James Norwood
P
Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
Age 32
RHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.42
FIP4.31
K%25.2%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%15.0%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7996.6
Whiff%
p7629.3%
K%
p7025.9%
xwOBA vs
p340.330
FB-3.8
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 11 | 50 | 212 | 39 | 21 | 2 | 65% | 2.9 | 12.8% | 12.9% | -0.1% | 1.3% | 4.68 | 4.38 | — |
| 2015 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 11 | 50 | 212 | 39 | 21 | 2 | 65% | 2.9 | 18.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 0.9% | 4.68 | 3.32 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 36 | 162 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.6% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 0.0% | 3.25 | 2.27 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 36 | 162 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.5% | 6.2% | 20.4% | 0.0% | 3.25 | 1.54 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 60 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.2% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 1.2% | 3.28 | 3.62 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 60 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.5% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 0.8% | 3.28 | 2.77 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 51 | 0 | 61 | 264 | 67 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 1.5% | 2.79 | 3.52 | +0.8 |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 51 | 0 | 61 | 264 | 67 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 1.1% | 2.79 | 2.92 | +1.2 |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 92 | 37 | 10 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.7% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 3.7% | 4.03 | 4.26 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 92 | 37 | 10 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.4% | 13.0% | 19.4% | 3.5% | 4.03 | 3.95 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.6 | 0.0% | 11.1% | -11.1% | 0.0% | 16.20 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.6 | 0.0% | 11.1% | -11.1% | 0.0% | 16.20 | 4.90 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 50 | 214 | 74 | 24 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.7% | 11.5% | 21.2% | 1.3% | 3.99 | 2.52 | +1.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 50 | 214 | 74 | 24 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 34.6% | 11.2% | 23.4% | 1.4% | 3.99 | 2.36 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 38 | 173 | 46 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.9% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 1.1% | 6.45 | 3.11 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 38 | 173 | 46 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.6% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 1.2% | 6.45 | 2.94 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 22 | 0 | 23 | 117 | 36 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.1% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 6.56 | 6.13 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 22 | 0 | 23 | 117 | 36 | 16 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.8% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 6.0% | 6.56 | 5.97 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 58 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.2% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.31 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 51 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 3.3% | 4.52 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | NYY | 43 | 0 | 45 | 192 | 44 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 3.6% | 4.72 | 4.87 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 39 | 0 | 41 | 172 | 38 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 4.99 | 5.18 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 3.3% | 4.52 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | NYY | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 3.6% | 4.72 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 4.99 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 90 | 0 | 89 | 402 | 90 | 46 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 2.4% | 5.09 | 3.99 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 204 | 0 | 200 | 907 | 203 | 104 | 23 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 2.4% | 5.09 | 3.99 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 301 | 11 | 384 | 1680 | 396 | 197 | 33 | 4% | 1.3 | 23.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 1.9% | 4.17 | 3.66 | +7.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 157 | 6 | 200 | 874 | 206 | 103 | 17 | 4% | 1.3 | 23.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 1.9% | 4.17 | 3.66 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| James Norwood (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.31 | 25.2% | 10.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.86 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 136 | +0.55 | — | — | — |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 87 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 76 |
| Juan Nicasio R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 20.7% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 338 | 76 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.89 | 22.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .247 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.8% | 141 | -0.59 | 2.82 | 284 | 76 |
| Blake Wood R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 76 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 75 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 74 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.66 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.24 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.57 | 137 | 74 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 73 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 73 |
| Jared Hughes R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.36 | 19.7% | 7.8% | 1.7% | .260 | 4.04 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 172 | +0.68 | 3.02 | 358 | 72 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 3.13 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.13 | 29.9% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .235 | 4.87 | 20.2% | 8.1% | 85 | +1.74 | 2.00 | 320 | 71 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.20 | 24.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | .291 | 5.21 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 36 | +1.01 | 3.05 | 176 | 71 |
| James Hoyt R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.47 | 22.2% | 9.9% | 1.8% | .355 | 5.93 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 50 | +2.46 | 1.60 | 312 | 71 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 71 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 71 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.23 | 24.5% | 10.9% | 3.3% | .289 | 3.49 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 84 | -0.74 | 2.51 | 373 | 71 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 70 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 70 |
| José Cisnero R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.92 | 23.4% | 11.3% | 2.5% | .269 | 4.27 | 24.6% | 13.3% | 100 | +0.35 | 2.28 | 279 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 48 | 23.8% | 10.7% | 1.32 | 4.64 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |