José Fermin
P
Los Angeles Angels
Age 24
RHP
6'3" / 242 lbs
MLB
2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 102
ERA4.18
FIP4.49
K%27.9%
BB%14.5%
K-BB%13.5%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 106 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7596.3
Whiff%
p8330.4%
K%
p6625.2%
xwOBA vs
p450.317
SL (49%)
SI (1%)
FB-2.6 (51%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 0 | 66 | 272 | 91 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 25.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 2.4% | 3.15 | 3.78 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 0 | 66 | 272 | 91 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 33.5% | 10.3% | 23.2% | 1.5% | 3.15 | 2.40 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 58 | 1 | 54 | 235 | 73 | 28 | 9 | 2% | 0.9 | 25.7% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 3.64 | 5.68 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 58 | 1 | 54 | 235 | 73 | 28 | 9 | 2% | 0.9 | 31.1% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 3.8% | 3.64 | 4.11 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 39 | 0 | 44 | 194 | 53 | 25 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.9% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 1.5% | 3.07 | 3.43 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAA | 59 | 0 | 62 | 262 | 73 | 38 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.9% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 3.5% | 4.18 | 4.49 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAA | 59 | 0 | 62 | 262 | 73 | 38 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.9% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 3.5% | 4.18 | 4.49 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 106 | 456 | 126 | 63 | 12 | — | — | 27.7% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 2.7% | 3.72 | 4.05 | +1.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 90 | 380 | 126 | 63 | 12 | — | — | 33.2% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 3.2% | 4.38 | 4.14 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 87 | 0 | 91 | 385 | 107 | 50 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.9% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 3.6% | 4.66 | 4.72 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 87 | 0 | 91 | 385 | 107 | 48 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.8% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 3.5% | 4.64 | 4.66 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 85 | 0 | 90 | 379 | 104 | 47 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.5% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 3.6% | 4.65 | 4.67 | +0.5 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 83 | 0 | 87 | 367 | 103 | 47 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.9% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 3.6% | 4.66 | 4.72 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 83 | 0 | 87 | 367 | 102 | 46 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.8% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 3.5% | 4.64 | 4.66 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 81 | 0 | 85 | 359 | 99 | 44 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.5% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 3.6% | 4.65 | 4.67 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 371 | 0 | 383 | 1623 | 444 | 211 | 59 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.4% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 3.6% | 4.45 | 4.43 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 194 | 0 | 200 | 849 | 232 | 110 | 31 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.4% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 3.6% | 4.45 | 4.43 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 136 | 1 | 164 | 701 | 180 | 91 | 22 | 1% | 1.2 | 25.7% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 3.29 | 4.32 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 166 | 1 | 200 | 855 | 220 | 110 | 27 | 1% | 1.2 | 25.7% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 3.29 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| José Fermin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.07 | 29.1% | 14.9% | 3.9% | — | 4.68 | 27.7% | 15.2% | 272 | -0.39 | — | — | — |
| R.J. Alvarez R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.84 | 23.1% | 11.3% | 4.1% | .348 | 3.35 | 22.4% | 10.7% | 112 | -1.49 | 3.02 | 302 | 77 |
| Zach Maxwell R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.03 | 23.6% | 14.8% | 3.7% | .290 | 4.62 | 23.7% | 6.7% | 35 | -0.41 | 2.81 | 200 | 76 |
| Félix Bautista R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.28 | 22.7% | 15.2% | 2.1% | .299 | 2.88 | 33.8% | 21.7% | 112 | -1.40 | 1.43 | 334 | 76 |
| José Cisnero R 2029 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 75 |
| Trey Wingenter R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.98 | 27.5% | 13.5% | 2.7% | .240 | 3.29 | 33.0% | 20.2% | 51 | -0.69 | 2.81 | 293 | 75 |
| Andrew McInvale R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.90 | 26.4% | 16.3% | 3.6% | .278 | 5.86 | 20.3% | 5.0% | 58 | +0.96 | 4.90 | 103 | 74 |
| Colin McKee R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.08 | 24.2% | 14.7% | 3.9% | .330 | 4.37 | 27.7% | 12.9% | 97 | -0.71 | 4.10 | 148 | 73 |
| Eduardo Herrera R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.32 | 25.5% | 15.7% | 2.5% | .284 | 4.44 | 16.7% | -5.0% | 31 | +0.12 | 4.32 | 127 | 71 |
| Jesus Cruz R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.74 | 26.4% | 15.6% | 3.5% | .314 | 4.14 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 63 | -0.60 | 3.13 | 293 | 71 |
| Justin Yeager R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.74 | 29.6% | 15.8% | 3.9% | .230 | 3.35 | 19.6% | 8.8% | 108 | -1.39 | 3.21 | 239 | 71 |
| Evan Johnson R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.32 | 28.6% | 16.3% | 2.9% | .308 | 4.43 | 23.6% | 6.0% | 38 | +0.11 | 4.32 | 103 | 71 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 70 |
| Daysbel Hernández R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.45 | 27.6% | 13.0% | 3.7% | .286 | 2.73 | 28.5% | 15.6% | 74 | -1.72 | 1.89 | 255 | 70 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 70 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 70 |
| Craig Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.76 | 22.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .298 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 4.2% | 171 | -0.32 | 4.07 | 222 | 70 |
| Seth Elledge R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.90 | 26.9% | 15.4% | 3.9% | .321 | 3.92 | 24.1% | 13.6% | 151 | -0.98 | 2.37 | 351 | 70 |
| Grant Gavin R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.52 | 25.6% | 11.4% | 3.9% | .289 | 4.35 | 23.5% | 11.2% | 130 | -0.17 | 2.14 | 376 | 70 |
| Jay Flaa R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.81 | 18.9% | 12.6% | 3.1% | .306 | 4.33 | 21.8% | 9.2% | 191 | -0.48 | 3.52 | 273 | 70 |
| Enmanuel Mejia R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.38 | 28.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .287 | 5.72 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 54 | +1.34 | 1.83 | 206 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 90 | 28.1% | 13.1% | 1.42 | 4.68 |
| Triston McKenzie ('24) | 4 | 105 | 26.0% | 9.4% | 1.52 | 3.94 |
| Caleb Smith ('22) | 4 | 104 | 25.1% | 11.0% | 1.67 | 4.47 |
| Nate Karns ('17) | 3 | 96 | 24.2% | 9.3% | 1.22 | 4.24 |
| Josiah Gray ('23) | 3 | 126 | 22.6% | 10.8% | 1.88 | 4.64 |
| Brandon Finnegan ('18) | 3 | 80 | 19.7% | 11.6% | 1.57 | 4.19 |
| Dinelson Lamet ('23) | 6 | 61 | 30.0% | 10.7% | 1.29 | 4.66 |