Christopher Hernandez

Christopher Hernandez P DSL Rangers Red

Age 21 RHP 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 21 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA5.48

FIP5.48

K%22.9%

BB%18.3%

K-BB%4.6%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	10	8	37	167	51	32	1	80%	3.7	20.8%	24.0%	-3.2%	0.6%	3.86	4.73	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	10	8	37	167	51	32	1	80%	3.7	20.8%	24.0%	-3.2%	0.6%	3.86	4.73	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	10	8	37	167	51	32	1	80%	3.7	30.5%	19.2%	11.4%	0.6%	3.86	3.29	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	11	3	35	155	50	27	2	27%	3.2	21.9%	21.8%	0.2%	1.4%	4.67	4.79	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	11	3	35	155	50	27	2	27%	3.2	21.9%	21.8%	0.2%	1.4%	4.67	4.79	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	11	3	35	155	50	27	2	27%	3.2	32.3%	17.4%	14.8%	1.3%	4.67	3.30	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	—	3	3	21	89	20	16	3	100%	7.0	22.9%	18.3%	4.6%	2.9%	5.48	5.48	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	—	5	5	33	138	33	21	4	100%	6.6	23.8%	15.4%	8.5%	2.9%	5.15	5.00	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	—	2	2	16	68	16	10	2	100%	8.0	23.8%	15.4%	8.5%	2.9%	5.15	5.00	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	16	68	16	10	2	100%	8.1	23.8%	15.4%	8.5%	2.9%	5.15	4.62	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		31	31	200	844	198	124	25	100%	6.5	23.8%	15.4%	8.5%	2.9%	5.15	4.62	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		21	11	72	322	69	74	3	52%	3.4	21.3%	22.9%	-1.6%	1.0%	4.25	4.76	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	31	200	894	191	205	9	52%	3.4	21.3%	22.9%	-1.6%	1.0%	4.25	4.76	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Christopher Hernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.48	22.9%	18.3%	2.9%	—	5.00	23.8%	8.5%	33	-0.48	—	—	—
Blane Abeyta R 2021 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP-	4.66	21.1%	18.2%	1.9%	.283	4.78	15.6%	6.4%	343	+0.12	4.24	489	87
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	86
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	84
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	84
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	82
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	82
Jeisson Cabrera R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	20	SP-	4.42	21.3%	15.5%	2.1%	.227	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	244	80
Joseph Hernandez R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	21	SW	4.39	24.7%	16.7%	2.3%	.348	4.92	18.1%	4.0%	190	+0.53	4.39	260	79
Kevin Abel R 2022 · 5.92 FIP	23	SW	5.92	25.2%	22.4%	3.9%	.441	4.63	18.6%	4.5%	308	-1.29	4.50	450	78
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	78
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	78
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	78
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	77
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	77
Hunter Parks R 2022 · 5.17 FIP	21	SP-	5.17	18.7%	16.8%	2.8%	.312	5.23	17.7%	-0.3%	163	+0.06	4.42	301	77
Jordarlin Mendoza R 2024 · 4.50 FIP	20	SW	4.50	22.1%	18.6%	1.7%	.368	5.96	17.9%	-0.0%	49	+1.46	3.33	147	76
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	76
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	76
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	76
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	23.4%	16.5%	1.13	5.28
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Derrick Turnbow ('08)	1.3	64	23.4%	14.8%	0.87	4.30