Javi Torres — OGILVIE

Javi Torres P Hill City Howlers

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2031

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 33 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.88

FIP4.88

K%21.8%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%9.2%

ROS IP33

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	1	0	0	6	0	2	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	33.3%	-33.3%	0.0%	54.00	7.32	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	1	0	0	6	0	2	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	33.3%	-33.3%	0.0%	54.00	7.32	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	1	0	0	6	0	2	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	33.3%	-33.3%	0.0%	54.00	21.10	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Hill City Howlers	29	0	48	227	54	32	6	0%	1.6	17.0%	16.8%	0.2%	3.6%	6.23	5.75	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Hill City Howlers	29	0	48	227	54	32	6	0%	1.6	17.0%	16.8%	0.2%	3.6%	6.23	5.75	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	CLE	8	0	14	61	23	6	3	0%	1.8	37.7%	9.8%	27.9%	4.9%	4.50	3.86	—
2026	21	A RAW	CLE	21	0	34	166	31	26	3	0%	1.6	18.7%	15.7%	3.0%	1.8%	6.95	4.50	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CLE	47	0	49	207	47	23	6	0%	1.0	22.9%	11.2%	11.7%	2.9%	4.68	4.58	-0.0
2028	23	MLB MLE	CLE	48	0	51	214	51	22	6	0%	1.1	23.6%	10.2%	13.4%	2.9%	4.49	4.38	+0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	CLE	50	0	52	220	53	21	6	0%	1.0	24.2%	9.7%	14.5%	2.9%	4.34	4.24	+0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	CLE	50	0	53	223	55	21	6	0%	1.1	24.5%	9.3%	15.2%	2.9%	4.23	4.16	+0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	CLE	50	0	53	223	55	21	6	0%	1.1	24.7%	9.3%	15.4%	2.9%	4.18	4.14	+0.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	CLE	50	0	52	220	54	21	6	0%	1.0	24.7%	9.3%	15.4%	2.9%	4.18	4.18	+0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	CLE	23	0	24	101	23	11	3	0%	1.0	22.9%	11.2%	11.7%	2.9%	4.68	4.58	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	CLE	35	0	37	156	37	16	5	0%	1.1	23.6%	10.2%	13.4%	2.9%	4.49	4.38	+0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	CLE	41	0	43	182	44	18	5	0%	1.0	24.2%	9.7%	14.5%	2.9%	4.34	4.24	+0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	CLE	45	0	47	198	49	18	6	0%	1.0	24.5%	9.3%	15.2%	2.9%	4.23	4.16	+0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	CLE	46	0	48	203	50	19	6	0%	1.0	24.7%	9.3%	15.4%	2.9%	4.18	4.14	+0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	CLE	46	0	48	203	50	19	6	0%	1.0	24.7%	9.3%	15.4%	2.9%	4.18	4.18	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		236	0	247	1044	253	101	30	0%	1.0	24.2%	9.7%	14.5%	2.9%	4.31	3.87	+2.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	205	82	24	0%	1.1	24.2%	9.7%	14.5%	2.9%	4.31	3.87	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		30	0	48	233	39	40	8	0%	1.6	16.6%	17.2%	-0.7%	3.5%	6.56	5.79	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		125	0	200	971	161	167	34	0%	1.6	16.6%	17.2%	-0.7%	3.5%	6.56	5.79	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Javi Torres (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.88	21.8%	12.6%	3.0%	—	4.40	23.6%	13.2%	152	-0.48	—	—	—
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	91
Kyle Marman R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	22	SU	3.97	22.2%	12.8%	2.0%	.270	5.16	22.5%	8.4%	71	+1.19	3.97	117	90
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	89
Kyle Hinton R 2018 · 4.17 FIP	21	SU	4.17	23.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.275	5.69	17.7%	-0.7%	75	+1.52	4.17	106	88
Aaron Holiday R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	22	SU	4.81	21.9%	11.3%	3.9%	.310	5.23	19.7%	-3.3%	59	+0.42	4.73	126	88
Justin Meis R 2021 · 4.07 FIP	21	SU	4.07	25.6%	13.6%	2.6%	.300	5.14	18.2%	5.5%	261	+1.07	3.68	408	88
Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP	21	SU	4.71	19.5%	11.6%	3.3%	.273	4.10	17.7%	8.7%	234	-0.61	3.17	337	88
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	87
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	87
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	87
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	87
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	87
Gerson Moreno R 2017 · 3.76 FIP	21	SU	3.76	23.6%	12.1%	2.1%	.294	5.22	21.3%	2.0%	17	+1.46	3.44	349	87
Nick Lockhart R 2022 · 4.44 FIP	21	SU	4.44	22.0%	9.9%	3.5%	.275	4.63	16.1%	5.5%	43	+0.19	4.44	140	87
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	87
Tyler Vogel R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	22	SU	4.93	23.4%	14.3%	3.6%	.305	4.48	19.1%	6.1%	135	-0.45	3.84	200	86
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	86
Bailey Dees R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	21.3%	13.2%	2.4%	.248	4.35	21.3%	9.7%	278	+0.09	3.41	330	86
David Garner R 2015 · 3.81 FIP	22	SU	3.81	21.7%	10.0%	2.3%	.282	4.52	19.8%	5.2%	98	+0.71	3.81	154	86
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	86

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	49	23.9%	10.1%	1.12	4.40
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41