Augie Lopez — OGILVIE

Augie LopezC Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 22 L/R A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 64 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .264 / .346

PA64

HR2

K%32

BB%6

ISO137

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	40	36	4	1	0	2	3	11	0	0	1	111	179	306	485	194	87	28	8	211	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	40	37	3	1	0	1	2	15	0	0	1	81	128	189	317	108	76	38	5	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	40	37	3	1	0	1	2	15	0	0	1	81	128	189	317	108	95	38	5	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	40	36	4	1	0	2	3	11	0	0	1	111	179	306	485	194	87	28	8	211	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	40	38	3	1	0	1	2	15	0	0	1	79	128	184	312	105	76	38	5	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	40	38	3	1	0	1	2	15	0	0	1	79	128	184	312	105	76	38	5	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SD	0%	150	139	30	6	1	4	9	48	1	2	1	212	266	349	615	137	290	32	6	273	71	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	SD	34%	160	148	31	6	1	4	10	50	1	2	1	215	270	354	624	139	291	31	6	277	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	SD	46%	277	255	56	11	2	7	18	85	2	3	1	217	273	358	631	141	292	31	6	281	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	SD	52%	350	322	70	14	2	9	23	106	2	4	1	219	276	361	637	143	292	30	7	283	78	-9	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	SD	54%	398	365	81	16	2	11	27	119	3	4	2	220	278	363	641	144	292	30	7	285	79	-10	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.6
2032	27	MLB MLE	SD	54%	422	387	86	17	3	11	29	125	3	4	2	220	279	363	642	143	291	30	7	285	79	-10	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.6
2033	28	MLB MLE	SD	54%	433	398	87	17	3	11	29	129	3	3	2	218	277	358	635	140	290	30	7	283	77	-12	-0	-1	+8	+9	0.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	432	397	86	17	2	11	29	130	3	1	1	216	274	352	626	136	288	30	7	279	75	-13	-0	-1	+8	+9	0.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	SD	52%	429	395	83	16	2	10	29	131	2	0	1	213	270	344	614	132	286	31	7	274	72	-14	-0	-2	+8	+9	0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	SD	34%	55	52	10	2	0	1	3	17	0	1	0	212	267	350	616	138	285	31	5	274	74	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	SD	46%	128	118	25	5	1	3	8	39	1	1	1	214	270	354	624	140	286	30	6	278	76	-4	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	SD	52%	181	166	36	7	1	5	12	55	1	2	1	215	273	357	630	142	286	30	7	280	78	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	SD	54%	216	199	43	8	1	6	14	65	1	2	1	217	275	359	634	143	286	30	6	282	79	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	SD	54%	229	210	45	8	1	6	16	68	1	2	1	217	276	359	634	142	285	30	7	282	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	SD	54%	235	216	46	9	1	6	16	70	1	1	1	215	274	354	628	139	284	30	7	280	77	-6	-0	-0	+4	+5	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	229	211	44	8	1	6	15	69	1	1	1	213	271	348	619	135	283	30	7	276	75	-7	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	SD	52%	225	207	44	8	1	6	15	69	1	0	1	210	267	340	607	131	281	31	7	271	72	-8	-0	-1	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1498	1379	293	55	7	39	99	452	7	10	7	212	269	347	616	135	284	30	7	278	75	-42	-1	-2	+27	+32	1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	127	24	3	17	43	196	3	4	3	212	269	348	616	135	284	30	7	278	75	-18	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3005	2764	595	117	17	77	200	910	19	22	12	215	273	353	626	138	289	30	7	279	75	-84	+0	-4	+53	+64	3.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	129	25	4	17	43	197	4	5	3	216	273	356	629	140	289	30	7	279	75	-18	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.4	1,561	40	11	218	272	358	+28	+20	2.7	2.6
/162	664	17	5	+11.9	+8.5	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Augie Lopez (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	210/264/346	136	290	2	1	32%	6%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	40→42	47→45	50→45	49	202/313/334	132	268	16	7	29%	10%	88	+0.5	192/300/291	99	262	9	5	28%	10%	74	-0.5	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕César Salazar 2019 · A	23	43→40	48→45	49→45	39	217/279/354	138	308	17	8	34%	6%	79	-0.2	210/265/318	108	263	11	8	24%	5%	65	-1.2	206/307/310	103	242	10	6	18%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Isan Díaz 2018 · A	22	40→43	47→55	45	43	202/273/336	134	296	14	8	35%	8%	72	-0.7	214/284/363	149	300	16	8	32%	8%	82	+0.0	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Matt Wallach 2009 · A	23	39	47→45	46→40	39	203/259/345	142	274	15	3	31%	6%	69	-0.9	210/268/321	111	260	11	3	23%	6%	66	-1.1	213/285/325	112	244	13	3	18%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Creed Willems 2024 · A	21	33→43	47→50	45→30	38	180/243/305	126	255	16	3	35%	6%	55	-2.0	206/269/346	140	260	17	3	27%	6%	74	-0.6	210/277/346	136	255	18	1	25%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Johnny Monell 2008 · A	22	43	43→50	44→45	47	212/287/326	114	278	11	8	27%	8%	75	-0.5	230/291/359	129	287	12	8	23%	7%	84	+0.1	225/286/348	123	283	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	38→42	48→55	46→50	35	200/242/343	143	282	16	6	35%	5%	61	-1.5	216/272/376	160	285	20	8	31%	6%	81	-0.1	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	44→45	50	53→55	46	221/292/385	164	297	17	9	31%	9%	90	+0.6	211/284/353	142	277	15	19	28%	8%	80	-0.1	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Ryan Costello 2018 · A	22	46→39	49→50	50→30	44	226/291/384	158	313	16	6	32%	8%	89	+0.5	203/278/345	142	279	16	3	31%	9%	76	-0.4	188/270/329	141	253	17	1	31%	10%	68	-0.8
✕Freuddy Batista 2022 · A	22	38	50	46→40	41	202/264/358	156	275	19	7	33%	7%	74	-0.5	203/263/329	126	302	12	6	35%	6%	67	-1.1	206/259/338	132	266	17	4	29%	4%	64	-0.6
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	43	48→55	51→45	44	217/286/366	149	280	15	6	27%	7%	84	+0.2	225/285/338	113	297	8	7	26%	6%	76	-0.4	215/274/384	169	274	21	5	29%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Kendall Simmons 2022 · A	22	41	48→50	49→50	39	208/274/357	149	292	15	9	33%	6%	78	-0.3	200/263/343	143	284	16	9	34%	6%	70	-0.8	201/265/348	147	289	17	7	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	46→50	44→40	39	182/248/308	126	266	15	5	36%	7%	57	-1.8	208/266/323	115	283	12	4	30%	7%	66	-1.1	206/265/315	109	274	12	2	28%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Andy Yerzy 2019 · A	21	42	46→50	46→40	40	216/259/337	120	279	14	3	28%	5%	66	-1.1	174/238/271	97	266	10	5	36%	6%	45	-2.7	166/253/301	135	232	18	4	36%	9%	56	-1.0
✕Dom Nuñez 2017 · A	22	43→46	45→50	45	47	219/277/333	115	267	14	7	24%	7%	72	-0.7	199/275/317	118	257	14	8	27%	9%	69	-0.9	181/265/328	147	236	18	5	31%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Rodolfo Durán 2021 · A	23	40	47→50	47→45	36	209/246/340	131	279	16	4	31%	4%	62	-1.4	203/244/336	133	263	14	4	28%	5%	61	-1.5	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Carlos Soto 2021 · A	22	42	41→45	47→30	41	207/267/304	97	289	9	5	31%	6%	62	-1.4	193/273/308	115	277	10	3	31%	9%	66	-1.1	168/258/285	117	236	11	0	32%	10%	54	-0.8
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA	22	38→47	50	49→45	40	199/259/356	156	271	17	9	33%	6%	72	-0.7	217/277/354	137	301	14	7	31%	7%	78	-0.3	217/278/367	150	284	17	4	29%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Michael Pérez 2015 · A	22	36	43→50	41→40	40	181/249/297	116	289	11	3	39%	8%	54	-2.0	193/251/289	96	268	8	4	29%	7%	53	-2.1	225/285/350	124	287	13	0	25%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Anthony Hatch 2006 · A	22	42→49	45→50	46→40	38	210/256/338	129	287	12	4	31%	5%	65	-1.2	228/283/370	142	278	13	5	22%	6%	83	+0.1	227/283/367	140	272	14	3	22%	6%	80	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps