Kirby Yates — OGILVIE

Kirby Yates P Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 39 RHP 5'10" / 205 lbs MLB peak 0.3 · 2026 ILInjured 15-Day (D15)

2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9789vR 81

ERA3.40

FIP3.62

K%29.4%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%19.4%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL3535

CMD6565

K†7070

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1090.8

Whiff%

p7328.9%

p8027.8%

xwOBA vs

p760.287

FB+1.7 (58%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	45	1	48	219	57	20	15	2%	1.1	24.4%	9.4%	15.0%	7.5%	6.61	6.32	-1.0
2015	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	45	1	48	219	57	20	15	2%	1.1	26.0%	9.1%	16.9%	6.8%	6.61	6.06	-0.8
2016	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	0	58	253	69	24	5	0%	1.1	26.4%	9.6%	16.8%	1.9%	4.19	3.11	+1.0
2016	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	55	0	58	253	69	24	5	0%	1.1	27.3%	9.5%	17.8%	2.0%	4.19	3.08	+1.0
2017	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	68	0	64	264	102	20	12	0%	0.9	38.1%	7.4%	30.7%	5.1%	3.82	3.60	+0.7
2017	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	68	0	64	264	102	20	12	0%	0.9	38.6%	7.6%	31.1%	4.5%	3.82	3.29	+1.0
2018	31	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	65	0	63	250	90	17	6	0%	1.0	36.0%	6.8%	29.2%	2.3%	2.14	2.21	+1.8
2018	31	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	65	0	63	250	90	17	6	0%	1.0	36.0%	6.8%	29.2%	2.4%	2.14	2.29	+1.7
2019	32	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	60	0	61	243	101	12	2	0%	1.0	41.6%	4.9%	36.6%	0.8%	1.19	0.66	+2.9
2019	32	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	60	0	61	243	101	12	2	0%	1.0	41.6%	4.9%	36.6%	0.8%	1.19	0.79	+2.8
2020	33	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	6	0	4	25	8	4	1	0%	0.7	32.0%	16.0%	16.0%	4.0%	12.46	4.62	-0.0
2020	33	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	6	0	4	25	8	4	1	0%	0.7	32.0%	16.0%	16.0%	4.0%	12.46	5.18	-0.0
2022	35	MIX MLE	4 levels	17	2	15	65	16	7	2	12%	0.9	24.6%	10.8%	13.8%	3.1%	2.93	4.07	+0.1
2022	35	MIX RAW	4 levels	17	2	15	65	16	7	2	12%	0.9	24.6%	10.8%	13.8%	3.1%	2.93	4.08	+0.1
2023	36	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	61	0	60	254	80	36	9	0%	1.0	31.5%	14.2%	17.3%	3.5%	3.28	4.18	+0.3
2023	36	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	61	0	60	254	80	36	9	0%	1.0	31.5%	14.2%	17.3%	3.5%	3.28	4.18	+0.3
2023	36	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	61	0	60	254	80	36	9	0%	1.0	31.5%	14.2%	17.3%	3.5%	3.28	4.18	+0.3
2024	37	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	61	0	62	237	85	23	3	0%	1.0	35.9%	9.7%	26.2%	1.2%	1.17	1.95	+1.9
2024	37	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	61	0	62	237	85	23	3	0%	1.0	35.9%	9.7%	26.2%	1.2%	1.17	1.95	+1.9
2024	37	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	61	0	62	237	85	23	3	0%	1.0	35.9%	9.7%	26.2%	1.3%	1.17	2.09	+1.8
2025	38	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	42	182	53	18	9	0%	0.8	29.2%	9.6%	19.7%	4.9%	5.10	4.50	+0.0
2025	38	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	42	182	53	18	9	0%	0.8	29.2%	9.6%	19.7%	4.9%	5.10	4.50	+0.0
2025	38	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	42	182	53	18	9	0%	0.8	29.1%	9.9%	19.2%	4.9%	5.10	4.64	-0.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			479	0	456	1896	628	173	62	0%	1.0	33.1%	9.1%	24.0%	3.3%	3.33	3.25	+7.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	39	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	48	0	44	190	54	18	5	0%	0.9	27.8%	10.1%	17.8%	1.9%	4.33	3.08	+0.8
YTD	39	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	48	0	44	190	54	18	5	0%	0.9	27.8%	10.1%	17.8%	1.9%	4.33	3.08	+0.8
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	39	A RAW	PIT	2	0	2	9	4	1	0	0%	1.0	44.4%	11.1%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.75	—
2026	39	AAA RAW	PIT	2	0	2	12	3	0	2	0%	1.0	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	16.7%	27.00	10.14	—
2026	39	MLB RAW	PIT	44	0	40	169	47	17	3	0%	0.9	27.8%	10.1%	17.8%	1.8%	3.40	3.00	+0.7
SO FAR	39	MLB RAW	PIT	44	0	40	169	47	17	3	0%	0.9	27.8%	10.1%	17.8%	1.8%	3.40	3.00	+0.7
ROS	39	MLB MLE	PIT	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	0.9	29.4%	10.0%	19.4%	3.2%	3.40	3.62	+0.0
ROS	39	MLB CTX	PIT	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	29.4%	10.0%	19.4%	3.2%	3.40	3.62	+0.0
2026 TOT	39	MLB MLE	PIT	—	—	45	194	55	18	5	—	—	28.4%	9.5%	19.0%	2.6%	4.31	3.09	+0.8
FULL	39	MLB A+C	PIT	—	—	41	171	55	18	5	—	—	32.2%	10.7%	21.4%	3.0%	4.73	3.38	+0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	40	MLB MLE	PIT	33	0	35	148	42	16	5	0%	1.1	28.6%	10.7%	17.9%	3.3%	4.00	4.26	+0.1
2027	40	MLB CTX	PIT	33	0	35	148	42	16	5	0%	1.1	28.6%	10.7%	17.9%	3.3%	4.00	4.26	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		513	0	492	2048	671	189	67	0%	1.0	32.8%	9.2%	23.5%	3.3%	3.38	3.30	+7.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		209	0	200	832	273	77	27	0%	1.0	32.8%	9.2%	23.5%	3.3%	3.38	3.30	+3.0
Career	—	MLE		537	3	521	2182	707	200	69	1%	1.0	32.4%	9.2%	23.2%	3.2%	3.42	3.27	+7.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		206	1	200	838	271	77	27	1%	1.0	32.4%	9.2%	23.2%	3.2%	3.42	3.27	+2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kirby Yates (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.94	30.8%	10.0%	3.3%	—	4.26	28.6%	17.9%	35	+0.32	—	—	—
Fernando Rodney R 2016 · 3.43 FIP	39	SU	3.43	26.1%	12.0%	1.9%	.288	3.54	25.4%	14.2%	167	+0.11	2.69	295	67
Joaquín Benoit R 2016 · 3.72 FIP	39	SU	3.72	25.5%	11.3%	2.5%	.258	4.48	21.6%	11.7%	50	+0.76	3.58	164	65
Jason Grilli R 2016 · 4.13 FIP	39	SU	4.13	32.3%	12.4%	4.0%	.264	5.58	26.1%	16.3%	40	+1.45	2.05	133	63
Manny Acosta R 2019 · 3.08 FIP	38	SU	3.08	23.2%	13.3%	0.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	102	55
Darren O'Day R 2022 · 3.59 FIP	39	SU	3.59	27.7%	8.5%	3.2%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.01	215	51
Peter Moylan R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	39	SU	4.77	17.8%	11.6%	3.1%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	174	47
Matt Belisle R 2018 · 4.60 FIP	38	SU	4.60	15.4%	6.2%	3.7%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	174	44
Santiago Casilla R 2018 · 4.14 FIP	38	SU	4.14	16.8%	15.2%	1.0%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	219	41
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2015 · 3.25 FIP	42	SU	3.25	14.8%	8.6%	0.6%	.293	3.88	14.9%	6.8%	75	+0.63	3.25	123	40
Brad Ziegler R 2018 · 4.03 FIP	38	SU	4.03	16.4%	6.2%	2.8%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	2.63	257	39
Luis Ayala R 2017 · 4.00 FIP	39	SU	4.00	15.9%	11.7%	1.4%	.340	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	119	39
Neal Cotts L 2017 · 3.21 FIP	37	SU	3.21	25.5%	8.0%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.21	156	35
Daniel Bard R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	38	SU	4.95	20.3%	19.8%	1.9%	.224	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	200	35
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	38	SU	3.51	13.3%	2.5%	2.2%	.388	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	119	34
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	32
Ryan Vogelsong R 2016 · 4.79 FIP	39	SP-	4.79	16.7%	10.4%	3.2%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	217	18
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	16
Horacio Ramirez L 2019 · 4.65 FIP	39	SU	4.65	5.7%	6.0%	2.3%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	199	3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	36	29.7%	10.4%	1.28	3.86
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Keone Kela ('19)	1.1	43	30.1%	9.4%	0.92	3.23
Ryan Buchter ('19)	1.1	53	26.7%	10.8%	1.10	2.87
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Diego Castillo ('22)	1.3	52	28.1%	8.9%	1.07	3.12
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19