Dean Moss

OF Charleston RiverDogs

Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 180 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

Scout OFP45ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	20	ATB	300	.257/.341/.364	5	15	69	—	.225/.291/.310
2026	20	ROKTB	31	.250/.323/.500	0	2	41	—	.172/.226/.345
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBTB	441	.225/.289/.343	9	8	78	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBTB	130	.231/.295/.356	3	2	83	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBTB	218	.234/.299/.365	5	4	87	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

K%86

Whiff%79

Z-Con%74

wRC+45

wOBA41

ISO38

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 4, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 85%

CompsJason Martin (age 21) · Conner Capel (age 21) · Nicky Delmonico (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .286 / .340

PA320

HR6

SB6

K%24

BB%7

ISO119

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	300	261	67	13	0	5	30	49	4	15	7	257	341	364	705	107	294	16	10	318	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Rays	—	31	28	7	1	3	0	3	7	0	2	1	250	323	500	823	250	333	23	10	353	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	300	271	61	11	0	4	21	67	4	15	7	225	291	310	601	85	276	22	7	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	31	29	5	1	2	0	2	10	0	2	1	172	226	345	571	172	253	32	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	331	300	67	12	2	4	23	77	4	17	8	223	287	317	604	93	283	23	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	331	289	74	14	3	5	33	56	4	17	8	256	339	377	717	121	297	17	10	321	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	331	301	67	12	2	4	23	77	4	17	8	223	287	316	603	93	274	23	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	331	301	67	12	2	4	23	77	4	17	8	223	287	316	603	93	274	23	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TB	0%	441	402	91	16	3	9	32	107	4	8	2	225	289	343	632	119	283	24	7	284	78	-11	+1	-2	-3	+10	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TB	34%	378	343	78	14	2	8	28	91	4	7	2	229	293	356	649	127	284	24	7	291	83	-8	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	TB	48%	449	408	95	17	3	11	33	107	5	8	2	232	297	366	663	134	285	24	7	296	87	-7	+1	-1	-3	+10	-0.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	TB	53%	495	450	105	19	3	12	37	117	5	9	3	234	300	373	673	139	287	24	7	301	90	-6	+1	-1	-3	+11	0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	TB	55%	520	471	111	20	3	14	39	122	5	9	3	236	302	378	680	142	287	23	8	303	91	-5	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.4
2032	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	534	483	114	21	3	14	41	125	5	9	3	236	303	381	684	145	287	23	8	305	92	-5	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.4
2033	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	538	487	115	21	3	14	41	127	5	9	3	235	302	378	680	143	286	24	8	303	91	-5	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.4
2034	28	MLB MLE	TB	55%	536	485	113	20	3	14	41	127	5	8	3	233	300	373	673	140	285	24	8	301	90	-7	+0	-1	-3	+12	0.2
2035	29	MLB MLE	TB	53%	527	477	110	20	3	13	40	127	5	8	3	231	297	367	664	136	284	24	8	297	87	-8	+0	-1	-3	+11	-0.1
2036	30	MLB MLE	TB	53%	518	469	107	19	3	12	39	126	5	7	3	228	293	359	653	131	282	24	8	292	84	-10	+0	-2	-3	+11	-0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	TB	34%	130	119	28	5	1	3	9	31	1	2	1	231	295	356	651	125	287	24	7	292	83	-3	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	TB	48%	218	198	46	8	1	5	16	52	2	4	1	234	299	365	664	132	289	24	7	297	87	-3	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	TB	53%	261	236	56	10	2	6	20	62	3	5	1	236	302	373	674	136	290	24	8	301	90	-3	+1	-0	-2	+6	0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	TB	55%	285	258	62	11	2	7	22	67	3	5	1	237	304	377	681	140	290	24	8	304	91	-3	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	297	269	64	11	2	8	23	70	3	5	2	238	305	380	685	142	290	24	8	305	92	-3	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	296	268	64	11	2	8	23	70	3	5	2	237	304	377	681	140	290	24	8	304	91	-3	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.2
2034	28	MLB CTX	TB	55%	293	266	62	11	2	7	22	70	3	5	2	235	302	373	674	137	289	24	8	301	90	-4	+0	-0	-2	+6	0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	TB	53%	281	255	60	10	2	7	21	68	3	4	2	233	299	366	665	134	287	24	7	297	87	-4	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	TB	53%	272	247	56	10	1	6	21	66	2	4	2	230	295	359	654	129	285	24	8	293	84	-5	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2333	2116	498	87	15	57	177	556	23	39	14	235	301	371	673	136	292	24	8	300	86	-31	+2	-3	-14	+51	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	138	24	4	16	49	155	6	11	4	234	299	369	669	136	289	24	8	300	86	-9	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5146	4664	1080	195	30	122	385	1224	51	97	35	232	297	365	662	133	286	24	7	296	86	-70	+5	-8	-29	+104	0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	137	25	4	15	49	155	6	12	4	233	298	365	663	132	288	24	8	296	86	-9	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5
#3Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.0	2,652	65	45	233	295	370	-16	+0	2.1	2.1
/162	664	16	11	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 2
#5Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#6Ray Coleman'47-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,902 PA	2.9	1,902	20	19	249*	297*	399*	-12	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	7	-4.4	-0.4	-0.0	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dean Moss (OGILVIE)	21	20→47	40→50	50→48	55	223/286/340	117	283	6	6	24%	7%	78	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Martin 2017 · A	21	43→52	47→60	49→50	45	219/279/359	140	286	14	13	28%	8%	79	-0.2	231/278/376	145	308	14	12	28%	6%	82	+0.0	226/292/414	187	279	24	8	28%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Conner Capel 2018 · A	21	39→48	47→45	49→55	42	203/257/343	140	262	14	11	28%	6%	68	-1.0	215/268/332	117	289	11	11	28%	6%	69	-0.9	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Nicky Delmonico 2013 · A	21	42→48	48→55	50→45	47	216/285/353	137	265	16	8	25%	8%	80	-0.1	211/277/350	139	287	14	7	30%	8%	77	-0.3	237/306/397	160	290	18	4	24%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	40→48	41→55	46→55	42	198/255/291	92	273	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	206/267/338	132	276	14	13	29%	7%	70	-0.8	229/297/399	170	285	18	21	26%	8%	94	+0.9
●Andrew Toles 2013 · A	21	43→53	45	51→60	38	217/252/345	127	271	12	13	25%	4%	65	-1.2	245/275/343	98	330	4	28	26%	3%	72	-0.7	279/314/423	145	342	13	14	22%	4%	104	+0.8
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	45→55	48→50	52	224/302/352	128	270	12	12	21%	9%	86	+0.3	233/300/393	160	281	18	11	23%	8%	95	+1.0	226/297/390	163	268	19	11	23%	8%	91	+0.5
●Daylen Lile 2024 · A	21	44→54	44→55	55	43	213/273/340	127	293	10	15	30%	7%	72	-0.7	244/298/387	143	300	11	16	22%	6%	92	+0.7	254/307/414	160	300	13	17	19%	6%	101	+1.4
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	46	42→45	49→50	49	226/296/336	110	274	9	12	21%	8%	80	-0.1	230/278/320	90	300	5	7	24%	6%	69	-0.9	235/281/325	90	304	4	6	23%	5%	68	-0.5
✕Gavin Conticello 2024 · A	21	36→46	45	48→50	40	185/254/310	126	264	13	8	34%	7%	59	-1.6	219/279/344	125	300	11	8	29%	7%	76	-0.4	230/290/358	128	308	12	7	28%	7%	80	-0.1
●Cody Freeman 2022 · A	21	44→54	41→50	53→50	48	212/289/312	100	263	9	11	22%	8%	73	-0.6	206/260/326	120	247	14	9	22%	6%	65	-1.2	257/301/394	137	287	15	10	16%	5%	94	+0.6
✕Shed Long Jr. 2017 · A	21	47→50	44→50	51→50	42	230/288/353	123	315	11	11	30%	7%	81	-0.1	238/298/379	141	324	14	11	29%	7%	91	+0.6	238/300/387	148	320	15	11	29%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Erik Komatsu 2009 · A	21	45→55	46→45	48→50	45	225/276/358	133	262	13	7	20%	6%	78	-0.3	245/307/350	105	293	8	12	18%	7%	87	+0.4	264/332/361	97	305	7	17	15%	8%	97	+0.8
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→49	39→55	49→45	44	198/268/289	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	59	-1.6	217/280/371	154	321	18	7	36%	7%	83	+0.1	222/291/386	164	273	18	6	25%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Yohendrick Pinango 2023 · A	21	47→54	43→50	52→50	42	231/269/337	106	282	10	9	22%	5%	70	-0.9	217/274/323	106	272	10	10	23%	7%	69	-0.9	223/292/355	132	284	14	7	25%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Bo Naylor 2021 · A	21	41→46	44→55	51→50	42	206/261/333	127	283	11	7	30%	7%	66	-1.1	204/287/354	150	283	17	13	32%	10%	82	-0.0	218/311/396	178	274	21	12	27%	11%	100	+1.0
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→50	41→45	47→55	46	197/270/297	100	265	8	11	28%	8%	62	-1.4	207/284/295	88	286	5	16	27%	9%	67	-1.1	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2023 · A	21	45→46	39→55	49→50	44	216/270/309	94	286	6	8	26%	6%	63	-1.3	219/270/344	125	280	13	10	26%	6%	72	-0.7	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	35→44	42→50	53→55	51	176/278/284	108	252	10	16	32%	11%	63	-1.3	209/288/321	112	322	10	16	35%	9%	74	-0.5	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A	20	45→54	44→50	50→40	45	221/278/350	129	289	10	8	27%	7%	76	-0.4	241/308/352	111	311	9	4	23%	9%	88	+0.4	246/316/351	105	316	8	2	23%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2014 · A	21	48→55	40→50	52→50	45	231/285/319	88	290	8	13	23%	7%	72	-0.7	244/299/352	108	296	8	10	19%	7%	84	+0.1	250/311/385	135	298	13	9	20%	7%	96	+0.8

Dean Moss

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps