Christopher Hernandez
P
DSL Rangers Red
Age 20
RHP
6'0" / 160 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.51
FIP4.51
K%23.1%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%12.0%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 10 | 8 | 37 | 167 | 51 | 32 | 1 | 80% | 3.7 | 20.8% | 24.0% | -3.2% | 0.5% | 3.86 | 4.66 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 10 | 8 | 37 | 167 | 51 | 32 | 1 | 80% | 3.7 | 30.5% | 19.2% | 11.4% | 0.6% | 3.86 | 3.29 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 11 | 3 | 35 | 155 | 50 | 27 | 2 | 27% | 3.2 | 21.9% | 21.8% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 4.67 | 4.66 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 11 | 3 | 35 | 155 | 50 | 27 | 2 | 27% | 3.2 | 32.3% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 1.3% | 4.67 | 3.30 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | — | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | — | 21 | 0 | 22 | 94 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 2.8% | 4.40 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 2.8% | 4.40 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 2.8% | 4.40 | 3.96 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 201 | 91 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 2.8% | 4.40 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 21 | 11 | 72 | 322 | 69 | 74 | 3 | 52% | 3.4 | 21.3% | 22.9% | -1.6% | 0.8% | 4.25 | 4.66 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 31 | 200 | 894 | 191 | 205 | 7 | 52% | 3.4 | 21.3% | 22.9% | -1.6% | 0.8% | 4.25 | 4.66 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Christopher Hernandez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 23.1% | 11.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.34 | 23.6% | 13.3% | 22 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Kobe Robinson R 2027 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 87 |
| Eccel Correa R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 2.5% | .316 | 4.40 | 14.2% | 2.3% | 151 | +0.05 | 3.96 | 186 | 85 |
| Felix Arronde R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.42 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 2.7% | .275 | 4.69 | 16.3% | 6.9% | 299 | +0.27 | 4.13 | 397 | 85 |
| Carson Rudd R 2028 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 80 |
| Rodolfo Sanchez R 2027 · 4.72 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.72 | 23.0% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .264 | 5.07 | 19.9% | 6.3% | 104 | +0.35 | 3.59 | 255 | 80 |
| Connor Cooke R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 80 |
| Joelvis Del Rosario R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.85 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .315 | 4.81 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 197 | +0.96 | 3.13 | 286 | 80 |
| Joshua Quezada R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 2.4% | .293 | 4.27 | 19.3% | 10.1% | 73 | -0.07 | 3.48 | 153 | 79 |
| Anderson Brito R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.39 | 27.5% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .231 | 3.83 | 23.2% | 7.4% | 82 | +0.44 | 3.24 | 135 | 78 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2029 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 78 |
| Simon Mathews R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 77 |
| Dawil Almonte R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.60 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .271 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 3.3% | 97 | +0.84 | 3.60 | 138 | 77 |
| Colin Fields R 2029 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 77 |
| Jake Lyons R 2028 · 4.41 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.41 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.5% | .325 | 4.72 | 19.4% | 9.2% | 105 | +0.31 | 4.31 | 174 | 77 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2029 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 76 |
| Deretd Parra R 2025 · 5.29 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.8% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .295 | 3.80 | 15.7% | 2.3% | 83 | -1.49 | 2.79 | 161 | 76 |
| Lisandro Almonte R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.83 | 17.9% | 10.3% | 3.5% | .310 | 5.17 | 20.5% | 3.3% | 50 | +0.34 | 3.92 | 128 | 76 |
| Alessandro Ercolani R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.78 | 22.9% | 9.2% | 2.6% | .267 | 5.93 | 12.9% | 1.7% | 121 | +2.15 | 3.78 | 311 | 76 |
| Jeisson Cabrera R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.42 | 21.3% | 15.5% | 2.1% | .227 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 224 | 76 |
| Michael Knorr R 2029 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 76 |