Carter Johnson — OGILVIE

Carter Johnson2B Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 20 L/R 6'2" / 180 lbs A HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION496 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP245

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	121	113	25	3	1	1	7	40	1	2	1	221	273	292	565	71	333	33	6	258	61	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	465	406	72	17	4	3	47	134	9	11	3	177	277	261	538	84	254	29	10	252	57	-24	+1	—	—	+10	-1.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	121	115	18	2	1	1	5	55	1	2	1	157	198	217	416	61	291	45	4	184	11	-13	+0	—	—	+3	-1.0
2025	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	465	419	55	14	3	2	34	187	9	11	3	131	212	193	405	62	224	40	7	191	15	-47	+1	—	—	+10	-3.6
2024	18	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	121	115	18	2	1	1	5	55	1	2	1	157	198	217	416	61	288	45	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	121	113	25	3	1	1	7	40	1	2	1	221	273	292	565	71	333	33	6	258	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	465	419	55	14	3	2	34	187	9	11	3	131	212	193	405	62	227	40	7	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	465	406	72	17	4	3	47	134	9	11	3	177	277	261	538	84	254	29	10	252	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	121	114	18	2	1	1	5	55	1	2	1	158	198	219	418	61	291	45	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	465	419	55	14	3	2	34	187	9	11	3	131	212	193	405	62	224	40	7	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	121	114	18	2	1	1	5	55	1	2	1	158	198	219	418	61	291	45	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	465	419	55	14	3	2	34	187	9	11	3	131	212	193	405	62	224	40	7	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	MIA	—	496	444	82	20	2	11	40	182	8	14	6	185	264	313	577	128	278	37	8	255	59	-24	+0	+0	+2	+11	-1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A RAW	MIA	—	282	235	57	15	2	8	39	79	4	6	2	243	360	426	785	183	322	28	14	348	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ RAW	MIA	—	214	194	46	10	1	6	16	52	4	8	4	237	308	392	700	155	294	24	7	314	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	MIA	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		253	33	11	237	47	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	A MLE	MIA	—	505	452	83	20	2	11	41	185	8	14	6	184	263	310	573	126	277	37	8	255	59	-25	+0	+0	+2	+11	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	536	481	85	19	3	10	42	185	8	9	3	177	254	291	545	114	258	35	8	249	55	-29	+1	+0	+2	+12	-1.5
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	579	518	97	21	3	13	47	191	9	9	4	187	267	315	581	127	262	33	8	262	63	-25	+0	+0	+2	+13	-1.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	615	550	106	23	3	15	51	197	9	10	4	193	272	327	599	135	264	32	8	270	69	-23	+0	+0	+2	+13	-0.7
2030	24	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	627	560	110	24	3	16	53	197	9	10	4	196	277	336	612	139	266	31	8	275	72	-21	+0	+0	+2	+14	-0.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	634	566	112	24	3	17	54	198	9	10	4	198	278	341	619	143	266	31	9	278	74	-20	+0	+0	+2	+14	-0.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	639	570	112	24	3	17	55	200	9	10	4	196	278	339	616	142	266	31	9	279	75	-19	+0	+0	+2	+14	-0.3
2033	27	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	637	567	112	24	3	17	56	199	9	10	4	198	280	340	620	143	266	31	9	279	75	-19	+0	+0	+2	+14	-0.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	631	561	111	24	3	17	56	198	9	10	4	198	281	342	623	144	265	31	9	278	74	-19	+0	-1	+2	+14	-0.4
2035	29	MLB MLE	MIA	58%	621	552	107	23	3	16	55	197	9	9	3	194	278	333	611	139	265	32	9	276	73	-20	+1	-1	+2	+13	-0.5
2036	30	MLB MLE	MIA	60%	609	541	104	22	3	15	54	194	9	8	3	192	276	327	604	135	263	32	9	274	71	-21	+0	-2	+2	+13	-0.7
2027	21	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	184	164	28	6	1	3	15	64	3	3	1	171	253	274	527	104	251	35	8	231	55	-10	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	281	252	46	10	1	6	23	93	4	4	2	183	262	302	563	119	254	33	8	244	63	-12	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.5
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	334	298	57	12	2	8	28	107	5	5	2	191	272	326	597	134	256	32	8	252	69	-12	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
2030	24	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	348	311	59	12	2	8	29	109	5	6	2	190	270	318	588	129	258	31	8	257	72	-11	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	355	317	60	12	2	9	30	111	5	6	2	189	270	325	595	136	258	31	8	259	74	-11	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	359	320	62	13	2	9	31	112	5	6	2	194	275	331	607	137	258	31	9	260	75	-11	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	352	313	60	12	2	9	31	110	5	6	2	192	275	329	604	137	258	31	9	261	75	-11	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	346	308	59	12	2	9	30	109	5	5	2	192	274	331	605	140	257	32	9	260	74	-11	+0	-0	+1	+7	-0.2
2035	29	MLB CTX	MIA	58%	360	320	60	12	2	9	32	114	5	5	2	188	272	322	594	134	256	32	9	258	73	-11	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.3
2036	30	MLB CTX	MIA	60%	367	326	62	13	2	9	33	117	5	5	2	190	275	325	600	135	255	32	9	256	71	-12	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3286	2929	553	114	18	79	282	1046	47	51	19	189	271	321	592	132	260	32	9	255	66	-113	+3	-2	+12	+71	-3.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	111	23	4	16	56	207	9	10	4	192	273	328	601	136	264	32	9	255	66	-22	+1	-0	+2	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6723	6008	1130	244	34	156	563	2201	99	108	41	188	269	318	587	130	264	33	8	265	66	-216	+4	-4	+22	+133	-6.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	109	24	3	15	54	213	10	10	4	188	268	317	585	129	264	33	8	265	66	-23	+0	-0	+2	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	5.4	3,606	86	55	190	268	322	+36	+18	0.1	1.0
/162	664	16	10	+6.7	+3.3	0.0	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Johnson (OGILVIE)	20	20	25	45	40	166/243/268	102	253	5	7	36%	8%	47	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	41	36→40	45→50	44	192/261/262	70	277	4	9	30%	8%	50	-2.3	192/257/257	65	308	3	10	35%	8%	47	-2.5	156/232/188	31	269	0	14	38%	9%	20	-1.5
✕Cristhian Vasquez 2017 · A	20	32	38→30	49→50	42	161/225/240	79	224	6	8	30%	7%	32	-3.7	195/251/268	73	259	4	9	25%	6%	47	-2.5	190/244/248	58	247	2	11	22%	5%	38	-1.4
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	39	38→40	47→50	39	189/242/268	78	269	6	5	31%	6%	44	-2.8	186/245/258	72	280	3	6	32%	6%	43	-2.8	147/214/205	58	225	0	6	32%	6%	18	-1.5
✕Leandro Pineda 2022 · A	20	35→45	37→45	43→45	46	171/257/239	68	251	4	7	31%	9%	45	-2.7	189/259/292	103	281	8	5	33%	7%	57	-1.8	210/283/339	129	268	13	5	26%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→30	47→45	38	174/218/242	68	245	2	8	29%	5%	28	-3.9	194/246/266	72	256	4	10	25%	5%	45	-2.7	232/294/283	50	313	3	6	25%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	41	36→30	46→50	46	196/259/262	66	262	4	12	25%	7%	49	-2.4	198/260/265	67	297	3	8	31%	7%	50	-2.3	180/247/237	57	275	2	9	33%	7%	36	-1.1
✕Raudelis Martinez 2022 · A	20	36	38→30	44→45	44	178/240/255	77	234	7	7	26%	7%	41	-3.0	189/265/278	89	233	7	8	21%	8%	56	-1.9	175/246/238	64	210	6	6	19%	8%	39	-1.5
✕Deivis Nadal 2022 · A	20	39	35→40	46→55	38	185/249/239	55	271	3	11	31%	5%	41	-3.0	170/249/254	84	310	6	18	43%	8%	45	-2.7	140/228/232	93	275	7	23	47%	9%	30	-1.5
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	35	37→45	48→45	34	175/223/246	71	263	5	6	34%	4%	32	-3.7	209/264/290	81	278	5	5	25%	5%	57	-1.8	217/275/301	85	280	4	3	23%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A	20	33	39→40	47→50	40	163/252/248	85	260	6	8	37%	7%	45	-2.7	192/272/290	98	317	8	13	39%	7%	62	-1.4	158/238/238	80	331	8	23	50%	6%	35	-1.2
✕Yoel Romero 2017 · A	19	33	34→40	46→50	39	162/214/214	53	232	1	9	30%	5%	21	-4.4	217/277/287	70	279	4	12	22%	7%	61	-1.5	229/288/306	77	301	6	10	24%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	36→40	37→45	48→40	48	173/263/240	67	258	5	3	32%	10%	47	-2.5	205/289/309	104	317	11	4	35%	10%	72	-0.7	200/285/310	110	312	13	2	37%	10%	69	-0.6
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	40→37	35→30	44→50	48	187/266/245	59	273	2	9	30%	9%	49	-2.4	224/306/292	68	309	2	16	25%	10%	74	-0.6	243/332/303	60	328	1	21	23%	11%	81	-0.0
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	40	-3.0	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	63	-1.4	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Aramis Ademan 2019 · A	20	38→36	37→30	47→50	40	185/238/254	69	251	5	10	28%	5%	39	-3.1	193/250/277	84	273	6	12	30%	6%	49	-2.4	178/240/264	86	253	6	15	31%	6%	40	-2.2
✕Didimo Bracho 2017 · A	20	35	37→30	48→60	34	172/222/242	69	271	5	13	37%	5%	30	-3.8	195/244/300	105	293	8	6	34%	5%	52	-2.2	181/230/321	140	251	11	3	32%	5%	48	-0.7
✕Herman Armas 2006 · A	19	37	36→45	41→50	44	179/250/243	64	257	4	7	30%	8%	42	-2.9	210/278/316	106	287	9	10	28%	7%	70	-0.9	212/283/329	117	282	11	12	27%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Nolan Perez 2019 · A	20	36	38→40	45→40	36	178/228/253	74	267	5	4	34%	5%	35	-3.4	191/230/273	82	324	6	5	41%	4%	40	-3.0	174/195/256	81	303	6	1	44%	2%	22	-1.3
✕Hector Hernandez 2015 · A	19	36	35→30	50→45	39	172/233/229	57	260	2	8	33%	6%	32	-3.7	188/259/249	61	277	2	8	30%	7%	47	-2.6	176/255/229	53	257	1	8	29%	8%	39	-1.1
✕Robert Lopez 2023 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	40	174/248/241	67	276	4	6	36%	7%	41	-3.0	195/256/281	86	295	7	4	34%	7%	53	-2.1	183/247/263	80	272	8	3	34%	7%	43	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps