Danny Cancro

2B DSL Rockies
Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 148 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#660ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Colorado204.240/.362/.35301938—.161/.266/.230
202518ROKDSL Colorado61.229/.373/.2710736—.157/.271/.176
202619ROKCOL188.349/.484/.43201688—.245/.364/.290
2027PROJMLE20MLBCOL298.231/.306/.31727780.1
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBCOL51.248/.322/.36011840.1
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBCOL117.251/.326/.37323870.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
K%93
wOBA90
wRC+86
Whiff%86
Z-Con%80
Speed75
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsOsleivis Basabe (age 21) · Nacho Alvarez Jr. (age 20) · Ryan Brett (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 98 proj PA
wRC+†78
AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .304 / .314
PA98
HR1
K%23
BB%8
ISO86
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +2.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.30.50.60.60.50.40.30.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$20M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 71 / POW 33
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT71
scouting grade only
POWER33
scouting grade only
EYE63
scouting grade only
SPEED64
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.4M
2036Arb-1$2M+0.3$0.6M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-2$2M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2038Arb-3$1.0M———
Totals $3M $4M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Colorado — 204167 401140 26306 193 240362353715 114286 1513 322 38 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Colorado — 6148 11200 982 71 229373271644 42262 1315 303 36 — — — — — —
202619 ROKDSL Rockies — 188146 51820 29219 164 349484432915 82398 1115 412 88 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 204174 28630 19356 193 161266230496 69190 179 225 38 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 6151 8100 6102 71 157271176448 20182 1610 222 36 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 188155 38510 20269 164 245364290654 45277 1411 299 88 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 204174 28630 19356 193 161266230496 69197 179 225 38 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Colorado — 204167 401140 26306 193 240362353715 114286 1513 322 38 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 6151 8100 6102 71 157271176448 20186 1610 222 36 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Colorado — 6148 11200 982 71 229373271644 42262 1315 303 36 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 188155 38510 20269 164 245364290654 45288 1411 299 88 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWDSL Rockies — 188146 51820 29219 164 349484432915 82398 1115 412 88 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 204177 28630 19356 193 158266226492 68190 179 225 38 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 6153 8100 6102 71 151271170441 19182 1610 222 36 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 188157 38510 20269 164 242364287651 45277 1411 299 88 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 204177 28630 19356 193 158266226492 68190 179 225 38 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Colorado — 6153 8100 6102 71 151271170441 19182 1610 222 36 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 188157 38510 20269 164 242364287651 45277 1411 299 88 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLECOL 0% 298267 621132 24685 71 231306317623 86299 238 284 78 -8 +1 +0 +1 +6 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLECOL 34% 147132 31512 12332 41 235310332642 97300 228 292 84 -3 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.1
202922 MLB MLECOL 48% 242216 51923 20544 61 238313344657 106300 228 298 87 -4 +1 +0 +1 +5 0.3
203023 MLB MLECOL 54% 337301 721235 28755 92 240316353668 113301 228 302 90 -4 +1 +0 +1 +7 0.6
203124 MLB MLECOL 55% 401359 871547 33896 112 242317360677 118301 228 305 93 -4 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.8
203225 MLB MLECOL 56% 438392 951648 37976 122 243318364682 122301 228 307 94 -3 +2 +0 +2 +9 1.0
203326 MLB MLECOL 56% 456408 991748 381017 123 243318365683 122301 228 307 94 -3 +1 +0 +2 +10 1.0
203427 MLB MLECOL 55% 463414 1001748 391047 123 242317362679 121300 228 306 93 -4 +1 +0 +2 +10 0.9
203528 MLB MLECOL 55% 462413 991748 391047 112 240315358673 118300 238 303 91 -5 +1 -1 +2 +10 0.8
203629 MLB MLECOL 53% 454407 971747 381046 102 238312351664 114298 238 300 89 -6 +1 -1 +2 +10 0.5
203730 MLB MLECOL 53% 444398 931637 371036 92 235309344652 109297 238 295 86 -7 +1 -2 +2 +10 0.3
203831 MLB MLECOL 52% 428384 881536 351016 83 231304334638 103294 248 289 82 -9 +0 -3 +2 +9 -0.1
202821 MLB CTXCOL 34% 5146 12211 4121 10 248322360682 112316 248 307 84 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.1
202922 MLB CTXCOL 48% 117104 27422 10262 31 251326373699 122317 229 314 87 -2 +0 +0 +0 +3 0.1
203023 MLB CTXCOL 54% 183163 41723 15413 51 254328383711 129317 228 318 90 -2 +1 +0 +1 +4 0.3
203124 MLB CTXCOL 55% 222198 51934 19493 61 256330391720 135318 229 322 93 -2 +1 +0 +1 +5 0.5
203225 MLB CTXCOL 56% 245218 571035 21544 71 257330396726 139317 229 324 94 -2 +1 +0 +1 +5 0.6
203326 MLB CTXCOL 56% 256229 581035 21574 71 257330396727 140317 228 324 94 -2 +1 +0 +1 +6 0.6
203427 MLB CTXCOL 55% 256228 581035 22574 71 255329393723 138317 229 323 93 -2 +1 +0 +1 +6 0.5
203528 MLB CTXCOL 55% 253226 581035 21574 61 253327388715 135316 238 320 91 -3 +1 -0 +1 +5 0.4
203629 MLB CTXCOL 53% 243218 54934 20563 51 251324381705 130314 238 316 89 -3 +1 -1 +1 +5 0.3
203730 MLB CTXCOL 53% 234210 53934 19543 51 248321372693 124312 238 311 86 -4 +1 -1 +1 +5 0.1
203831 MLB CTXCOL 52% 223200 49824 18533 41 243315361676 118309 248 304 82 -5 +0 -1 +1 +5 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 22832040 518882842 19051634 5610 254328386714 132319 238 318 87 -27 +7 -4 +8 +49 3.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650581 14725812 5414710 163 253328386713 133318 238 318 87 -8 +2 -1 +2 +14 1.0
Career— MLE — 48234293 10061714170 409105880 14831 234313342655 108293 228 296 87 -54 +12 -7 +16 +95 6.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650579 1362369 5514311 204 235314342656 107295 228 296 87 -8 +2 -1 +2 +14 0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Rockies · 188 PAwOBA .409 → .299 (−110)K% 11.2% → 13.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.17%÷1.000×1.220——13.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.43%÷1.000×0.700—×0.99510.74%
HBP% /PA4.79%—×0.700—×0.9953.33%
Singles /BIP32.80%÷1.000×0.680×1.050×0.99523.30%
Doubles /BIP6.40%÷1.000×0.600×1.050×0.9954.01%
Triples /BIP1.60%÷1.000×0.600×1.050×0.9951.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.470—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .409 → .299; ISO .082 → .056; BABIP .398 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Colorado · 61 PAwOBA .306 → .222 (−84)K% 13.1% → 15.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.11%÷1.016×1.220——15.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.75%÷1.026×0.700—×1.00810.14%
HBP% /PA3.28%—×0.700—×1.0082.31%
Singles /BIP22.50%÷1.008×0.680×1.040×1.00815.91%
Doubles /BIP5.00%÷1.011×0.600×1.040×1.0083.11%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.011×0.600×1.040×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.163×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 102, K 103, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .306 → .222; ISO .042 → .028; BABIP .262 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Colorado · 204 PAwOBA .320 → .225 (−94)K% 14.7% → 17.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.71%÷1.054×1.220——17.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.75%÷0.998×0.700—×1.0229.14%
HBP% /PA2.94%—×0.700—×1.0222.11%
Singles /BIP18.25%÷1.014×0.680×1.042×1.02213.04%
Doubles /BIP8.03%÷1.186×0.600×1.042×1.0224.33%
Triples /BIP2.92%÷0.916×0.600×1.042×1.0222.04%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.038×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 103, 2B 137, 3B 83, K 111, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.

Result: wOBA .320 → .225; ISO .114 → .074; BABIP .286 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).