278	358	423	781	146	329	20	9	331	111	+4	+1	+0	+1	+9	1.6
2035	28	MLB	COL	55%	314	276	75	13	2	7	29	63	6	8	2	272	354	409	763	138	328	20	9	330	111	+4	+1	-0	+1	+9	1.4
2036	29	MLB	COL	53%	300	263	71	13	2	6	28	60	6	8	2	270	354	403	757	133	328	20	9	328	109	+3	+1	-1	+1	+8	1.3
2037	30	MLB	COL	53%	291	256	69	12	2	6	27	59	6	7	2	270	353	402	755	133	327	20	9	325	107	+2	+1	-1	+1	+8	1.1
2038	31	MLB	COL	52%	281	248	66	11	2	6	26	58	5	7	1	266	348	399	747	133	324	21	9	320	103	+1	+1	-1	+1	+8	1.0
2039	32	MLB	COL	52%	270	238	63	11	2	5	25	57	5	6	1	265	347	391	738	126	321	21	9	315	99	-0	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.7
2040	33	MLB	COL	56%	274	242	62	10	2	5	25	59	5	6	1	256	338	376	714	120	317	22	9	307	93	-2	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.5
2041	34	MLB	COL	52%	229	202	51	8	2	4	21	51	4	5	1	252	335	371	706	119	311	22	9	298	87	-3	+1	-3	+1	+6	0.2
2042	35	MLB	COL	47%	183	161	39	6	1	3	17	42	3	4	1	242	326	348	674	106	305	23	9	288	79	-4	+0	-3	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4217	3716	1000	174	34	85	385	861	81	108	23	269	351	403	753	134	328	20	9	321	104	+20	+12	-13	+15	+119	15.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	154	27	5	13	59	133	12	17	4	269	349	401	750	133	328	20	9	321	104	+3	+2	-2	+2	+18	2.4
Career	—			—	8282	7294	1796	303	60	135	751	1688	163	226	46	246	330	360	690	114	301	20	9	312	97	-25	+27	-25	+30	+235	24.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	142	24	5	11	59	132	13	18	4	248	332	365	698	117	303	20	9	312	97	-2	+2	-2	+2	+18	1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	204	167	40	11	4	0	26	30	6	19	3	240	362	353	715	114	286	15	13	322	105	+1	+3	—	—	+6	1.0
2025	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	61	48	11	2	0	0	9	8	2	7	1	229	373	271	644	42	262	13	15	303	90	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Felipe Lopezlast yr '11 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,864 PA	11	4,864	90	124	264	333	391	+31	-19	17.6	18.1
	/162	664	12	17	264	333	391	+4.2	-2.6	2.4	pk7: 19
#2César Hernándezlast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,797 PA	10	4,797	71	91	267	341	375	+17	+1	17.8	18.0
	/162	664	10	13	267	341	375	+2.4	+0.2	2.5	pk7: 18
#3Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	11	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
	/162	664	13	19	256	330	390	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
#4Alberto Callaspolast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,909 PA	9	3,909	52	22	265	329	365	+14	+17	12.4	12.9
	/162	664	9	4	265	329	365	+2.4	+2.9	2.1	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,321	73	107	249	329	366	+15	+9	14.0	11.5
	/162	664	11	17	249	329	366	+2.4	+1.4	2.2	pk7: 9
#5Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#6Kazuo Matsuilast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,555 PA	7	2,555	32	102	267	321	380	+13	+5	9.4	9.4
	/162	664	8	27	267	321	380	+3.3	+1.2	2.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Danny Cancro (OGILVIE)	19	59→64	28→33	59→64	56	271/370/350	79	321	1	12	16%	10%	100	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	77	+0.1	246/292/306	60	294	1	19	16%	6%	66	-0.6	304/363/386	81	348	4	36	13%	8%	114	+2.3
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	52	233/301/304	71	285	4	11	19%	9%	70	-0.3	238/285/305	67	306	4	12	22%	6%	64	-0.8	278/336/369	91	334	5	15	17%	7%	97	+1.5
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	85	+0.7	245/315/335	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	85	+0.7	225/297/334	109	287	11	10	24%	7%	74	-0.0
●Ben Revere 2008 · A	20	51→61	37→40	58→65	45	235/286/320	85	278	2	18	16%	5%	68	-0.5	286/330/362	76	326	2	30	12%	5%	97	+1.5	298/344/366	68	335	2	36	11%	5%	100	+1.3
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→54	37→40	56→65	55	219/317/294	75	290	3	19	23%	11%	77	+0.1	188/270/271	83	290	6	10	34%	10%	50	-1.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Osleivis Basabe 2022 · A	21	53→61	38→45	55→50	44	249/292/335	86	307	5	15	20%	5%	74	-0.1	258/303/359	101	313	5	15	18%	5%	85	+0.7	259/305/360	100	312	5	15	18%	5%	83	+0.4
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	51→53	39→55	52→50	46	239/296/332	93	306	5	8	23%	7%	76	+0.0	248/300/371	123	304	11	8	21%	6%	88	+0.9	221/322/407	185	244	21	11	19%	12%	106	+1.7
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→58	41→45	56→70	47	227/290/330	103	300	7	17	26%	8%	73	-0.1	221/273/317	96	291	7	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	266/338/377	110	363	9	50	27%	9%	101	+1.1
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→53	39→40	54→50	56	239/327/329	91	293	6	14	19%	11%	89	+1.0	243/317/334	91	314	8	14	23%	8%	86	+0.8	243/318/331	88	313	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Ryan Brett 2012 · A	20	48→58	40→45	57→60	47	227/276/330	103	266	5	18	16%	6%	66	-0.6	250/293/351	101	309	7	26	20%	5%	79	+0.3	263/305/369	105	324	8	30	20%	5%	85	+0.5
✕Abiatal Avelino 2014 · A	19	51→54	36→45	60→55	49	237/300/311	74	283	2	24	16%	7%	72	-0.2	225/270/308	83	284	5	22	21%	5%	59	-1.1	246/285/354	108	302	10	19	21%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	49	40→45	51→50	43	233/286/331	98	308	6	13	25%	6%	71	-0.3	210/256/293	83	314	4	11	32%	5%	49	-1.8	178/220/246	68	283	3	12	36%	4%	17	-1.1
✕Eury Pérez 2010 · A	20	53→63	39→40	54→65	46	252/311/333	82	307	6	19	19%	6%	82	+0.5	266/299/328	62	330	3	34	19%	4%	75	-0.0	296/331/390	95	359	3	37	18%	4%	102	+0.6
✕Gorkys Hernández 2007 · A	19	49→59	41→45	54→55	41	239/268/338	99	285	9	17	20%	4%	65	-0.7	246/287/331	85	313	5	22	22%	5%	71	-0.3	263/321/381	118	325	11	16	21%	7%	95	+1.0
★Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	213/301/277	64	275	3	17	22%	11%	65	-0.7	215/298/294	79	281	4	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	259/359/388	129	285	11	20	12%	12%	115	+2.3
●Edward Olivares 2015 · A	19	50→55	37→55	53→55	47	234/314/313	79	297	4	13	21%	7%	80	+0.4	207/278/318	111	270	9	14	26%	5%	66	-0.6	264/321/443	179	299	21	16	19%	6%	113	+1.6
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→50	58→50	55	210/300/285	75	268	4	16	22%	11%	66	-0.6	232/290/328	96	308	7	11	25%	7%	72	-0.2	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Lorenzo Cedrola 2016 · A	18	52→58	36→45	56→50	44	240/309/311	72	288	2	18	17%	5%	77	+0.1	232/275/305	73	281	3	15	18%	3%	59	-1.1	249/294/353	104	292	8	16	17%	3%	76	+0.1
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2016 · A	19	51→55	35→50	51→50	47	234/301/289	55	301	2	9	22%	7%	68	-0.5	226/281/312	86	291	6	12	23%	6%	65	-0.7	257/313/393	137	315	12	16	21%	7%	97	+1.3
✕Hanser Alberto 2012 · A	19	51→61	36→45	53→50	44	238/267/314	76	266	2	14	12%	3%	58	-1.2	230/256/307	77	259	5	14	13%	3%	51	-1.7	290/313/393	103	309	10	4	10%	2%	97	+1.0