Derek Berg — OGILVIE

Derek BergC Altoona Curve

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 227 lbs AA HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION377 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%44

BB%11

BABIP277

ISO94

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	55	49	6	0	0	1	5	20	0	0	0	122	204	184	387	61	172	36	9	184	10	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	35	28	9	2	0	0	6	10	1	0	0	321	457	393	850	71	500	29	17	395	153	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	23	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	106	88	22	5	1	2	13	38	2	2	3	250	359	398	757	148	400	36	12	334	112	+2	-1	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	23	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	202	166	34	4	3	5	30	68	5	8	2	205	343	355	699	151	309	34	15	321	104	+1	+1	—	—	+4	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	55	50	5	0	0	1	4	29	0	0	0	100	167	160	327	60	160	53	7	130	-26	-8	+0	—	—	+1	-0.7
2025	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	35	30	8	2	0	0	4	13	1	0	0	267	371	333	705	67	450	37	11	309	95	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	23	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	106	92	18	4	1	1	9	51	2	2	3	196	282	293	575	98	353	48	8	248	54	-6	-1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	23	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	202	175	25	3	2	4	21	97	5	8	2	143	254	251	505	109	273	48	10	232	43	-14	+1	—	—	+4	-0.9
2024	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	55	50	5	0	0	1	4	29	0	0	0	100	167	160	327	60	190	53	7	130	-26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	55	49	6	0	0	1	5	20	0	0	0	122	204	184	387	61	172	36	9	184	-26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	343	297	50	8	3	5	34	161	8	10	5	168	271	266	537	98	336	47	10	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	3 teams	—	343	282	65	11	4	7	49	116	8	10	5	230	360	372	732	142	358	34	14	333	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	55	51	5	0	0	1	4	29	0	0	0	98	167	157	324	59	160	53	7	130	-26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	343	298	50	8	3	5	34	161	8	10	5	168	271	265	536	97	316	47	10	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	55	51	5	0	0	1	4	29	0	0	0	98	167	157	324	59	160	53	7	130	-26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	343	298	50	8	3	5	34	161	8	10	5	168	271	265	536	97	316	47	10	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	PIT	—	377	348	72	13	1	8	21	145	3	3	1	207	258	319	577	112	327	38	6	251	56	-20	+0	+0	+7	+8	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA RAW	PIT	—	253	227	63	13	1	8	21	77	2	2	1	278	344	449	793	172	385	30	8	349	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AAA RAW	PIT	—	124	111	20	3	0	3	10	43	1	1	0	180	254	288	542	108	262	35	8	246	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	AA MLE	PIT	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		279	44	11	239	48	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	AA MLE	PIT	—	386	356	73	13	1	8	22	149	3	3	1	205	257	315	572	110	325	39	6	250	56	-20	+0	+0	+7	+8	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	PIT	31%	368	334	61	11	1	8	27	137	4	4	2	183	252	293	545	111	280	37	7	249	55	-20	+0	+0	+7	+8	-0.5
2028	26	MLB MLE	PIT	45%	406	367	69	12	2	9	31	147	5	4	2	188	261	305	566	117	281	36	8	256	59	-20	+0	+0	+7	+9	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	PIT	49%	419	379	72	13	2	9	32	149	5	4	2	190	262	306	568	116	282	36	8	259	62	-19	+0	+0	+7	+9	-0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	424	383	73	13	2	9	33	150	5	4	2	191	264	305	569	115	281	35	8	260	62	-19	+0	-1	+8	+9	-0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	420	379	71	13	1	9	33	149	5	4	2	187	261	298	560	111	280	35	8	258	61	-20	+0	-1	+8	+9	-0.5
2027	25	MLB CTX	PIT	31%	114	104	18	3	0	2	8	43	1	1	0	173	239	260	499	87	278	38	7	236	55	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	PIT	45%	181	163	32	6	1	4	14	66	2	2	1	196	268	319	587	123	279	36	8	243	59	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	PIT	49%	206	186	35	6	1	4	16	73	2	2	1	188	260	296	556	108	279	35	8	246	62	-9	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	219	197	38	7	1	5	17	77	3	2	1	193	267	315	582	122	279	35	8	247	62	-10	+0	-0	+4	+5	-0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	217	196	37	7	1	4	17	77	2	2	1	189	260	296	556	107	278	35	8	245	61	-10	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	937	846	160	29	4	19	72	336	10	9	4	189	261	300	561	111	284	36	8	244	57	-44	+0	-1	+17	+20	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	111	20	3	13	50	233	7	6	3	189	261	300	561	111	285	36	8	244	57	-31	+0	-1	+12	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2444	2197	402	70	11	50	195	926	32	30	15	183	259	293	553	110	285	38	8	252	57	-98	+0	-2	+37	+44	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	107	19	3	13	52	246	9	8	4	183	261	293	554	110	286	38	8	252	57	-31	+0	-1	+12	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.4	943	21	10	190	259	305	+17	+8	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	15	7	+11.9	+5.6	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Derek Berg (OGILVIE)	24	20	40	50	60	175/244/276	101	279	6	4	39%	7%	48	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→45	49→40	39	180/241/289	109	274	11	4	37%	7%	49	-2.4	201/257/318	117	274	12	4	30%	6%	62	-1.4	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	45	171/253/277	106	242	11	6	33%	9%	52	-2.2	190/275/295	105	266	10	5	30%	9%	64	-1.3	176/269/273	97	244	10	3	30%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	34	44→45	51→40	35	174/244/287	113	284	12	7	41%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/305	109	312	10	5	38%	5%	57	-1.8	193/247/308	115	295	10	0	36%	4%	53	-0.8
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→50	54→45	41	191/254/290	99	287	9	12	35%	8%	54	-2.0	206/269/313	107	301	10	9	33%	8%	65	-1.2	165/225/251	86	232	8	0	31%	7%	32	-0.7
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→29	45	50	37	194/252/314	121	284	13	12	35%	6%	59	-1.6	211/268/301	90	318	8	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	217/275/286	69	332	7	24	34%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→31	42→45	48→50	41	191/251/284	93	257	11	15	30%	6%	52	-2.2	195/269/308	113	260	13	14	29%	8%	64	-1.3	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Chris Okey 2019 · AA	24	34	40→45	48→40	36	174/227/260	85	258	8	5	35%	5%	37	-3.3	193/249/301	108	284	12	4	34%	6%	55	-2.0	205/259/305	100	287	9	2	30%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/275	101	255	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	186/255/286	100	272	9	8	33%	8%	53	-2.1	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Cooper Johnson 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	46→40	45	175/266/262	87	290	6	5	38%	10%	53	-2.1	177/262/279	102	299	9	5	40%	9%	56	-1.9	158/248/280	122	245	14	3	39%	9%	48	-0.8
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	37	41→45	46→50	44	180/265/274	93	268	8	8	34%	9%	55	-1.9	186/274/283	97	289	9	9	35%	9%	61	-1.5	168/264/259	91	263	9	10	36%	9%	50	-1.1
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	36	43→50	48→50	38	180/243/288	107	283	11	11	39%	7%	50	-2.3	191/251/293	102	287	8	10	34%	7%	53	-2.1	154/212/246	92	221	3	6	30%	7%	25	-1.0
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	38	42→45	46→50	46	190/266/292	102	264	10	6	30%	9%	59	-1.6	192/262/308	116	277	12	11	33%	8%	61	-1.5	174/253/287	113	253	13	17	35%	9%	51	-0.9
✕Will Wilson 2022 · AA	24	37→38	47→50	51→45	39	189/255/319	130	283	15	8	37%	7%	61	-1.5	198/259/322	124	274	15	6	32%	7%	63	-1.3	191/251/297	106	252	13	4	29%	7%	52	-1.5
✕Jeff Arnold 2012 · A	24	37	43→50	49→40	37	186/241/294	108	271	11	5	34%	6%	51	-2.3	204/262/330	126	308	11	5	36%	6%	66	-1.1	195/252/323	128	296	11	3	36%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Allan de San Miguel 2012 · AAA	24	38	40→45	46→40	44	180/269/269	89	297	8	4	39%	10%	56	-1.9	202/277/317	115	294	11	7	33%	8%	70	-0.9	183/259/290	107	251	11	5	30%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2022 · A	24	36→43	42→45	42→50	40	181/251/288	108	274	9	8	35%	7%	53	-2.1	202/278/297	95	279	9	12	29%	8%	65	-1.2	198/280/282	84	265	10	14	27%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Carter Bins 2023 · AAA	24	36	45	49→45	38	179/257/303	124	299	12	7	42%	8%	59	-1.6	185/256/307	122	315	13	9	42%	7%	60	-1.6	157/233/268	111	270	13	8	44%	7%	40	-1.0
✕Edwin Díaz 2019 · AA	23	34→33	43→50	49→40	39	177/237/284	107	268	12	4	37%	7%	47	-2.6	184/245/312	128	288	13	4	39%	7%	56	-1.9	154/228/294	140	225	19	5	40%	7%	45	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps