Naimer Rosario — OGILVIE

Naimer Rosario P ACL D-backs

Age 20 LHP 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK peak 0.5 · 2032

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 36 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108116vR 124

ERA4.80

FIP4.80

K%19.1%

BB%11.0%

K-BB%8.0%

ROS IP36

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD5050

K†4555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	12	5	36	155	39	22	0	42%	3.0	17.1%	17.7%	-0.6%	0.0%	4.04	3.90	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	12	5	36	155	39	22	0	42%	3.0	17.1%	17.7%	-0.6%	0.0%	4.04	3.90	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	12	5	36	155	39	22	0	42%	3.0	25.2%	14.2%	11.0%	0.0%	4.04	2.76	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	12	12	60	230	64	16	1	100%	5.0	18.9%	8.7%	10.2%	0.5%	2.70	2.90	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	12	12	60	230	64	16	1	100%	5.0	18.9%	8.7%	10.2%	0.5%	2.70	2.90	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	12	12	60	230	64	16	1	100%	5.0	27.8%	7.0%	20.9%	0.4%	2.70	1.98	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	17	0	25	116	27	13	3	0%	1.5	15.8%	14.0%	1.8%	3.6%	5.76	5.53	—
YTD	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	17	0	25	116	27	13	3	0%	1.5	15.8%	14.0%	1.8%	3.6%	5.76	5.53	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	ARI	17	0	25	116	27	13	3	0%	1.5	23.3%	11.2%	12.1%	2.6%	5.76	3.97	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ARI	54	0	57	239	48	24	7	0%	1.1	19.9%	10.2%	9.7%	2.8%	4.66	4.60	-0.0
2028	22	MLB MLE	ARI	57	0	60	251	53	24	7	0%	1.0	21.1%	9.4%	11.6%	2.7%	4.49	4.39	+0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	ARI	59	0	62	261	57	23	7	0%	1.0	21.9%	9.0%	12.9%	2.7%	4.34	4.24	+0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	ARI	60	0	63	267	60	23	7	0%	1.1	22.5%	8.7%	13.8%	2.7%	4.22	4.14	+0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	ARI	61	0	64	270	62	23	7	0%	1.0	22.9%	8.5%	14.4%	2.6%	4.13	4.08	+0.4
2032	26	MLB MLE	ARI	61	0	64	270	62	23	7	0%	1.0	23.1%	8.5%	14.6%	2.6%	4.08	4.05	+0.4
2033	27	MLB MLE	ARI	60	0	63	266	61	23	7	0%	1.1	23.1%	8.5%	14.5%	2.7%	4.09	4.09	+0.3
2027	21	MLB CTX	ARI	27	0	28	118	24	12	3	0%	1.0	19.9%	10.2%	9.7%	2.8%	4.66	4.60	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	ARI	41	0	43	182	38	17	5	0%	1.0	21.1%	9.4%	11.6%	2.7%	4.49	4.39	+0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	ARI	50	0	52	220	48	20	6	0%	1.0	21.9%	9.0%	12.9%	2.7%	4.34	4.24	+0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	ARI	53	0	56	236	53	20	6	0%	1.1	22.5%	8.7%	13.8%	2.7%	4.22	4.14	+0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	ARI	56	0	59	249	57	21	7	0%	1.1	22.9%	8.5%	14.4%	2.6%	4.13	4.08	+0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	ARI	57	0	60	253	58	21	7	0%	1.1	23.1%	8.5%	14.6%	2.6%	4.08	4.05	+0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	ARI	57	0	60	253	58	22	7	0%	1.1	23.1%	8.5%	14.5%	2.7%	4.09	4.09	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		341	0	358	1511	337	134	40	0%	1.0	22.3%	8.8%	13.4%	2.7%	4.24	3.81	+3.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	188	75	22	0%	1.0	22.3%	8.8%	13.4%	2.7%	4.24	3.81	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		41	17	121	501	88	64	5	41%	2.9	17.6%	12.7%	4.9%	1.1%	3.73	3.82	+1.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	28	200	830	147	106	9	41%	2.9	17.6%	12.7%	4.9%	1.1%	3.73	3.82	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Naimer Rosario (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.80	19.1%	11.0%	2.8%	—	4.40	21.0%	11.4%	178	-0.40	—	—	—
Alex Ayala Jr. L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	20	SW	4.20	20.7%	12.3%	2.3%	.271	5.99	13.6%	-3.1%	71	+1.79	4.20	128	84
Matt Osterberg L 2021 · 3.88 FIP	22	SW	3.88	20.2%	12.3%	1.7%	.255	4.04	15.6%	9.3%	274	+0.16	3.70	294	84
Francisco Villegas L 2017 · 4.55 FIP	19	SW	4.55	17.0%	8.1%	3.4%	.256	5.85	17.9%	3.1%	59	+1.30	4.55	131	82
Ivan Andueza L 2015 · 3.80 FIP	20	SW	3.80	15.0%	9.4%	1.4%	.304	4.44	11.8%	0.2%	104	+0.64	3.80	151	81
Bodi Rascon L 2021 · 4.18 FIP	20	SP-	4.18	15.4%	8.8%	2.3%	.271	5.30	15.7%	3.9%	143	+1.12	4.18	218	81
Thomas Ireland L 2023 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.7%	8.7%	3.4%	.286	3.80	17.3%	7.9%	201	-0.84	2.95	245	80
Steven Pérez L 2021 · 5.07 FIP	20	SW	5.07	18.3%	11.4%	3.8%	.305	4.81	20.2%	5.6%	116	-0.26	3.71	354	80
Victor Cabreja L 2022 · 3.79 FIP	20	SW	3.79	17.0%	13.0%	0.9%	.348	4.42	11.2%	1.7%	146	+0.63	3.79	254	79
Jack Patterson L 2018 · 4.72 FIP	22	SP-	4.72	14.7%	8.0%	3.4%	.299	3.10	19.4%	7.9%	80	-1.62	3.10	127	79
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	78
Brayan Restituyo L 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.6%	14.6%	2.5%	.397	4.46	18.4%	6.3%	144	-0.35	3.66	239	77
Estevan Gonzalez L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	23	SW	4.77	14.1%	10.7%	2.8%	.322	4.86	14.7%	0.1%	130	+0.09	4.58	195	77
Lucas Knowles L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	23	SW	3.90	20.5%	12.9%	1.6%	.366	4.22	18.5%	9.4%	177	+0.32	3.37	308	77
Luis Viloria L 2023 · 4.18 FIP	19	SW	4.18	14.2%	8.7%	2.1%	.255	4.83	22.6%	4.3%	39	+0.65	3.16	101	77
Kevin Escorcia L 2015 · 5.63 FIP	20	SW	5.63	14.3%	10.8%	4.3%	.394	3.59	22.4%	8.2%	118	-2.04	3.16	189	77
Conner Menez L 2016 · 4.10 FIP	21	SP-	4.10	16.0%	8.5%	2.3%	.282	3.83	21.9%	10.7%	377	-0.27	2.03	503	76
Grant Wolfram L 2019 · 3.66 FIP	22	SW	3.66	17.5%	11.5%	1.1%	.342	4.92	23.8%	8.6%	123	+1.26	2.41	418	76
Luifer Romero L 2023 · 4.34 FIP	18	SW	4.34	13.9%	6.6%	2.9%	.321	3.58	18.1%	4.7%	53	-0.76	3.08	106	76
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	76
Taylor Hearn L 2016 · 3.99 FIP	21	SW	3.99	26.1%	10.6%	3.2%	.347	4.01	22.3%	11.7%	236	+0.02	3.72	572	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	59	21.8%	9.1%	1.04	4.32
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68