Xavier Neyens

SS Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 20 L/R 6'3" / 210 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

APROSPECTFG #118MiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP51ETA2028FG ETA2030MLB%4%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	19	A+HOU	161	.216/.391/.416	6	3	64	—	.159/.280/.304
2026	19	AHOU	305	.240/.449/.462	14	16	98	—	.189/.351/.348
2027PROJ4% MLB	20	MLBHOU	13	.201/.328/.368	0	0	100	0.0
2028PROJ50% MLB	21	MLBHOU	251	.209/.334/.392	10	5	107	1.0
2029PROJ69% MLB	22	MLBHOU	374	.216/.338/.410	15	7	112	1.7

Next 3 projected WAR 2.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$9M2034Arb-2$14M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Chase%99

BB%96

ISO73

wOBA70

wRC+57

Speed18

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 9, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 89%

CompsEric Arce (age 20) · Miguel Sanó (age 20) · Jaff Decker (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†100

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .328 / .368

PA13

HR0

K%38

BB%15

BABIP294

ISO165

MLB%4%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$108M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 66

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER66

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED43

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.3	$15M	+$14M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.8	$18M	+$17M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.9	$17M	+$17M
2033	Arb-1	$9M	+3.0	$17M	+$13M
2034	Arb-2	$14M	+2.8	$14M	+$7M
2035	Arb-3	$19M	+2.6	$12M	+$3M
Totals		$45M		$93M	+$71M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	161	125	27	7	0	6	35	63	1	3	5	216	391	416	807	200	375	39	22	368	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	305	221	53	7	0	14	79	92	5	16	6	240	449	462	911	222	339	30	26	413	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	161	138	22	5	0	5	22	83	1	3	5	159	280	304	584	145	331	52	14	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	305	244	46	6	0	11	56	125	5	16	6	189	351	348	699	160	316	41	18	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	466	382	67	11	0	16	78	208	6	19	11	175	324	330	654	154	323	45	17	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	466	346	80	14	0	20	114	155	6	19	11	231	429	445	874	214	351	33	24	397	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	466	379	67	11	0	16	78	208	6	19	11	177	324	332	656	156	321	45	17	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	466	379	67	11	0	16	78	208	6	19	11	177	324	332	656	156	321	45	17	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	HOU	4%	576	480	95	16	2	20	85	203	6	10	4	200	326	368	694	168	289	35	15	315	100	-0	+0	-2	+6	+12	1.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	20	MLB CTX	HOU	4%	13	11	1	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	201	328	368	696	167	294	38	15	316	100	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	HOU	50%	503	420	88	15	2	20	73	172	5	9	4	208	333	392	725	184	291	34	15	326	107	+4	+0	-2	+5	+11	1.9
2029	22	MLB MLE	HOU	69%	544	455	98	16	2	23	78	181	6	10	4	215	337	410	747	196	292	33	14	334	112	+8	+0	-1	+6	+12	2.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	HOU	77%	587	493	108	18	2	26	83	191	6	10	4	220	339	423	762	203	293	33	14	340	116	+11	+0	-1	+6	+13	3.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	HOU	78%	627	528	118	20	2	28	87	200	7	10	4	224	341	432	773	208	294	32	14	343	119	+14	+0	-0	+7	+14	3.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	HOU	79%	634	535	120	20	2	29	87	199	7	10	4	227	341	437	778	210	295	31	14	345	120	+15	+0	-0	+7	+14	3.7
2033	26	MLB MLE	HOU	79%	639	539	122	20	2	30	88	200	7	10	4	227	342	441	783	213	294	31	14	347	121	+16	+0	-0	+7	+14	3.8
2034	27	MLB MLE	HOU	78%	637	538	121	20	2	30	87	200	7	9	4	226	341	438	779	212	294	31	14	346	120	+15	+0	-0	+7	+14	3.7
2035	28	MLB MLE	HOU	77%	631	534	120	20	2	29	86	200	6	8	4	224	339	433	772	209	293	32	14	343	118	+14	+0	-1	+7	+14	3.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	HOU	75%	621	525	116	19	2	28	85	199	6	7	4	222	337	427	763	205	291	32	14	339	116	+12	-0	-1	+7	+13	3.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	HOU	74%	609	515	113	19	2	27	83	197	6	7	5	219	333	419	752	200	289	32	14	335	113	+9	-1	-2	+7	+13	2.7
2038	31	MLB MLE	HOU	79%	595	505	109	18	2	26	80	194	5	5	8	215	329	409	738	194	286	33	13	330	109	+6	-2	-3	+6	+13	2.1
2039	32	MLB MLE	HOU	76%	576	489	103	17	1	24	77	191	5	4	29	210	323	396	719	186	282	33	13	322	104	+3	-11	-4	+6	+12	0.7
2040	33	MLB MLE	HOU	81%	547	466	95	15	1	22	72	185	4	3	128	203	316	380	696	177	277	34	13	313	98	-1	-51	-4	+6	+12	-3.9
2028	21	MLB CTX	HOU	50%	251	209	45	8	1	10	37	86	3	5	2	209	334	392	726	183	295	34	15	327	107	+2	+0	-1	+3	+5	1.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	HOU	69%	374	313	67	12	1	15	54	124	4	7	3	216	338	410	748	194	296	33	14	335	112	+6	+0	-1	+4	+8	1.7
2030	23	MLB CTX	HOU	77%	449	378	84	15	2	19	63	146	5	8	3	221	341	422	763	201	297	33	14	340	116	+9	+0	-1	+5	+10	2.3
2031	24	MLB CTX	HOU	78%	489	413	93	16	2	22	68	156	5	8	3	225	342	431	773	206	299	32	14	344	119	+11	+0	-0	+5	+11	2.8
2032	25	MLB CTX	HOU	79%	499	423	96	17	2	22	68	156	5	8	3	228	343	436	779	208	299	31	14	346	120	+12	+0	-0	+5	+11	2.9
2033	26	MLB CTX	HOU	79%	505	426	97	17	2	23	69	158	5	8	3	229	343	440	783	211	299	31	14	347	121	+13	+0	-0	+5	+11	3.0
2034	27	MLB CTX	HOU	78%	494	418	95	17	2	22	68	155	5	7	3	228	342	437	779	209	298	31	14	346	120	+12	+0	-0	+5	+11	2.8
2035	28	MLB CTX	HOU	77%	485	411	93	16	2	22	66	154	5	6	3	226	340	432	773	207	297	32	14	343	118	+11	+0	-1	+5	+11	2.6
2036	29	MLB CTX	HOU	75%	464	393	87	15	2	20	63	148	5	5	3	223	338	426	764	203	296	32	14	340	116	+9	-0	-1	+5	+10	2.3
2037	30	MLB CTX	HOU	74%	448	380	83	15	1	19	61	145	4	5	4	220	334	418	752	198	294	32	14	335	113	+7	-1	-2	+5	+10	2.0
2038	31	MLB CTX	HOU	79%	472	401	87	15	1	20	64	154	4	4	7	216	330	408	738	192	290	33	14	330	109	+5	-2	-2	+5	+10	1.7
2039	32	MLB CTX	HOU	76%	439	373	79	13	1	18	59	146	4	3	22	211	324	395	719	184	286	33	13	323	104	+2	-8	-3	+5	+10	0.6
2040	33	MLB CTX	HOU	81%	444	379	77	13	1	17	59	150	3	3	104	205	317	380	696	175	280	34	13	314	98	-1	-41	-3	+5	+10	-3.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5813	4917	1083	189	20	249	799	1878	57	77	163	220	336	419	755	198	296	32	14	337	112	+96	-50	-14	+62	+126	22.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	550	121	21	2	28	89	210	6	9	18	220	335	418	753	198	295	32	14	337	112	+11	-6	-2	+7	+14	2.5
Career	—	MLE		—	8536	7191	1551	257	25	369	1191	2830	86	127	219	216	334	412	746	197	293	33	14	333	112	+126	-62	-20	+86	+175	31.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	548	119	20	2	28	91	215	7	10	17	217	336	414	751	197	295	33	14	333	112	+10	-5	-2	+7	+14	2.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Eddie Joost'36-'55 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,783 PA	10.2	6,783	134	61	232*	343*	399*	+64	+30	34.4	32.7
/162	664	13	6	+6.3	+3.0	3.4	pk7: 31
#2Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	8.3	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
/162	664	28	3	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
#3Rico Petrocelli'63-'76 * career totals — 12 seasons, 6,170 PA	9.3	6,170	210	10	258*	339*	470*	+43	-2	29.8	28.0
/162	664	23	1	+4.6	-0.2	3.2	pk7: 26
#4Brian Dozierlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,884 PA	7.4	4,884	192	105	245	326	442	+20	+24	27.7	27.6
/162	664	26	14	+2.7	+3.2	3.8	pk7: 28
#5Freddy Parent'01-'11 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,563 PA	8.4	5,563	20	184	262*	327*	420*	+51	+27	29.0	27.5
/162	664	2	22	+6.1	+3.2	3.5	pk7: 26
#6Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	7.4	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
/162	664	29	10	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	8.8	5,827	257	76	220	332	422	+62	-8	26.8	24.0
/162	664	29	9	+7.1	-0.9	3.1	pk7: 21

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Xavier Neyens (OGILVIE)	20	33→43	57→66	46→43	56	198/324/365	167	289	11	6	35%	15%	100	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eric Arce 2012 · A	20	41	55→60	47→30	47	214/312/402	188	287	23	4	32%	10%	103	+1.5	198/287/352	154	334	18	4	42%	10%	82	-0.0	140/248/285	145	254	20	0	49%	11%	51	-0.6
●Miguel Sanó 2013 · A	20	40→50	54→70	46→45	43	211/285/395	184	296	22	5	35%	9%	91	+0.6	230/313/454	224	319	28	7	35%	10%	114	+2.4	244/332/473	229	340	30	2	35%	11%	126	+2.9
✕Jaff Decker 2011 · A	21	48→52	55	45→55	52	242/334/429	186	315	22	7	29%	11%	116	+2.5	215/301/366	151	287	17	9	29%	10%	90	+0.6	231/308/347	116	299	10	13	24%	9%	86	+0.2
●Andy Pages 2022 · A	21	42→52	59→60	45→50	47	225/317/433	209	295	27	6	32%	10%	112	+2.2	225/305/404	179	293	21	7	29%	8%	100	+1.3	269/326/453	184	315	23	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
✕Emmanuel Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	46→40	53→45	51→50	53	210/333/391	181	351	21	15	41%	14%	107	+1.9	215/339/374	159	358	16	16	38%	15%	106	+1.8	227/352/388	161	353	18	17	35%	15%	110	+0.9
✕Termarr Johnson 2024 · A	20	44→53	49→45	50→55	55	213/330/357	143	314	17	9	34%	14%	99	+1.2	217/304/333	116	293	13	16	28%	10%	83	+0.1	212/296/315	103	281	11	21	27%	10%	74	-0.5
●Tyler Soderstrom 2022 · A	20	51→52	50→60	47→40	42	249/309/414	165	347	17	6	32%	7%	103	+1.5	227/279/411	184	296	24	2	31%	6%	92	+0.7	249/327/456	208	287	26	4	23%	9%	120	+2.2
✕Lazaro Montes 2024 · A	19	47	50→60	46→45	47	220/315/383	163	339	17	4	37%	10%	99	+1.3	220/305/402	182	314	23	5	35%	10%	100	+1.3	209/298/408	199	288	27	5	36%	10%	96	+1.0
●Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	45→55	52→55	45→50	49	228/310/392	164	299	20	5	30%	10%	99	+1.3	209/309/374	165	282	20	9	31%	12%	95	+1.0	257/333/410	152	314	16	5	22%	9%	112	+1.6
●Nolan Gorman 2019 · A	19	44→46	54→60	38→45	41	223/287/401	178	325	23	4	37%	8%	93	+0.8	210/264/355	145	313	16	4	36%	6%	73	-0.6	216/289/434	218	282	33	7	35%	9%	102	+1.2
✕George Valera 2022 · AA	21	44→43	52→50	49→45	52	221/322/385	164	301	20	12	32%	12%	102	+1.5	215/299/365	150	300	18	6	32%	10%	88	+0.5	222/290/363	141	290	16	5	28%	8%	82	+0.0
●Roman Anthony 2024 · AA	20	48→57	47→50	49→50	50	230/314/369	139	322	13	11	31%	10%	95	+0.9	254/340/410	156	347	15	12	28%	11%	114	+2.3	261/352/422	161	350	16	11	27%	12%	119	+2.1
✕Francisco Alvarez 2022 · A	20	47	60	44→40	48	247/332/466	219	308	28	8	29%	9%	124	+3.1	235/312/440	205	291	28	4	29%	9%	112	+2.2	229/307/433	203	277	28	2	28%	9%	108	+1.3
●Ian Stewart 2006 · A	21	47→55	51→60	46→45	44	233/296/402	169	313	17	4	30%	8%	95	+1.0	245/307/406	161	320	15	6	27%	7%	101	+1.4	243/318/440	197	310	24	9	28%	8%	112	+2.0
●Colby Rasmus 2008 · AA	21	45→54	53→65	54→50	47	233/303/412	180	281	20	15	25%	8%	101	+1.4	238/304/402	164	285	19	12	23%	8%	99	+1.2	243/309/466	223	315	29	3	32%	8%	116	+1.9
✕Samuel Basallo 2024 · AA	19	48→51	51→55	49→45	45	241/301/404	163	305	18	7	27%	8%	98	+1.2	236/295/399	163	297	20	6	27%	7%	95	+0.9	227/288/392	165	278	23	3	27%	7%	90	+0.4
●Gary Sánchez 2013 · A	20	46→53	49→65	48→45	37	231/276/378	147	319	17	8	33%	5%	83	+0.1	238/288/377	139	300	16	5	25%	6%	87	+0.4	245/318/474	229	271	32	4	23%	8%	121	+2.3
★Corey Seager 2014 · A	20	47→57	51→65	50→45	44	240/295/403	163	301	19	9	27%	7%	95	+1.0	276/324/465	189	338	20	6	23%	6%	120	+2.8	290/349/476	186	337	20	4	19%	8%	134	+4.1
✕Edgar Quero 2023 · A	20	50→58	50	47→40	51	245/343/412	167	321	17	8	27%	10%	116	+2.5	248/329/371	123	310	12	3	22%	9%	101	+1.4	253/330/357	104	310	11	1	21%	9%	97	+0.8
●Joey Gallo 2013 · A	19	42→36	62→70	53→45	46	223/309/453	231	315	31	8	38%	10%	113	+2.3	194/268/416	222	316	31	8	46%	9%	90	+0.6	208/323/509	301	256	43	6	37%	14%	126	+2.6

Xavier Neyens

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps