Sam Mongelli — OGILVIE

Sam MongelliSS ACL Dodgers

Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 104 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .272 / .301

PA104

HR2

K%32

BB%7

BABIP271

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	108	91	20	2	0	1	11	33	6	4	1	220	343	275	617	55	333	31	10	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	108	87	21	3	0	1	15	23	6	4	1	241	389	310	699	69	317	21	14	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	348	315	56	9	1	4	22	134	2	23	3	178	236	251	487	73	286	39	6	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	348	302	70	11	1	6	33	97	2	23	3	232	310	334	644	103	314	28	9	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	ROK	LAD	—	40	29	8	2	0	2	3	12	7	2	0	276	462	552	1.013	276	375	30	8	407	170	+3	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.5
YTD	25	ROK	LAD	—	40	27	10	3	0	2	5	8	7	2	0	370	564	704	1.268	333	444	20	12	529	263	+7	+0	+0	+0	+1	1.0
ROS	25	ROK	LAD	0%	104	93	18	4	0	2	7	33	3	3	0	194	272	301	573	108	271	32	7	254	53	-6	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
ROS	25	MLB	LAD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		267	—	—	233	37	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	25	ROK	LAD	—	40	30	8	2	0	2	3	12	7	2	0	267	462	533	995	267	353	30	8	407	170	+3	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.5
TOT	25	ROK	LAD	—	144	122	26	6	0	4	10	45	10	5	0	213	324	361	685	148	293	31	7	297	85	-2	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	LAD	30%	158	143	29	6	1	3	11	49	3	4	1	203	274	322	596	119	273	31	7	260	57	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	LAD	42%	251	225	45	9	1	5	19	76	5	6	1	200	277	316	593	116	274	30	8	265	61	-11	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2029	28	MLB	LAD	48%	311	278	56	11	1	6	24	94	6	7	1	201	279	313	592	112	275	30	8	267	63	-13	+1	-1	+3	+9	-0.1
2030	29	MLB	LAD	49%	344	309	61	12	1	6	26	104	6	8	2	197	273	301	574	104	275	30	8	267	63	-15	+1	-1	+4	+10	-0.2
2027	26	MLB	LAD	30%	48	44	9	2	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	205	271	318	589	114	269	31	6	243	44	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	LAD	42%	104	93	18	4	0	2	8	32	2	3	0	194	272	301	573	108	271	31	8	248	48	-6	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	28	MLB	LAD	48%	148	133	27	5	1	3	11	45	3	4	1	203	279	323	602	120	271	30	7	251	50	-8	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.3
2030	29	MLB	LAD	49%	169	151	30	6	1	3	13	51	3	4	1	199	275	311	587	113	271	30	8	250	50	-10	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	469	422	84	17	2	9	35	143	9	12	2	199	275	313	588	114	275	30	7	249	49	-27	+2	-1	+5	+13	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	117	24	3	12	49	198	12	17	3	200	276	313	589	113	277	30	8	249	49	-38	+2	-1	+7	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	1624	1454	285	53	5	27	120	523	31	55	9	196	272	295	567	99	282	32	7	256	54	-84	+7	-2	+17	+46	-1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	114	21	2	11	48	209	12	22	4	196	271	296	567	100	281	32	7	256	54	-34	+3	-1	+7	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	108	87	21	3	0	1	15	23	6	4	1	241	389	310	699	69	317	21	14	335	115	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	23	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	348	302	70	11	1	6	33	97	2	23	3	232	310	334	644	103	314	28	9	287	78	-9	+3	—	—	+10	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	613	10	15	196	267	300	+7	+9	-0.5	-0.2
	/162	664	11	16	196	267	300	+7.1	+9.7	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sam Mongelli (OGILVIE)	25	20	36	60	44	213/324/361	148	293	4	5	31%	7%	85	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	38	39→50	53→55	39	187/246/274	87	273	6	16	32%	6%	40	-2.4	190/267/311	121	291	12	16	36%	8%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Max George 2021 · A	25	39→36	40→45	54→55	41	187/268/274	87	283	7	20	34%	7%	51	-1.7	193/279/325	132	326	15	15	42%	8%	69	-0.4	148/255/300	152	246	20	20	45%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Matt Whatley 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→40	52→50	47	185/262/257	71	256	5	15	28%	8%	43	-2.2	191/254/274	83	276	8	10	32%	7%	44	-2.1	167/230/254	87	226	12	8	31%	6%	27	-1.2
✕Casio Grider 2013 · A	25	41→40	38→40	56→55	37	195/251/284	89	291	4	18	33%	5%	45	-2.1	201/258/286	85	307	6	23	34%	6%	49	-1.8	192/251/270	78	296	5	30	35%	5%	38	-1.3
✕Logan Warmoth 2021 · AA	25	42→40	37→45	53→55	40	194/263/268	74	309	3	13	36%	7%	46	-2.0	197/275/304	107	312	10	20	37%	8%	61	-1.0	195/273/297	102	277	11	24	31%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Maverick Handley 2022 · A	24	39	41→40	53→50	40	184/267/283	99	306	9	16	39%	8%	53	-1.5	197/288/298	101	277	10	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	191/290/281	90	261	9	10	28%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA	25	35→33	44→45	51→55	37	184/244/295	111	265	12	16	35%	6%	46	-2.0	200/274/327	127	297	14	15	35%	8%	67	-0.5	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→29	40→45	49→60	37	191/259/277	86	288	7	12	34%	6%	48	-1.9	177/254/283	106	281	10	16	38%	8%	47	-1.9	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Justin Lavey 2023 · A	25	38	39→40	58→55	33	178/229/264	86	313	7	18	43%	6%	30	-3.1	200/247/288	88	324	7	16	38%	6%	44	-2.1	196/224/261	65	303	6	20	37%	3%	22	-0.6
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	42	186/246/261	75	259	6	6	30%	7%	37	-2.6	202/265/279	77	274	6	7	26%	7%	50	-1.8	195/263/252	57	256	4	5	24%	8%	40	-1.1
✕T.J. Steele 2012 · AA	25	39→33	43→45	54→50	32	200/225/315	116	275	10	17	32%	3%	41	-2.3	201/239/311	110	284	10	15	32%	4%	46	-2.0	178/212/265	87	257	7	13	33%	3%	20	-1.1
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	38	42→40	52→45	46	187/288/295	108	267	9	9	31%	9%	66	-0.6	194/280/284	90	288	7	7	32%	8%	59	-1.1	177/267/253	76	271	5	4	33%	7%	42	-0.8
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Drew Jackson 2018 · AA	25	42→43	40→45	49→55	42	203/268/292	89	272	8	15	27%	6%	55	-1.4	195/266/301	106	281	11	17	32%	7%	56	-1.3	186/271/302	116	271	12	26	34%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Michael Sandle 2023 · A	24	41→38	42→40	57→50	38	199/258/303	104	289	9	16	33%	6%	53	-1.5	186/244/283	97	282	9	14	36%	6%	42	-2.3	148/206/233	85	224	10	16	37%	5%	11	-3.0