Player 815992 — OGILVIE

Player 815992— FCL Blue Jays

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION86 act + 72 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.169 / .250 / .246

PA72

HR1

K%33

BB%8

BABIP250

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	TOR	—	86	75	10	3	0	1	9	33	2	2	0	133	244	213	458	80	220	38	10	204	14	-8	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.7
YTD	—	ROK	TOR	—	86	69	13	4	0	1	15	23	2	2	0	188	349	290	639	101	267	27	17	307	93	-1	+0	+0	-2	+2	0.1
ROS	—	ROK	TOR	0%	72	65	11	2	0	1	6	24	1	1	0	169	250	246	496	77	279	33	8	262	59	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
ROS	—	MLB	TOR	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		281	—	—	253	52	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	TOR	—	86	76	10	3	0	1	9	33	2	2	0	132	244	211	455	79	214	38	10	204	14	-8	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.7
TOT	—	ROK	TOR	—	158	140	21	5	0	2	15	57	3	3	0	150	247	229	475	79	235	36	9	231	35	-12	+1	+0	-3	+4	-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	TOR	0%	160	143	29	6	1	3	14	52	2	3	1	203	283	322	605	119	280	32	9	267	63	-7	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.5
2027	25	MLB	TOR	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		281	—	—	259	56	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	232	208	40	8	1	4	20	76	3	4	1	192	273	298	571	106	279	33	9	266	62	-10	+0	+0	-4	+7	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	112	22	3	11	56	213	8	11	3	192	272	297	569	105	279	33	9	266	62	-28	+1	+0	-12	+18	-2.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	318	6	5	200	277	313	-5	+0	-0.7	-0.3
	/162	664	12	11	200	277	313	-9.5	+0.0	-1.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 815992 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	150/247/229	79	235	2	3	36%	9%	35	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Jose Pineda 2007 · A	25	42→40	43→45	50→45	43	208/278/319	111	295	11	10	32%	8%	66	-0.6	219/274/365	146	305	17	7	33%	6%	76	+0.1	215/264/384	170	287	22	3	33%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Kyle Datres 2021 · A	25	39→40	45→50	51→55	41	198/264/325	127	271	12	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	206/284/345	139	284	16	22	32%	8%	76	+0.1	198/283/340	141	269	18	27	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	39	44→45	53→60	44	192/275/311	119	295	12	16	36%	9%	64	-0.8	197/281/310	113	291	12	26	34%	9%	66	-0.6	177/270/280	103	254	13	39	33%	10%	53	-0.5
✕Cory Vaughn 2013 · A	24	37→41	45	49→50	43	189/270/308	118	271	12	12	33%	8%	61	-1.0	193/264/305	112	280	12	14	33%	7%	57	-1.2	182/251/287	106	263	12	14	34%	7%	44	-1.2
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Spike McDougall 2009 · A	25	40→38	46→45	50	39	198/266/327	129	309	14	11	39%	8%	63	-0.8	198/266/304	106	320	9	13	38%	8%	57	-1.2	168/245/258	90	277	5	19	38%	9%	36	-1.2
✕Josh Altmann 2019 · A	25	37→40	44→45	48→50	42	190/255/307	117	247	12	9	28%	6%	54	-1.4	189/269/290	101	265	9	9	30%	7%	56	-1.3	161/256/248	87	230	7	9	30%	8%	39	-1.6
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA	25	41→32	43→40	46→50	37	199/262/305	106	309	11	11	37%	6%	56	-1.3	205/280/293	88	338	7	15	38%	8%	60	-1.0	202/285/275	73	344	5	17	38%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Dwanya Williams-Sutton 2021 · A	24	41	41→45	50	45	190/309/282	92	303	8	10	35%	10%	72	-0.2	207/308/334	127	335	14	13	39%	9%	85	+0.7	165/295/298	133	275	17	18	41%	11%	70	-0.1
✕Franklin Labour 2022 · A	24	39	46→45	48→50	50	189/293/320	131	292	13	11	36%	12%	74	-0.1	184/263/311	127	342	13	10	46%	9%	58	-1.2	126/194/249	123	266	15	8	55%	7%	11	-1.8
✕Spencer Henson 2023 · A	25	37	47→50	46→40	40	188/263/322	135	287	15	6	38%	8%	62	-0.9	197/254/328	131	285	15	5	35%	5%	59	-1.1	185/237/326	140	253	19	1	34%	4%	50	-1.0
✕Dexter Kjerstad 2017 · A	25	39→33	45	45	34	200/251/321	122	293	13	9	36%	4%	55	-1.4	191/248/292	101	289	11	6	36%	6%	46	-2.0	150/208/215	64	228	8	0	36%	6%	6	-2.0
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→33	43→45	48→45	41	191/257/300	109	268	10	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	202/261/308	106	298	10	7	33%	7%	56	-1.3	189/237/299	111	279	11	0	35%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Andrew Cain 2015 · A	25	41→37	47→50	57→50	39	210/262/346	136	286	14	14	31%	6%	66	-0.6	190/248/314	124	316	13	9	41%	7%	52	-1.6	152/215/272	120	256	14	8	44%	7%	26	-2.1
✕Colin Davis 2023 · A	24	40	43→50	49→50	42	200/260/311	111	272	11	11	30%	7%	56	-1.3	186/247/306	120	255	14	11	32%	6%	50	-1.8	144/217/244	100	209	14	11	37%	6%	19	-1.1
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Christian Sepulveda 2023 · A	25	41	46→50	50→55	36	206/261/341	135	291	12	10	32%	5%	65	-0.7	210/273/338	128	287	13	14	30%	5%	69	-0.4	189/260/326	136	245	16	21	29%	4%	59	-0.4