Carter Johnson
2B Jupiter Hammerheads| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | AMIA | 121 | .221/.273/.292 | 1 | 2 | 17 | — | .165/.207/.226 |
| 2025 | 19 | AMIA | 465 | .177/.277/.261 | 3 | 11 | 17 | — | .138/.216/.202 |
| 2026 | 20 | A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 533 | .230/.329/.395 | 15 | 14 | 59 | — | .193/.270/.323 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBMIA | 606 | .168/.241/.265 | 9 | 10 | 43 | -0.6 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 22 | MLBMIA | 159 | .170/.244/.272 | 3 | 3 | 52 | -0.5 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 23 | MLBMIA | 250 | .176/.251/.287 | 5 | 4 | 58 | -0.6 |
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 25
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 121 | 113 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 221 | 273 | 292 | 565 | 71 | 333 | 33 | 6 | 258 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 465 | 406 | 72 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 47 | 134 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 177 | 277 | 261 | 538 | 84 | 254 | 29 | 10 | 252 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 214 | 194 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 52 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 237 | 308 | 392 | 700 | 155 | 294 | 24 | 7 | 314 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 282 | 235 | 57 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 79 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 243 | 360 | 426 | 785 | 183 | 322 | 28 | 14 | 348 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 37 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 | 216 | 188 | 404 | 94 | 87 | 22 | 14 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 121 | 115 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 53 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 165 | 207 | 226 | 433 | 61 | 301 | 44 | 4 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 465 | 420 | 58 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 179 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 138 | 216 | 202 | 419 | 64 | 228 | 38 | 7 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 214 | 198 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 66 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 202 | 262 | 328 | 590 | 126 | 274 | 31 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 282 | 247 | 46 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 107 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 186 | 277 | 320 | 597 | 134 | 280 | 38 | 10 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 121 | 115 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 53 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 165 | 207 | 226 | 433 | 61 | 295 | 44 | 4 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A RAW | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 121 | 113 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 221 | 273 | 292 | 565 | 71 | 333 | 33 | 6 | 258 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 465 | 420 | 58 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 179 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 138 | 216 | 202 | 419 | 64 | 231 | 38 | 7 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A RAW | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 465 | 406 | 72 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 47 | 134 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 177 | 277 | 261 | 538 | 84 | 254 | 29 | 10 | 252 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 533 | 479 | 93 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 42 | 187 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 194 | 270 | 326 | 596 | 132 | 285 | 35 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 533 | 461 | 106 | 25 | 3 | 15 | 60 | 139 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 230 | 329 | 395 | 724 | 165 | 293 | 26 | 11 | 324 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 121 | 114 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 53 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 167 | 207 | 228 | 435 | 61 | 301 | 44 | 4 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 465 | 420 | 58 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 179 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 138 | 216 | 202 | 419 | 64 | 228 | 38 | 7 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 533 | 478 | 93 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 42 | 187 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 195 | 270 | 326 | 597 | 132 | 277 | 35 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 121 | 114 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 53 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 167 | 207 | 228 | 435 | 61 | 301 | 44 | 4 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 465 | 420 | 58 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 179 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 138 | 216 | 202 | 419 | 64 | 228 | 38 | 7 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 533 | 478 | 93 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 42 | 187 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 195 | 270 | 326 | 597 | 132 | 277 | 35 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | MIA | 0% | 606 | 548 | 92 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 45 | 198 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 168 | 241 | 265 | 506 | 97 | 241 | 33 | 7 | 232 | 43 | -41 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +13 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | MIA | 34% | 463 | 419 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 147 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 176 | 250 | 286 | 536 | 110 | 244 | 32 | 8 | 245 | 52 | -27 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +10 | -1.5 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | MIA | 48% | 515 | 463 | 86 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 40 | 159 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 182 | 257 | 301 | 558 | 118 | 248 | 31 | 8 | 253 | 58 | -26 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +11 | -1.3 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIA | 53% | 560 | 504 | 95 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 44 | 169 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 187 | 263 | 311 | 574 | 124 | 251 | 30 | 8 | 260 | 62 | -25 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | -1.1 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIA | 55% | 578 | 520 | 99 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 172 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 191 | 266 | 318 | 585 | 127 | 253 | 30 | 8 | 264 | 65 | -24 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +13 | -0.9 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIA | 56% | 590 | 530 | 103 | 21 | 3 | 14 | 47 | 173 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 193 | 269 | 322 | 592 | 129 | 255 | 29 | 8 | 267 | 67 | -23 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +13 | -0.8 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIA | 55% | 590 | 530 | 102 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 174 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 192 | 268 | 320 | 588 | 127 | 255 | 29 | 8 | 266 | 66 | -24 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +13 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | MIA | 34% | 159 | 144 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 170 | 244 | 272 | 517 | 103 | 236 | 31 | 8 | 237 | 52 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | MIA | 48% | 250 | 226 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 77 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 176 | 251 | 287 | 538 | 111 | 239 | 31 | 8 | 246 | 58 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIA | 53% | 295 | 266 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 89 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 181 | 257 | 297 | 553 | 116 | 242 | 30 | 8 | 252 | 62 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.6 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIA | 55% | 316 | 284 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 94 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 184 | 260 | 303 | 564 | 119 | 244 | 30 | 8 | 256 | 65 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIA | 56% | 328 | 295 | 55 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 96 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 187 | 263 | 307 | 570 | 121 | 246 | 29 | 8 | 259 | 67 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIA | 55% | 325 | 292 | 55 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 96 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 186 | 262 | 305 | 567 | 119 | 246 | 30 | 8 | 258 | 66 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1673 | 1507 | 275 | 54 | 9 | 35 | 131 | 502 | 21 | 29 | 10 | 182 | 257 | 300 | 557 | 117 | 245 | 30 | 8 | 253 | 56 | -74 | +2 | +0 | +6 | +36 | -3.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 586 | 107 | 21 | 3 | 14 | 51 | 195 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 183 | 257 | 300 | 558 | 118 | 245 | 30 | 8 | 253 | 56 | -29 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4625 | 4170 | 761 | 159 | 27 | 89 | 355 | 1482 | 63 | 86 | 29 | 182 | 257 | 298 | 555 | 115 | 256 | 32 | 8 | 250 | 56 | -163 | +4 | +0 | +13 | +76 | -7.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 107 | 22 | 4 | 13 | 50 | 208 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 183 | 258 | 300 | 558 | 118 | 255 | 32 | 8 | 250 | 56 | -30 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AJupiter Hammerheads · 282 PAwOBA .343 → .265 (−78)K% 28.0% → 38.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.01% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 9.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.42% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.956 | ×1.030 | 18.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.956 | ×1.030 | 7.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.956 | ×1.030 | 1.15% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 4.23% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .343 → .265; ISO .183 → .140; BABIP .322 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 214 PAwOBA .306 → .254 (−52)K% 24.3% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.30% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 30.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 5.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.87% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 1.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | ×1.042 | 19.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×1.042 | 6.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.012 | ×1.042 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 3.52% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .306 → .254; ISO .155 → .122; BABIP .294 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AJupiter Hammerheads · 465 PAwOBA .248 → .193 (−55)K% 28.8% → 38.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.82% | ÷1.014 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.11% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 7.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.94% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | ×0.955 | ×1.045 | 15.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.947 | ×0.830 | ×0.955 | ×1.045 | 5.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.47% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.955 | ×1.045 | 1.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.035 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.89% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 104, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .248 → .193; ISO .084 → .067; BABIP .254 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AJupiter Hammerheads · 121 PAwOBA .252 → .193 (−59)K% 33.1% → 43.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.06% | ÷1.029 | ×1.360 | — | — | 43.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.79% | ÷0.993 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.40% | ÷1.065 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×1.050 | 24.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.11% | ÷1.032 | ×0.830 | ×1.002 | ×1.050 | 3.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.37% | ÷0.960 | ×0.910 | ×1.002 | ×1.050 | 1.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.37% | ÷0.888 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 1.30% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 113, 2B 106, 3B 92, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .252 → .193; ISO .071 → .056; BABIP .333 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .