Kirby Yates
P
Los Angeles Dodgers
+0.4
WAR
Age 39
RHP
5'10" / 205 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA3.57
FIP3.92
xFIP3.90
SIERA3.33
K%29.8%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%19.8%
IP34
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
STUF6565
CTRL3535
CMD6565
K†6565
FB Velo
p2692.8
Whiff%
p9035.3%
K%
p8729.1%
xwOBA vs
p440.318
FB+1.7 (58%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 28 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 45 | 1 | 48 | 219 | 57 | 20 | 15 | 24.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.61 | 6.23 | -0.7 |
| 2016 | 29 | MLB | New York Yankees | 55 | 0 | 58 | 253 | 69 | 24 | 5 | 26.4% | 9.6% | 1.5% | 4.19 | 2.91 | +1.3 |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 68 | 0 | 64 | 264 | 102 | 20 | 12 | 38.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.82 | 3.87 | +0.8 |
| 2018 | 31 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 65 | 0 | 63 | 250 | 90 | 17 | 6 | 36.0% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 2.14 | 2.22 | +2.0 |
| 2019 | 32 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 60 | 0 | 61 | 243 | 101 | 12 | 2 | 41.6% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 1.19 | 0.67 | +3.0 |
| 2020 | 33 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 6 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 8 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 12.46 | — | — |
| 2022 | 35 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 17 | 2 | 15 | 65 | 16 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — | 2.93 | — | — |
| 2023 | 36 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 61 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 80 | 36 | 9 | 31.5% | 14.2% | 3.4% | 3.28 | 4.10 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 37 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 61 | 0 | 62 | 237 | 85 | 23 | 3 | 35.9% | 9.7% | 1.2% | 1.17 | 1.97 | +2.1 |
| 2025 | 38 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 51 | 0 | 42 | 182 | 53 | 18 | 9 | 29.2% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 5.10 | 4.26 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 39 | MLB | LAD | 34 | — | 34 | 144 | 42 | 14 | 5 | 29.0% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 3.49 | 4.01 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 40 | MLB | LAD | 31 | — | 31 | 132 | 37 | 14 | 4 | 28.1% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 3.92 | 4.20 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 489 | 3 | 477 | 1992 | 654 | 181 | 65 | 32.8% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 3.34 | 3.27 | +11.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 205 | 1 | 200 | 835 | 274 | 76 | 27 | 32.8% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 3.34 | 3.27 | +4.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kirby Yates (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.01 | 29.0% | 9.9% | 3.1% | — | 4.20 | 28.1% | 17.9% | 31 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.77 | 25.5% | 11.3% | 2.5% | .258 | 4.46 | 21.6% | 11.7% | 50 | +0.69 | 3.55 | 164 | 64 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 39 | SW | 3.43 | 26.1% | 12.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.50 | 25.4% | 14.2% | 167 | +0.07 | 2.67 | 295 | 63 |
| Jason Grilli R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 39 | SW | 4.20 | 32.3% | 12.4% | 4.1% | .264 | 5.70 | 26.1% | 16.3% | 40 | +1.50 | 2.03 | 133 | 60 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.07 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.07 | 23.2% | 13.3% | 0.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 102 | 55 |
| Darren O'Day R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.39 | 27.7% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.01 | 215 | 49 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 39 | SU | 4.94 | 17.8% | 11.6% | 3.4% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 174 | 45 |
| Matt Belisle R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.33 | 15.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 174 | 43 |
| Gaudencio Aguirre R 2029 · 3.26 FIP | 42 | SU | 3.26 | 14.8% | 8.6% | 0.6% | .293 | 3.88 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 75 | +0.62 | 3.26 | 123 | 41 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.16 | 16.8% | 15.2% | 1.0% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 219 | 39 |
| Luis Ayala R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.97 | 15.9% | 11.7% | 1.3% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 119 | 39 |
| Logan Duran R 2024 · 3.65 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.65 | 15.5% | 8.9% | 1.3% | .427 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 187 | 39 |
| Kyle Lohse R 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 37 | SW | 5.01 | 14.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.01 | 211 | 38 |
| Erubiel Gonzalez R 2025 · 3.48 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.48 | 13.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | .388 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 119 | 36 |
| Brad Ziegler R 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.01 | 16.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.61 | 257 | 34 |
| Daniel Bard R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 38 | SU | 5.03 | 20.3% | 19.8% | 2.1% | .224 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.45 | 200 | 34 |
| Neal Cotts L 2024 · 3.21 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.21 | 25.5% | 8.0% | 2.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 156 | 34 |
| Hector Navarro R 2024 · 3.47 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.47 | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.1% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 126 | 33 |
| Lorenzo Barcelo R 2025 · 3.38 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.38 | 12.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 199 | 31 |
| Rich Hill L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 39 | SW | 3.52 | 29.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | .264 | 3.90 | 21.6% | 13.5% | 322 | +0.38 | 2.10 | 1,030 | 29 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 39 | SP- | 4.88 | 16.7% | 10.4% | 3.4% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 217 | 27 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.