Coby Morales — OGILVIE

Coby MoralesOF Somerset Patriots

Age 24 L/R 6'1" / 225 lbs AA HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION341 act + 227 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .284 / .362

PA227

HR6

SB7

K%35

BB%7

BABIP324

ISO140

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	49	44	10	6	0	1	5	22	0	0	1	227	306	432	738	205	429	45	10	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	49	41	12	7	0	1	8	15	0	0	1	293	408	537	945	244	440	31	16	414	175	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	2 teams	—	442	395	67	8	1	3	38	199	8	34	8	170	256	218	474	48	330	45	9	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	2 teams	—	442	375	95	11	1	4	58	129	8	34	8	253	365	320	685	67	374	29	13	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	3 teams	—	509	470	93	17	3	6	31	181	6	19	5	198	256	285	542	87	305	36	6	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	3 teams	—	509	455	113	23	3	8	46	132	6	19	5	248	325	365	690	116	331	26	9	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	NYY	—	341	312	73	15	1	13	26	119	0	12	8	234	293	413	706	179	328	35	8	305	92	-3	-1	+0	-2	+10	0.4
YTD	24	AA	NYY	—	341	300	82	18	1	15	38	92	0	12	8	273	355	490	845	217	342	27	11	369	141	+16	-1	+0	-2	+10	2.3
ROS	24	AA	NYY	2%	227	207	46	9	1	6	17	79	1	7	3	222	284	362	646	140	317	35	7	282	74	-7	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.1
ROS	24	MLB	NYY	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		319	40	0	282	74	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	NYY	—	346	317	74	15	1	13	26	121	0	12	8	233	292	410	702	177	328	35	8	305	91	-3	-1	+0	-2	+10	0.4
TOT	24	AA	NYY	—	568	519	119	24	2	19	43	198	1	19	11	229	289	393	682	164	326	35	8	296	85	-10	-1	+0	-3	+16	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	NYY	31%	569	518	115	23	2	15	43	190	3	15	7	222	285	361	646	139	314	33	8	288	79	-14	+0	+0	-3	+16	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	NYY	45%	584	531	118	23	2	16	45	190	3	15	7	222	287	363	650	141	312	33	8	292	82	-12	+0	+0	-4	+17	0.1
2029	27	MLB	NYY	49%	589	535	119	23	2	16	46	189	3	15	7	222	288	363	650	140	311	32	8	294	83	-11	+0	+0	-4	+17	0.2
2030	28	MLB	NYY	52%	588	533	119	23	2	16	47	188	3	15	7	223	290	364	654	141	310	32	8	293	83	-11	+0	-1	-4	+17	0.1
2031	29	MLB	NYY	52%	583	528	118	23	2	16	47	188	3	13	6	223	291	366	656	142	309	32	8	292	81	-12	+0	-1	-3	+17	-0.1
2027	25	MLB	NYY	31%	176	160	36	7	1	5	13	59	1	5	2	225	287	375	662	150	316	34	7	288	78	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2028	26	MLB	NYY	45%	260	237	53	11	1	7	20	85	1	7	3	224	287	367	654	143	314	33	8	291	81	-6	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.0
2029	27	MLB	NYY	49%	290	263	59	12	1	8	23	93	2	8	4	224	292	369	660	144	313	32	8	293	82	-6	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2030	28	MLB	NYY	52%	303	274	62	12	1	9	24	97	2	8	4	226	293	376	669	150	312	32	8	292	82	-6	+0	-0	-2	+9	0.0
2031	29	MLB	NYY	52%	301	272	61	12	1	8	24	97	2	7	3	224	292	364	656	140	311	32	8	290	80	-7	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1335	1211	272	54	5	37	104	433	8	35	16	225	290	369	659	145	314	32	8	291	81	-29	+1	-1	-8	+38	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	132	26	2	18	51	211	4	17	8	224	290	366	656	142	313	32	8	291	81	-14	+0	-1	-4	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	4140	3761	805	155	15	95	319	1426	30	133	51	214	281	339	620	125	314	34	8	277	70	-139	+6	-2	-25	+117	-4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	126	24	2	15	50	224	5	21	8	214	281	337	618	124	314	34	8	277	70	-22	+1	-0	-4	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	49	41	12	7	0	1	8	15	0	0	1	293	408	537	945	244	440	31	16	414	175	+4	-0	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	60	49	14	2	0	0	10	16	1	3	1	286	417	327	743	41	424	27	17	352	128	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2024	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	382	326	81	9	1	4	48	113	7	31	7	248	357	319	676	71	367	30	13	316	100	+0	+3	—	—	+11	1.5
2025	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	96	90	19	3	0	0	6	31	0	2	0	211	260	244	505	33	322	32	6	235	38	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2025	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	382	338	85	18	3	7	37	92	5	15	3	251	334	385	719	133	324	24	10	324	106	+2	+2	—	—	+11	1.5
2025	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	31	27	9	2	0	1	3	9	1	2	2	333	419	519	938	185	471	29	10	416	177	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,337	36	34	224	287	367	-8	+0	0.1	0.2
	/162	664	18	17	224	287	367	-4.0	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Coby Morales (OGILVIE)	24	40	40	50	40	229/289/393	164	326	19	19	35%	8%	85	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Slade Heathcott 2015 · AA	24	44→43	42→45	50	37	213/261/322	109	311	9	15	34%	5%	59	-1.1	229/280/342	113	319	11	10	30%	6%	72	-0.2	218/286/353	135	311	15	11	33%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Oliver Dunn 2022 · AA	24	39→47	44→50	53→55	45	189/273/309	120	297	11	14	38%	10%	62	-0.9	217/302/371	154	344	15	14	38%	10%	89	+1.0	212/288/350	139	311	14	25	34%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Kameron Misner 2022 · AA	24	42→43	43→50	55	42	199/272/316	117	310	10	19	36%	8%	63	-0.8	200/289/343	143	318	15	23	38%	11%	78	+0.2	205/283/356	150	291	16	27	33%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	41→42	43→45	50	43	199/278/313	114	297	11	12	34%	8%	65	-0.7	202/279/326	124	295	11	11	33%	8%	69	-0.4	187/272/303	117	258	12	11	30%	8%	58	-0.7
✕Thomas Milone 2019 · AA	24	46→44	39→45	47→55	39	216/266/307	91	307	5	10	30%	5%	56	-1.3	237/292/357	120	326	8	16	28%	7%	80	+0.4	226/293/352	126	331	10	18	33%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Gage Green 2017 · A	24	43	40→45	46→50	40	208/269/298	90	288	9	10	30%	6%	56	-1.3	205/262/294	89	283	7	8	29%	6%	53	-1.5	175/222/236	62	232	0	0	23%	4%	22	-0.7
✕Cornelius Randolph 2021 · AA	24	43→48	41→45	46→45	42	209/269/304	95	294	8	9	30%	7%	58	-1.2	206/266/322	116	338	12	12	39%	7%	62	-0.9	194/257/314	120	296	15	15	37%	8%	53	-0.5
✕Aneury Tavárez 2016 · AAA	24	43→53	44→45	51→50	33	211/249/327	117	305	11	15	34%	4%	55	-1.4	238/278/347	109	312	8	16	25%	5%	72	-0.2	239/277/338	99	308	6	16	24%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Quincy Hamilton 2022 · A	24	46→44	40→50	51→50	46	220/295/307	87	301	7	15	28%	8%	70	-0.3	219/300/362	143	286	16	14	28%	9%	87	+0.8	207/292/361	154	264	18	14	28%	9%	80	+0.3
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	193/273/296	103	282	8	8	32%	9%	58	-1.2	214/297/319	105	298	10	14	29%	9%	75	-0.0	219/304/318	98	295	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Nick Maton 2021 · AA	24	42	41→50	45	44	206/270/300	94	283	8	9	29%	8%	57	-1.2	211/291/339	128	285	12	7	28%	9%	77	+0.1	215/306/369	154	265	18	4	25%	10%	89	+0.6
✕Grant Witherspoon 2021 · A	24	39→45	39→50	52→50	39	192/242/278	86	277	7	13	32%	6%	39	-2.5	220/275/371	151	299	19	13	32%	7%	79	+0.3	215/275/371	156	290	20	14	32%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Travis Swaggerty 2022 · AAA	24	44	43→45	52→55	45	214/280/322	108	290	11	16	29%	8%	67	-0.5	207/267/326	119	297	10	19	31%	7%	63	-0.9	199/264/312	113	295	8	20	33%	8%	54	-0.7
✕Luigi Rodriguez 2017 · AA	24	44→48	44→50	54→55	35	216/255/334	118	320	11	18	35%	5%	59	-1.1	227/269/377	150	349	18	14	38%	5%	77	+0.1	228/271/392	164	345	21	14	39%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Conner Capel 2021 · AAA	24	43→46	43→50	47→55	41	215/263/327	112	286	11	11	29%	6%	61	-1.0	217/279/345	128	273	14	15	25%	8%	73	-0.1	213/283/334	121	267	13	19	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Brock Lundquist 2021 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	46→45	41	207/269/325	118	287	12	7	31%	7%	64	-0.8	206/275/323	117	358	13	8	42%	8%	66	-0.6	146/233/242	95	291	15	0	51%	8%	30	-0.7
✕Jordan Danks 2011 · AAA	24	47→49	42→50	50	41	224/280/333	109	325	9	13	32%	7%	69	-0.4	234/299/363	129	329	13	15	30%	8%	85	+0.7	239/310/370	131	330	16	11	30%	9%	90	+0.8
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→44	44→55	51→45	42	209/269/330	121	281	12	9	29%	7%	65	-0.7	226/282/380	154	300	19	5	30%	6%	84	+0.6	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A	24	42→36	40→45	48→45	45	201/279/294	93	296	8	12	32%	9%	60	-1.0	209/277/348	139	270	16	8	28%	8%	73	-0.1	196/269/342	145	244	18	6	27%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Anderson Miller 2018 · AA	24	45	43→45	52→50	38	218/262/325	107	306	11	11	32%	5%	60	-1.0	204/243/315	111	277	12	11	30%	5%	49	-1.8	184/228/300	116	241	15	13	30%	5%	36	-1.6