Griffin Burkholder

OF Clearwater Threshers

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 195 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

APROSPECTFG #753MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP45ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	APHI	81	.203/.312/.406	2	0	56	—	.155/.250/.296
2025	19	ROKPHI	64	.190/.266/.362	2	1	9	—	.100/.156/.183
2026	20	A+PHI	125	.165/.306/.165	0	12	13	—	.139/.250/.139
2026	20	APHI	271	.241/.357/.408	8	14	63	—	.190/.286/.312
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBPHI	506	.183/.262/.285	9	12	56	-0.9
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBPHI	155	.192/.271/.313	4	4	64	-0.4
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBPHI	237	.199/.277/.330	6	6	70	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$0.4M2033Arb-2$5M2034Arb-3$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed77

Z-Con%62

BB%47

Chase%44

Whiff%38

K%28

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 95%

CompsJohan Mieses (age 20) · Troy Stokes Jr. (age 21) · Tyler Goeddel (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .260 / .282

PA320

HR5

SB8

K%28

BB%7

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED67

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	81	69	14	6	1	2	7	25	4	0	0	203	312	406	718	203	279	31	9	319	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	64	58	11	4	0	2	5	17	1	1	0	190	266	362	628	172	231	27	8	282	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	125	103	17	0	0	0	14	36	7	12	1	165	306	165	472		250	29	11	242	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	271	228	55	12	1	8	29	76	12	14	5	241	357	408	765	167	324	28	11	345	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	81	71	11	5	1	1	5	32	4	0	0	155	250	296	546	141	253	40	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	64	60	6	2	0	1	3	24	1	1	0	100	156	183	340	83	166	38	5	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	125	108	15	0	0	0	9	47	7	12	1	139	250	139	389		234	38	7	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	271	237	45	9	1	6	20	103	12	14	5	190	286	312	598	122	290	38	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	145	131	19	7	1	3	8	56	5	1	0	145	222	282	505	137	219	39	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	145	127	25	10	1	4	12	42	5	1	0	197	292	386	677	189	256	29	8	303	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	396	345	60	9	1	6	29	150	19	26	6	174	275	258	533	84	283	38	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	396	331	72	12	1	8	43	112	19	26	6	218	341	332	673	115	300	28	11	313	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	145	131	19	7	1	3	8	56	5	1	0	145	222	282	505	137	215	39	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	396	345	60	9	1	6	29	150	19	26	6	174	275	258	533	84	272	38	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	145	131	19	7	1	3	8	56	5	1	0	145	222	282	505	137	215	39	6	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	396	345	60	9	1	6	29	150	19	26	6	174	275	258	533	84	272	38	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	506	453	84	16	2	9	35	142	13	12	3	183	262	285	546	101	242	28	7	251	56	-26	+1	-1	-3	+11	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	452	406	77	14	2	10	32	124	11	12	3	191	270	307	577	116	246	27	7	263	64	-19	+1	-0	-3	+10	-1.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	490	439	87	16	2	12	36	132	12	13	3	197	276	324	599	127	249	27	7	272	70	-17	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.8
2030	24	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	529	472	96	18	2	14	39	140	13	14	3	202	280	336	616	134	253	26	7	279	75	-16	+2	+1	-3	+11	-0.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	563	503	103	19	2	15	42	148	13	14	3	205	284	344	628	139	255	26	7	283	78	-15	+2	+1	-3	+12	-0.4
2032	26	MLB MLE	PHI	56%	573	512	105	19	2	16	43	149	13	14	3	208	286	350	636	142	257	26	8	286	80	-14	+2	+1	-3	+12	-0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	575	513	105	19	2	16	44	151	13	14	3	206	285	347	632	140	256	26	8	285	79	-14	+2	+1	-3	+12	-0.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	571	510	105	19	2	16	43	151	13	12	3	205	283	342	625	138	255	26	8	282	77	-16	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.5
2028	22	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	155	139	28	5	1	4	11	42	4	4	1	192	271	313	584	120	246	27	7	266	64	-7	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.4
2029	23	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	237	212	42	8	1	6	17	64	6	6	1	199	277	330	608	132	250	27	7	275	70	-8	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
2030	24	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	279	249	51	9	1	8	21	74	7	7	2	204	282	343	625	140	253	27	8	282	75	-8	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	308	275	57	10	1	9	23	81	7	8	2	207	285	352	638	145	255	26	7	287	78	-8	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	PHI	56%	319	285	60	11	1	10	24	83	7	8	2	210	288	358	645	148	257	26	8	290	80	-8	+1	+1	-2	+7	-0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	316	282	58	10	1	9	24	83	7	8	2	208	287	355	642	146	257	26	8	288	79	-8	+1	+1	-2	+7	-0.2
2034	28	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	312	278	57	10	1	9	24	82	7	6	2	207	285	350	634	143	255	26	8	286	77	-9	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1926	1720	353	63	7	55	144	509	45	47	12	205	284	346	630	141	255	26	7	284	70	-56	+5	+2	-12	+42	-1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	119	21	2	19	49	172	15	16	4	205	284	347	631	141	254	26	8	284	70	-19	+2	+1	-4	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4614	4118	809	150	17	113	338	1291	120	128	29	196	277	323	600	127	254	28	7	272	70	-128	+11	+4	-24	+88	-5.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	114	21	2	16	48	182	17	18	4	197	278	322	600	126	255	28	7	272	70	-20	+2	+1	-4	+14	-0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#3Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.4	2,247	56	55	201	277	332	-13	+8	-1.7	-0.8
/162	664	17	16	-4.0	+2.2	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Howie Schultz'43-'48 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	24	15	233*	271*	383*	-30	-2	-3.6	-3.6
/162	664	9	6	-11.8	-0.7	-1.4	pk7: -4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Griffin Burkholder (OGILVIE)	21	20→36	30→51	70→67	44	182/260/282	100	242	5	8	28%	7%	56	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	39→33	39→55	59→50	45	191/248/281	90	242	5	22	23%	6%	49	-2.4	195/243/347	152	271	18	8	34%	5%	63	-1.3	192/268/358	166	237	23	7	30%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2017 · A	21	44→40	39→50	55	45	212/283/303	91	280	6	19	25%	7%	68	-1.0	207/280/342	135	279	13	18	29%	8%	76	-0.4	195/275/337	142	264	15	19	30%	8%	71	-0.6
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	44→52	41→45	59→55	40	211/262/313	103	297	7	20	30%	6%	61	-1.5	227/284/341	114	305	9	18	27%	7%	76	-0.4	229/290/345	116	300	9	18	25%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→49	42→50	57→50	43	224/279/341	116	300	8	15	27%	6%	74	-0.5	220/277/337	117	289	10	12	26%	6%	73	-0.6	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Lane Adams 2011 · A	21	43→45	37→50	57→60	40	204/256/278	73	298	4	14	31%	6%	51	-2.3	212/261/312	100	298	8	14	30%	6%	61	-1.5	224/277/350	126	304	14	36	30%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Jose Ramos 2024 · A	21	36	38→40	59→55	43	175/251/257	81	256	4	23	31%	7%	46	-2.6	195/280/275	80	288	5	23	31%	9%	61	-1.5	194/290/265	72	282	5	28	30%	11%	60	-0.5
✕Kristopher Negrón 2007 · A	21	43→49	39→45	56→55	44	206/262/290	84	251	6	12	20%	5%	57	-1.8	215/278/300	85	282	6	18	24%	6%	65	-1.2	231/294/333	102	293	8	23	23%	6%	76	-0.4
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	40	39→45	53→55	52	192/277/280	88	229	6	14	19%	8%	61	-1.5	221/287/329	108	296	9	10	27%	6%	75	-0.5	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕John Rhodes 2023 · AA	22	43→37	41→45	58→50	47	208/286/313	105	274	8	16	26%	8%	72	-0.7	190/258/293	103	266	10	9	31%	7%	57	-1.8	173/241/264	91	242	10	7	31%	7%	41	-2.2
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	43→53	46→55	59→55	39	215/259/351	136	270	13	15	26%	4%	70	-0.9	243/280/401	158	309	17	22	26%	4%	89	+0.5	250/287/402	152	300	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→42	42→50	54→55	35	186/247/286	100	284	10	12	37%	5%	51	-2.2	197/249/316	119	284	14	16	34%	5%	59	-1.7	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Luke Williams 2018 · A	21	40→44	35→45	55→65	41	190/234/243	53	254	2	18	26%	5%	34	-3.5	203/260/293	90	270	8	18	26%	6%	57	-1.8	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	42→41	43→50	52→55	44	208/273/317	109	269	11	18	26%	7%	68	-1.0	210/276/360	150	277	17	18	29%	7%	79	-0.2	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	40→38	45→50	54→50	38	199/264/327	128	286	12	13	34%	6%	67	-1.1	211/271/364	153	307	18	14	36%	6%	78	-0.3	204/267/368	165	294	22	15	37%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Wes Rogers 2015 · A	21	45→51	41→40	57→65	42	217/270/314	97	294	8	18	28%	6%	65	-1.2	225/283/314	89	299	5	34	25%	7%	70	-0.9	229/287/320	92	301	5	42	24%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Albertson Asigen 2023 · A	21	43	35→40	56→55	50	201/277/262	60	263	2	12	23%	9%	56	-1.9	215/296/295	80	325	5	20	32%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/294	85	336	7	27	36%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	40→48	42→45	54→50	51	196/289/300	104	251	9	21	24%	9%	71	-0.8	219/276/335	116	269	11	15	22%	6%	72	-0.7	216/271/322	106	262	11	16	21%	6%	65	-1.1
✕Brayan Buelvas 2024 · AA	22	37→45	46→50	55	41	190/252/319	129	260	13	18	32%	7%	61	-1.5	204/265/326	122	293	11	16	32%	7%	66	-1.1	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Narciso Crook 2016 · A	21	38→43	42→50	53→50	32	191/223/294	104	286	9	12	36%	4%	42	-2.9	201/247/311	110	301	10	10	35%	5%	56	-1.9	211/273/363	152	309	16	14	35%	6%	75	-0.3

Griffin Burkholder

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps