Moises Morales
P
Hickory Crawdads
Age 22
RHP
6'1" / 175 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION65 act + 45 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137128vR 119
ERA5.26
FIP5.26
K%16.5%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%3.8%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 109 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 4 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 10.3% | 10.3% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 7.20 | 7.32 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 4 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 10.3% | 10.3% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 7.20 | 8.90 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 14 | 0 | 29 | 116 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 2.1 | 19.9% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 1.4% | 1.84 | 3.85 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 14 | 0 | 29 | 116 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 2.1 | 29.3% | 10.3% | 19.0% | 1.7% | 1.84 | 2.90 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 14 | 4 | 41 | 179 | 41 | 16 | 1 | 29% | 2.9 | 15.6% | 11.2% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 3.51 | 3.47 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 14 | 4 | 41 | 179 | 41 | 16 | 1 | 29% | 2.9 | 22.9% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 0.6% | 3.51 | 2.59 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 14 | 8 | 65 | 255 | 67 | 15 | 9 | 57% | 4.6 | 19.4% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 4.04 | 4.86 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | TEX | 8 | 8 | 45 | 188 | 31 | 24 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 16.5% | 12.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.26 | 5.26 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16.5% | 12.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.26 | 5.26 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 109 | 443 | 98 | 39 | 14 | — | — | 22.1% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 4.54 | 5.02 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TEX | 44 | 0 | 46 | 195 | 35 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 4.99 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 45 | 0 | 48 | 201 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 4.90 | 4.83 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 40 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 4.80 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TEX | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 4.99 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 26 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 4.90 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 4.80 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 90 | 0 | 95 | 401 | 76 | 45 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 4.90 | 4.45 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 160 | 95 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 4.90 | 4.45 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 46 | 12 | 140 | 579 | 104 | 56 | 16 | 26% | 3.0 | 17.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 3.54 | 4.35 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 17 | 200 | 827 | 148 | 80 | 23 | 26% | 3.0 | 17.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 3.54 | 4.35 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Moises Morales (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.26 | 16.5% | 12.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.85 | 18.9% | 7.6% | 142 | -0.41 | — | — | — |
| Anyelo Gómez R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.85 | 17.1% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .292 | 2.69 | 24.2% | 15.6% | 68 | -2.16 | 2.69 | 145 | 88 |
| Yunior Montero R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.82 | 16.9% | 14.1% | 2.5% | .276 | 4.59 | 21.5% | 6.2% | 91 | -0.23 | 3.60 | 127 | 87 |
| Justin Ferrell R 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.48 | 14.9% | 14.0% | 3.4% | .261 | 4.31 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 173 | -1.17 | 3.80 | 300 | 86 |
| Dawson Netz R 2028 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 85 |
| Ryan Long R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.20 | 17.1% | 11.6% | 2.0% | .263 | 4.46 | 16.6% | 7.3% | 292 | +0.26 | 4.13 | 405 | 85 |
| Hunter Hayes R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.52 | 13.3% | 9.7% | 2.4% | .307 | 4.64 | 16.7% | 4.2% | 149 | +0.12 | 3.33 | 210 | 84 |
| Houston Roth R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.58 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.8% | .263 | 4.63 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 228 | +0.05 | 3.57 | 389 | 84 |
| David Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.41 | 13.5% | 11.7% | 1.8% | .316 | 3.77 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 102 | -0.64 | 3.66 | 161 | 83 |
| Axel Rios R 2027 · 4.57 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.57 | 13.1% | 13.5% | 1.6% | .333 | 4.01 | 15.2% | 3.2% | 97 | -0.56 | 3.45 | 153 | 83 |
| Josh Gessner R 2026 · 5.68 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.68 | 17.0% | 15.0% | 3.9% | .299 | 5.31 | 12.0% | -10.1% | 34 | -0.37 | 2.98 | 126 | 82 |
| Matt Marsh R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 1.9% | .275 | 3.87 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 70 | -0.34 | 3.13 | 143 | 82 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.78 | 15.4% | 8.7% | 3.4% | .310 | 5.84 | 16.6% | 1.7% | 52 | +1.06 | 4.59 | 120 | 82 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 82 |
| Griffin Kilander R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.83 | 15.5% | 16.2% | 1.8% | .264 | 4.24 | 23.3% | 6.3% | 50 | -0.59 | 4.24 | 115 | 82 |
| Grant Ford R 2027 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 82 |
| Cade Winquest R 2027 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.36 | 17.9% | 12.0% | 2.3% | .299 | 3.91 | 20.0% | 9.6% | 158 | -0.45 | 3.34 | 236 | 82 |
| Jheyson Caraballo R 2025 · 5.25 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.25 | 11.9% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 101 | 82 |
| Joe Nahas R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.25 | 15.2% | 12.3% | 3.4% | .270 | 4.79 | 16.6% | 5.9% | 149 | -0.46 | 4.20 | 328 | 81 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2028 · 4.29 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.29 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 5.23 | 16.8% | 4.6% | 91 | +0.94 | 4.03 | 161 | 81 |
| Michael Wagner R 2027 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.10 | 13.1% | 11.3% | 1.2% | .287 | 4.27 | 16.4% | 4.1% | 84 | +0.17 | 4.10 | 149 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 47 | 18.3% | 11.6% | 1.09 | 5.00 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |