Sean Keys3B
New Hampshire Fisher Cats
Age 23
L/R
6'1" / 232 lbs
AA
HR +12%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 2.0 · 2026
wRC+†126
AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .294 / .370
PA320
HR10
K%30
BB%9
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30↗41
PWR
50↗52
SPD
30↗34
FLD
45→45
EYE
54↘45
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.0peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.9 | $17M | +$16M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.9 | $17M | +$16M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.8 | $17M | +$16M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.6 | $15M | +$12M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.4 | $14M | +$9M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.1 | $11M | +$6M |
| Totals | $16M | $91M | +$75M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 98 | 85 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .259 | .337 | .388 | .725 | .129 | .362 | 30 | 10 | .309 | 95 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 529 | 459 | 77 | 18 | 1 | 18 | 51 | 171 | 15 | 8 | 1 | .168 | .272 | .329 | .601 | .161 | .215 | 32 | 10 | .262 | 59 | -25 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +15 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 69 | 61 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .311 | .391 | .705 | 1.096 | .393 | .343 | 28 | 7 | .459 | 209 | +9 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 1.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TOR | 251 | 222 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 74 | 5 | 3 | 1 | .230 | .313 | .419 | .732 | .189 | .287 | 29 | 9 | .321 | 104 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +7 | 0.9 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | TOR | 320 | 283 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 17 | 27 | 93 | 8 | 4 | 1 | .247 | .330 | .481 | .811 | .233 | .305 | 29 | 8 | .351 | 126 | +10 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +9 | 2.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 11% | TOR | 480 | 424 | 95 | 18 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 136 | 9 | 6 | 1 | .224 | .310 | .396 | .706 | .172 | .284 | 28 | 9 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 1.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 26% | TOR | 507 | 445 | 102 | 20 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 140 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .229 | .317 | .404 | .721 | .175 | .286 | 28 | 9 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 1.8 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 44% | TOR | 522 | 458 | 105 | 20 | 2 | 19 | 49 | 143 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .229 | .317 | .406 | .723 | .177 | .287 | 27 | 9 | .321 | 104 | +2 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +15 | 1.9 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 59% | TOR | 527 | 462 | 106 | 20 | 2 | 19 | 50 | 144 | 10 | 6 | 1 | .229 | .318 | .405 | .723 | .175 | .287 | 27 | 9 | .321 | 104 | +2 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +15 | 1.9 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 69% | TOR | 525 | 460 | 105 | 20 | 2 | 19 | 50 | 145 | 10 | 5 | 0 | .228 | .317 | .404 | .722 | .176 | .286 | 28 | 10 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | TOR | 518 | 454 | 103 | 20 | 2 | 18 | 50 | 144 | 9 | 4 | 0 | .227 | .316 | .399 | .714 | .172 | .285 | 28 | 10 | .318 | 101 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +15 | 1.6 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 85% | TOR | 508 | 445 | 99 | 19 | 2 | 17 | 49 | 143 | 9 | 4 | 0 | .222 | .312 | .389 | .701 | .166 | .284 | 28 | 10 | .315 | 99 | -1 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 91% | TOR | 495 | 435 | 96 | 18 | 2 | 17 | 48 | 142 | 9 | 3 | 0 | .221 | .311 | .389 | .699 | .168 | .282 | 29 | 10 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -4 | +2 | +14 | 1.1 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | TOR | 477 | 420 | 90 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 46 | 139 | 8 | 2 | 0 | .214 | .304 | .371 | .675 | .157 | .281 | 29 | 10 | .306 | 92 | -4 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +14 | 0.7 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | TOR | 448 | 394 | 83 | 16 | 1 | 14 | 43 | 134 | 8 | 2 | 0 | .211 | .301 | .363 | .664 | .152 | .279 | 30 | 10 | .300 | 88 | -6 | +0 | -5 | +2 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | TOR | 402 | 354 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 123 | 7 | 1 | 0 | .206 | .296 | .353 | .649 | .147 | .277 | 31 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -8 | +0 | -6 | +1 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2038 | 35 | MLB | TOR | 348 | 306 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 110 | 6 | 2 | 0 | .199 | .290 | .340 | .630 | .141 | .274 | 32 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -9 | +0 | -6 | +1 | +10 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6635 | 5823 | 1268 | 245 | 25 | 224 | 630 | 1917 | 125 | 60 | 7 | .218 | .308 | .384 | .691 | .166 | .281 | 29 | 9 | .308 | 94 | -46 | +9 | -35 | +24 | +188 | 14.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 570 | 124 | 24 | 2 | 22 | 62 | 188 | 12 | 6 | 1 | .218 | .307 | .382 | .690 | .165 | .280 | 29 | 10 | .308 | 94 | -5 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +18 | 1.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 98 | 82 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .293 | .389 | .451 | .841 | .159 | .365 | 21 | 13 | .363 | 136 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 529 | 424 | 92 | 22 | 1 | 19 | 86 | 117 | 15 | 8 | 1 | .217 | .368 | .408 | .776 | .191 | .250 | 22 | 16 | .351 | 127 | +16 | +1 | — | — | +15 | 3.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Sean Keys (OGILVIE) | 23 | 30→41 | 50→52 | 30→34 | 45 | .212/.294/.370 | .158 | .280 | 10 | 4 | 30% | 9% | 88 | +0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Sergio Pedroza 2007 · A |
23 | 41→47 | 57→60 | 39→45 | 46 | .220/.308/.421 | .201 | .287 | 25 | 4 | 32% | 9% | 106 | +2.2 | .228/.302/.397 | .169 | .303 | 19 | 6 | 30% | 8% | 97 | +1.5 | .227/.298/.377 | .151 | .294 | 17 | 7 | 28% | 7% | 88 | +0.5 |
|
✕Ryan Costello 2019 · A |
23 | 42→39 | 50 | 43→30 | 48 | .218/.288/.374 | .156 | .274 | 18 | 4 | 27% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .201/.278/.341 | .140 | .288 | 16 | 3 | 33% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .168/.257/.303 | .134 | .252 | 16 | 0 | 37% | 10% | 52 | -1.1 |
|
✕Christin Stewart 2017 · AA |
23 | 41→45 | 52→55 | 46→45 | 48 | .212/.303/.381 | .169 | .284 | 20 | 5 | 32% | 10% | 94 | +1.3 | .217/.292/.385 | .168 | .281 | 20 | 3 | 29% | 8% | 89 | +1.0 | .222/.297/.399 | .177 | .273 | 22 | 1 | 27% | 8% | 93 | +1.0 |
|
●Jack Suwinski 2022 · AA |
24 | 39→41 | 51→60 | 45→50 | 43 | .201/.278/.358 | .157 | .299 | 19 | 8 | 38% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | .213/.300/.410 | .197 | .288 | 26 | 11 | 34% | 10% | 99 | +1.7 | .202/.293/.398 | .196 | .262 | 27 | 11 | 33% | 10% | 90 | +0.9 |
|
✕Nick Weglarz 2010 · AA |
22 | 43→47 | 50 | 43→45 | 51 | .220/.307/.375 | .155 | .275 | 18 | 5 | 26% | 10% | 93 | +1.3 | .220/.308/.374 | .154 | .290 | 16 | 5 | 28% | 10% | 94 | +1.3 | .205/.296/.356 | .150 | .292 | 17 | 3 | 33% | 10% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
✕Nick Hundley 2008 · AA |
24 | 41→45 | 50→55 | 39→40 | 45 | .215/.274/.369 | .154 | .259 | 18 | 3 | 25% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .221/.277/.376 | .155 | .268 | 18 | 4 | 24% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .254/.322/.429 | .174 | .319 | 17 | 4 | 25% | 8% | 107 | +1.2 |
|
✕Michael McKenry 2009 · A |
24 | 42→46 | 53→55 | 39→40 | 47 | .222/.294/.399 | .177 | .270 | 21 | 5 | 26% | 8% | 94 | +1.3 | .220/.284/.361 | .141 | .276 | 15 | 4 | 25% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .251/.325/.427 | .177 | .298 | 22 | 2 | 23% | 9% | 111 | +0.9 |
|
✕Zack Collins 2018 · AA |
23 | 37→42 | 47→50 | 42→40 | 46 | .185/.275/.321 | .137 | .291 | 15 | 3 | 39% | 11% | 66 | -0.6 | .198/.295/.349 | .151 | .306 | 17 | 3 | 37% | 12% | 82 | +0.5 | .196/.301/.351 | .156 | .289 | 18 | 2 | 35% | 13% | 83 | +0.4 |
|
✕Travis Scott 2008 · A |
23 | 44 | 49→55 | 44→40 | 44 | .225/.283/.368 | .143 | .289 | 17 | 4 | 28% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .224/.278/.378 | .154 | .290 | 18 | 5 | 28% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .218/.272/.379 | .160 | .276 | 18 | 3 | 27% | 6% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Reese Havens 2011 · AA |
24 | 44→40 | 51→45 | 40 | 47 | .226/.303/.384 | .158 | .283 | 19 | 5 | 27% | 8% | 94 | +1.3 | .218/.291/.346 | .128 | .310 | 14 | 4 | 32% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .201/.280/.310 | .109 | .292 | 11 | 3 | 33% | 9% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Daniel Vellojin 2023 · AA |
23 | 40 | 46→45 | 42→45 | 52 | .200/.296/.328 | .127 | .281 | 14 | 6 | 32% | 12% | 76 | +0.1 | .179/.260/.279 | .100 | .257 | 10 | 6 | 32% | 9% | 49 | -1.8 | .150/.230/.230 | .080 | .212 | 8 | 4 | 32% | 9% | 21 | -1.6 |
|
✕Seth Beer 2021 · AA |
24 | 47→46 | 54→55 | 38→30 | 41 | .242/.310/.414 | .172 | .297 | 23 | 3 | 26% | 5% | 105 | +2.1 | .216/.305/.362 | .146 | .265 | 16 | 2 | 25% | 7% | 91 | +1.1 | .201/.294/.330 | .130 | .253 | 14 | 0 | 25% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
●Tom Murphy 2014 · AA |
23 | 40→35 | 50→65 | 43→45 | 38 | .208/.269/.365 | .156 | .292 | 18 | 6 | 34% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .209/.263/.380 | .171 | .291 | 21 | 5 | 35% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .244/.316/.459 | .215 | .308 | 30 | 2 | 30% | 9% | 117 | +1.2 |
|
●Derek Dietrich 2012 · A |
23 | 43→53 | 48→60 | 41→40 | 38 | .217/.272/.361 | .144 | .292 | 15 | 5 | 31% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 | .220/.280/.370 | .150 | .286 | 16 | 4 | 28% | 5% | 81 | +0.4 | .269/.351/.436 | .167 | .335 | 16 | 1 | 23% | 7% | 121 | +2.6 |
|
✕Drew Ellis 2019 · A |
23 | 40→37 | 47→55 | 38→40 | 45 | .206/.269/.343 | .137 | .257 | 14 | 4 | 26% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .204/.281/.355 | .151 | .268 | 17 | 3 | 29% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | .182/.281/.358 | .176 | .233 | 21 | 4 | 31% | 10% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
●Allan Dykstra 2011 · A |
24 | 39→49 | 48→50 | 38→30 | 53 | .199/.305/.342 | .143 | .270 | 15 | 2 | 30% | 12% | 85 | +0.7 | .220/.321/.373 | .153 | .321 | 17 | 3 | 33% | 12% | 99 | +1.7 | .228/.344/.393 | .165 | .322 | 19 | 1 | 31% | 14% | 112 | +1.7 |
|
●Yonathan Perlaza 2022 · A |
23 | 45→52 | 48→60 | 43→50 | 41 | .226/.282/.367 | .142 | .310 | 16 | 7 | 32% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .229/.298/.413 | .184 | .301 | 21 | 11 | 29% | 9% | 99 | +1.7 | .235/.307/.417 | .182 | .303 | 19 | 12 | 28% | 9% | 100 | +1.6 |
|
✕Justin Nelson 2007 · A |
24 | 39→40 | 52→55 | 44→45 | 42 | .206/.271/.377 | .171 | .280 | 19 | 7 | 33% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .218/.289/.398 | .180 | .312 | 21 | 5 | 35% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .218/.295/.413 | .195 | .308 | 25 | 2 | 36% | 9% | 97 | +0.9 |
|
✕Jabari Henry 2015 · A |
24 | 42→41 | 52→55 | 42→45 | 49 | .218/.298/.387 | .168 | .275 | 19 | 6 | 28% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .190/.265/.344 | .154 | .266 | 19 | 6 | 34% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .153/.228/.294 | .141 | .213 | 19 | 5 | 37% | 8% | 36 | -1.6 |
|
✕Marcos Castañon 2023 · A |
24 | 39→49 | 53→50 | 39→40 | 47 | .207/.301/.377 | .170 | .282 | 22 | 3 | 33% | 10% | 92 | +1.2 | .220/.283/.367 | .147 | .290 | 17 | 3 | 29% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .222/.277/.361 | .139 | .288 | 16 | 2 | 28% | 6% | 74 | -0.0 |