Kirby Yates
P Pittsburgh Pirates| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37 | MLBTEX | 61 | 0 | 62 | 1.17 | 2.09 | 35.9% | 9.7% | 1.8 | |
| 2025 | 38 | MIX2 levels | 51 | 0 | 42 | 5.10 | 4.64 | 29.1% | 9.9% | -0.0 | K 29.2% · BB 9.6% · FIP 4.50 |
| 2026 | 39 | MIX3 levels | 50 | 1 | 46 | 4.08 | 3.25 | 28.1% | 9.0% | 0.7 | K 27.5% · BB 9.6% · FIP 2.99 |
| 2027PROJ | 40 | MLBPIT | 41 | 0 | 43 | 3.61 | 3.84 | 28.1% | 9.4% | 0.4 | |
| 2028PROJ | 41 | MLBPIT | 22 | 0 | 23 | 4.01 | 4.28 | 27.0% | 10.1% | 0.1 |
Grades · Statcast · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 27 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | 37 | 0 | 36 | 156 | 42 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.9% | 7.7% | 19.2% | 2.6% | 3.75 | 3.25 | +0.6 |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB RAW | Tampa Bay Rays | 37 | 0 | 36 | 156 | 42 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.9% | 7.7% | 19.2% | 2.6% | 3.75 | 3.21 | +0.6 |
| 2015 | 28 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 45 | 1 | 48 | 219 | 57 | 20 | 15 | 2% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 6.61 | 6.32 | -1.0 |
| 2015 | 28 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 45 | 1 | 48 | 219 | 57 | 20 | 15 | 2% | 1.1 | 26.0% | 9.1% | 16.9% | 6.8% | 6.61 | 6.06 | -0.8 |
| 2016 | 29 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 55 | 0 | 58 | 253 | 69 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.4% | 9.6% | 16.8% | 1.9% | 4.19 | 3.11 | +1.0 |
| 2016 | 29 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 55 | 0 | 58 | 253 | 69 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.3% | 9.5% | 17.8% | 2.0% | 4.19 | 3.08 | +1.0 |
| 2017 | 30 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 68 | 0 | 64 | 264 | 102 | 20 | 12 | 0% | 0.9 | 38.1% | 7.4% | 30.7% | 5.1% | 3.82 | 3.60 | +0.7 |
| 2017 | 30 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 68 | 0 | 64 | 264 | 102 | 20 | 12 | 0% | 0.9 | 38.6% | 7.6% | 31.1% | 4.5% | 3.82 | 3.29 | +1.0 |
| 2018 | 31 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | 65 | 0 | 63 | 250 | 90 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 36.0% | 6.8% | 29.2% | 2.3% | 2.14 | 2.21 | +1.8 |
| 2018 | 31 | MLB RAW | San Diego Padres | 65 | 0 | 63 | 250 | 90 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 36.0% | 6.8% | 29.2% | 2.4% | 2.14 | 2.29 | +1.7 |
| 2019 | 32 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | 60 | 0 | 61 | 243 | 101 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 41.6% | 4.9% | 36.6% | 0.8% | 1.19 | 0.66 | +2.9 |
| 2019 | 32 | MLB RAW | San Diego Padres | 60 | 0 | 61 | 243 | 101 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 41.6% | 4.9% | 36.6% | 0.8% | 1.19 | 0.79 | +2.8 |
| 2020 | 33 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | 6 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.7 | 32.0% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 4.0% | 12.46 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2020 | 33 | MLB RAW | San Diego Padres | 6 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.7 | 32.0% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 4.0% | 12.46 | 5.18 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 35 | MIX MLE | 4 levels | 17 | 2 | 15 | 65 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 12% | 0.9 | 24.6% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 2.93 | 4.07 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 35 | MIX RAW | 4 levels | 17 | 2 | 15 | 65 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 12% | 0.9 | 24.6% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 2.93 | 4.08 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 36 | MLB MLE | Atlanta Braves | 61 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 80 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.5% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 3.5% | 3.28 | 4.18 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 36 | MLB RAW | Atlanta Braves | 61 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 80 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.5% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 3.5% | 3.28 | 4.18 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 37 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | 61 | 0 | 62 | 237 | 85 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.9% | 9.7% | 26.2% | 1.2% | 1.17 | 1.95 | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 37 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | 61 | 0 | 62 | 237 | 85 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.9% | 9.7% | 26.2% | 1.2% | 1.17 | 1.95 | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 37 | MLB RAW | Texas Rangers | 61 | 0 | 62 | 237 | 85 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.9% | 9.7% | 26.2% | 1.3% | 1.17 | 2.09 | +1.8 |
| 2025 | 38 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 42 | 182 | 53 | 18 | 9 | 0% | 0.8 | 29.2% | 9.6% | 19.7% | 4.9% | 5.10 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 38 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 42 | 182 | 53 | 18 | 9 | 0% | 0.8 | 29.2% | 9.6% | 19.7% | 4.9% | 5.10 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 38 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 42 | 182 | 53 | 18 | 9 | 0% | 0.8 | 29.1% | 9.9% | 19.2% | 4.9% | 5.10 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2026 | 39 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 50 | 1 | 46 | 199 | 56 | 18 | 5 | 2% | 0.9 | 27.5% | 9.6% | 18.0% | 1.8% | 4.08 | 2.99 | +0.9 |
| 2026 | 39 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 50 | 1 | 46 | 199 | 56 | 18 | 5 | 2% | 0.9 | 27.5% | 9.6% | 18.0% | 1.8% | 4.08 | 2.99 | +0.9 |
| 2026 | 39 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 50 | 1 | 46 | 199 | 56 | 18 | 5 | 2% | 0.9 | 28.1% | 9.0% | 19.1% | 2.5% | 4.08 | 3.25 | +0.7 |
| ▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 518 | 1 | 495 | 2061 | 672 | 185 | 66 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.6% | 9.0% | 23.6% | 3.2% | 3.35 | 3.24 | +7.7 | ||
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 40 | MLB | PIT | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 51 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.1% | 9.4% | 18.7% | 2.8% | 3.61 | 3.84 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 41 | MLB MLE | PIT | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.0% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 3.3% | 4.01 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 41 | MLB CTX | PIT | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.0% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 3.3% | 4.01 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 540 | 1 | 518 | 2158 | 698 | 195 | 69 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.4% | 9.0% | 23.3% | 3.2% | 3.37 | 3.27 | +7.9 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 208 | 0 | 200 | 833 | 269 | 75 | 27 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.4% | 9.0% | 23.3% | 3.2% | 3.37 | 3.27 | +3.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 576 | 4 | 559 | 2347 | 751 | 212 | 74 | 1% | 1.0 | 32.0% | 9.0% | 23.0% | 3.1% | 3.43 | 3.26 | +7.8 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 206 | 1 | 200 | 839 | 268 | 76 | 26 | 1% | 1.0 | 32.0% | 9.0% | 23.0% | 3.1% | 3.43 | 3.26 | +3.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 5 IPFIP 2.70 → 2.95 (+0.25)K% 19.0% → 16.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 19.05% | — | ×0.880 | 16.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 9.52% | — | ×1.050 | 10.00% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷0.981 | ×1.100 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 96).
Result: FIP 2.70 → 2.95, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAASalt Lake Bees · 7 IPFIP 0.67 → 1.16 (+0.49)K% 42.4% → 37.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 42.42% | — | ×0.880 | 37.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 9.09% | — | ×1.050 | 9.55% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷0.989 | ×1.100 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 98).
Result: FIP 0.67 → 1.16, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 17 IPFIP 1.88 → 2.21 (+0.33)K% 27.5% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 27.54% | — | ×0.880 | 24.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 8.70% | — | ×1.050 | 9.13% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷0.996 | ×1.100 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 99).
Result: FIP 1.88 → 2.21, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAADurham Bulls · 25 IPFIP 4.29 → 4.79 (+0.50)K% 29.1% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 29.06% | — | ×0.880 | 25.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 10.26% | — | ×1.050 | 10.77% |
| HR / BF /BF | 4.27% | ÷1.039 | ×1.100 | 4.53% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 108).
Result: FIP 4.29 → 4.79, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Career Comps
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.
| Player | 162s | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2.8 | 47 | 32.0% | 9.6% | 1.23 | 3.39 |
| Héctor Neris ('25) | 3.1 | 57 | 29.4% | 9.2% | 1.19 | 3.47 |
| Cody Allen ('19) | 2.3 | 58 | 30.5% | 9.9% | 1.07 | 3.14 |
| Mychal Givens ('23) | 2.3 | 58 | 28.2% | 10.0% | 1.05 | 3.47 |
| Alberto Reyes ('95-'08, 5 WAR*) | 2.1 | 54 | 27.1%* | 10.2%* | 1.18* | 3.66* |
| Paul Assenmacher ('86-'99, 12 WAR*) | 4.3 | 61 | 27.8%* | 8.3%* | 0.98* | 3.61* |
| Randy Myers ('85-'98, 16 WAR*) | 4.4 | 74 | 29.4%* | 10.4%* | 0.92* | 3.47* |