Derek Berg — OGILVIE

Derek BergC Altoona Curve

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 227 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION224 act + 149 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .270 / .313

PA149

HR3

K%35

BB%8

BABIP286

ISO119

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	55	50	5	0	0	1	4	30	0	0	0	100	167	160	327	60	200	55	7	127	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	55	49	6	0	0	1	5	20	0	0	0	122	204	184	387	61	172	36	9	184	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	3 teams	—	343	298	50	8	3	5	33	162	8	10	5	168	268	265	534	97	336	47	10	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	3 teams	—	343	282	65	11	4	7	49	116	8	10	5	230	360	372	732	142	358	34	14	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	PIT	—	224	204	48	9	1	5	15	88	2	2	1	235	294	363	657	127	384	39	7	284	76	-6	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
YTD	24	AA	PIT	—	224	198	56	11	1	6	21	68	2	2	1	283	357	439	797	157	400	30	9	351	127	+7	+0	+0	+4	+6	1.8
ROS	24	AA	PIT	2%	149	134	26	5	1	3	12	52	2	2	1	194	270	313	582	119	282	35	8	256	54	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
ROS	24	MLB	PIT	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						281	33	0	246	47	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	PIT	—	227	207	48	9	1	5	15	89	2	2	1	232	290	357	648	126	377	39	7	283	75	-6	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
TOT	24	AA	PIT	—	373	338	74	14	2	8	27	140	4	4	2	219	284	343	627	124	343	37	7	273	67	-14	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	PIT	31%	355	319	61	11	1	7	29	120	4	5	2	191	267	298	565	107	283	34	8	262	59	-16	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.0
2028	26	MLB	PIT	45%	397	357	71	13	2	8	32	131	5	5	2	199	274	314	588	115	284	33	8	268	63	-16	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.2
2029	27	MLB	PIT	49%	413	371	75	14	2	9	34	134	5	5	2	202	278	323	601	121	284	32	8	271	65	-16	+0	+0	+7	+12	0.3
2030	28	MLB	PIT	52%	420	377	76	14	2	9	35	136	5	5	2	202	278	321	599	119	284	32	8	271	66	-16	+0	-1	+8	+12	0.3
2027	25	MLB	PIT	31%	110	99	19	4	0	2	9	37	1	1	1	192	266	293	559	101	282	34	8	253	52	-6	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	PIT	45%	177	159	32	6	1	4	14	58	2	2	1	201	274	327	601	126	283	33	8	258	56	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	PIT	49%	203	182	36	7	1	4	17	66	2	3	1	198	274	313	587	115	283	33	8	261	58	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.0
2030	28	MLB	PIT	52%	217	194	39	7	1	5	18	70	3	3	1	201	279	325	604	124	283	32	8	262	58	-10	+0	-0	+4	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	710	637	126	24	3	15	58	232	8	9	4	198	273	316	589	118	282	33	8	259	57	-35	+0	-0	+13	+20	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	116	22	3	14	53	212	7	8	4	199	274	319	593	120	283	33	8	259	57	-32	+0	-0	+12	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	2132	1906	364	65	11	42	179	765	29	32	14	191	271	303	573	112	289	36	8	260	57	-103	+1	-1	+38	+60	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	111	20	3	13	55	233	9	10	4	191	272	303	575	112	289	36	8	260	57	-32	+0	-0	+12	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	55	49	6	0	0	1	5	20	0	0	0	122	204	184	387	61	172	36	9	184	-1	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	35	28	9	2	0	0	6	10	1	0	0	321	457	393	850	71	500	29	17	395	160	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	23	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	106	88	22	5	1	2	13	38	2	2	3	250	359	398	757	148	400	36	12	334	114	+2	-1	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	23	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	202	166	34	4	3	5	30	68	5	8	2	205	343	355	699	151	309	34	15	321	104	+1	+1	—	—	+6	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	713	15	9	200	273	318	+13	+8	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	14	8	200	273	318	+11.9	+7.4	0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Derek Berg (OGILVIE)	24	20	40	50	60	219/284/343	124	343	8	4	37%	7%	67	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	43→50	50→40	39	192/251/299	107	277	11	5	34%	6%	50	-1.8	211/268/341	130	275	14	5	28%	6%	67	-0.5	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	35→33	41→45	49→55	36	182/228/277	95	252	9	9	31%	4%	33	-2.9	190/258/311	121	280	14	15	35%	7%	56	-1.3	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	37	42→45	46→50	46	187/264/290	103	261	10	6	31%	9%	53	-1.5	192/262/318	126	281	14	11	35%	8%	59	-1.1	170/251/290	121	252	14	17	37%	9%	45	-0.9
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Dustin Garneau 2012 · A	24	35→37	44→50	44→45	46	182/254/305	123	230	12	6	26%	8%	53	-1.5	198/265/326	128	230	13	5	20%	7%	63	-0.9	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Chris Okey 2019 · AA	24	34	41→45	48→40	36	174/228/264	89	257	9	5	35%	6%	30	-3.1	192/248/306	114	290	13	4	36%	6%	50	-1.7	203/255/307	104	286	10	2	31%	5%	49	-0.5
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Steven Baron 2015 · AA	24	39	38→45	51→50	36	191/230/276	85	272	5	9	31%	4%	33	-2.9	230/285/310	80	316	5	8	27%	7%	66	-0.6	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Joseph Odom 2016 · A	24	36	43→45	42→30	41	186/243/296	110	256	11	4	31%	7%	45	-2.1	217/257/323	106	294	10	3	28%	5%	57	-1.2	199/254/318	119	330	12	2	41%	6%	52	-0.6