Carter JohnsonSS
Jupiter Hammerheads
Age 20
L/R
6'2" / 180 lbs
A
HR -4%BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 1.5 · 2032
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .253 / .278
PA320
HR5
SB5
K%36
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
25→25
SPD
45→45
EYE
46↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.5peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.4 | $13M | +$12M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.5 | $14M | +$13M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.5 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.4 | $14M | +$11M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.2 | $13M | +$8M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +0.9 | $5M | -$0.1M |
| Totals | $15M | $74M | +$59M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 121 | 115 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 54 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .157 | .198 | .217 | .416 | .061 | .283 | 45 | 4 | .184 | -1 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 465 | 419 | 55 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 187 | 9 | 11 | 3 | .131 | .212 | .193 | .405 | .062 | .227 | 40 | 7 | .191 | 4 | -50 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +13 | -3.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 75 | 64 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .172 | .284 | .312 | .596 | .141 | .310 | 45 | 11 | .274 | 68 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIA | 245 | 220 | 40 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 91 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .182 | .259 | .286 | .546 | .105 | .283 | 37 | 8 | .249 | 49 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | -0.4 |
| TOT | 20 | MLB | MIA | 320 | 284 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 125 | 6 | 5 | 1 | .180 | .265 | .292 | .557 | .113 | .290 | 39 | 8 | .255 | 53 | -17 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +9 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | MIA | 539 | 481 | 93 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 173 | 9 | 10 | 2 | .193 | .273 | .304 | .577 | .110 | .275 | 32 | 8 | .263 | 60 | -24 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +15 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | MIA | 592 | 526 | 107 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 51 | 182 | 10 | 11 | 2 | .203 | .286 | .331 | .617 | .127 | .277 | 31 | 9 | .276 | 69 | -20 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +17 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | MIA | 628 | 557 | 115 | 23 | 3 | 15 | 56 | 188 | 10 | 11 | 2 | .206 | .291 | .339 | .630 | .133 | .278 | 30 | 9 | .284 | 76 | -17 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +18 | 0.9 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | MIA | 652 | 577 | 120 | 24 | 3 | 16 | 60 | 192 | 10 | 12 | 2 | .208 | .294 | .343 | .637 | .135 | .279 | 29 | 9 | .289 | 80 | -15 | +2 | +0 | +7 | +18 | 1.2 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 87% | MIA | 664 | 585 | 123 | 25 | 3 | 17 | 63 | 194 | 11 | 11 | 2 | .210 | .299 | .350 | .649 | .140 | .280 | 29 | 9 | .292 | 82 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +19 | 1.4 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 670 | 590 | 124 | 25 | 3 | 17 | 64 | 196 | 11 | 11 | 2 | .210 | .299 | .349 | .648 | .139 | .280 | 29 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +19 | 1.5 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 668 | 587 | 124 | 25 | 3 | 17 | 65 | 196 | 11 | 11 | 2 | .211 | .302 | .351 | .653 | .140 | .280 | 29 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +19 | 1.5 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 662 | 581 | 122 | 25 | 3 | 17 | 65 | 195 | 11 | 10 | 1 | .210 | .301 | .351 | .652 | .141 | .280 | 29 | 10 | .293 | 82 | -13 | +2 | -1 | +7 | +19 | 1.4 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 651 | 572 | 119 | 24 | 3 | 16 | 64 | 194 | 10 | 9 | 1 | .208 | .299 | .344 | .643 | .136 | .279 | 30 | 10 | .291 | 81 | -14 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +18 | 1.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 640 | 562 | 115 | 23 | 2 | 16 | 63 | 193 | 10 | 9 | 0 | .205 | .296 | .338 | .634 | .133 | .277 | 30 | 10 | .288 | 78 | -16 | +2 | -2 | +7 | +18 | 0.9 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 626 | 549 | 110 | 22 | 2 | 15 | 62 | 191 | 10 | 7 | 0 | .200 | .293 | .330 | .623 | .129 | .275 | 31 | 10 | .284 | 76 | -17 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +18 | 0.6 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 607 | 533 | 106 | 21 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 189 | 9 | 6 | 0 | .199 | .291 | .325 | .615 | .126 | .274 | 31 | 10 | .279 | 72 | -19 | +1 | -4 | +7 | +17 | 0.2 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 578 | 508 | 99 | 20 | 2 | 12 | 56 | 183 | 9 | 6 | 0 | .195 | .286 | .313 | .599 | .118 | .272 | 32 | 10 | .274 | 68 | -21 | +1 | -4 | +6 | +16 | -0.1 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 529 | 465 | 88 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 51 | 172 | 8 | 5 | 0 | .189 | .281 | .305 | .586 | .116 | .270 | 33 | 10 | .268 | 63 | -22 | +1 | -5 | +6 | +15 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9537 | 8427 | 1678 | 340 | 41 | 213 | 882 | 2970 | 153 | 146 | 21 | .199 | .287 | .325 | .612 | .126 | .277 | 31 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -317 | +21 | -20 | +102 | +270 | 5.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 574 | 115 | 23 | 3 | 15 | 60 | 202 | 10 | 10 | 1 | .200 | .287 | .329 | .616 | .129 | .278 | 31 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -22 | +2 | -1 | +7 | +18 | 0.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 121 | 113 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .221 | .273 | .292 | .565 | .071 | .333 | 33 | 6 | .258 | 56 | -6 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 465 | 406 | 72 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 47 | 134 | 9 | 11 | 3 | .177 | .277 | .261 | .538 | .084 | .254 | 29 | 10 | .252 | 51 | -26 | +1 | — | — | +13 | -1.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Carter Johnson (OGILVIE) | 20 | 20 | 25 | 45 | 40 | .182/.253/.278 | .096 | .280 | 5 | 5 | 36% | 7% | 46 | -1.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A |
20 | 38 | 40→45 | 47→45 | 45 | .183/.271/.272 | .089 | .286 | 7 | 6 | 36% | 10% | 52 | -1.6 | .190/.265/.267 | .077 | .298 | 5 | 6 | 35% | 9% | 47 | -1.9 | .182/.268/.267 | .085 | .274 | 6 | 3 | 33% | 10% | 48 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A |
20 | 37 | 40 | 44→55 | 39 | .185/.250/.273 | .088 | .268 | 9 | 9 | 33% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .200/.257/.289 | .089 | .277 | 6 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .197/.256/.288 | .091 | .265 | 4 | 15 | 26% | 6% | 45 | -0.8 |
|
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A |
19 | 41→38 | 37→40 | 49→55 | 43 | .188/.266/.261 | .074 | .308 | 4 | 9 | 37% | 9% | 46 | -2.0 | .191/.277/.276 | .085 | .308 | 5 | 14 | 36% | 10% | 55 | -1.4 | .187/.286/.266 | .080 | .296 | 4 | 18 | 34% | 11% | 55 | -0.8 |
|
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A |
20 | 40 | 38→40 | 48→50 | 41 | .194/.250/.274 | .080 | .270 | 5 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .184/.241/.255 | .071 | .277 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 33 | -2.9 | .147/.214/.205 | .058 | .225 | 0 | 6 | 32% | 6% | 7 | -1.5 |
|
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A |
21 | 33 | 41→45 | 41→50 | 41 | .168/.252/.259 | .091 | .262 | 9 | 8 | 37% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .197/.275/.307 | .110 | .307 | 11 | 5 | 36% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .204/.303/.338 | .134 | .292 | 14 | 2 | 32% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Danyer Sanabria 2022 · A |
20 | 35 | 41→45 | 46→45 | 33 | .178/.217/.275 | .097 | .270 | 9 | 7 | 37% | 4% | 28 | -3.2 | .201/.248/.290 | .089 | .327 | 6 | 5 | 38% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .199/.244/.294 | .095 | .314 | 6 | 3 | 36% | 5% | 40 | -0.8 |
|
✕Cristhian Vasquez 2017 · A |
20 | 32 | 38→30 | 49→50 | 42 | .162/.227/.239 | .078 | .227 | 6 | 8 | 30% | 7% | 24 | -3.5 | .191/.247/.264 | .073 | .254 | 4 | 9 | 25% | 6% | 38 | -2.6 | .190/.244/.248 | .058 | .247 | 2 | 11 | 22% | 5% | 30 | -1.4 |
|
✕Herman Armas 2007 · A |
20 | 41 | 40→45 | 47→50 | 41 | .197/.264/.291 | .093 | .287 | 7 | 11 | 32% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .217/.285/.327 | .110 | .286 | 11 | 9 | 26% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .218/.293/.335 | .117 | .266 | 14 | 9 | 23% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A |
20 | 42 | 36→40 | 45→50 | 46 | .195/.268/.263 | .067 | .280 | 3 | 9 | 29% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .189/.255/.254 | .065 | .302 | 3 | 10 | 35% | 8% | 38 | -2.6 | .156/.232/.188 | .031 | .269 | 0 | 14 | 38% | 9% | 10 | -1.5 |
|
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A |
20 | 33 | 38→40 | 47→50 | 40 | .163/.253/.245 | .082 | .260 | 6 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 38 | -2.6 | .189/.271/.286 | .097 | .311 | 8 | 13 | 39% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .158/.239/.236 | .078 | .330 | 8 | 23 | 50% | 6% | 26 | -1.2 |
|
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A |
20 | 40→36 | 40→30 | 49→50 | 49 | .191/.281/.282 | .091 | .264 | 6 | 11 | 28% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .179/.294/.247 | .068 | .289 | 3 | 14 | 35% | 11% | 57 | -1.2 | .155/.287/.208 | .053 | .265 | 2 | 16 | 36% | 11% | 43 | -1.1 |
|
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A |
20 | 41→35 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 40 | .199/.265/.295 | .096 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .204/.294/.305 | .101 | .301 | 9 | 8 | 32% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .186/.292/.283 | .097 | .277 | 9 | 10 | 33% | 11% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A |
21 | 37 | 44→50 | 49→50 | 40 | .188/.259/.305 | .117 | .281 | 12 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .194/.278/.291 | .097 | .346 | 7 | 8 | 42% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .146/.273/.221 | .075 | .359 | 3 | 4 | 52% | 12% | 39 | -0.5 |
|
✕Freizer Pedron 2006 · A |
19 | 44 | 39→40 | 46→55 | 39 | .209/.263/.293 | .084 | .303 | 7 | 12 | 32% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .221/.282/.295 | .074 | .295 | 3 | 15 | 24% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .240/.304/.313 | .072 | .307 | 1 | 23 | 20% | 6% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A |
21 | 36→38 | 39→45 | 47→45 | 42 | .173/.251/.266 | .093 | .273 | 5 | 7 | 36% | 8% | 42 | -2.3 | .196/.261/.313 | .117 | .273 | 11 | 6 | 31% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .196/.262/.319 | .124 | .258 | 14 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 58 | -0.8 |
|
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A |
21 | 40→31 | 41→45 | 46→30 | 38 | .191/.255/.294 | .102 | .304 | 8 | 4 | 38% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .187/.253/.289 | .102 | .316 | 10 | 2 | 41% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .246/.293/.382 | .135 | .322 | 19 | 1 | 29% | 4% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A |
20 | 41 | 40→45 | 50 | 40 | .195/.267/.291 | .097 | .292 | 7 | 11 | 34% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .197/.266/.317 | .120 | .283 | 10 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .149/.220/.307 | .158 | .194 | 15 | 9 | 31% | 7% | 36 | -0.7 |
|
✕Luis Mendez 2023 · A |
20 | 39 | 42→40 | 48→50 | 37 | .192/.248/.297 | .105 | .284 | 10 | 11 | 35% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .188/.254/.270 | .082 | .274 | 6 | 11 | 31% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .178/.247/.251 | .073 | .250 | 5 | 12 | 29% | 8% | 32 | -1.4 |
|
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A |
19 | 40 | 36→30 | 48→50 | 45 | .190/.258/.255 | .065 | .266 | 4 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .207/.263/.250 | .043 | .259 | 1 | 14 | 19% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .233/.291/.254 | .020 | .278 | 0 | 16 | 15% | 7% | 50 | -0.6 |
|
✕Francis Christy 2016 · A |
20 | 38 | 42→40 | 49→45 | 39 | .187/.252/.295 | .107 | .276 | 8 | 6 | 34% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .186/.236/.258 | .072 | .295 | 4 | 5 | 36% | 6% | 31 | -3.0 | .172/.215/.220 | .048 | .280 | 2 | 3 | 37% | 5% | 10 | -1.9 |