Sam Mongelli

SS ACL Dodgers
Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2205MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202322ALAA108.241/.389/.3101472—.209/.333/.264
202423A+LAD348.232/.310/.33462339—.188/.248/.261
202625AA/ROKLAD92.274/.418/.58963102—.198/.330/.408
2027PROJMLE26MLBLAD200.218/.287/.34544790.1
2028PROJ26% MLB27MLBLAD34.215/.285/.34111790.0
2029PROJ39% MLB28MLBLAD67.215/.285/.33921790.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
ISO96
wOBA83
wRC+81
Speed80
Chase%70
Z-Con%48
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsKorey Lee (age 26) · Andrew Navigato (age 26) · Braxton Fulford (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 84 proj PA
wRC+†79
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .285 / .341
PA84
HR2
K%28
BB%7
ISO127
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.10.00.0272829
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202322 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 10887 21301 15236 41 241389310699 69317 2114 335 72 — — — — — —
202423 A+Great Lakes Loons — 348302 701116 33972 233 232310334644 103314 289 287 39 — — — — — —
202625 AATulsa Drillers — 4136 9013 3132 11 250341556897 306300 327 389 88 — — — — — —
202625 ROKACL Dodgers — 5137 11303 5108 20 2974806221.102 324320 2010 470 114 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202322 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 10891 19201 11326 41 209333264597 55314 3010 274 72 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 348314 59914 231252 233 188248261509 73273 367 226 39 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 4137 7012 2162 11 189268405674 216268 395 299 88 — — — — — —
202625 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 5139 8202 3148 20 205380410790 205230 276 336 114 — — — — — —
202322 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 10891 19201 11326 41 209333264597 55310 3010 274 72 — — — — — —
202322 A RAWRancho Cucamonga Quakes — 10887 21301 15236 41 241389310699 69317 2114 335 72 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 348314 59914 231252 233 188248261509 73289 367 226 39 — — — — — —
202423 A+ RAWGreat Lakes Loons — 348302 701116 33972 233 232310334644 103314 289 287 39 — — — — — —
202625 ROK MLE2 teams — 9276 16215 53010 31 211341461801 250262 335 320 102 — — — — — —
202625 ROK RAW2 teams — 9273 20316 82310 31 2744185891.007 315311 259 434 102 — — — — — —
202322 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 10890 19201 11326 41 211333267600 56314 3010 274 72 — — — — — —
202423 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 348320 59914 231252 233 184248256504 72273 367 226 39 — — — — — —
202625 ROK MLE2 teams — 9277 16215 53010 31 208341455795 247247 335 320 102 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 348320 59914 231252 233 184248256504 72273 367 226 39 — — — — — —
202625 ROK MLE2 teams — 9277 16215 53010 31 208341455795 247247 335 320 102 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLELAD 0% 200181 39714 14563 41 218287345632 127286 287 284 79 -5 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLELAD 26% 130118 26513 9362 31 218288345633 127285 287 285 79 -3 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.1
202928 MLB MLELAD 39% 171154 34614 12473 31 218288344632 126285 277 284 79 -4 +0 -1 +2 +4 0.1
202827 MLB CTXLAD 26% 3431 6101 291 10 215285341625 126279 266 282 79 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
202928 MLB CTXLAD 39% 6761 13202 5181 10 215285339624 125279 277 281 79 -2 +0 -0 +1 +1 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 10192 19303 7272 20 207277337614 130258 277 281 65 -3 +0 -0 +1 +2 0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650592 12219019 4517413 130 206277334611 128258 277 281 65 -16 +3 -2 +7 +14 0.6
Career— MLE — 933830 17027419 6629324 387 205283316598 111287 317 265 65 -10 +1 -1 +4 +8 0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650578 11919313 4620417 265 206284317601 111289 317 265 65 -16 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Dodgers · 51 PAwOBA .467 → .336 (−131)K% 19.6% → 28.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.61%÷1.000×1.440——28.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.80%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9455.74%
HBP% /PA15.69%—×0.720—×0.94510.67%
Singles /BIP18.52%÷1.000×0.820—×0.94514.35%
Doubles /BIP11.11%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9457.56%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9450.00%
Home runs /BIP11.11%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9458.19%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .467 → .336; ISO .324 → .245; BABIP .320 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AATulsa Drillers · 41 PAwOBA .378 → .299 (−79)K% 31.7% → 38.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.71%÷1.000×1.220——38.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.32%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9985.11%
HBP% /PA4.88%—×0.870—×0.9984.24%
Singles /BIP21.74%÷1.000×0.920—×0.99819.96%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.840—×0.9980.00%
Triples /BIP4.35%÷1.000×0.940—×0.9984.08%
Home runs /BIP13.04%÷1.000×0.800—×0.99810.41%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .378 → .299; ISO .306 → .233; BABIP .300 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Great Lakes Loons · 348 PAwOBA .284 → .226 (−57)K% 27.9% → 35.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.87%÷0.990×1.270——35.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.48%÷1.037×0.710—×0.9986.48%
HBP% /PA0.57%—×0.790—×0.9980.45%
Singles /BIP25.37%÷1.004×0.920×0.971×0.99822.54%
Doubles /BIP5.37%÷0.950×0.810×0.971×0.9984.43%
Triples /BIP0.49%÷0.948×0.850×0.971×0.9980.42%
Home runs /BIP2.93%÷1.036×0.800—×0.9982.25%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 90, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .284 → .226; ISO .103 → .080; BABIP .314 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 108 PAwOBA .328 → .274 (−53)K% 21.3% → 29.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.30%÷0.973×1.360——29.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.89%÷0.976×0.690——9.82%
HBP% /PA5.56%—×0.780——4.33%
Singles /BIP26.56%÷0.955×0.920×1.050—26.87%
Doubles /BIP4.69%÷0.990×0.830×1.050—4.12%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910×1.050—0.00%
Home runs /BIP1.56%÷1.025×0.800——1.22%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 91, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .328 → .274; ISO .069 → .054; BABIP .317 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).