Coby Morales

1B Somerset Patriots
Age 25 L/R 6'1" / 225 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
ETA2031MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422A+/ANYY442.253/.365/.32043439—.181/.263/.227
202523AA/A+/INTL2 orgs509.248/.325/.36581952—.193/.246/.279
202624AANYY541.282/.374/.479212199—.249/.317/.401
2027PROJMLE25MLBNYY4.229/.292/.3560081-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB26MLBNYY58.230/.294/.3621283-0.1
2029PROJ33% MLB27MLBNYY93.230/.295/.3622283-0.2
Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
wRC+83
wOBA78
ISO73
BB%72
Speed63
Chase%58
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 0.4, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 93%
CompsBrock Lundquist (age 25) · Luis Liberato (age 25) · Jose Manuel Orozco (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†81
AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .292 / .356
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%8
BABIP316
ISO126
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202321 ATampa Tarpons — 4941 12701 8150 01 293408537945 244440 3116 414 84 — — — — — —
202422 A+Hudson Valley Renegades — 6049 14200 10161 31 286417327743 41424 2717 352 51 — — — — — —
202422 ATampa Tarpons — 382326 81914 481137 317 248357319676 71367 3013 316 37 — — — — — —
202523 AASomerset Patriots — 9690 19300 6310 20 211260244505 33322 326 235 24 — — — — — —
202523 A+Hudson Valley Renegades — 382338 851837 37925 153 251334385719 133324 2410 324 49 — — — — — —
202523 INTLMesa Solar Sox — 3127 9201 391 22 333419519938 185471 2910 416 168 — — — — — —
202624 AASomerset Patriots — 541468 13221421 691330 2110 282374479853 197349 2513 375 99 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202321 A MLETampa Tarpons — 4944 9501 5210 01 205286386672 182384 4310 292 84 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEHudson Valley Renegades — 6054 11100 5221 31 204283222506 19352 378 244 51 — — — — — —
202422 A MLETampa Tarpons — 382343 61613 311607 317 178260227487 50317 428 223 37 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLESomerset Patriots — 9692 18300 4390 20 196229228457 33337 414 204 24 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEHudson Valley Renegades — 382353 681326 221225 153 193250292542 99272 326 240 49 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLESomerset Patriots — 541489 12218416 481620 2110 249317401717 151334 309 314 99 — — — — — —
202321 A MLETampa Tarpons — 4944 9501 5210 01 205286386672 182364 4310 292 84 — — — — — —
202321 A RAWTampa Tarpons — 4941 12701 8150 01 293408537945 244440 3116 414 84 — — — — — —
202422 A MLE2 teams — 442397 73813 361838 348 184265232497 48330 418 226 39 — — — — — —
202422 A RAW2 teams — 442375 951114 581298 348 253365320685 67374 2913 321 39 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLE3 teams — 509473 921736 281726 195 195249281530 87290 346 233 44 — — — — — —
202523 A+ RAW3 teams — 509455 1132338 461326 195 248325365690 116331 269 312 44 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLESomerset Patriots — 541489 12218416 481620 2110 249317401717 151337 309 314 99 — — — — — —
202624 AA RAWSomerset Patriots — 541468 13221421 691330 2110 282374479853 197349 2513 375 99 — — — — — —
202321 A MLETampa Tarpons — 4944 9501 5210 01 205286386672 182384 4310 292 84 — — — — — —
202422 A MLE2 teams — 442395 73813 361838 348 185265233498 48322 418 226 39 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLE3 teams — 509470 921736 281726 195 196249283531 87285 346 233 44 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLESomerset Patriots — 541488 12218416 481620 2110 250317402718 152334 309 314 99 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A MLE2 teams — 442395 73813 361838 348 185265233498 48322 418 226 39 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLE3 teams — 509470 921736 281726 195 196249283531 87285 346 233 44 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLESomerset Patriots — 541488 12218416 481620 2110 250317402718 152334 309 314 99 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLENYY 2% 380346 781328 291182 104 228291350641 123315 318 287 81 -9 +0 -1 -7 +8 0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXNYY 2% 44 1000 010 00 229292356648 127316 250 290 81 -0 +0 -0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLENYY 23% 254231 53916 20771 72 229293356649 127314 308 291 83 -5 +1 -0 -5 +6 -0.4
202927 MLB MLENYY 33% 281256 601027 22851 73 229293356650 127312 308 291 83 -6 +0 -0 -5 +6 -0.5
203028 MLB MLENYY 39% 297271 621027 23891 63 228293354647 126310 308 290 82 -6 +0 -1 -5 +6 -0.6
203129 MLB MLENYY 42% 296270 601017 23891 52 226291350642 124307 308 288 81 -7 +0 -2 -5 +6 -0.7
202826 MLB CTXNYY 23% 5853 11201 5180 21 230294362657 132314 319 294 83 -1 +0 -0 -1 +1 -0.1
202927 MLB CTXNYY 33% 9386 19312 7280 21 230295362657 132312 308 294 83 -2 +0 -0 -2 +2 -0.2
203028 MLB CTXNYY 39% 116105 25413 9351 31 229294360654 131310 308 293 82 -2 +0 -0 -2 +3 -0.2
203129 MLB CTXNYY 42% 123111 26413 10371 21 228292356649 129308 308 291 81 -3 +0 -1 -2 +3 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 390355 811339 311182 94 228294358652 130313 308 292 72 -8 +0 -1 -7 +8 -0.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650592 13522515 521973 157 228294358652 130313 308 292 72 -14 +0 -2 -12 +14 -1.4
Career— MLE — 28792622 575941558 22194319 10536 219285333618 114317 338 274 72 -29 +1 -4 -24 +29 -2.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650592 12921313 502134 248 218283329613 111314 338 274 72 -14 +1 -2 -12 +14 -1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AASomerset Patriots · 541 PAwOBA .368 → .314 (−55)K% 24.6% → 30.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.58%÷1.000×1.220——29.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.75%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9988.91%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.850—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP25.67%÷1.000×0.970×1.026×0.99825.50%
Doubles /BIP6.27%÷1.000×0.860×1.026×0.9985.52%
Triples /BIP1.19%÷1.000×0.950×1.026×0.9981.16%
Home runs /BIP6.27%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9984.88%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .368 → .314; ISO .197 → .159; BABIP .349 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 382 PAwOBA .317 → .240 (−76)K% 24.1% → 32.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.08%÷0.985×1.310——32.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.69%÷0.984×0.600—×0.9885.83%
HBP% /PA1.31%—×0.770—×0.9881.00%
Singles /BIP23.17%÷0.991×0.870×1.000×0.98820.10%
Doubles /BIP7.32%÷1.014×0.780×1.000×0.9885.56%
Triples /BIP1.22%÷0.975×0.850×1.000×0.9881.05%
Home runs /BIP2.85%÷0.969×0.880—×0.9882.55%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 95, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .317 → .240; ISO .133 → .106; BABIP .324 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AASomerset Patriots · 96 PAwOBA .229 → .204 (−25)K% 32.3% → 40.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.29%÷0.970×1.220——40.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.25%÷0.977×0.700—×1.0124.53%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.850—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP27.12%÷0.969×0.970×1.050×1.01228.84%
Doubles /BIP5.08%÷0.953×0.860×1.050×1.0124.88%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.056×0.950×1.050×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.030×0.780—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 94, 2B 91, 3B 111, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .229 → .204; ISO .033 → .029; BABIP .322 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ATampa Tarpons · 382 PAwOBA .310 → .223 (−87)K% 29.6% → 42.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.58%÷0.959×1.360——41.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.57%÷1.061×0.690—×0.9908.09%
HBP% /PA1.83%—×0.780—×0.9901.42%
Singles /BIP31.46%÷1.035×0.920×0.997×0.99027.61%
Doubles /BIP4.23%÷1.028×0.830×0.997×0.9903.37%
Triples /BIP0.47%÷0.971×0.910×0.997×0.9900.43%
Home runs /BIP1.88%÷0.979×0.800—×0.9901.52%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 106, 3B 94, K 92, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .310 → .223; ISO .071 → .050; BABIP .367 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 60 PAwOBA .345 → .244 (−101)K% 26.7% → 36.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.67%÷0.946×1.310——36.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.67%÷1.099×0.600—×0.9989.08%
HBP% /PA1.67%—×0.770—×0.9981.28%
Singles /BIP36.36%÷1.025×0.870—×0.99830.80%
Doubles /BIP6.06%÷1.070×0.780—×0.9984.41%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.850—×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.032×0.880—×0.9980.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 105, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 89, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .345 → .244; ISO .041 → .028; BABIP .424 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ATampa Tarpons · 49 PAwOBA .403 → .292 (−111)K% 30.6% → 42.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.61%÷0.975×1.360——42.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.33%÷1.079×0.690——10.44%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780——0.00%
Singles /BIP15.38%÷0.987×0.920——14.34%
Doubles /BIP26.92%÷0.972×0.830——22.99%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910——0.00%
Home runs /BIP3.85%÷1.086×0.800——2.83%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 95, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .403 → .292; ISO .244 → .176; BABIP .440 → .384. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .