Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 23 | A | Hagerstown Suns | 17 | 13 | 68 | 309 | 55 | 23 | 10 | 76% | 4.0 | 13.2% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.03 | 4.65 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A | Hagerstown Suns | 17 | 13 | 68 | 309 | 55 | 23 | 10 | 76% | 4.0 | 17.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 3.2% | 5.03 | 4.41 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A | Hagerstown Suns | 23 | 20 | 114 | 499 | 90 | 35 | 8 | 87% | 4.9 | 13.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 5.07 | 4.42 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A | Hagerstown Suns | 23 | 20 | 114 | 499 | 90 | 35 | 8 | 87% | 4.9 | 18.0% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 1.6% | 5.07 | 3.36 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 53 | 212 | 76 | 25 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.1% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 1.7% | 1.70 | 3.35 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 53 | 212 | 76 | 25 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 35.8% | 11.8% | 24.1% | 1.4% | 1.70 | 2.38 | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 65 | 292 | 86 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.7% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.73 | 4.18 | +0.4 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 65 | 292 | 86 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.5% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 2.4% | 4.73 | 3.61 | +0.8 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.7 | 5.3% | 26.3% | -21.1% | 5.3% | 6.75 | 8.88 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.7 | 5.3% | 26.3% | -21.1% | 5.3% | 6.75 | 9.60 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 7 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 14% | 1.2 | 43.2% | 24.3% | 18.9% | 0.0% | 3.24 | 2.53 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 7 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 14% | 1.2 | 43.2% | 24.3% | 18.9% | 0.0% | 3.24 | 2.50 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 11 | 0 | 13 | 63 | 18 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.1% | 24.4% | -1.3% | 0.0% | 3.46 | 4.24 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 11 | 0 | 13 | 63 | 18 | 14 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.6% | 22.2% | 6.3% | 0.0% | 3.46 | 3.56 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | SD | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | SD | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 3.3% | 4.52 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | SD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.8% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 3.3% | 4.52 | 4.63 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 0.7 | 4.0% | 28.0% | -24.0% | 4.0% | 13.50 | 8.50 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 300 | 0 | 200 | 1071 | 43 | 300 | 43 | 0% | 0.7 | 4.0% | 28.0% | -24.0% | 4.0% | 13.50 | 8.50 | -7.3 | ||
| Career | — | 153 | 34 | 325 | 1431 | 273 | 165 | 34 | 22% | 2.1 | 19.1% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 4.35 | 4.26 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 94 | 21 | 200 | 882 | 168 | 102 | 21 | 22% | 2.1 | 19.1% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 4.35 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| James Bourque (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 23.4% | 9.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.63 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 20 | +0.27 | — | — | — |
| Jake Petricka R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.87 | 19.1% | 8.0% | 4.3% | .340 | 3.31 | 18.3% | 10.4% | 24 | -1.56 | 3.04 | 252 | 69 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 67 |
| John Axford R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.81 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .304 | 4.13 | 22.1% | 11.3% | 76 | +0.32 | 3.10 | 197 | 67 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 66 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 115 | 64 |
| Yoshihisa Hirano R 2027 · 3.32 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.32 | 22.5% | 7.3% | 2.2% | .242 | 3.84 | 24.6% | 15.2% | 65 | +0.52 | 3.32 | 132 | 64 |
| Greg Holland R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.38 | 27.0% | 14.5% | 3.1% | .238 | 3.77 | 23.8% | 15.4% | 84 | -0.61 | 1.97 | 268 | 64 |
| Ryan Cook R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 62 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | .335 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -0.95 | 2.63 | 144 | 62 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2025 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 61 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 60 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.41 | 20.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.36 | 17.6% | 4.0% | 57 | +0.95 | 3.41 | 144 | 60 |
| Manny Acosta R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 60 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2025 · 3.35 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.35 | 24.3% | 12.4% | 1.3% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 129 | 60 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 60 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 60 |
| Logan Kensing R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 60 |
| Jon Edwards R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 59 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.77 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | .286 | 3.18 | 23.7% | 17.9% | 150 | -1.59 | 2.27 | 426 | 59 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 11.3% | 2.1% | .304 | 3.43 | 22.8% | 12.6% | 174 | -0.09 | 3.08 | 349 | 59 |